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A Parsimonious Theory of Subjective Probability

https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3777432
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24/24 checkable references clean · checked 2026-08-07

Every reference with a DOI in the deposited reference list resolved to a known work in Crossref or DataCite at the dated check, and none carried a retraction, withdrawal, or removal notice.

12 without a DOI — not checked. A reference deposited without a DOI is never matched by title or guessed at; it stays outside the checked set, and this line discloses that.

The 24 checked references that resolve
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The Rich Domain of Uncertainty: Source Functions and Their Experimental Implementation
resolves10.1016/j.jet.2014.02.005
Subjective multi-prior probability: A representation of a partial likelihood relation
resolves10.2307/1912052
A Generalization of the Quasilinear Mean with Applications to the Measurement of Income Inequality and Decision Theory Resolving the Allais Paradox
resolves10.1007/BF02283525
Axiomatic utility theories with the betweenness property
resolves10.1007/s11166-011-9134-0
Ambiguity aversion and familiarity bias: Evidence from behavioral and gene association studies
resolves10.1016/0022-0531(89)90079-3
A unifying approach to axiomatic non-expected utility theories
resolves10.1006/jeth.1994.1026
Choquet Expected Utility with a Finite State Space: Commutativity and Act-Independence
resolves10.1007/BF00353328
The comonotonic sure-thing principle
resolves10.2307/1911631
A Finitistic Axiomatization of Subjective Probability and Utility
resolves10.1016/0022-0531(86)90076-1
An axiomatic characterization of preferences under uncertainty: Weakening the independence axiom
resolves10.2307/2231790
Domestic Saving and International Capital Flows
resolves10.1016/0022-2496(89)90026-6
Axioms for unique subjective probability on finite sets
resolves10.2307/2946693
Ambiguity Aversion and Comparative Ignorance
resolves10.1016/0304-4068(89)90018-9
Maxmin expected utility with non-unique prior
resolves10.2307/2951701
Subjective Probability Without Monotonicity: or How Machina's Mom May Also be Probabilistically Sophisticated
resolves10.1007/BF00117641
Ordinal independence in nonlinear utility theory
resolves10.1016/S0022-0531(05)80042-0
Savagés theorem with a finite number of states
resolves10.2307/2951565
A More Robust Definition of Subjective Probability
resolves10.1016/0022-0531(90)90022-C
Subjective expected utility with non-additive probabilities on finite state spaces
resolves10.1016/j.jet.2008.05.009
Imprecise probabilistic beliefs as a context for decision-making under ambiguity
resolves10.1016/0167-2681(82)90008-7
A theory of anticipated utility
resolves10.1016/0022-2496(64)90002-1
Measurement structures and linear inequalities
resolves10.1007/BF02283529
Anticipated utility: A measure representation approach
resolves10.1007/BF00122574
Advances in prospect theory: Cumulative representation of uncertainty
The 12 references without a DOI — listed, not checked
no DOI — not checkedref8
no DOI — not checkedref9
no DOI — not checkedref11
no DOI — not checkedForesight: Its Logical Laws, Its Subjective Sources
no DOI — not checkedref14
no DOI — not checkedref16
no DOI — not checkedInvestor Diversification And International Equity Markets
no DOI — not checkedref25
no DOI — not checkedref26
no DOI — not checkedref30
no DOI — not checkedTruth and Probability
no DOI — not checkedref33
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