Reference health
Overconfidence and trading volume
75/75 checkable references clean · checked 2026-08-02
Every reference with a DOI in the deposited reference list resolved to a known work in Crossref or DataCite at the dated check, and none carried a retraction, withdrawal, or removal notice.
33 without a DOI — not checked. A reference deposited without a DOI is never matched by title or guessed at; it stays outside the checked set, and this line discloses that.
The 75 checked references that resolve
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Design and evaluation of an economic experiment via the Internet
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Is All That Talk Just Noise? The Information Content of Internet Stock Message Boards
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Trading Is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors
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Judgemental Overconfidence, Self-Monitoring, and Trading Performance in an Experimental Financial Market
resolves10.1016/j.jebo.2004.10.010
Confidence interval estimation tasks and the economics of overconfidence
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Chapter 13 Financial decision-making in markets and firms: A behavioral perspective
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Information aggregation in a noisy rational expectations economy
resolves10.1016/S0304-405X(98)00026-9
Market efficiency, long-term returns, and behavioral finance1The comments of Brad Barber, David Hirshleifer, S.P. Kothari, Owen Lamont, Mark Mitchell, Hersh Shefrin, Robert Shiller, Rex Sinquefield, Richard Thaler, Theo Vermaelen, Robert Vishny, Ivo Welch, and a referee have been helpful. Kenneth French and Jay Ritter get special thanks.1
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Trading on illusions: Unrealistic perceptions of control and trading performance
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Framing Effects in Stock Market Forecasts: The Difference Between Asking for Prices and Asking for Returns
resolves10.1207/S15327760JPFM0201_4
The Psychology of Financial Decision-Making: Applications to Trading, Dealing, and Investment Analysis
resolves10.1016/S1386-4181(00)00014-8
On the survival of overconfident traders in a competitive securities market
resolves10.1016/S0191-8869(02)00028-4
Stability and variability in the realism of confidence judgments over time, content domain, and gender
resolves10.1086/262005
Differential Interpretation of Public Signals and Trade in Speculative Markets
resolves10.1287/mnsc.1050.0429
Investment Decisions and Time Horizon: Risk Perception and Risk Behavior in Repeated Gambles
resolves10.1111/j.1540-6261.1997.tb02751.x
Speculation Duopoly with Agreement to Disagree: Can Overconfidence Survive the Market Test?
resolves10.1037/0022-3514.32.6.951
Heads I win, tails it's chance: The illusion of control as a function of the sequence of outcomes in a purely chance task.
resolves10.1016/j.obhdp.2006.10.002
Social comparison and confidence: When thinking you’re better than average predicts overconfidence (and when it does not)
resolves10.1111/0022-1082.00078
Volume, Volatility, Price, and Profit When All Traders Are Above Average
resolves10.1080/00221300209602099
The Role of Individual Differences in the Accuracy of Confidence Judgments
resolves10.1002/bdm.481
Decision‐making competence: External validation through an individual‐differences approach
resolves10.1016/j.joep.2005.08.003
Explaining heterogeneity in utility functions by individual differences in decision modes
resolves10.1111/j.1540-6261.1985.tb05002.x
The Disposition to Sell Winners Too Early and Ride Losers Too Long: Theory and Evidence
resolves10.1016/S1574-0048(99)10033-8
Chapter 20 Human behavior and the efficiency of the financial system
resolves10.1006/obhd.1996.0011
Determinants of Overconfidence and Miscalibration: The Roles of Random Error and Ecological Structure
resolves10.1017/S0140525X00003435
Individual differences in reasoning: Implications for the rationality debate?
resolves10.1016/0001-6918(81)90005-6
Are we all less risky and more skillful than our fellow drivers?
resolves10.1037/0033-2909.103.2.193
Illusion and well-being: A social psychological perspective on mental health.
resolves10.1086/ma.18.3585252
Perspectives on Behavioral Finance: Does "Irrationality" Disappear with Wealth? Evidence from Expectations and Actions
resolves10.1016/S1386-4181(97)00007-4
Strategic trading, asymmetric information and heterogeneous prior beliefs
resolves10.1016/S0167-2681(97)00089-9
The disposition effect in securities trading: an experimental analysis
resolves10.1016/0022-1031(73)90011-5
Effects of cooperation and competition on responsibility attribution after success and failure
The 33 references without a DOI — listed, not checked
no DOI — not checkedANDERSON, A. [2006]: Is Online Trading Gambling with Peanuts? Working Paper.
no DOI — not checkedATKINSON, A. [1985]: Plots, Transformations, and Regression, Oxford: Clarendon Press.
no DOI — not checkedBARBER, B.M. and ODEAN, T. [2001]: “Boys Will Be Boys: Gender, Overconfidence, And Common Stock Investment,” Quarterly Journal of Economics 116(1), 261–292.
no DOI — not checkedBARBERIS, N. and THALER, R. [2003]: “Behavioral Finance,” in Handbook of the Economics of Finance, G.M. Constantinides, M. Harris and R.M. Stulz (Eds.), Amsterdam: North Holland, pp. 1053–1123.
no DOI — not checkedBAUER, R., COSEMANS, M., and EICHHOLTZ, P.M. [2007]: The Performance and Persistence of Individual Investors: Rational Agents or Tulip Maniacs? Working Paper, University of Maastricht.
