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Determinants of Consumer Sentiment Over Business Cycles: Evidence from the U.S. Surveys of Consumers

https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2813251
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2 of 20 checkable references need attention · checked 2026-09-15

At the dated check, the references listed below either did not resolve in Crossref or DataCite, or carried a retraction notice. Each one is shown with the registry record that put it there.

13 without a DOI — not checked. A reference deposited without a DOI is never matched by title or guessed at; it stays outside the checked set, and this line discloses that.

References needing attention

does not resolve to a known work10.1787/jbcma-v2007-art2-en
does not resolve to a known work10.1787/jbcma-v2007-art11-en
The 18 checked references that resolve
resolves10.2307/2234671
Consumer Confidence and Rational Expectations: Are Agents' Beliefs Consistent with the Theory?
resolves10.2139/ssrn.1995811
The Price is Right: Updating of Inflation Expectations in a Randomized Price Information Experiment
resolves10.3386/w21633
Measuring Economic Policy Uncertainty
resolves10.2139/ssrn.1368
Consumer Confidence and Consumption in Sweden
resolves10.1257/jep.11.3.105
Bridging the Gap Between the Public's and Economists' Views of the Economy
resolves10.1016/j.ijforecast.2007.06.003
Consensus and uncertainty: Using forecast probabilities of output declines
resolves10.1016/j.jmacro.2004.03.001
Does consumer sentiment accurately forecast UK household consumption? Are there any comparisons to be made with the US?
resolves10.1016/s0165-1765(97)00247-4
Does consumer sentiment forecast household spending?
resolves10.1002/jae.2494
Forecasting Consumption: the Role of Consumer Confidence in Real Time with many Predictors
resolves10.1016/j.ijforecast.2012.02.010
Nowcasting US GDP: The role of ISM business surveys
resolves10.1002/jae.1167
Measuring forecast uncertainty by disagreement: The missing link
resolves10.1016/j.jeconom.2008.02.002
Evolution of forecast disagreement in a Bayesian learning model
resolves10.1086/268732
The Consumer as Forecaster
resolves10.1002/jae.695
A new coincident index of business cycles based on monthly and quarterly series
resolves10.1080/0022250x.1975.9989847
A statistical model for the analysis of ordinal level dependent variables
resolves10.2307/2534366
Consumer Sentiment and Spending on Durable Goods
resolves10.1353/mcb.2004.0007
Expectations, Heterogeneous Forecast Errors, and Consumption: Micro Evidence from the Michigan Consumer Sentiment Surveys
resolves10.1177/1536867x0100400102
Semi-nonparametric Estimation of Extended Ordered Probit Models
The 13 references without a DOI — listed, not checked
no DOI — not checkedDetection of Turning Points in Business Cycles
no DOI — not checkedref7
no DOI — not checkedDoes consumer sentiment forecast household spending? If so, why?
no DOI — not checkedWhat role does consumer sentiment play in the US macroeconomy?
no DOI — not checkedForecasting consumer spending: Should economists pay attention to consumer confidence surveys?
no DOI — not checkedA Time Series and Cross Sectional Analysis of Consumer Sentiment and Its Components
no DOI — not checkedAnticipatory and objective models of durable goods demand
no DOI — not checkedref17
no DOI — not checkedUsing the purchasing managers' index to assess the economy's strength and the likely direction of monetary policy
no DOI — not checkedConsumer Sentiment and Economic Activity
no DOI — not checkedref28
no DOI — not checkedref32
no DOI — not checkedVariations in consumer sentiment across demographic groups
What this badge says. CiteStamped means the CHECKABLE references of this work were clean at the dated check: each resolved to a known work in a public registry, and none carried a retraction notice at that time. It says nothing about the quality, findings, or importance of the work itself, and nothing about references deposited without a DOI.

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