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Multi-model seasonal forecast of Arctic sea-ice: forecast uncertainty at pan-Arctic and regional scales
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What this work says
Outgoing claims: the papers this work cites, builds on, or argues with.
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1002/2013gl058755openalex-snapshot
Seasonal to interannual Arctic sea ice predictability in current global climate models
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1002/2014gl059388openalex-snapshot
Predicting September sea ice: Ensemble skill of the SEARCH Sea Ice Outlook 2008-2013
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1002/2014gl060815openalex-snapshot
A posteriori adjustment of near‐term climate predictions: Accounting for the drift dependence on the initial conditions
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1002/2014gl061694openalex-snapshot
Will Arctic sea ice thickness initialization improve seasonal forecast skill?
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1002/2015gl065860openalex-snapshot
Model forecast skill and sensitivity to initial conditions in the seasonal Sea Ice Outlook
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1002/2015gl067232openalex-snapshot
Predictability of the Arctic sea ice edge
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1002/9780470757161.ch3openalex-snapshot
Dynamics versus Thermodynamics: The Sea Ice Thickness Distribution
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1002/grl.50129openalex-snapshot
Seasonal forecast skill of Arctic sea ice area in a dynamical forecast system
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1002/grl.50193openalex-snapshot
CryoSat‐2 estimates of Arctic sea ice thickness and volume
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2095-7openalex-snapshot
Ensemble of sea ice initial conditions for interannual climate predictions
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-016-2985-yopenalex-snapshot
Intercomparison of the Arctic sea ice cover in global ocean–sea ice reanalyses from the ORA-IP project
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/2007jc004259openalex-snapshot
Seasonal predictions of ice extent in the Arctic Ocean
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/2011gl048807openalex-snapshot
Influence of initial conditions and climate forcing on predicting Arctic sea ice
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/2011jc007084openalex-snapshot
Uncertainty in modeled Arctic sea ice volume
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0442(2000)013<0617:asivit>2.0.co;2openalex-snapshot
Arctic Sea Ice Variability in the Context of Recent Atmospheric Circulation Trends
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0493(2001)129<0550:iorhfv>2.0.co;2openalex-snapshot
Interpretation of Rank Histograms for Verifying Ensemble Forecasts
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0493(2003)131<0845:mgsiwa>2.0.co;2openalex-snapshot
Modeling Global Sea Ice with a Thickness and Enthalpy Distribution Model in Generalized Curvilinear Coordinates
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/2010jcli3678.1openalex-snapshot
Two Limits of Initial-Value Decadal Predictability in a CGCM
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-13-00614.1openalex-snapshot
Pan-Arctic and Regional Sea Ice Predictability: Initialization Month Dependence
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-14-00345.1openalex-snapshot
Characteristics of Arctic Sea-Ice Thickness Variability in GCMs
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-15-0421.1openalex-snapshot
Atmospheric and Oceanic Contributions to Irreducible Forecast Uncertainty of Arctic Surface Climate
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/mwr-d-15-0097.1openalex-snapshot
Improving Arctic Sea Ice Prediction Using PIOMAS Initial Sea Ice Thickness in a Coupled Ocean–Atmosphere Model
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-10-2003-2016openalex-snapshot
Near-real-time Arctic sea ice thickness and volume from CryoSat-2
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-6-1383-2012openalex-snapshot
Constraining projections of summer Arctic sea ice
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-7-1035-2013openalex-snapshot
Sea ice thickness, freeboard, and snow depth products from Operation IceBridge airborne data
What points at this work
Incoming claims: where this work appears in other papers’ reference lists and arguments.
