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Estimating Real-world Probabilities: a Forward-looking Behavioral Framework

https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3732350
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60/60 checkable references clean · checked 2026-08-03

Every reference with a DOI in the deposited reference list resolved to a known work in Crossref or DataCite at the dated check, and none carried a retraction, withdrawal, or removal notice.

10 without a DOI — not checked. A reference deposited without a DOI is never matched by title or guessed at; it stays outside the checked set, and this line discloses that.

The 60 checked references that resolve
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The 10 references without a DOI — listed, not checked
no DOI — not checkedEstimating Sentiment, Risk Aversion, and Time Preference from Behavioral Pricing Kernel Theory
no DOI — not checkedMeasure preserving derivatives and the pricing kernel puzzle
no DOI — not checkedBehavioral Finance: Quo Vadis?
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no DOI — not checkedA modified Berkwitz back-test
no DOI — not checkedReference-dependent preferences and the empirical pricing kernel puzzle
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