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Climate Change Attribution: When Is It Appropriate to Accept New Methods?

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What this work says

Outgoing claims: the papers this work cites, builds on, or argues with.

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A risk‐based approach to flood management decisions in a nonstationary world
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Anthropogenic contributions to Australia's record summer temperatures of 2013
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Consistency of modelled and observed temperature trends in the tropical troposphere
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2455openalex-snapshot
weather@home—development and validation of a very large ensemble modelling system for probabilistic event attribution
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Use of models in detection and attribution of climate change
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Nullifying the climate null hypothesis
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Attribution of climate variations and trends to human influences and natural variability
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In defense of the traditional null hypothesis: remarks on the Trenberth and Curry WIREs opinion articles
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Attribution of extreme weather and climate‐related events
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Fisher, Neyman, and the Creation of Classical Statistics
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Attribution of Weather and Climate-Related Events
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-012-0441-5openalex-snapshot
Framing the way to relate climate extremes to climate change
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-014-1095-2openalex-snapshot
Attribution analysis of high precipitation events in summer in England and Wales over the last decade
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-015-1432-0openalex-snapshot
Attribution of extreme weather events in Africa: a preliminary exploration of the science and policy implications
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-016-1595-3openalex-snapshot
DADA: data assimilation for the detection and attribution of weather and climate-related events
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-017-1906-3openalex-snapshot
Investigating differences between event-as-class and probability density-based attribution statements with emerging climate change
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-017-2048-3openalex-snapshot
Assessing climate change impacts on extreme weather events: the case for an alternative (Bayesian) approach
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-017-2049-2openalex-snapshot
Is the choice of statistical paradigm critical in extreme event attribution studies?
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In Defence of Bad Science and Irrational Policies: an Alternative Account of the Precautionary Principle
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Scepticism and doubt in science and science education: the complexity of global warming as a socio-scientific issue
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Adaptationism and the Logic of Research Questions: How to Think Clearly About Evolutionary Causes
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s40641-016-0033-yopenalex-snapshot
A Common Framework for Approaches to Extreme Event Attribution
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Climate change prediction: Erring on the side of least drama?
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Diagnosing conditional anthropogenic contributions to heavy Colorado rainfall in September 2013
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/s0262-4079(11)62755-3openalex-snapshot
The climate blame game
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Climate Change 2013 – The Physical Science Basis
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Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1023/a:1013825216101openalex-snapshot
Ethical and Value-based Aspects of the European Commission's Precautionary Principle
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/2007gl031981openalex-snapshot
Inconsistency between atmospheric dynamics and temperatures during the exceptional 2006/2007 fall/winter and recent warming in Europe
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/2010gl044613openalex-snapshot
Winter 2010 in Europe: A cold extreme in a warming climate
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/506150aopenalex-snapshot
Scientific method: Statistical errors
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/nature.2015.17828openalex-snapshot
Severe weather linked more strongly to global warming
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/nature03089openalex-snapshot
Human contribution to the European heatwave of 2003
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/nature09762openalex-snapshot
Anthropogenic greenhouse gas contribution to flood risk in England and Wales in autumn 2000
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2617openalex-snapshot
Anthropogenic contribution to global occurrence of heavy-precipitation and high-temperature extremes
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2657openalex-snapshot
Attribution of climate extreme events
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2927openalex-snapshot
Human influence on climate in the 2014 southern England winter floods and their impacts
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate3089openalex-snapshot
The attribution question
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate3110openalex-snapshot
Observed heavy precipitation increase confirms theory and early models
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo2253openalex-snapshot
Atmospheric circulation as a source of uncertainty in climate change projections
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo2483openalex-snapshot
Crucial role of Black Sea warming in amplifying the 2012 Krymsk precipitation extreme
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo2484openalex-snapshot
Attribution of extreme weather
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo337openalex-snapshot
The equilibrium sensitivity of the Earth's temperature to radiation changes
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1080/13501780801913413openalex-snapshot
Signifying nothing: reply to Hoover and Siegler
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/11/11/114009openalex-snapshot
Attribution of human-induced dynamical and thermodynamical contributions in extreme weather events
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/11/12/124009openalex-snapshot
Multi-method attribution analysis of extreme precipitation in Boulder, Colorado
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/2/2/024002openalex-snapshot
Scientific reticence and sea level rise
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1098/rspa.2016.0295openalex-snapshot
On the use of Bayesian decision theory for issuing natural hazard warnings
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aaf7271openalex-snapshot
How climate change affects extreme weather events
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.327.7417.741openalex-snapshot
Simple tools for understanding risks: from innumeracy to insight
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/bams-d-13-00115.1openalex-snapshot
Awareness of Both Type 1 and 2 Errors in Climate Science and Assessment
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/bams-d-14-00034.1openalex-snapshot
Causal Counterfactual Theory for the Attribution of Weather and Climate-Related Events
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-12-00270.1openalex-snapshot
Anatomy of an Extreme Event
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1177/0096340214563675openalex-snapshot
Science and policy: Crossing the boundary
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1256/004316502320517344openalex-snapshot
Climate change 2001: The scientific basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1515/9781400821617openalex-snapshot
Trust in Numbers
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.17226/21852openalex-snapshot
Attribution of Extreme Weather Events in the Context of Climate Change
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2172/6137387openalex-snapshot
Communication of emergency public warnings: A social science perspective and state-of-the-art assessment
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/2289806openalex-snapshot
The Empire of Chance: How Probability Changed Science and Everyday Life.
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.5860/choice.46-0372openalex-snapshot
The cult of statistical significance: how the standard error costs us jobs, justice, and lives
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.7551/mitpress/1789.003.0010openalex-snapshot
Self-Governance and Peer Review in Science-for-Policy: The Case of the IPCC Second Assessment Report

What points at this work

Incoming claims: where this work appears in other papers’ reference lists and arguments.

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Attribution of impacts associated with tropical cyclones to climate change
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How Do We Know the Earth Is Warming? The Epistemology of the Climate Present
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Ocean science, data, and services for the UN 2030 Sustainable Development Goals
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Human-caused ocean warming has intensified recent hurricanes
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Granger causal inference for climate change attribution
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Small is beautiful: climate-change science as if people mattered
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Attribution of Extreme Events to Climate Change
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Losses and damages from climate change: A critical moment for action
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Preface
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Policy, governance and institutions for reducing and managing losses and damages
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Executive summary
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Finance and financial risks in the face of growing losses and damages
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Climate change impacts and their cascading effects: implications for losses and damages
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Foreword
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Climate Change, Uncertainty and Policy
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Temporal and Spatial Characteristics of Multidimensional Extreme Precipitation Indicators: A Case Study in the Loess Plateau, China
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A protocol for probabilistic extreme event attribution analyses
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A methodology for attributing the role of climate change in extreme events: a global spectrally nudged storyline
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inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5194/tc-20-2871-2026openalex-snapshot
Estimating the thermodynamic contribution of post-industrial warming to recent Greenland ice sheet surface mass loss
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-3-1311-2022openalex-snapshot
A climate-change attribution retrospective of some impactful weather extremes of 2021
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.70675/255c96f9zfca1z4bd1zbaa2z132f3cba2b1fopenalex-snapshot
Assess regional climate change impacts and inform adaptation strategies : the case of wildfire risk in Southwestern France
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.70675/8c31f29fz8385z4778z85f1z33cc43c9b653openalex-snapshot
Impact of climate change on severe storms in Europe : attribution and projection
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.70675/b2314ba0zf509z4e85z8d1az890968b11e98openalex-snapshot
Statistical and epistemological approaches of extreme event attribution
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