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Weighting and aggregating expert ecological judgments
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What this work says
Outgoing claims: the papers this work cites, builds on, or argues with.
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1002/(sici)1099-0771(199703)10:1<21::aid-bdm243>3.0.co;2-gopenalex-snapshot
Precision and accuracy of judgmental estimation
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1002/qre.2596openalex-snapshot
Improving expert forecasts in reliability: Application and evidence for structured elicitation protocols
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-65052-4_2openalex-snapshot
Elicitation in the Classical Model
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-65052-4_3openalex-snapshot
Validation in the Classical Model
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-016-1672-7openalex-snapshot
A commentary on “how to interpret expert judgment assessments of twenty-first century sea-level rise” by Hylke de Vries and Roderik SW van de Wal
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/0030-5073(77)90001-0openalex-snapshot
Do those who know more also know more about how much they know?
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/0030-5073(78)90037-5openalex-snapshot
A note on aggregating opinions
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aquaculture.2019.04.028openalex-snapshot
Eliciting expert judgements to estimate risk and protective factors for Piscirickettsiosis in Chilean salmon farming
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.biocon.2013.03.005openalex-snapshot
Ranking biodiversity risk factors using expert groups – Treating linguistic uncertainty and documenting epistemic uncertainty
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.biocon.2015.01.025openalex-snapshot
Fear of failure in conservation: The problem and potential solutions to aid conservation of extremely small populations
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2013.09.009openalex-snapshot
Combining multiple probability predictions using a simple logit model
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2016.02.008openalex-snapshot
I nvestigate D iscuss E stimate A ggregate for structured expert judgement
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2007.03.005openalex-snapshot
TU Delft expert judgment data base
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2007.03.014openalex-snapshot
A study of expert overconfidence
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2008.02.003openalex-snapshot
Comment on Cooke's classical method
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2011.05.012openalex-snapshot
Comparison of a new expert elicitation model with the Classical Model, equal weights and single experts, using a cross-validation technique
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2017.02.003openalex-snapshot
Cross validation for the classical model of structured expert judgment
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.softx.2018.07.001openalex-snapshot
ANDURIL — A MATLAB toolbox for ANalysis and Decisions with UnceRtaInty: Learning from expert judgments
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ssci.2007.03.002openalex-snapshot
Fifteen years of expert judgement at TUDelft
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/s0377-2217(01)00113-8openalex-snapshot
Performance-based assessment of expertise: How to decide if someone is an expert or not
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/s0951-8320(01)00069-2openalex-snapshot
Building prior distributions to support Bayesian reliability growth modelling using expert judgement
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1017/cbo9781139047562.005openalex-snapshot
Quantifying scientific uncertainty from expert judgement elicitation
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1034/j.1600-0706.2003.12349.xopenalex-snapshot
Laws of nature and laws of ecology
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1037//0033-2909.84.1.158openalex-snapshot
Quality of group judgment.
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1037/0096-3445.115.4.348openalex-snapshot
Measuring the vague meanings of probability terms.
