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The Weakening Relationship between ENSO and the South China Sea Summer Monsoon Onset in Recent Decades

https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-021-1208-6

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What this work says

Outgoing claims: the papers this work cites, builds on, or argues with.

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1002/2013jc009683openalex-snapshot

How much does heat content of the western tropical Pacific Ocean modulate the South China Sea summer monsoon onset in the last four decades?

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1002/2014jd022221openalex-snapshot

The Victoria mode in the North Pacific linking extratropical sea level pressure variations to ENSO

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A New Method for Interpreting Nonstationary Running Correlations and Its Application to the ENSO‐EAWM Relationship

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Introduction to El Niño Southern Oscillation in a Changing Climate

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1002/9781119548164.ch4openalex-snapshot

ENSO Diversity

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1002/asl.753openalex-snapshot

Objective determination of the onset and withdrawal of the South China Sea summer monsoon

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1002/asl.858openalex-snapshot

The role of synoptic‐scale waves in the onset of the South China Sea summer monsoon

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.4305openalex-snapshot

The relation of South China Sea monsoon onset with the subsequent rainfall over the subtropical East Asia

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.4364openalex-snapshot

Interannual variability of the onset of the South China Sea summer monsoon

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.5141openalex-snapshot

Relationship between the South China Sea summer monsoon onset and tropical cyclone genesis over the western North Pacific

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.5472openalex-snapshot

On the weakening relationship between the South China Sea summer monsoon onset and cross‐equatorial flow after the late 1990s

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.5485openalex-snapshot

Relationship between South China Sea summer monsoon onset and landfalling tropical cyclone frequency in China

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.5828openalex-snapshot

Climatological characteristics of the synoptic changes accompanying South China Sea summer monsoon withdrawal

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.6264openalex-snapshot

Detection, variability, and predictability of monsoon onset and withdrawal dates: A review

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.6920openalex-snapshot

Impact of the March Arctic Oscillation on the South China Sea summer monsoon onset

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.6943openalex-snapshot

Revisiting the relationship between Indo‐Pacific heat content and South China Sea summer monsoon onset during 1980–2020

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.49710644905openalex-snapshot

Some simple solutions for heat-induced tropical circulation

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-015-5192-6openalex-snapshot

Indo-western Pacific ocean capacitor and coherent climate anomalies in post-ENSO summer: A review

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-018-8100-zopenalex-snapshot

Predictability of South China Sea Summer Monsoon Onset

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-019-8230-yopenalex-snapshot

Recent Progress in Studies of the Variabilities and Mechanisms of the East Asian Monsoon in a Changing Climate

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-019-9043-8openalex-snapshot

Decadal Changes in Interannual Dependence of the Bay of Bengal Summer Monsoon Onset on ENSO Modulated by the Pacific Decadal Oscillation

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-020-0090-yopenalex-snapshot

Seasonal Forecast of South China Sea Summer Monsoon Onset Disturbed by Cold Tongue La Niña in the Past Decade

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-008-0465-8openalex-snapshot

Wind onset and withdrawal of Asian summer monsoon and their simulated performance in AMIP models

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2264-8openalex-snapshot

Role of the phase transition of intraseasonal oscillation on the South China Sea summer monsoon onset

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2296-0openalex-snapshot

Asian summer monsoon onset barrier and its formation mechanism

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-016-3164-xopenalex-snapshot

Empirical prediction of the onset dates of South China Sea summer monsoon

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-016-3282-5openalex-snapshot

Relationship of boreal summer 10–20-day and 30–60-day intraseasonal oscillation intensity over the tropical western North Pacific to tropical Indo-Pacific SST

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-017-3615-zopenalex-snapshot

Impacts of winter NPO on subsequent winter ENSO: sensitivity to the definition of NPO index

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-017-4027-9openalex-snapshot

Effects of intraseasonal oscillation on South China Sea summer monsoon onset

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4110-xopenalex-snapshot

Signature of the South China Sea summer monsoon onset on spring-to-summer transition of rainfall in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River basin

