Reference health
The Slope and the Curvature of the Yield Curve in Recession Forecasting
13/13 checkable references clean · checked 2026-08-27
Every reference with a DOI in the deposited reference list resolved to a known work in Crossref or DataCite at the dated check, and none carried a retraction, withdrawal, or removal notice.
2 without a DOI — not checked. A reference deposited without a DOI is never matched by title or guessed at; it stays outside the checked set, and this line discloses that.
The 13 checked references that resolve
resolves10.1016/s0165-1765(02)00128-3
Predicting a recession: evidence from the yield curve in the presence of structural breaks
resolves10.1007/s11294-009-9247-2
Predicting European Union Recessions in the Euro Era: The Yield Curve as a Forecasting Tool of Economic Activity
resolves10.1016/j.jimonfin.2012.08.005
Predicting severe simultaneous recessions using yield spreads as leading indicators
resolves10.1162/003465398557320
Predicting U.S. Recessions: Financial Variables as Leading Indicators
resolves10.1111/j.1468-0084.2006.00456.x
How Stable is the Forecasting Performance of the Yield Curve for Output Growth?*
resolves10.1080/07350015.1986.10509491
Forecasting With Bayesian Vector Autoregressions—Five Years of Experience
The 2 references without a DOI — listed, not checked
no DOI — not checkedref5
no DOI — not checkedA Comparison of Linear and Nonlinear univariate models for Forecasting Macroeconomic time series
What this badge says. CiteStamped means the CHECKABLE references of this
work were clean at the dated check: each resolved to a known work in a public registry, and none
carried a retraction notice at that time. It says nothing about the quality, findings,
or importance of the work itself, and nothing about references deposited without a DOI.
checked 2026-08-27 — re-checked daily as this page is visited; titles and statuses come from Crossref and DataCite and are not part of the signed record
Embed this badge
Both snippets point at the live badge image and link back to this page. The badge re-renders from the daily check, so an embed never goes stale by more than a day of visits.
<a href="https://citestamp.com/citestamped/10.2139/ssrn.2409122"><img src="https://citestamp.com/citestamped/10.2139/ssrn.2409122/badge.svg" alt="CiteStamped reference-health badge" width="460" height="64"></a>
[](https://citestamp.com/citestamped/10.2139/ssrn.2409122)