Reference health

Where Siegel Went Awry: Outdated Sources & Incomplete Data

https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3805927
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10/10 checkable references clean · checked 2026-08-25

Every reference with a DOI in the deposited reference list resolved to a known work in Crossref or DataCite at the dated check, and none carried a retraction, withdrawal, or removal notice.

28 without a DOI — not checked. A reference deposited without a DOI is never matched by title or guessed at; it stays outside the checked set, and this line discloses that.

The 10 checked references that resolve
resolves10.1016/j.jfineco.2018.05.006
Size matters, if you control your junk
resolves10.1515/9781400829477
Triumph of the Optimists
resolves10.1086/294647
Rates of Return on Investments in Common Stocks
resolves10.1086/295803
Stocks, Bonds, Bills, and Inflation: Year-by-Year Historical Returns (1926-1974)
resolves10.1002/9781119205401
Frontiers of Modern Asset Allocation
resolves10.3905/JOI.2009.18.2.006
The Stock Market’s Little Shop of Horrors: <i>And You Thought the Aftermath of 1929 Was Grim</i>
resolves10.1086/644762
The Long and Short of It: Why Are Stocks with Shorter Runs Preferred?
resolves10.1086/296513
Indexes of U.S. Stock Prices from 1802 to 1987
resolves10.2307/j.ctt1287kz5
Irrational Exuberance
resolves10.1016/0304-3932(92)90014-S
The real rate of interest from 1800–1990
The 28 references without a DOI — listed, not checked
no DOI — not checkedBonds: Why Bother
no DOI — not checkedref3
no DOI — not checkedref5
no DOI — not checkedref6
no DOI — not checkedA New Historical Database for the NYSE 1815 to 1925: Performance and Predictability
no DOI — not checkedWall Street's First Corporate Governance Crisis: The Panic of 1826
no DOI — not checkedref10
no DOI — not checkedref11
no DOI — not checkedref12
no DOI — not checkedThe rate of return on everything, 1870-2015
no DOI — not checkedSome Theoretical Problems Suggested by the Movements of Interest Rates, Bond Yields, and Stock Prices in the United since 1856
no DOI — not checkedref17
no DOI — not checkedref19
no DOI — not checkedThe Annual Consumer Price Index for the United States, 1774-2015
no DOI — not checkedThe Share Liquidity and Industrial Growth in an Emerging market: The Case of New England
no DOI — not checkedref23
no DOI — not checkedThe Equity Premium: Stock and Bond Returns Since 1802
no DOI — not checkedref28
no DOI — not checkedref29
no DOI — not checkedref30
no DOI — not checkedref31
no DOI — not checkedref32
no DOI — not checkedWall Street
no DOI — not checkedDoes Stock Market Data Really Go Back 200 Years?
no DOI — not checked1793 to 1857 C, reconstruction of Siegel's bond returns for this period from his published methodology
no DOI — not checked1857 to 1897 D, explains why Macaulay's bond indexes provide a misleading picture, E, explains need to calculate the greenback price of gold in calculating Federal bond returns, L, probes how Siegel's own stock return estimates changed over time; develops history of bond trading in the US after the Civil War
no DOI — not checkedref37
no DOI — not checkedref38
What this badge says. CiteStamped means the CHECKABLE references of this work were clean at the dated check: each resolved to a known work in a public registry, and none carried a retraction notice at that time. It says nothing about the quality, findings, or importance of the work itself, and nothing about references deposited without a DOI.

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