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-019-05086-4openalex-snapshot

Climate shift of the South China Sea summer monsoon onset in 1993/1994 and its physical causes

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05185-7openalex-snapshot

Multidecadal to decadal variability in the equatorial Indian Ocean subsurface temperature and the forcing mechanisms

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05203-8openalex-snapshot

Record-breaking heat wave in southern China and delayed onset of South China Sea summer monsoon driven by the Pacific subtropical high

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05251-0openalex-snapshot

Seasonal evolution of the intraseasonal variability of China summer precipitation

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-05780-2openalex-snapshot

Diversity of intraseasonal oscillation over the western North Pacific

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s00703-005-0115-1openalex-snapshot

Effect of condensational heating over the Bay of Bengal on the onset of the South China Sea monsoon in 1998

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s11430-016-9026-xopenalex-snapshot

Impact of El Niño on atmospheric circulations over East Asia and rainfall in China: Role of the anomalous western North Pacific anticyclone

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s13351-017-7147-6openalex-snapshot

Theories on formation of an anomalous anticyclone in western North Pacific during El Niño: A review

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s13351-020-9109-7openalex-snapshot

Origins of Quasi-Biweekly and Intraseasonal Oscillations over the South China Sea and Bay of Bengal and Scale Selection of Unstable Equatorial and Off-Equatorial Modes

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2008.09.004openalex-snapshot

Multi-scale climate variability of the South China Sea monsoon: A review

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2019.101099openalex-snapshot

Asymmetric effects of atmospheric circulation on the South China Sea summer monsoon onset

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/2001gl013435openalex-snapshot

Footprinting: A seasonal connection between the tropics and mid‐latitudes

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/2002jd002670openalex-snapshot

Global analyses of sea surface temperature, sea ice, and night marine air temperature since the late nineteenth century

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/2003gl018597openalex-snapshot

Recent shifts in the state of the North Pacific

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/2009jd013389openalex-snapshot

Characteristics and origin of quasi‐biweekly oscillation over the western North Pacific during boreal summer

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/2011gl050540openalex-snapshot

Advanced Asian summer monsoon onset in recent decades

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/2018gl078109openalex-snapshot

Impacts of ENSO on the Bay of Bengal Summer Monsoon Onset via Modulating the Intraseasonal Oscillation

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/2018gl081718openalex-snapshot

Extremely Late Onset of the 2018 South China Sea Summer Monsoon Following a La Niña Event: Effects of Triple SST Anomaly Mode in the North Atlantic and a Weaker Mongolian Cyclone

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/2019jd031891openalex-snapshot

Boosting Effect of Tropical Cyclone “Fani” on the Onset of the South China Sea Summer Monsoon in 2019

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/2020gl091444openalex-snapshot

Forecasting South China Sea Monsoon Onset Using Insight From Theory

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-017-13128-2openalex-snapshot

Statistical analysis and a case study of tropical cyclones that trigger the onset of the South China Sea summer monsoon

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1080/16742834.2013.11447092openalex-snapshot

Characteristics of Tropical Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies and Their Influences on the Onset of South China Sea Summer Monsoon

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1080/16742834.2017.1237853openalex-snapshot

Interannual variability in the onset of the South China Sea summer monsoon from 1997 to 2014

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab7d5eopenalex-snapshot

Tropical Pacific cold tongue mode triggered by enhanced warm pool convection due to global warming

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1126/science.284.5423.2156openalex-snapshot

On the Weakening Relationship Between the Indian Monsoon and ENSO

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0442(2000)013<1517:peathd>2.0.co;2openalex-snapshot

Pacific–East Asian Teleconnection: How Does ENSO Affect East Asian Climate?

