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Estimating the Euro Area Output Gap Using Multivariate Information and Addressing the COVID-19 Pandemic

https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4197579
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19/19 checkable references clean · checked 2026-08-28

Every reference with a DOI in the deposited reference list resolved to a known work in Crossref or DataCite at the dated check, and none carried a retraction, withdrawal, or removal notice.

14 without a DOI — not checked. A reference deposited without a DOI is never matched by title or guessed at; it stays outside the checked set, and this line discloses that.

The 19 checked references that resolve
resolves10.1002/jae.1137
Large Bayesian vector auto regressions
resolves10.1016/0304-3932(81)90040-4
A new approach to decomposition of economic time series into permanent and transitory components with particular attention to measurement of the ‘business cycle’
resolves10.1007/s00181-015-0982-3
The trend–cycle decomposition of output and the Phillips curve: Bayesian estimates for Italy and the Euro area
resolves10.1016/S0264-9993(01)00097-9
Assessment criteria for output gap estimates
resolves10.1002/jae.2315
Bayesian VARs: Specification Choices and Forecast Accuracy
resolves10.1016/0304-3932(94)90002-7
Information, forecasts, and measurement of the business cycle
resolves10.1162/REST_a_00483
Prior Selection for Vector Autoregressions
resolves10.1111/ecoj.12427
Credit Risk in the Euro Area
resolves10.1111/jmcb.12496
An Inflation‐Predicting Measure of the Output Gap in the Euro Area
resolves10.1016/j.jinteco.2010.01.001
Can structural small open-economy models account for the influence of foreign disturbances?
resolves10.1162/rest_a_00691
Intuitive and Reliable Estimates of the Output Gap from a Beveridge-Nelson Filter
resolves10.1002/jae.1270
Forecasting with Medium and Large Bayesian VARS
resolves10.1002/jae.2895
How to estimate a vector autoregression after March 2020
resolves10.1016/j.econmod.2011.03.014
The reliability of real-time estimates of the euro area output gap
resolves10.1002/jae.2733
Estimating and accounting for the output gap with large Bayesian vector autoregressions
resolves10.1016/S0165-1765(01)00581-X
A state–space approach to calculating the Beveridge–Nelson decomposition
resolves10.1162/003465303765299765
Why Are the Beveridge-Nelson and Unobserved-Components Decompositions of GDP So Different?
resolves10.1162/003465302760556422
The Unreliability of Output-Gap Estimates in Real Time
resolves10.1016/S0304-4076(98)00045-1
Block recursion and structural vector autoregressions
The 14 references without a DOI — listed, not checked
no DOI — not checkedref2
no DOI — not checkedref3
no DOI — not checkedNowcasting the output gap
no DOI — not checkedA unified approach for jointly estimating the business and financial cycle, and the role of financial factors
no DOI — not checkedThe COVID-19 shock and challenges for time series models
no DOI — not checkedNowcasting Tail Risk to Economic Activity at a Weekly Frequency
no DOI — not checkedref11
no DOI — not checkedref14
no DOI — not checkedAn output gap measure for the euro area: Exploiting country-level and cross-sectional data heterogeneity
no DOI — not checkedref18
no DOI — not checkedGlobal factors and trend inflation
no DOI — not checkedTrend-cycle decomposition in the time of Covid
no DOI — not checkedA multivariate unobserved components model to estimate potential output in the euro area: a production function based approach
no DOI — not checkedref33
What this badge says. CiteStamped means the CHECKABLE references of this work were clean at the dated check: each resolved to a known work in a public registry, and none carried a retraction notice at that time. It says nothing about the quality, findings, or importance of the work itself, and nothing about references deposited without a DOI.

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