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/nmeth.2813openalex-snapshot
Visualizing samples with box plots
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1008636108openalex-snapshot
How social influence can undermine the wisdom of crowd effect
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1080/00218839.2018.1494891openalex-snapshot
Assessment of the response of pollinator abundance to environmental pressures using structured expert elicitation
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780195064650.001.0001openalex-snapshot
Experts In Uncertainty
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/oxfordjournals.rpd.a033152openalex-snapshot
Procedures Guide for Structural Expert Judgement in Accident Consequence Modelling
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2664.13268openalex-snapshot
Priority Threat Management for biodiversity conservation: A handbook
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/2041-210x.12857openalex-snapshot
A practical guide to structured expert elicitation using the IDEA protocol
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/cobi.12369openalex-snapshot
Use of structured expert judgment to forecast invasions by bighead and silver carp in Lake Erie
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/cobi.12544openalex-snapshot
Setting conservation management thresholds using a novel participatory modeling approach
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/ddi.12400openalex-snapshot
Use of expert knowledge to elicit population trends for the koala (Phascolarctos cinereus)
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1461-0248.2005.00826.xopenalex-snapshot
Zero tolerance ecology: improving ecological inference by modelling the source of zero observations
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1461-0248.2010.01477.xopenalex-snapshot
A guide to eliciting and using expert knowledge in Bayesian ecological models
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1472-4642.2012.00884.xopenalex-snapshot
Evaluating the accuracy and calibration of expert predictions under uncertainty: predicting the outcomes of ecological research
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1523-1739.2011.01806.xopenalex-snapshot
Eliciting Expert Knowledge in Conservation Science
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1539-6924.1999.tb00399.xopenalex-snapshot
Combining Probability Distributions From Experts in Risk Analysis
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1539-6924.2008.01068.xopenalex-snapshot
Explosion Probability of Unexploded Ordnance: Expert Beliefs
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1539-6924.2009.01337.xopenalex-snapshot
Reducing Overconfidence in the Interval Judgments of Experts
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1755-263x.2011.00165.xopenalex-snapshot
Redefining expertise and improving ecological judgment
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.2041-210x.2012.00221.xopenalex-snapshot
Structured elicitation of expert judgments for threatened species assessment: a case study on a continental scale using email
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/risa.12638openalex-snapshot
A Practical Approach to Address Uncertainty in Stakeholder Deliberations
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1139/x03-237openalex-snapshot
Productivity of Ontario initial-attack fire crews: results of an expert-judgement elicitation study
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0450(1968)007<0751:pa>2.0.co;2openalex-snapshot
“Good” Probability Assessors
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0493(1950)078<0001:vofeit>2.0.co;2openalex-snapshot
VERIFICATION OF FORECASTS EXPRESSED IN TERMS OF PROBABILITY
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1177/1745691615577794openalex-snapshot
Identifying and Cultivating Superforecasters as a Method of Improving Probabilistic Predictions
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1198/016214506000001437openalex-snapshot
Strictly Proper Scoring Rules, Prediction, and Estimation
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.1040.0205openalex-snapshot
Probability Judgments for Continuous Quantities: Linear Combinations and Calibration
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.1050.0459openalex-snapshot
Intuitions About Combining Opinions: Misappreciation of the Averaging Principle
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.1120.1667openalex-snapshot
Is It Better to Average Probabilities or Quantiles?
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2014.1909openalex-snapshot
Identifying Expertise to Extract the Wisdom of Crowds
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0022998openalex-snapshot
Expert Status and Performance
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0198468openalex-snapshot
Eliciting improved quantitative judgements using the IDEA protocol: A case study in natural resource management
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.17605/osf.io/fxqvkopenalex-snapshot
Code: Weighting and Aggregating Expert Ecological Judgements
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1890/07-1886.1openalex-snapshot
Elicitation by design in ecology: using expert opinion to inform priors for Bayesian statistical models
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1890/090002openalex-snapshot
Future declines of the binational Laurentian Great Lakes fisheries: the importance of environmental and cultural change
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1890/es12-00415.1openalex-snapshot
Toward rigorous use of expert knowledge in ecological research
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3389/fvets.2017.00141openalex-snapshot
Assessing the Risk of a Canine Rabies Incursion in Northern Australia
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.5860/choice.196400openalex-snapshot
Superforecasting: the art and science of prediction
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.5860/choice.29-5666openalex-snapshot
Experts in uncertainty: opinion and subjective probability in science
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.5860/choice.42-1645openalex-snapshot
The wisdom of crowds: why the many are smarter than the few and how collective wisdom shapes business, economies, societies and nations
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.5860/choice.43-3634openalex-snapshot
Expert political judgment: how good is it? how can we know?
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.7882/fs.2004.054openalex-snapshot
Expert frailties in conservation risk assessment and listing decisions
What points at this work
Incoming claims: where this work appears in other papers’ reference lists and arguments.
