Reference health

Models Versus Rankings: Forecasting Political Violence

https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2930104
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14/14 checkable references clean · checked 2026-08-28

Every reference with a DOI in the deposited reference list resolved to a known work in Crossref or DataCite at the dated check, and none carried a retraction, withdrawal, or removal notice.

20 without a DOI — not checked. A reference deposited without a DOI is never matched by title or guessed at; it stays outside the checked set, and this line discloses that.

The 14 checked references that resolve
resolves10.2139/ssrn.2948293
Improving the Early Warning Function of Civil War Onset Models Using Automated Event Data
resolves10.1093/pan/mpv024
Comparing Random Forest with Logistic Regression for Predicting Class-Imbalanced Civil War Onset Data
resolves10.1093/pan/mps002
Improving Predictions using Ensemble Bayesian Model Averaging
resolves10.1016/j.ijforecast.2015.01.009
Irregular leadership changes in 2014: Forecasts using ensemble, split-population duration models
resolves10.1177/0022343310394697
How different are the correlates of onset and continuation of civil wars?
resolves10.1007/978-94-007-0753-5_604
Country Indicators for Foreign Policy (CIFP)
resolves10.1111/j.1468-2486.2009.00892.x
What Causes Civil Wars? Integrating Quantitative Research Findings
resolves10.1017/s0003055403000534
Ethnicity, Insurgency, and Civil War
resolves10.1093/isq/sqw030
Combining Behavioral and Structural Predictors of Violent Civil Conflict: Getting Scholars and Policymakers to Talk to Each Other
resolves10.1111/j.1540-5907.2009.00426.x
A Global Model for Forecasting Political Instability
resolves10.1016/j.ssresearch.2009.06.007
A global risk assessment model for civil wars
resolves10.1177/0022002704269355
What Is Civil War?
resolves10.1177/0022343309356491
The perils of policy by p-value: Predicting civil conflicts
resolves10.1093/jogss/ogv002
Can We Predict Politics? Toward What End?: Table 1.
The 20 references without a DOI — listed, not checked
no DOI — not checked-alternative-data-firms-are-shedding-new-light-corporate-performance-watchers. 67 'The GDELT Project', The GDELT Project
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no DOI — not checkedConflict Barometer'. HIIK -Heidelberg Institute for International Conflict Research
no DOI — not checkedData Sets -The Corelates of War Project'. Folder. Correlates of War
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no DOI — not checkedref13
no DOI — not checkedref16
no DOI — not checkedPITF -State Failure Problem Set: Internal Wars and Failures of Governance
no DOI — not checkedref20
no DOI — not checkedVulnerability to Intrastate Conflict: Evaluating Quantitative Measures'. United States Institute of Peace
no DOI — not checkedref22
no DOI — not checkedref23
no DOI — not checkedref26
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no DOI — not checkedref32
no DOI — not checkedWorld Bank Country and Lending Groups -World Bank Data Help Desk'. The World Bank
no DOI — not checkedref36
What this badge says. CiteStamped means the CHECKABLE references of this work were clean at the dated check: each resolved to a known work in a public registry, and none carried a retraction notice at that time. It says nothing about the quality, findings, or importance of the work itself, and nothing about references deposited without a DOI.

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