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Probabilistic models for life‐cycle performance of deteriorating structures: review and future directions

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OPTIMAL REPLACEMENT POLICIES FOR DEVICES SUBJECT TO A GAMMA WEAR PROCESS**Research supported in part by the Air Force Office of Scientific Research, AFSC, USAF, under Grant AFOSR-76-2999 and Office of Naval Research Contract N00014-76-C-0840.
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What points at this work

Incoming claims: where this work appears in other papers’ reference lists and arguments.

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Integrated condition rating and forecasting method for bridge decks using Visual Inspection and Ground Penetrating Radar
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Updating conditional probabilities of Bayesian belief networks by merging expert knowledge and system monitoring data
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Forecasting bridge damage within a predictive Structural Reliability-based DSS
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Longitudinal prediction of the operational energy use of buildings
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Optimal condition-based maintenance with general repair and two dependent failure modes
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Time-dependent reliability of textile-strengthened RC structures under consideration of fuzzy randomness
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Data-driven prediction of long-term deterioration of RC bridges
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Bias-aware degradation models for reinforced concrete bridges based on XAI
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Modeling age-based maintenance strategies with minimal repairs for systems subject to competing failure modes due to degradation and shocks
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Optimizing the re-profiling strategy of metro wheels based on a data-driven wear model
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A dynamic principal-agent framework for modeling the performance of infrastructure
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Characterizing climate change-induced degradation and its impacts on serviceability and indoor environment improvement using runtime data
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A robust design of nearly zero energy building systems considering performance degradation and maintenance
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A stakeholder probability-based optimization approach for cost-effective bridge management under financial constraints
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Modelling interactions between multiple bridge deterioration mechanisms
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Long-term performance of full-depth precast concrete (FDPC) deck panels
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Incorporating defect specific condition indicators in a bridge life cycle analysis
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Probability-based damage thresholds for bridges’ inspection-based deterioration curves
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Adaptive multi-point reliability-based topology optimization for deteriorating structures with design-dependent critical time tracking
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Life Cycle Cost and Return on Investment as complementary decision variables for urban flood risk management in developing countries
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Probabilistic corrosion-fatigue prognosis of rib-to-deck welded joints in coastal weathering steel bridges exposed to heavy traffics
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Time variant reliability model updating in instrumented dynamical systems based on Girsanov’s transformation
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Optimal periodic inspection of a deterioration process with sequential condition states
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Modeling of pipeline corrosion degradation mechanism with a Lévy Process based on ILI (In-Line) inspections
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Likelihood-free Hamiltonian Monte Carlo for modeling piping degradation and remaining useful life prediction using the mixed gamma process
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A review on Bayesian modeling approach to quantify failure risk assessment of oil and gas pipelines due to corrosion
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Multi-state deterioration prediction for infrastructure asset: Learning from uncertain data, knowledge and similar groups
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Performance analysis of redundant safety-instrumented systems subject to degradation and external demands
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Definition of a condition-based model for natural stone claddings
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Criteria for selection of cladding systems based on their maintainability
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Service life of building envelopes: A critical literature review
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Deterioration models for prediction of remaining useful life of timber and concrete bridges: A review
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Strategic life cycle decision-making for the management of complex Systems subject to uncertain environmental policy
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A novel computational approach for assessing system reliability and damage detection delay: Application to fatigue deterioration in offshore structures
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Towards climate-resilient pavement under cold coastal environments: A multi-head physics-informed neural framework for explanation and estimation of asphalt-based materials degradation
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A stochastic computational framework for the joint transportation network fragility analysis and traffic flow distribution under extreme events
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Optimal maintenance policy for permanently monitored infrastructure subjected to extreme events
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Optimum inspection and maintenance policies for corroded structures using partially observable Markov decision processes and stochastic, physically based models
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Reliability analysis of shock-based deterioration using phase-type distributions
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Modeling and reliability analysis of systems subject to multiple sources of degradation based on Lévy processes
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Simulation-based approach for estimation of stochastic performances of deteriorating engineering systems
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Risk-based Maintenance Management of U.S. Public School Facilities
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A survey of the application of gamma processes in maintenance
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On the use of on-line detection for maintenance of gradually deteriorating systems
