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Herding and anchoring in macroeconomic forecasts: the case of the PMI

https://doi.org/10.1007/s00181-017-1306-6
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What this work says

Outgoing claims: the papers this work cites, builds on, or argues with.

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1002/for.860openalex-snapshot
Strategic bias, herding behaviour and economic forecasts
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-010-1834-0_8openalex-snapshot
Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s00181-012-0630-0openalex-snapshot
A note on the anti-herding instinct of interest rate forecasters
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s001810100088openalex-snapshot
On the herding instinct of interest rate forecasters
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2013.06.042openalex-snapshot
Do inflation targets anchor inflation expectations?
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2012.02.010openalex-snapshot
Nowcasting US GDP: The role of ISM business surveys
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2012.08.016openalex-snapshot
Forecasting metal prices: Do forecasters herd?
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jebo.2013.07.013openalex-snapshot
Strategic behavior of Federal Open Market Committee board members: Evidence from members’ forecasts
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2005.07.006openalex-snapshot
Who herds?
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.socec.2016.03.004openalex-snapshot
Inflation forecasts and forecaster herding: Evidence from South African survey data
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/s0014-2921(00)00070-2openalex-snapshot
Herding and anti-herding: A model of reputational differentiation
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/s0167-2681(01)00182-2openalex-snapshot
Herd behavior of Japanese economists
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/s0167-2681(01)00219-0openalex-snapshot
Macroeconomic forecasts and microeconomic forecasters
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/s0167-2681(98)00092-4openalex-snapshot
Overreaction and underreaction in analysts' forecasts
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1017/s0022109009090127openalex-snapshot
Anchoring Bias in Consensus Forecasts and Its Effect on Market Prices
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1017/s0022109012000609openalex-snapshot
The Role of Anchoring Bias in the Equity Market: Evidence from Analysts’ Earnings Forecasts and Stock Returns
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/7.1.97openalex-snapshot
Analyst Forecasts and Herding Behavior:
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/rof/rfs037openalex-snapshot
Irrationality or Efficiency of Macroeconomic Survey Forecasts? Implications from the Anchoring Bias Test
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-036x.00087openalex-snapshot
Herding in analyst earnings forecasts: evidence from the United Kingdom
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.2005.00731.xopenalex-snapshot
Financial Analyst Characteristics and Herding Behavior in Forecasting
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1126/science.185.4157.1124openalex-snapshot
Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1162/003355399555918openalex-snapshot
Rational Bias in Macroeconomic Forecasts
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1506/92cb-p8g9-2a31-pv0ropenalex-snapshot
Information Uncertainty and Analyst Forecast Behavior*
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.17016/feds.2015.032r1openalex-snapshot
Self-Fulfilling Runs: Evidence from the U.S. Life Insurance Industry
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.17016/feds.2015.046openalex-snapshot
Is the Intrinsic Value of Macroeconomic News Announcements Related to Their Asset Price Impact?
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.142895openalex-snapshot
Security Analysts' Career Concerns and Herding of Earnings Forecasts
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1702342openalex-snapshot
The Information Content of the ISM Purchasing Managers’ Survey
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2198490openalex-snapshot
Measuring Economic Policy Uncertainty
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/2601032openalex-snapshot
Security Analysts' Career Concerns and Herding of Earnings Forecasts
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/3872489openalex-snapshot
Copycats and Common Swings: The Impact of the Use of Forecasts in Information Sets
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2469/faj.v52.n4.2009openalex-snapshot
Implications of Herding Behavior for Earnings Estimation, Risk Assessment, and Stock Returns
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2469/faj.v59.n2.2515openalex-snapshot
Global/Industrial Diversification and Analyst Herding
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2469/faj.v59.n3.2533openalex-snapshot
Insider Trading When an Underlying Option Is Present
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3386/w5284openalex-snapshot
Macroeconomics Forecasts and Microeconomic Forecasters
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3390/ijfs1010016openalex-snapshot
House Price Forecasts, Forecaster Herding, and the Recent Crisis
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.4324/9781912282562openalex-snapshot
Judgment under Uncertainty
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.5860/choice.42-4750openalex-snapshot
The secrets of economic indicators: hidden clues to future economic trends and investment opportunities
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.5860/choice.50-3954openalex-snapshot
The secrets of economic indicators: hidden clues to future economic trends and investment opportunities

What points at this work

Incoming claims: where this work appears in other papers’ reference lists and arguments.

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4645640openalex-extracted
The Accuracy of Natural Gas Storage Forecasts and the Influence of Herding, Anti-Herding, and Forecast Timing
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1002/ffo2.21openalex-snapshot
Effects of supplying additional information: Experimental evidence on the behavior of capital market experts
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-96908-0_13openalex-snapshot
Macroeconomic Forecast Based on Neural Network Algorithm and Genetic Algorithm
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-51997-0_7openalex-snapshot
Systematic Literature Review: Behavioural Biases as the Determinants of Herding
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s00181-026-02898-2openalex-snapshot
The role of global value chains for the propagation of global and domestic PMI shocks
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s11156-024-01370-5openalex-snapshot
Unravelling the enigma: managerial bad news hoarding and financial analyst forecasts
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s41549-021-00055-5openalex-snapshot
Predicting the German Economy: Headline Survey Indices Under Test
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.jebo.2024.06.008openalex-snapshot
Uncertainty and macroeconomic forecasts: Evidence from survey data
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.jebo.2025.107129openalex-snapshot
Peer influence in macroeconomic predictions
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1108/jes-05-2020-0237openalex-snapshot
Evaluating survey-based forecasts of interest rates and macroeconomic variables
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1155/2022/7208805openalex-snapshot
Macroeconomic Forecast Model System Based on Digital Information and Blockchain Technology
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1590/0101-41615123hnrbopenalex-snapshot
Vieses comportamentais em projeções macroeconômicas
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.20525/ijrbs.v13i1.2877openalex-snapshot
The influences of psychological factors on investors decision making in the South African derivative market
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4899126openalex-snapshot
The Accuracy of Natural Gas Storage Forecasts and Analyst Herding Behavior
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3934/qfe.2026020openalex-snapshot
Evidence of anti-herding in Canadian regional housing markets
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.63635/mrj.v1i1.16openalex-snapshot
Behavioural Biases in Investment Decision-Making: A Conceptual Review
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