Reference health

Belief Elicitation: A Horse Race Among Truth Serums

https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2023624
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1 of 44 checkable references need attention · checked 2026-08-03

At the dated check, the references listed below either did not resolve in Crossref or DataCite, or carried a retraction notice. Each one is shown with the registry record that put it there.

14 without a DOI — not checked. A reference deposited without a DOI is never matched by title or guessed at; it stays outside the checked set, and this line discloses that.

References needing attention

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The 43 checked references that resolve
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Rudolf Alexander Schröder. Zur Einführung (Hans-Albrecht Koch)
resolves10.1007/s10683-010-9249-1
Belief elicitation in experiments: is there a hedging problem?
resolves10.1016/j.geb.2014.05.005
Preferences and beliefs in a sequential social dilemma: a within-subjects analysis
resolves10.1111/1468-0297.0j677
Emotional Hazard in a Power‐to‐Take Experiment
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The Theory of Rationally Heterogeneous Expectations: Evidence from Survey Data on Inflation Expectations
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VERIFICATION OF FORECASTS EXPRESSED IN TERMS OF PROBABILITY
resolves10.2139/ssrn.1129784
Social Preferences and Strategic Uncertainty: An Experiment on Markets and Contracts
resolves10.1257/aer.100.5.2261
Social Preferences and Strategic Uncertainty: An Experiment on Markets and Contracts
resolves10.2139/ssrn.1589143
Getting it Right the First Time: Belief Elicitation with Novice Participants
resolves10.1257/aer.97.5.1901
Traders' Expectations in Asset Markets: Experimental Evidence
resolves10.1111/j.1467-937x.2008.00512.x
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Why people reject advantageous offers—Non-monotonic strategies in ultimatum bargaining
resolves10.1016/S0167-2681(01)00170-6
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resolves10.1146/annurev.economics.050708.142955
Subjective Probabilities in Household Surveys
resolves10.1080/01621459.1988.10478605
Separating Probability Elicitation from Utilities
resolves10.3982/ECTA7833
A Mechanism for Eliciting Probabilities
resolves10.1016/j.jhealeco.2008.12.004
Are mature smokers misinformed?
resolves10.1016/j.ijindorg.2005.10.001
Evidence on preferences and subjective beliefs of risk takers: The case of smokers
resolves10.1002/mcda.454
Comonotonic proper scoring rules to measure ambiguity and subjective beliefs
resolves10.1111/j.1467-937x.2007.00446.x
Changing One's Mind when the Facts Change: Incentives of Experts and the Design of Reporting Protocols
resolves10.1126/science.236.4801.537
Decision-Making in the Presence of Risk
resolves10.2307/2951565
A More Robust Definition of Subjective Probability
resolves10.1111/j.1468-0262.2004.00537.x
Measuring Expectations
resolves10.2307/1914160
Common Knowledge, Consensus, and Aggregate Information
resolves10.1111/1468-0262.00316
An Experimental Study of Belief Learning Using Elicited Beliefs
resolves10.1111/j.1467-937x.2009.00557.x
A Truth Serum for Non-Bayesians: Correcting Proper Scoring Rules for Risk Attitudes
resolves10.1023/b:exec.0000026978.14316.74
Cultural Differences in Ultimatum Game Experiments: Evidence from a Meta-Analysis
resolves10.1126/science.1102081
A Bayesian Truth Serum for Subjective Data
resolves10.1016/j.geb.2008.03.003
Equilibrium play and best response to (stated) beliefs in normal form games
resolves10.1016/j.geb.2009.04.001
Stated beliefs versus inferred beliefs: A methodological inquiry and experimental test
resolves10.2307/2109855
Why Did the Nikkei Crash? Expanding the Scope of Expectations Data Collection
resolves10.1257/jel.38.2.332
Developments in Non-Expected Utility Theory: The Hunt for a Descriptive Theory of Choice under Risk
resolves10.1287/mnsc.36.6.643
Gambling with the House Money and Trying to Break Even: The Effects of Prior Outcomes on Risky Choice
resolves10.1007/bf00122574
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resolves10.1037/0033-295x.111.1.236
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resolves10.1007/s10683-009-9230-z
Experimenter demand effects in economic experiments
The 14 references without a DOI — listed, not checked
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no DOI — not checkedOptimality and Informational Efficiency in Resource Allocation
no DOI — not checkedref43
no DOI — not checkedref45
no DOI — not checkedref47
no DOI — not checkedDoes the Random-Lottery Incentive System Elicit True Preferences? An Experimental Investigation
no DOI — not checkedref50
no DOI — not checkedref54
no DOI — not checkedref55
no DOI — not checkedref57
What this badge says. CiteStamped means the CHECKABLE references of this work were clean at the dated check: each resolved to a known work in a public registry, and none carried a retraction notice at that time. It says nothing about the quality, findings, or importance of the work itself, and nothing about references deposited without a DOI.

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