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Assessment of a maintenance model for a multi-deteriorating mode system
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Condition-based maintenance for a system subject to a non-homogeneous wear process with a wear rate transition
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A periodic inspection and replacement policy for systems subject to competing failure modes due to degradation and traumatic events
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The probability distribution of maintenance cost of a system affected by the gamma process of degradation: Finite time solution
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Optimal condition-based maintenance decisions for systems with dependent stochastic degradation of components
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Planning structural inspection and maintenance policies via dynamic programming and Markov processes. Part I: Theory
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Planning structural inspection and maintenance policies via dynamic programming and Markov processes. Part II: POMDP implementation
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Joint predictive maintenance and inventory strategy for multi-component systems using Birnbaum’s structural importance
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Improved inverse Gaussian process and bootstrap: Degradation and reliability metrics
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Near-optimal planning using approximate dynamic programming to enhance post-hazard community resilience management
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Managing engineering systems with large state and action spaces through deep reinforcement learning
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Optimal stochastic dynamic scheduling for managing community recovery from natural hazards
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Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) method for estimating parameters of the gamma process using noisy data
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Multi-defect modelling of bridge deterioration using truncated inspection records
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Optimization of an aperiodic sequential inspection and condition-based maintenance policy driven by value of information
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Piecewise deterministic Markov process for condition-based maintenance models — Application to critical infrastructures with discrete-state deterioration
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Deep reinforcement learning driven inspection and maintenance planning under incomplete information and constraints
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An adaptive predictive maintenance model for repairable deteriorating systems using inverse Gaussian degradation process
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Variance Gamma process as degradation model for prognosis and imperfect maintenance of centrifugal pumps
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An advanced petri-net modelling approach for risk asset management of reinforced concrete ageing transportation infrastructure under climate change effects
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Information avoidance and overvaluation in sequential decision making under epistemic constraints
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Reinforcement learning-based optimization framework for carbon emission reduction and circularity enhancement in buildings
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Modelling and optimizing imperfect maintenance of coatings on steel structures
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Probability-based optimal design of friction-based seismic isolation devices
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Life-cycle performance of structures subject to multiple deterioration mechanisms
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Gamma degradation models for earthquake-resistant structures
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Reliability analysis and updating of deteriorating systems with dynamic Bayesian networks
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Reliability assessment of deteriorating structures using Bayesian updated probability density evolution method (PDEM)
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State-dependent stochastic models: A general stochastic framework for modeling deteriorating engineering systems considering multiple deterioration processes and their interactions
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Optimal policy for structure maintenance: A deep reinforcement learning framework
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Life-cycle analysis (LCA) to restore community building portfolios by building back better II: Decision formulation
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Multi-level condition-based maintenance planning for railway infrastructures – A scenario-based chance-constrained approach
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Integrated condition-based track maintenance planning and crew scheduling of railway networks
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Adjustment of tunnel lining service life through appropriate safety factors
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Risk-cost optimised maintenance strategy for tunnel structures
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Value of information from vibration-based structural health monitoring extracted via Bayesian model updating
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Bridge Network Maintenance Optimization Using Stochastic Dynamic Programming
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Factors Affecting Life-Cycle Cost Analysis of RC Structures in Chloride Contaminated Environments
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Optimization Model for Design and Operation of Transportation Networks in Seismic Regions
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Calibrating Markov Chain–Based Deterioration Models for Predicting Future Conditions of Railway Bridge Elements
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Application of Gamma Process for Building Deterioration Prediction
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Retrospective Analysis of Hydraulic Bridge Collapse
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Feature Selection and Deep Learning for Deterioration Prediction of the Bridges
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Markov Process for Deterioration Modeling and Asset Management of Community Buildings
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Integrated Model for Optimizing Strategic Overhaul Planning of Distributed Pump Stations
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Time-Dependent Reliability Model of Deteriorating Structures Based on Stochastic Processes and Bayesian Inference Methods
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Integrating Semiparametric and Parametric Models in Survival Analysis of Bridge Element Deterioration
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Framework for Mitigating Human Bias in Selection of Explanatory Variables for Bridge Deterioration Modeling
