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Attribution of observed historical near‒surface temperature variations to anthropogenic and natural causes using CMIP5 simulations
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What this work says
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Incoming claims: where this work appears in other papers’ reference lists and arguments.
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inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.palaeo.2015.03.003openalex-snapshot
Tree ring density-based warm-season temperature reconstruction since A.D. 1610 in the eastern Tibetan Plateau
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.quaint.2014.04.054openalex-snapshot
Comment on “Quantitatively evaluating the effects of CO2 emission on temperature rise”
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2017.02.020openalex-snapshot
Last millennium Northern Hemisphere summer temperatures from tree rings: Part II, spatially resolved reconstructions
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2019.105914openalex-snapshot
Late-glacial and Holocene glacier fluctuations in North Island, New Zealand
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.shpsa.2016.01.004openalex-snapshot
Computer models and the evidence of anthropogenic climate change: An epistemology of variety-of-evidence inferences and robustness analysis
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2016.10.003openalex-snapshot
Attribution analyses of temperature extremes using a set of 16 indices
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2018.03.003openalex-snapshot
Upgrade of the HadGEM3-A based attribution system to high resolution and a new validation framework for probabilistic event attribution
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1017/9781009157896.003openalex-snapshot
Framing, Context, and Methods
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1017/cbo9781316018682openalex-snapshot
Climate System Dynamics and Modelling
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1017/cbo9781316018682.002openalex-snapshot
Description of the Climate System and Its Components
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1017/cbo9781316018682.003openalex-snapshot
Energy Balance, Hydrological and Carbon Cycles
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1017/cbo9781316018682.004openalex-snapshot
Modelling the Climate System
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1017/cbo9781316018682.005openalex-snapshot
Response of the Climate System to a Perturbation
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1017/cbo9781316018682.006openalex-snapshot
Brief History of Climate: Causes and Mechanisms
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1017/cbo9781316018682.010openalex-snapshot
Cited References and Further Reading
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1017/cbo9781316018682.011openalex-snapshot
Solutions of the Review Exercises
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1021/es501998eopenalex-snapshot
Scientists’ Views about Attribution of Global Warming
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1029/2018gl078887openalex-snapshot
Accounting for Changing Temperature Patterns Increases Historical Estimates of Climate Sensitivity
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1029/2018gl081589openalex-snapshot
Northern Hemisphere Monsoon Response to Mid‐Holocene Orbital Forcing and Greenhouse Gas‐Induced Global Warming
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1029/2018jc014036openalex-snapshot
Projected Freshening of the Arctic Ocean in the 21st Century
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1029/2018ms001530openalex-snapshot
The Local Aerosol Emission Effect on Surface Shortwave Radiation and Temperatures
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1029/2019av000132openalex-snapshot
Sea‐Ice Induced Southern Ocean Subsurface Warming and Surface Cooling in a Warming Climate
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1029/2019gl085806openalex-snapshot
Sensitivity of Historical Climate Simulations to Uncertain Aerosol Forcing
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1029/2019gl086875openalex-snapshot
Determining the Anthropogenic Greenhouse Gas Contribution to the Observed Intensification of Extreme Precipitation
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1029/2019jd032321openalex-snapshot
Quantifying Progress Across Different CMIP Phases With the ESMValTool
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1029/2019ms001995openalex-snapshot
Historical Simulations With HadGEM3‐GC3.1 for CMIP6
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1029/2020gl089991openalex-snapshot
Historical Changes in Surface Soil Moisture Over the Contiguous United States: An Assessment of CMIP6
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1029/2020jd032911openalex-snapshot
On the Emergence of Human Influence on Surface Air Temperature Changes Over India
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1029/2021gl095500openalex-snapshot
Improving the Estimation of Human Climate Influence by Selecting Appropriate Forcing Simulations
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1029/2021gl097155openalex-snapshot
Detection and Attribution of Human Influence on the Global Diurnal Temperature Range Decline
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1029/2022gl099658openalex-snapshot
Amplification of the Temperature Seasonality in the Mediterranean Region Under Anthropogenic Climate Change
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1029/2022gl099987openalex-snapshot
Effects of Anthropogenic Forcings on Multidecadal Variability of the Sea Level Around the Japanese Coast Simulated by MRI‐ESM2.0 for CMIP6
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1029/2022jc018725openalex-snapshot
Ocean Heat Content Responses to Changing Anthropogenic Aerosol Forcing Strength: Regional and Multi‐Decadal Variability
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1029/2023ea003266openalex-snapshot
Attributing Extreme Precipitation Characteristics in South China Pearl River Delta Region to Anthropogenic Influences Based on Pseudo Global Warming
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1029/2023gl105427openalex-snapshot
Observational Constraint on the Contributions of Greenhouse Gas Emission and Anthropogenic Aerosol Removal to Tibetan Plateau Future Warming
