Reference health
Survey-based forecast distributions for Euro Area growth and inflation: ensembles versus histograms
27/27 checkable references clean · checked 2026-08-09
Every reference with a DOI in the deposited reference list resolved to a known work in Crossref or DataCite at the dated check, and none carried a retraction, withdrawal, or removal notice.
5 without a DOI — not checked. A reference deposited without a DOI is never matched by title or guessed at; it stays outside the checked set, and this line discloses that.
The 27 checked references that resolve
resolves10.1002/jae.2430
The Measurement and Behavior of Uncertainty: Evidence from the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters
resolves10.1002/jae.2400
The Measurement and Characteristics of Professional Forecasters' Uncertainty
resolves10.1198/jbes.2009.0003
Comparing the Point Predictions and Subjective Probability Distributions of Professional Forecasters
resolves10.1016/j.ijforecast.2012.06.004
Combining expert forecasts: Can anything beat the simple average?
resolves10.1016/j.jempfin.2016.05.001
Inflation uncertainty, disagreement and monetary policy: Evidence from the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters
resolves10.1175/MWR2904.1
Calibrated Probabilistic Forecasting Using Ensemble Model Output Statistics and Minimum CRPS Estimation
resolves10.1256/qj.05.235
The continuous ranked probability score for circular variables and its application to mesoscale forecast ensemble verification
resolves10.1007/s00181-014-0815-9
Density characteristics and density forecast performance: a panel analysis
resolves10.1016/j.jbankfin.2015.05.007
Disagreement versus uncertainty: Evidence from distribution forecasts
resolves10.1002/jae.880
Modelling multi‐period inflation uncertainty using a panel of density forecasts
resolves10.1016/j.jeconom.2008.02.002
Evolution of forecast disagreement in a Bayesian learning model
resolves10.1177/002795010418900107
An Assessment of Bank of England and National Institute Inflation Forecast Uncertainties
The 5 references without a DOI — listed, not checked
no DOI — not checkedEuropean Central Bank (2016a) ECB survey of professional forecasters. http://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/prices/indic/forecast/html/index.en.html . Accessed 2016-02-10
no DOI — not checkedEuropean Central Bank (2016b) Statistical data warehouse. https://sdw.ecb.europa.eu/ . Accessed 2016-02-10
no DOI — not checkedGneiting T, Thorarinsdottir TL (2010) Predicting inflation: Professional experts versus no-change forecasts. http://arxiv.org/abs/1010.2318 . Preprint. Accessed 2016-09-21
no DOI — not checkedJordan A, Krüger F, Lerch S (2016) R package scoringRules: scoring rules for parametric and simulated distribution forecasts. https://cran.r-project.org/web/packages/scoringRules/ . Accessed 2016-08-30
no DOI — not checkedOzturk EO, Sheng X (2016) Measuring global and country-specific uncertainty. Paper presented at the Stanford SITE workshop on ‘The Macroeconomics of Uncertainty and Volatility’. https://site.stanford.edu/sites/default/files/measuring-global-and-country-specific-uncertainty.pdf . Accessed 2016-09-25
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