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When the Favorite Meets the Underdog: Implied Volatility Spread and Option Returns

https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1640322
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30/30 checkable references clean · checked 2026-08-27

Every reference with a DOI in the deposited reference list resolved to a known work in Crossref or DataCite at the dated check, and none carried a retraction, withdrawal, or removal notice.

4 without a DOI — not checked. A reference deposited without a DOI is never matched by title or guessed at; it stays outside the checked set, and this line discloses that.

The 30 checked references that resolve
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The Joint Cross Section of Stocks and Options
resolves10.1093/rfs/hhj035
Downside Risk
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Delta-Hedged Gains and the Negative Market Volatility Risk Premium
resolves10.3905/jod.2003.319210
Volatility Risk Premiums Embedded in Individual Equity Options
resolves10.1093/rfs/16.1.0101
Stock Return Characteristics, Skew Laws, and the Differential Pricing of Individual Equity Options
resolves10.1287/mnsc.1090.1063
Volatility Spreads and Expected Stock Returns
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The Internet and the Investor
resolves10.1111/0022-1082.00367
Mental Accounting, Loss Aversion, and Individual Stock Returns
resolves10.1093/rfs/9.1.69
Jumps and Stochastic Volatility: Exchange Rate Processes Implicit in Deutsche Mark Options
resolves10.1086/295472
Capital Market Equilibrium with Restricted Borrowing
resolves10.2469/faj.v31.n4.36
Fact and Fantasy in the Use of Options
resolves10.1111/j.1540-6261.1997.tb03808.x
On Persistence in Mutual Fund Performance
resolves10.1017/s002210901000013x
Deviations from Put-Call Parity and Stock Return Predictability
resolves10.1111/0022-1082.00077
Investor Psychology and Security Market Under‐ and Overreactions
resolves10.1016/j.jbankfin.2011.09.012
The information content of implied skewness and kurtosis changes prior to earnings announcements for stock and option returns
resolves10.1093/rof/rfr006
Gambling Preference and the New Year Effect of Assets with Lottery Features
resolves10.2469/faj.v66.n1.9
Implications for Asset Returns in the Implied Volatility Skew
resolves10.1002/fut.20279
Is there information in the volatility skew?
resolves10.1007/s11147-006-9002-2
The bias in Black-Scholes/Black implied volatility: An analysis of equity and energy markets
resolves10.1111/0022-1082.194060
Option Volume and Stock Prices: Evidence on Where Informed Traders Trade
resolves10.1016/0304-405x(93)90023-5
Common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds
resolves10.1093/rfs/hhp005
Demand-Based Option Pricing
resolves10.1016/j.jfineco.2009.01.001
Cross-section of option returns and volatility☆
resolves10.1093/rfs/hhm071
Investor Sentiment and Option Prices
resolves10.2307/2676187
Behavioral Portfolio Theory
resolves10.2469/faj.v60.n4.2636
The Diversification Puzzle
resolves10.2307/2328621
Overreactions in the Options Market
resolves10.1017/s0022109000003173
Capital Investments and Stock Returns
resolves10.1017/s0022109010000220
What Does the Individual Option Volatility Smirk Tell Us About Future Equity Returns?
resolves10.1002/9781118832790.ins1
Supplemental Images
The 4 references without a DOI — listed, not checked
no DOI — not checked?IV ) for a given category of options based on call/put and moneyness. The key independent variable is daily N et Demand, defined as customer demand less firm demand. The net demand is calculated using options corresponding to the measurement of ?IV
no DOI — not checked) zero-cost low-minus-high OTM call portfolio (CPIV L?H Call OTM), and (4) zero-cost portfolio that goes long high CPIV stocks and short high CPIV calls, and goes short low CPIV OTM calls and long low CPIV OTM calls (CPIV L?H Call-Stock), with only 10% of investment in options
no DOI — not checkedref33
no DOI — not checkedref34
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