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The Association with Habitat Quality and Land Use Change In Typical Sandstone Area Based on a Modified Remote Sensing Ecological Index
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Assessment of the Vulnerability to Pesticide Exposures Across Bee Species
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1002/ps.70566openalex-snapshot
Using expert elicitation to predict feral cat, Felis catus , responses to management
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-30085-1_7openalex-snapshot
Performance-Weighted Aggregation: Ferreting Out Wisdom Within the Crowd
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s10669-020-09794-9openalex-snapshot
Forecast of environment systems using expert judgements: performance comparison between the possibilistic and the classical model
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.biocon.2022.109561openalex-snapshot
Australia's most imperilled vertebrates
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How expert are ‘experts’? Comparing expert predictions and empirical data on the use of farmland restoration sites by birds
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.biocon.2025.110991openalex-snapshot
Quantifying taxon-specific habitat connectivity requirements of urban wildlife using structured expert judgement
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Unpacking energy vulnerability in the European Union: Linking thermal discomfort with adaptive capacity
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.jcom.2021.100149openalex-snapshot
Strategic marketing initiatives for small co-operative enterprises generated from SWOT-TOWS analysis and evaluated with PROMETHEE-GAIA
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2022.114453openalex-snapshot
Evaluating the effect of expert elicitation techniques on population status assessment in the face of large uncertainty
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.157172openalex-snapshot
The benefits of circular economy strategies in urban water facilities
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LIES of omission: complex observation processes in ecology
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Quantifying Earth system interactions for sustainable food production via expert elicitation
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Red hot frogs: identifying the Australian frogs most at risk of extinction
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1071/wr23107openalex-snapshot
Current and emerging feral cat management practices in Australia
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Environmental disclosure in the Southeast Asia region: the role of environmental performance and earnings management
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/ntr/ntab121openalex-snapshot
An Expert Elicitation on the Effects of a Ban on Menthol Cigarettes and Cigars in the United States
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1108/978-1-83797-362-020241006openalex-snapshot
Frugal Innovation as Intersection between Complexity of Early Cost Estimation, Machine Learning and Expert-Based Decision System
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/2041-210x.14017openalex-snapshot
IDEAcology: An interface to streamline and facilitate efficient, rigorous expert elicitation in ecology
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/cobi.13694openalex-snapshot
Using expert knowledge to support Endangered Species Act decision‐making for data‐deficient species
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/cobi.14113openalex-snapshot
Comparing wildlife habitat suitability models based on expert opinion with camera trap detections
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/cobi.14151openalex-snapshot
The importance of expert selection when identifying threatened ecosystems
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/cobi.14372openalex-snapshot
Eliciting diverse perspectives to prioritize community actions for biodiversity conservation
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/csp2.13038openalex-snapshot
Linking species distribution models with structured expert elicitation for predicting management effectiveness
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/risa.13718openalex-snapshot
Uncertainty Quantification with Experts: Present Status and Research Needs
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/risa.13725openalex-snapshot
What is a Good Calibration Question?
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Co‐designing and building an expert‐elicited non‐parametric Bayesian network model: demonstrating a methodology using a Bonamia Ostreae spread risk case study
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.11647/obp.0321.02openalex-snapshot
2. Gathering and Assessing Pieces of Evidence
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3. Assessing Collated and Synthesised Evidence
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4. Presenting Conclusions from Assessed Evidence
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5. Improving the Reliability of Judgements
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.11647/obp.0321.06openalex-snapshot
6. Identifying Stakeholders and Collaborating with Communities
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.11647/obp.0321.07openalex-snapshot
7. Framing the Problem and Identifying Potential Solutions
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8 Making Decisions for Policy and Practice
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9. Creating Evidence-Based Policy and Practice
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10. How Conservation Practice Can Generate Evidence
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11. Creating a Culture of Evidence Use
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13. Supplementary Material from Online Resources
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Reimagining peer review as an expert elicitation process
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Using Decision Analysis to Determine the Feasibility of a Conservation Translocation
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Predicting reliability through structured expert elicitation with the repliCATS (Collaborative Assessments for Trustworthy Science) process
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Predicting reliability through structured expert elicitation with repliCATS (Collaborative Assessments for Trustworthy Science)
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Are Experts Well-Calibrated? An Equivalence-Based Hypothesis Test
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Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis for Renewable Energies: Research Trends, Gaps and the Challenge of Improving Participation
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Mental Models for Assessing Impacts of Stormwater on Urban Social–Ecological Systems
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