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0442(2002)015<3252:peatpi>2.0.co;2openalex-snapshot

Pacific–East Asian Teleconnection. Part II: How the Philippine Sea Anomalous Anticyclone is Established during El Niño Development*

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0442(2003)016<2668:tsfmit>2.0.co;2openalex-snapshot

The Seasonal Footprinting Mechanism in the Pacific: Implications for ENSO*

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0442(2003)16<1195:aoiaii>2.0.co;2openalex-snapshot

Atmosphere–Warm Ocean Interaction and Its Impacts on Asian–Australian Monsoon Variation*

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0493(2002)130<2731:trobob>2.0.co;2openalex-snapshot

The Role of Bay of Bengal Convection in the Onset of the 1998 South China Sea Summer Monsoon

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/2007jcli2048.1openalex-snapshot

The North Pacific Oscillation–West Pacific Teleconnection Pattern: Mature-Phase Structure and Winter Impacts

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/2932.1openalex-snapshot

Definition of South China Sea Monsoon Onset and Commencement of the East Asia Summer Monsoon*

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/bams-83-11-1631openalex-snapshot

NCEP–DOE AMIP-II Reanalysis (R-2)

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/bams-d-18-0177.1openalex-snapshot

A Global Gridded Dataset of the Characteristics of the Rainy And Dry Seasons

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-11-00207.1openalex-snapshot

Interdecadal Change of the South China Sea Summer Monsoon Onset

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-12-00445.1openalex-snapshot

Mechanisms for the Advanced Asian Summer Monsoon Onset since the Mid-to-Late 1990s

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-15-0508.1openalex-snapshot

The Pacific Decadal Oscillation, Revisited

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-16-0065.1openalex-snapshot

Two Types of Interannual Variability of South China Sea Summer Monsoon Onset Related to the SST Anomalies before and after 1993/94

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-17-0448.1openalex-snapshot

ENSO–South China Sea summer monsoon interaction modulated by the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-19-0316.1openalex-snapshot

The Interdecadal Shift of ENSO Properties in 1999/2000: A Review

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-20-0696.1openalex-snapshot

Subseasonal-to-Seasonal Predictability of Onset Dates of South China Sea Summer Monsoon: A Perspective of Meridional Temperature Gradient

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli3391.1openalex-snapshot

The Effect of ENSO on Tibetan Plateau Snow Depth: A Stationary Wave Teleconnection Mechanism and Implications for the South Asian Monsoons

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/mwr-d-19-0317.1openalex-snapshot

Extremely Early Summer Monsoon Onset in the South China Sea in 2019 Following an El Niño Event

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2151/jmsj1965.44.1_25openalex-snapshot

Quasi-Geostrophic Motions in the Equatorial Area

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2151/jmsj1965.74.1_49openalex-snapshot

Impact of El Niño on the East Asian Monsoon

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3319/tao.2020.02.25.01openalex-snapshot

Influences of subseasonal to interannual oscillations on the SCS summer monsoon onset in 2018

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2020.610982openalex-snapshot

Interdecadal Change in the Relationship Between the Bay of Bengal Summer Monsoon and South China Sea Summer Monsoon Onset

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos9060229openalex-snapshot

Influences of the North Pacific Victoria Mode on the South China Sea Summer Monsoon

What points at this work

Incoming claims: where this work appears in other papers’ reference lists and arguments.

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Diurnal Cycles of Rain Systems Over South China During the Presummer Rainy Season

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1002/joc.8534openalex-snapshot

The relationship between the South China Sea summer monsoon onset and North Pacific meridional sea surface temperature anomalies

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1002/joc.8602openalex-snapshot

Modulation of Pacific decadal oscillation on the relationship between El Niño–Southern Oscillation and rainy season onset over the Indo‐China Peninsula

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-022-2103-5openalex-snapshot

Influences of MJO-induced Tropical Cyclones on the Circulation-Convection Inconsistency for the 2021 South China Sea Summer Monsoon Onset

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-023-2266-8openalex-snapshot

Recent Advances in Understanding Multi-scale Climate Variability of the Asian Monsoon

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-023-3011-zopenalex-snapshot

Synergistic Interdecadal Evolution of Precipitation over Eastern China and the Pacific Decadal Oscillation during 1951–2015

