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On the External Validity of Experimental Inflation Forecasts: A Comparison with Five Categories of Field Expectations

https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3263249
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13/13 checkable references clean · checked 2026-08-03

Every reference with a DOI in the deposited reference list resolved to a known work in Crossref or DataCite at the dated check, and none carried a retraction, withdrawal, or removal notice.

3 without a DOI — not checked. A reference deposited without a DOI is never matched by title or guessed at; it stays outside the checked set, and this line discloses that.

The 13 checked references that resolve
resolves10.1111/j.1468-0297.2007.02043.x
Experimental Evidence on the Persistence of Output and Inflation
resolves10.1016/j.jmoneco.2007.07.004
Are inflation expectations rational?
resolves10.1086/ma.18.3585256
Disagreement about Inflation Expectations
resolves10.1257/jel.52.1.124
Empirical Evidence on Inflation Expectations in the New Keynesian Phillips Curve
resolves10.1108/s0193-230620140000017004
Forecast Error Information and Heterogeneous Expectations in Learning-to-Forecast Macroeconomic Experiments
resolves10.1016/j.jebo.2010.05.012
Heterogeneity, learning and information stickiness in inflation expectations
resolves10.1017/s1365100516000560
INFLATION EXPECTATIONS AND MONETARY POLICY DESIGN: EVIDENCE FROM THE LABORATORY
resolves10.1016/s0304-3932(97)00017-2
Is inflation sticky?
resolves10.1257/aer.90.3.429
Federal Reserve Information and the Behavior of Interest Rates
resolves10.1016/s0304-3932(03)00029-1
Implications of rational inattention
resolves10.1257/jep.13.4.125
Survey Measures of Expected U.S. Inflation
resolves10.1007/s10683-009-9230-z
Experimenter demand effects in economic experiments
resolves10.21236/ada242679
Empirical Estimation of Standard Errors of Compensatory MIRT Model Parameters Obtained from the NOHARM Estimation Program
The 3 references without a DOI — listed, not checked
no DOI — not checkedSurvey Measures of Expected Inflation: Revisiting the Issues of Predictive Content and Rationality
no DOI — not checkedLivingston has a semiannual frequency, Michigan monthly, SPF quarterly. FOMC and Greenbook are taken at a quarterly frequency. N is the size of each sample. For experimental data: PZ indicates data from Pfajfar and Zakelj
no DOI — not checkederror term (i stands for the different categories of economic agents) and the null hypothesis is: the estimated coefficients � �� � ��1 and � �� � ��2 ?are not significantly different from 0. Market-based forecasts are considered at a daily or monthly frequency
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