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Tax Cuts for Whom? Heterogenous Macroeconomic Effects of Income & Payroll Tax Changes

https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2112482
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18/18 checkable references clean · checked 2026-08-02

Every reference with a DOI in the deposited reference list resolved to a known work in Crossref or DataCite at the dated check, and none carried a retraction, withdrawal, or removal notice.

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The 18 checked references that resolve
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Capital Gains Realizations of the Rich and Sophisticated
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Macroeconomic Effects From Government Purchases and Taxes *
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Measuring the Average Marginal Tax Rate from the Individual Income Tax
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Who Benefits from State and Local Economic Development Policies?
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An Empirical Characterization of the Dynamic Effects of Changes in Government Spending and Taxes on Output
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Social Insurance: Connecting Theory to Data
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Do the Rich Save More?
resolves10.1257/pol.4.2.69
Measuring Tax Multipliers: The Narrative Method in Fiscal VARs
resolves10.1086/262122
What Happens When You Tax the Rich? Evidence from Executive Compensation
resolves10.1111/0034-6527.00328
Fiscal Policy with Heterogeneous Agents and Incomplete Markets
resolves10.1146/annurev.economics.050708.142933
The Consumption Response to Income Changes
resolves10.2307/2118323
Changes in Relative Wages, 1963-1987: Supply and Demand Factors
resolves10.1257/pol.4.2.145
Empirical Evidence on the Aggregate Effects of Anticipated and Unanticipated US Tax Policy Shocks
resolves10.1016/j.jeconom.2003.10.015
Estimating the social return to higher education: evidence from longitudinal and repeated cross-sectional data
resolves10.1257/aer.89.4.959
The Reaction of Household Consumption to Predictable Changes in Social Security Taxes
resolves10.1257/aer.100.3.763
The Macroeconomic Effects of Tax Changes: Estimates Based on a New Measure of Fiscal Shocks
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The Elasticity of Taxable Income with Respect to Marginal Tax Rates: A Critical Review
resolves10.1163/2542-4947-cuba-1970
Haydee Santamaría, 1964-1966, 1968, 1971, 1973-1974, 1996
The 13 references without a DOI — listed, not checked
no DOI — not checkedUnderstanding the Effects of Government Spending on Consumption
no DOI — not checkedTax News: Identifying the Household Consumption Response to Tax Expectations using Bond Prices
no DOI — not checkedref16
no DOI — not checkedThe Effects of Tax Shocks on Output: Not So Large, But Not Small Either
no DOI — not checkedA Narrative Analysis of Postwar Tax Changes
no DOI — not checkedWhat Do We Know About the Fiscal Effects of Fiscal Policy? Separating Evidence from Ideology
no DOI — not checkedref24
no DOI — not checkedref25
no DOI — not checkedBoth tax changes are as a share of output. The figure also plots the predicted value of exogenous tax changes for those in the top 10% from a simple bivariate regression on exogenous tax changes for those with AGI in the bottom 90%. Years that fall below the best fit line had tax changes
no DOI — not checkedref28
no DOI — not checkedref29
no DOI — not checkedref30
no DOI — not checkedColumn (1) and Column (2) use the standard tax change measure multiplied by a dummy for whether or not Mertens and Raven (2012a) classify the tax change as unanticipated. In short, these two columns use unanticipated exogenous tax changes as the independent variables of interest . The specification in Column (1) is the full control specification in the national regression
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