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Forecasting cyclical turning points with an index of leading indicators: A probabilistic approach

https://doi.org/10.1002/for.3980120304
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What this work says

Outgoing claims: the papers this work cites, builds on, or argues with.

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4020-5614-7_2263openalex-snapshot
Multivariate Statistical Methods
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/0164-0704(79)90027-2openalex-snapshot
Usefulness of the newly revised composite index of leading indicators as a quantitative predictor
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/0164-0704(86)90027-3openalex-snapshot
The theory and practice of econometrics
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/0165-1889(82)90014-8openalex-snapshot
Optimal prediction of cyclical downturns
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/0169-2070(94)90015-9openalex-snapshot
Leading economic indicators: New approaches and forecasting record
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-3932(81)90040-4openalex-snapshot
A new approach to decomposition of economic time series into permanent and transitory components with particular attention to measurement of the ‘business cycle’
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/s0164-0704(85)80004-5openalex-snapshot
A quantitative look at the system of economic indicators
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1017/cbo9780511810176openalex-snapshot
Limited-dependent and qualitative variables in econometrics
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1017/cbo9781139173735openalex-snapshot
Leading Economic Indicators
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1017/cbo9781139173735.012openalex-snapshot
Forecasting peaks and troughs in the business cycle: On the choice and use of appropriate leading indicator series
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1017/chol9780521077910openalex-snapshot
The Cambridge Ancient History
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1080/01621459.1955.10501254openalex-snapshot
Maximum Likelihood and Minimumx2Estimates of the Logistic Function
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1080/01621459.1973.10482422openalex-snapshot
Forecasting with an Index of Leading Series
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1086/257899openalex-snapshot
Forecasting Industrial Production
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1086/258200openalex-snapshot
Forecasting Industrial Production--Leading Series versus Autoregression
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1086/261226openalex-snapshot
Are Economic Time Series Asymmetric over the Business Cycle?
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1086/261423openalex-snapshot
Further Evidence on the Asymmetric Behavior of Economic Time Series over the Business Cycle
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1086/296032openalex-snapshot
Predicting the Turning Points of a Time Series
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1086/296154openalex-snapshot
Sequential Signals of Recession and Recovery
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1086/296393openalex-snapshot
Predicting the Turning Points of Business and Economic Time Series
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1086/296467openalex-snapshot
Scoring the Leading Indicators
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/1269484openalex-snapshot
Numerical Recipes: The Art of Scientific Computing
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/1391399openalex-snapshot
An Introduction to Multivariate Statistical Analysis
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/1909796openalex-snapshot
Joint Estimation of Relationships Involving Discrete Random Variables
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/1911206openalex-snapshot
Joint Estimation of Relationships Involving Discrete Random Variables
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/1912017openalex-snapshot
Macroeconomics and Reality
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/1912559openalex-snapshot
A New Approach to the Economic Analysis of Nonstationary Time Series and the Business Cycle
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/1923943openalex-snapshot
The Index of Leading Indicators: "Measurement without Theory," Thirty-Five Years Later
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/2281102openalex-snapshot
Maximum Likelihood and Minimum | chi 2 Estimates of the Logistic Function
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/2534095openalex-snapshot
On the Use of Leading Indicators to Predict Cyclical Turning Points
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/2552392openalex-snapshot
Forecasting and Recognizing Business Cycle Turning Points.
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/2553707openalex-snapshot
The Theory and Practice of Econometrics.
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/2981950openalex-snapshot
An Introduction to Multivariate Statistical Analysis.
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/2982527openalex-snapshot
Multivariate Statistical Methods.
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3386/w0761openalex-snapshot
The Index of Leading Indicators: "Measurement without Theory," Twenty-Five Years Later
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.4337/9781035362707.00034openalex-snapshot
Qualitative Response Models: A Survey
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.7208/chicago/9780226304595.001.0001openalex-snapshot
The American Business Cycle

What points at this work

Incoming claims: where this work appears in other papers’ reference lists and arguments.

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1996996openalex-extracted
Discerning ‘Turning Points’ with Cyclical Indicators: A Few Lessons from ‘Real Time’ Monitoring the 2008–2009 Recession
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1002/for.3980120302openalex-snapshot
Business cycle forecasting
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-35754-2_2openalex-snapshot
What Do We Know About the South African Business Cycle?
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/s1004-4132(07)60124-8openalex-snapshot
Interactive early warning technique based on SVDD
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1080/1023697x.1998.10667783openalex-snapshot
Daily prediction of Major Stock Indices from Textual WWW Data
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1080/10800379.2001.12106319openalex-snapshot
Forecasting Cyclical Turning Points by Means of a Probabilistic Approach: Some South African Evidence
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1109/icsmc.1998.725072openalex-snapshot
Daily stock market forecast from textual web data
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.14711/thesis-b627670openalex-snapshot
Knowledge discovery from distributed and textual data
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