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-07081-2openalex-snapshot

Interdecadal delay of the South China Sea summer monsoon onset after 2010

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-024-07343-7openalex-snapshot

Triggering effects of spring thermal contrast between Yun-Gui Plateau and Beibu Gulf on the interannual variations of South China Sea summer monsoon onset dates

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-025-07931-1openalex-snapshot

The enhanced relationship between North Atlantic SST and South China Sea summer monsoon onset since the early 2000s

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-026-08056-9openalex-snapshot

Impact of the wintertime North Pacific Victoria Mode on subsequent tropical Asian summer monsoon duration

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-026-08195-zopenalex-snapshot

Influence of Victoria Mode on the South China Sea summer monsoon onset: role of high-frequency tropical disturbances

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-026-08371-1openalex-snapshot

Tropical and extratropical intraseasonal oscillations jointly delayed the 2025 South China Sea summer monsoon onset

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-024-04851-8openalex-snapshot

Quantitative decomposition of the interdecadal change in the correlation coefficient between the El Niño-Southern Oscillation and South Asian summer monsoon

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s13351-025-4222-2openalex-snapshot

Asian–Pacific Summer Monsoon Variability and Atmospheric Teleconnection Patterns: Review and Outlook

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2023.107126openalex-snapshot

Observed impacts of the North Pacific Victoria Mode on Indian summer monsoon onset

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2024.107641openalex-snapshot

Diurnal cycles of rain storms over South China during the presummer rainy season

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2025.108106openalex-snapshot

Influence of the Summer North Pacific Victoria Mode on Autumn Rainfall over the Greater Mekong Subregion

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2025.108611openalex-snapshot

Diverse onset pathways of South China Sea summer monsoon driven by SSTA across Indian-Pacific-Atlantic Oceans

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2026.108949openalex-snapshot

Sequential tropical cyclones and intraseasonal waves drive the record-breaking circulation-convection decoupling of the 2023 South China Sea summer monsoon onset

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Mechanism of the late summer monsoon onset in Bay of Bengal and South China Sea during 2021: Impacts of intraseasonal oscillation and local thermal contrast

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloplacha.2026.105738openalex-snapshot

Weakening relationship between ENSO and spring persistent rains onset over southeastern China after 1999/2000

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocemod.2026.102691openalex-snapshot

Latitudinal dependence of circulation seasonality in the South China Sea and its response to ENSO

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1029/2023jd039029openalex-snapshot

Enhanced Late Spring Ozone in Southern China by Early Onset of the South China Sea Summer Monsoon

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1029/2025jd043757openalex-snapshot

Revisiting Unstable ENSO Teleconnections From a Global Perspective

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The Intensity of the South China Sea Summer Monsoon Onset: Characteristics, Dynamics, and Impact

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ad07b3openalex-snapshot

The first observational evidence of a mixed Rossby–gravity wave contribution to triggering the onset process of the South China Sea summer monsoon

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-21-0740.1openalex-snapshot

Close Linkage of the South China Sea Summer Monsoon Onset and Extreme Rainfall in May over Southeast Asia: Role of the Synoptic-Scale Systems

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-22-0951.1openalex-snapshot

Understanding the Driving Forces of the North Pacific Victoria Mode

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-24-0442.1openalex-snapshot

Quantifying Interannual Covariability between Precipitation over Eastern China and SST in the Indo-Pacific Regions

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Observed Air–Sea Turbulent Heat Flux Anomalies during the Onset of the South China Sea Summer Monsoon in 2021

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Enhanced impacts of the North Pacific Victoria mode on the Indian summer monsoon onset in recent decades

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The Relationship between the South China Sea Summer Monsoon Onset and Pacific Meridional SST anomalies

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Interdecadal Change in the Interannual Variability of South China Sea Summer Monsoon Intensity

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Extreme Precipitation Probability over East China in Spring and Summer During the Decaying of Two Types of El Niño Events

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