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1029/2023gl106283openalex-snapshot
Detection and Attribution of Human‐Perceived Warming Over China
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1029/2023ms004135openalex-snapshot
The HadGEM3‐GC3.1 Contribution to the CMIP6 Detection and Attribution Model Intercomparison Project
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1029/2024ef004546openalex-snapshot
Observations Over a Century Underscore an Increasing Likelihood of Compound Dry‐Hot Events in China
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1029/2024gl112717openalex-snapshot
Climate‐Dependency of Impact of Increased Carbon Dioxide on African Monsoon Rainfall: Insights From Model Simulations
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1029/2024pa004991openalex-snapshot
Statistical Fingerprints of Forced and Unforced Variability Reveal Inconsistencies Between Marine Proxies and Climate Models on Multi‐Decadal to Millennial Timescales
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1029/2025jd045776openalex-snapshot
Rossby Wave Breaking Driving Desert Extreme Precipitation in the UAE During April 2024
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2468openalex-snapshot
Dramatically increasing chance of extremely hot summers since the 2003 European heatwave
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2524openalex-snapshot
Attribution of Arctic temperature change to greenhouse-gas and aerosol influences
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2896openalex-snapshot
Assessing the observed impact of anthropogenic climate change
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2956openalex-snapshot
Contribution of urbanization to warming in China
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate3066openalex-snapshot
Reconciled climate response estimates from climate models and the energy budget of Earth
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate3259openalex-snapshot
Early benefits of mitigation in risk of regional climate extremes
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate3381openalex-snapshot
Change in the magnitude and mechanisms of global temperature variability with warming
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo2792openalex-snapshot
Intensification of landfalling typhoons over the northwest Pacific since the late 1970s
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-20635-wopenalex-snapshot
More accurate quantification of model-to-model agreement in externally forced climatic responses over the coming century
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-22838-1openalex-snapshot
Economic damages from Hurricane Sandy attributable to sea level rise caused by anthropogenic climate change
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-40641-yopenalex-snapshot
Soil moisture–atmosphere coupling accelerates global warming
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-53921-yopenalex-snapshot
Unveiling the Indian Ocean forcing on winter eastern warming – western cooling pattern over North America
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-66811-8openalex-snapshot
Quasi-invariance of tropical meridional surface temperature gradient in a wide range of climates
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-020-00965-9openalex-snapshot
Constraining human contributions to observed warming since the pre-industrial period
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-020-00985-5openalex-snapshot
Day-to-day temperature variability reduces economic growth
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-017-14828-5openalex-snapshot
A real-time Global Warming Index
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-018-27185-8openalex-snapshot
Human influence on sub-regional surface air temperature change over India
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-16110-9openalex-snapshot
Anthropogenic influence of temperature changes across East Asia using CMIP6 simulations
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-020-0111-7openalex-snapshot
Linking midlatitudes eddy heat flux trends and polar amplification
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-021-00204-8openalex-snapshot
Quantifying the role of ocean coupling in Arctic amplification and sea-ice loss over the 21st century
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-024-00626-0openalex-snapshot
Acceleration of daily land temperature extremes and correlations with surface energy fluxes
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-024-00640-2openalex-snapshot
Human influence on the recent weakening of storm tracks in boreal summer
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-025-01142-5openalex-snapshot
Relative contribution of anthropogenic warming to the unprecedented heatwave in South America in 2023
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-021-00102-0openalex-snapshot
Anthropogenic influence in observed regional warming trends and the implied social time of emergence
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-022-00379-9openalex-snapshot
Nature-based solutions in mountain catchments reduce impact of anthropogenic climate change on drought streamflow
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-025-02372-4openalex-snapshot
Fingerprint of anthropogenic climate change detected in long-term western North American fire weather trends
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s43856-025-01355-yopenalex-snapshot
Ambient temperature and the variability between neighbouring days impacts in-patient hospitalizations in the United Kingdom
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/srep18903openalex-snapshot
Predicting future uncertainty constraints on global warming projections
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/srep21691openalex-snapshot
On the causal structure between CO2 and global temperature
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/srep25721openalex-snapshot
Coldest Temperature Extreme Monotonically Increased and Hottest Extreme Oscillated over Northern Hemisphere Land during Last 114 Years
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/srep31789openalex-snapshot
Spatiotemporal Divergence of the Warming Hiatus over Land Based on Different Definitions of Mean Temperature
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1071/es14009openalex-snapshot
Assessment of forced responses of the Australian Community Climate and Earth System Simulator (ACCESS) 1.3 in CMIP5 historical detection and attribution experiments.