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Stochastic Modeling of Bridge Deterioration Using Classification Tree and Logistic Regression
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Multivariable Proportional Hazards-Based Probabilistic Model for Bridge Deterioration Forecasting
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Life-Cycle Assessment of Deteriorating RC Bridges Using Artificial Neural Networks
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Performance Forecasts of US Highway Bridge Networks Using Generalized Poisson–Binomial Distribution
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Reliability Approach in Economic Assessment of Adapting Infrastructure to Climate Change
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Reliability Acceptance Criteria for Deteriorating Elements of Structural Systems
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Maintenance and Operation of Infrastructure Systems: Review
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Life-Cycle Performance of Deteriorating Structural Systems under Uncertainty: Review
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Relative Material Loss—A Methodology for Approximating Material Loss on Structural Plating Separating Dissimilar Marine Environments
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Safe Operation and Maintenance of Dry Dock Facilities
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Life-Cycle Performance of Structural Systems under Uncertainty
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Gamma Processes for the Long-Term Prediction of Creep Deflections
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A Risk-Informed Decision Framework to Achieve Resilient and Sustainable Buildings That Meet Community Objectives
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Time-Dependent Reliability Analysis Based on Point-Evolution Kernel Density Estimation: Comprehensive Approach with Continuous and Shock Deterioration and Maintenance
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Fuzzy-Logistic Models for Incorporating Epistemic Uncertainty in Bridge Management Decisions
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Comparison of Markovian-Based Bridge Deterioration Model Approaches
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Mechanistic Modeling of Construction Defects in Concrete Decks Subject to Corrosion-Induced Deterioration
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A Method for Evaluating Material Performance Parameters in Long-Life Structural Design under Random Degradation from Freeze–Thaw Cycles
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Comparative Analysis of Performance Prediction Models for Flexible Pavements
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Effects of thermal shock on mechanical properties and microstructural integrity of aluminum–SiC composites
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Monitoring and condition-based maintenance with abrupt change in a system’s deterioration rate
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Optimized maintenance and renovation scheduling in multifamily buildings – a systematic approach based on condition state and life cycle cost of building components
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Infrastructure maintenance and replacement optimization under multiple uncertainties and managerial flexibility
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Shape optimization based design of arch-type dams under uncertainties
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A model of preventive maintenance for parallel, series, and single-item replacement systems based on statistical analysis
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Probabilistic transition of condition: render facades
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Prognostic modelling for industrial asset health management
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A model for earthquake risk management based on the life-cycle performance of structures
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Multi-stage survival modelling for reliability assessment of asphalt pavements under fatigue and rutting
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Effect of Topology Irregularities and Construction Quality on Life-Cycle Cost of Reinforced Concrete Buildings
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Risk assessment of highway bridges under multiple hazards
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An exact optimization approach to the principal-agent problem in infrastructure projects via PPPs
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Construction-to-lifecycle risk intelligence: a noise-robust Physics-Informed Temporal Graph Transformer and Bayesian Markov-Switching sample-selection framework for reinforcement and repair decisions
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Identifying bridge structural condition development trends via categorical inspection condition rating with case studies
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Societal and reliability aspects of bridge management in the Netherlands
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Life-cycle performance model based on homogeneous Markov processes
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Life-cycle performance, management, and optimisation of structural systems under uncertainty: accomplishments and challenges
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Optimisation of the design of infrastructure components subject to progressive deterioration and extreme loads
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An accurate analysis of maintenance cost of structures experiencing stochastic degradation
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Bridge network performance, maintenance and optimisation under uncertainty: accomplishments and challenges
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Relative material loss: a variance reduction methodology and framework for probabilistic corrosion modelling
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Investigation of the use of a Weibull model for the determination of optimal road link intervention strategies
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Random Markov decision processes for sustainable infrastructure systems
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Maintenance planning using continuous-state partially observable Markov decision processes and non-linear action models
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On the accuracy of diffusion models for life-cycle assessment of concrete structures
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A Petri-Net-based modelling approach to railway bridge asset management
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Framework for maintenance management of shield tunnel using structural performance and life cycle cost as indicators
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Characterising the effect of external factors on deterioration rates of bridge components using multivariate proportional hazards regression
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Bridge life-cycle performance and cost: analysis, prediction, optimisation and decision-making
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