Reference health

The forecasting power of short-term options

https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3622433
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44/44 checkable references clean · checked 2026-08-27

Every reference with a DOI in the deposited reference list resolved to a known work in Crossref or DataCite at the dated check, and none carried a retraction, withdrawal, or removal notice.

10 without a DOI — not checked. A reference deposited without a DOI is never matched by title or guessed at; it stays outside the checked set, and this line discloses that.

The 44 checked references that resolve
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Expectiles, Omega Ratios and Stochastic Ordering
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Implicit expectiles and measures of implied volatility
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The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities
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Testing the stability of implied probability density functions
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Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity
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Estimation of risk-neutral densities using positive convolution approximation
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Prices of State-Contingent Claims Implicit in Option Prices
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Implied exchange rate distributions: evidence from OTC option markets
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Predicting Excess Stock Returns Out of Sample: Can Anything Beat the Historical Average?
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Risk-Neutral Densities: A Review
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Quadratic Optimization
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Why Invest in Emerging Markets? The Role of Conditional Return Asymmetry
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Errors in Implied Volatility Estimation
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On power transformations to symmetry
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Recovering Risk Aversion from Option Prices and Realized Returns
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What Do Index Options Teach Us About COVID-19?
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Recovering Probability Distributions from Option Prices
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Quantile Regression
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resolves10.1093/rfs/hhx095
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Estimating the Probability Distribution of the Future Exchange Rate from Option Prices
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Smoothing Splines and Shape Restrictions
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Forecasting Stock Returns Using Option-Implied State Prices*
resolves10.1002/for.2756
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The 10 references without a DOI — listed, not checked
no DOI — not checkedImplicit quantiles and expectiles
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no DOI — not checkedref22
no DOI — not checkedref29
no DOI — not checkedNonparametric Regression and Generalized Linear Models
no DOI — not checkedref35
no DOI — not checkedref38
no DOI — not checkedOption-implied probability distributions and currency excess returns
no DOI — not checkedWhat is kurtosis? an influence function approach
no DOI — not checkedThe bounds of probability
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