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1071/es14019openalex-snapshot
Quantitative estimates of anthropogenic contributions to extreme national and State monthly, seasonal and annual average temperatures for Australia
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1615880114openalex-snapshot
Early 20th-century Arctic warming intensified by Pacific and Atlantic multidecadal variability
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1080/00963402.2020.1751969openalex-snapshot
How we know the Earth is warming and humans are responsible
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1080/02626667.2015.1057143openalex-snapshot
Possible climate change/variability and human impacts, vulnerability of drought-prone regions, water resources and capacity building for Africa
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1080/07055900.2015.1087836openalex-snapshot
Climate Comparisons and Change Projections for the Northwest Atlantic from Six CMIP5 Models
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1088/1674-4527/21/6/131openalex-snapshot
How much has the Sun influenced Northern Hemisphere temperature trends? An ongoing debate
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/11/4/044011openalex-snapshot
Historically hottest summers projected to be the norm for more than half of the world’s population within 20 years
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/8/1/014024openalex-snapshot
The upper end of climate model temperature projections is inconsistent with past warming
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/8/3/034008openalex-snapshot
The role of reduced aerosol precursor emissions in driving near-term warming
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab4557openalex-snapshot
Causes of climate change over the historical record
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab8497openalex-snapshot
Human influence on frequency of temperature extremes
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abede8openalex-snapshot
Anthropogenic warming of Tibetan Plateau and constrained future projection
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac14eeopenalex-snapshot
Uncertainty in optimal fingerprinting is underestimated
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac1fbdopenalex-snapshot
African continental free trade area (AfCFTA): projected economic impact assessment under future warming in CMIP6
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac43e0openalex-snapshot
Anthropogenically forced increases in compound dry and hot events at the global and continental scales
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac8ec2openalex-snapshot
Attributing observed permafrost warming in the northern hemisphere to anthropogenic climate change
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aca2c3openalex-snapshot
Varying contributions of greenhouse gases, aerosols and natural forcings to Arctic land surface air temperature changes
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1088/1755-1315/231/1/012039openalex-snapshot
Time lag between changes in global temperature and atmospheric CO2 content under anthropogenic emissions of CO2 and CH4 into the atmosphere
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1088/2752-5295/aceea2openalex-snapshot
Stronger Arctic amplification produced by decreasing, not increasing, CO2 concentrations
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780199498734.003.0003openalex-snapshot
Changing Climate and Weather
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2014.0426openalex-snapshot
What does global mean temperature tell us about local climate?
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.13106openalex-snapshot
Global impacts of the 1980s regime shift
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/nyas.14691openalex-snapshot
Disentangling the trend in the warming of urban areas into global and local factors
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.abh4429openalex-snapshot
Robust detection of forced warming in the presence of potentially large climate variability
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1134/s0001433819030046openalex-snapshot
Phase Shift between Changes in Global Temperature and Atmospheric CO2 Content under External Emissions of Greenhouse Gases into the Atmosphere
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1142/s0217979214820037openalex-snapshot
Comment on "Cosmic-ray-driven reaction and greenhouse effect of halogenated molecules: Culprits for atmospheric ozone depletion and global climate change"
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1162/99608f92.edcee38fopenalex-snapshot
Combining Statistical, Physical, and Historical Evidence to Improve Historical Sea-Surface Temperature Records
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-13-00396.1openalex-snapshot
The Indian Ocean Sea Surface Temperature Warming Simulated by CMIP5 Models during the Twentieth Century: Competing Forcing Roles of GHGs and Anthropogenic Aerosols
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-13-00563.1openalex-snapshot
Change in the Odds of Warm Years and Seasons Due to Anthropogenic Influence on the Climate
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-14-00253.1openalex-snapshot
Attributing Observed SST Trends and Subcontinental Land Warming to Anthropogenic Forcing during 1979–2005
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-14-00661.1openalex-snapshot
The Response of the Indian Ocean Dipole Asymmetry to Anthropogenic Aerosols and Greenhouse Gases
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-14-00712.1openalex-snapshot
Why Does Aerosol Forcing Control Historical Global-Mean Surface Temperature Change in CMIP5 Models?
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-15-0667.1openalex-snapshot
What Surface Observations Are Important for Separating the Influences of Anthropogenic Aerosols from Other Forcings?
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-15-0718.1openalex-snapshot
Changes in Internal Variability due to Anthropogenic Forcing: A New Field Significance Test
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-16-0189.1openalex-snapshot
Attribution of the Observed Spring Snowpack Decline in British Columbia to Anthropogenic Climate Change
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-16-0578.1openalex-snapshot
Attribution of Forced Decadal Climate Change in Coupled and Uncoupled Ocean–Atmosphere Model Experiments
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-16-0628.1openalex-snapshot
Sensitivity of Attribution of Anthropogenic Near-Surface Warming to Observational Uncertainty
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-17-0514.1openalex-snapshot
Finding Ocean States That Are Consistent with Observations from a Perturbed Physics Parameter Ensemble
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-17-0552.1openalex-snapshot
Attribution of Arctic Sea Ice Decline from 1953 to 2012 to Influences from Natural, Greenhouse Gas, and Anthropogenic Aerosol Forcing
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-17-0717.1openalex-snapshot
Estimating the Transient Climate Response from Observed Warming
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-17-0853.1openalex-snapshot
Detection of Anthropogenic Influence on Fixed Threshold Indices of Extreme Temperature
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-18-0016.1openalex-snapshot
Seasonal Prediction from Arctic Sea Surface Temperatures: Opportunities and Pitfalls
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-18-0555.1openalex-snapshot
A Limited Role for Unforced Internal Variability in Twentieth-Century Warming
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-19-0492.1openalex-snapshot
Rapid Warming in Summer Wet Bulb Globe Temperature in China with Human-Induced Climate Change
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-19-0877.1openalex-snapshot
Effects of Buoyancy and Wind Forcing on Southern Ocean Climate Change
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