Reference health
Why Are American Presidential Election Campaign Polls So Variable When Votes Are So Predictable?
18/18 checkable references clean · checked 2026-08-02
Every reference with a DOI in the deposited reference list resolved to a known work in Crossref or DataCite at the dated check, and none carried a retraction, withdrawal, or removal notice.
36 without a DOI — not checked. A reference deposited without a DOI is never matched by title or guessed at; it stays outside the checked set, and this line discloses that.
The 18 checked references that resolve
resolves10.3151/coj1975.29.7_10
resolves10.1093/pan/1.1.99
Analysis of the Dynamics of Political Reasoning: A General-Purpose Computer-Assisted Methodology
resolves10.1016/0168-8278(91)90903-O
Antimitochondrial antibody profiles determined at early stages of primary biliary cirrhosis differentiate between a benign and a progressive course of the disease
resolves10.2307/2111314
The Impact of Personal and National Economic Conditions on the Presidential Vote: A Pooled Cross-Sectional Analysis
The 36 references without a DOI — listed, not checked
no DOI — not checkedVoting and Party Competition
no DOI — not checkedHandbook of Industrial Organization, Volume II
no DOI — not checkedRosenstone , Forecasting Presidential Elections.
no DOI — not checkedFair , ‘The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President’ and updates.
no DOI — not checkedUnifying Political Methodology: The Likelihood Theory of Statistical Inference
no DOI — not checkedDahl , Democracy and Its Critics.
no DOI — not checkedPolitical Methodologist, 04 1993
no DOI — not checkedForewarned Before Forecast: Presidential Election Forecasting Models and the 1992 Election
no DOI — not checkedPolling and the Public: What Every Citizen Should Know
no DOI — not checkedLewis-Beck and Rice , Forecasting Elections, chap. 1.
no DOI — not checkedStahl Lesley , CBS News broadcast, 22 07 1988
no DOI — not checkedCampbell James E. , Cherry Lynna L. and Wink Kenneth A. , ‘The Convention Bump’, American Politics Quarterly (1993, forthcoming) also discuss poll movements during conventions.
no DOI — not checkedGelman Andrew and King Gary , ‘Forecasting the 1992 US Presidential Election’, manuscript, in progress.
no DOI — not checkedThe Iowa Presidential Stock Market: A Field Experiment
no DOI — not checkedForecasting Presidential Elections, p. 122
no DOI — not checkedWhat Do Survey Questions Really Measure?
no DOI — not checkedRosenstone Steven J. , ‘Predicting Elections’ (Ann Arbor: University of Michigan, unpublished manuscript, 1990).
no DOI — not checked‘Industrial Organization Theory and Experimental Economics’, Journal of Economic Literature, 20 (1982), 1485–1527.)
no DOI — not checkedDemocracy and Its Critics
no DOI — not checkedThe Thirteen Keys to the Presidency
no DOI — not checkedGelman and King , ‘Forecasting the 1992 US Presidential Election’.
no DOI — not checkedLewis-Beck and Rice , Forecasting Elections.
no DOI — not checkedPresidential Campaign Politics
no DOI — not checkedWashington Post, 14–20 10 1991.
no DOI — not checkedNewsweek, 19 09 1988.
no DOI — not checkedCampbell , ‘Forecasting the Presidential Vote in the States’.
no DOI — not checkedForecasting Elections
no DOI — not checkedThe People's Choice: How The Voter Makes Up His Mind in a Presidential Campaign
no DOI — not checkedLewis-Beck , ‘Election Forecasts in 1984: How Accurate Were They?’
no DOI — not checkedLewis-Beck and Rice , Forecasting Elections.
no DOI — not checkedInformation Pooling and Group Decision Making
no DOI — not checkedNewsweek, 5 09 1988
no DOI — not checkedLadha Krishna , ‘Condorcet's Jury Theorem, Free Speech and Correlated Votes’, American Journal of Political Science, forthcoming.
no DOI — not checkedElectioneering
no DOI — not checkedForecasting the 1992 Presidential Election: The Message is in the Conference Interval
no DOI — not checkedFranklin and Jackson , ‘The Dynamics of Party Identification’.
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