no DOI — not checkedBEN-DAVID, I., GRAHAM, J.R., and HARVEY, C.R. [2006]: Managerial Overconfidence and Corporate Policies. Working Paper.
no DOI — not checkedDAVIDSON, R. and MACKINNON, J.G. [1993]: Estimation and Inference in Econometrics, Oxford: Oxford University Press.
no DOI — not checkedDEAVES, R., LÜDERS, E., and LUO, R. [2003]: An Experimental Test of the Impact of Overconfidence and Gender on Trading Activity. Working Paper, McMaster University.
no DOI — not checkedDEAVES, R., LÜDERS, E., and SCHRÖDER, M. [2004]: The Dynamics of Overconfidence: Evidence from Stock Market Forecasters. Working Paper.
no DOI — not checkedDORN, D. and HUBERMAN, G. [2002]: Who trades? Working Paper, Columbia University.
no DOI — not checkedDORN, D. and SENGMUELLER, P. [2006]: Trading as Entertainment. Working Paper.
no DOI — not checkedGLASER, M. [2003]: Online Broker Investors: Demographic Information, Investment Strategy, Portfolio Positions, and Trading Activity. SFB 504 discussion paper 03-18, University of Mannheim.
no DOI — not checkedGLASER, M. [2005]: Determinants of Portfolio Risk, Return, and Trading Activity of Individual Investors. Working Paper, University of Mannheim.
no DOI — not checkedGLASER, M., LANGER, T., and WEBER, M. [2005]: Overconfidence of Professionals and Lay Men: Individual Differences Within and Between Tasks? Working Paper, University of Mannheim.
no DOI — not checkedGLASER, M., NÖTH, M., and WEBER, M. [2004]: “Behavioral Finance,” in Blackwell Handbook of Judgment and Decision Making, D.J. Koehler and N. Harvey (Eds.), Malden Mass.: Blackwell, pp. 527–546.
no DOI — not checkedGLASER, M. and WEBER, M. [2003]: Overconfidence and Trading Volume. CEPR Discussion Paper No. 3941.
no DOI — not checkedGLASER, M. and WEBER, M. [2004]: Which Past Returns Affect Trading Volume? Working Paper, University of Mannheim.
no DOI — not checkedGLASER, M. and WEBER, M. [2005b]: Which Investors are able to Correctly Estimate their Past Realized Portfolio Performance? Working Paper, University of Mannheim.
no DOI — not checkedGRAHAM, J.R. and HARVEY, C.R. [2003]: Expectations of Equity Risk Premia, Volatility and Asymmetry. Working Paper, Fuqua School of Business, Duke University.
no DOI — not checkedGRAHAM, J.R., HARVEY, C.R., and HUANG, H. [2005]: Investor Competence, Trading Frequency, and Home Bias. Working Paper, Duke University.
no DOI — not checkedGROSSMAN, S. and STIGLITZ, J.E. [1980]: “On the Impossibility of Informationally Efficient Markets,” American Economic Review, 70, 393–408.
no DOI — not checkedHALES, J. [2005]: “Are Investors Really Willing to Agree to Disagree? An Experimental Investigation of How Disagreement and Attention to Disagreement Affect Trading Volume. Working Paper, University of Texas at Austin.
no DOI — not checkedKUMAR, A. [2006]: Who Gambles in the Stock Market? Working Paper.
no DOI — not checkedOBERLECHNER, T. and OSLER, C.L. [2003]: Overconfidence in Currency Markets. Working Paper.
no DOI — not checkedPAGANO, M. and RÖELL, A. [1992]: “Trading Volume,” in The New Palgrave Dictionary of Money and Finance, P. Newman, J. Eatwell and M. Milgate (Eds.), London: Macmillan, pp. 679–683.
no DOI — not checkedPRESSON, P.K. and BENASSI, V.A. [1996]: “Illusion of Control: A Meta-Analytic Review,” Journal of Social Behavior and Personality, 11(3), 493–510.
no DOI — not checkedPURI, M. and ROBINSON, D.T. [2005]: Optimism and Economic Choice. Working Paper, Duke University.
no DOI — not checkedRÉGNER, I., HILTON, D., CABANTOUS, L., and VAUTIER, S. [2004]: Overconfidence, Miscalibration and Positive Illusions. Working Paper, University of Toulouse.
no DOI — not checkedRUSSO, J.E. and SCHOEMAKER, P.J.H. [1992]: “Managing Overconfidence,” Sloan Management Review, 33(2), 7–17.
no DOI — not checkedSCHMITZ, P., GLASER, M., and WEBER, M. [2005]: Individual Investor Sentiment and Stock Returns—What Do We Learn from Individual Warrant Traders? Working Paper, University of Mannheim.
no DOI — not checkedSCHNEIDER, D.J., HASTORF, A.H., and ELLSWORTH, P.C. [1979]: “Person Perception”, Reading, Mass.: Addison-Wesley.
no DOI — not checkedSOLL, J.B. and KLAYMAN, J. [2004]: “Overconfidence in Interval Estimates,” Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 30(2), 299–314.
no DOI — not checkedWOOLDRIDGE, J.M. [2002]: Econometric Analysis of Cross Section and Panel Data, Cambridge Mass.: MIT Press.
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