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3308openalex-snapshot
A global coupled ensemble data assimilation system using the Community Earth System Model and the Data Assimilation Research Testbed
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4332openalex-snapshot
Calibration of subseasonal sea‐ice forecasts using ensemble model output statistics and observational uncertainty
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-017-3835-2openalex-snapshot
GEOS-5 seasonal forecast system
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4288-yopenalex-snapshot
Regional Arctic sea–ice prediction: potential versus operational seasonal forecast skill
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4592-6openalex-snapshot
An assessment of regional sea ice predictability in the Arctic ocean
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05273-8openalex-snapshot
Summer predictions of Arctic sea ice edge in multi-model seasonal re-forecasts
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s13131-020-1578-0openalex-snapshot
The role of bias correction on subseasonal prediction of Arctic sea ice during summer 2018
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.coldregions.2022.103618openalex-snapshot
Seasonal forecasting of landfast ice in Foggy Island Bay, Alaska in support of ice road operations
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2024.107591openalex-snapshot
Global, Arctic, and Antarctic sea ice volume predictions using score-driven threshold climate models
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocemod.2020.101692openalex-snapshot
A synthesis of thermodynamic ablation at ice–ocean interfaces from theory, observations and models
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.polar.2020.100626openalex-snapshot
Information retrieval for Northern Sea Route (NSR) navigation: A statistical approach using the AIS and TOPAZ4 data
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2024.114568openalex-snapshot
Long-term prediction of Arctic sea ice concentrations using deep learning: Effects of surface temperature, radiation, and wind conditions
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1017/aog.2020.15openalex-snapshot
Analyzing the impact of CryoSat-2 ice thickness initialization on seasonal Arctic Sea Ice prediction
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1029/2018gl079394openalex-snapshot
Bright Prospects for Arctic Sea Ice Prediction on Subseasonal Time Scales
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1029/2019gl082947openalex-snapshot
A Spring Barrier for Regional Predictions of Summer Arctic Sea Ice
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1029/2019gl083831openalex-snapshot
A Multimodel Approach for Improving Seasonal Probabilistic Forecasts of Regional Arctic Sea Ice
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1029/2019gl084096openalex-snapshot
Predictability of Antarctic Sea Ice Edge on Subseasonal Time Scales
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1029/2019jd031767openalex-snapshot
GEOS‐S2S Version 2: The GMAO High‐Resolution Coupled Model and Assimilation System for Seasonal Prediction
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1029/2019ms001937openalex-snapshot
Toward a Data Assimilation System for Seamless Sea Ice Prediction Based on the AWI Climate Model
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1029/2020gl088335openalex-snapshot
A Mechanism for the Arctic Sea Ice Spring Predictability Barrier
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1029/2020ms002336openalex-snapshot
The Effects of Ice Floe‐Floe Interactions on Pressure Ridging in Sea Ice
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1029/2022gl101656openalex-snapshot
Monthly Arctic Sea‐Ice Prediction With a Linear Inverse Model
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1029/2022gl102531openalex-snapshot
Forecast Skill of the Arctic Sea Ice Outlook 2008–2022
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1029/2022ms003176openalex-snapshot
Sea‐Ice Forecasts With an Upgraded AWI Coupled Prediction System
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1029/2023jd039148openalex-snapshot
Seasonal Prediction of Regional Arctic Sea Ice Using the High‐Resolution Climate Prediction System CMA‐CPSv3
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1029/2023jd039521openalex-snapshot
Deep Learning‐Based Seasonal Forecast of Sea Ice Considering Atmospheric Conditions
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1080/08865655.2017.1294494openalex-snapshot
Challenges of Sea-Ice Prediction for Arctic Marine Policy and Planning
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aa7a60openalex-snapshot
Towards seasonal Arctic shipping route predictions
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/nyas.13856openalex-snapshot
The Arctic's sea ice cover: trends, variability, predictability, and comparisons to the Antarctic
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1175/bams-d-22-0083.1openalex-snapshot
Improving Arctic Weather and Seasonal Climate Prediction: Recommendations for Future Forecast Systems Evolution from the European Project APPLICATE
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1175/bams-d-23-0163.1openalex-snapshot
Predicting September Arctic Sea Ice: A Multimodel Seasonal Skill Comparison
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-17-0185.1openalex-snapshot
Improved Sea Ice Forecasting through Spatiotemporal Bias Correction
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-17-0766.1openalex-snapshot
Skill of Seasonal Arctic Sea Ice Extent Predictions Using the North American Multimodel Ensemble
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-18-0224.1openalex-snapshot
Calibrated Probabilistic Forecasts of Arctic Sea Ice Concentration
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-20-0544.1openalex-snapshot
Subseasonal Predictability of Arctic Ocean Sea Ice Conditions: Bering Strait and Ekman-Driven Ocean Heat Transport
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-21-0301.1openalex-snapshot
Understanding the Forecast Skill of Rapid Arctic Sea Ice Loss on Subseasonal Time Scales
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-21-0463.1openalex-snapshot
Climate Change Fosters Competing Effects of Dynamics and Thermodynamics in Seasonal Predictability of Arctic Sea Ice
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-21-0544.1openalex-snapshot
Mechanisms of Regional Arctic Sea Ice Predictability in Two Dynamical Seasonal Forecast Systems
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1175/mwr-d-18-0360.1openalex-snapshot
Simultaneous Parameter Optimization of an Arctic Sea Ice–Ocean Model by a Genetic Algorithm
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1175/waf-d-18-0046.1openalex-snapshot
Multiweek Prediction Skill Assessment of Arctic Sea Ice Variability in the CFSv2
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.22498/pages.25.1.14openalex-snapshot
Arctic sea ice seasonal-to-decadal variability and long-term change
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2022.860403openalex-snapshot
Prediction of Pan-Arctic Sea Ice Using Attention-Based LSTM Neural Networks
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3390/rs17193286openalex-snapshot
Mechanisms and Predictability of Beaufort Sea Ice Retreat Revealed by Coupled Modeling and Remote Sensing Data
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-14-4283-2021openalex-snapshot
Benefits of sea ice initialization for the interannual-to-decadal climate prediction skill in the Arctic in EC-Earth3
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5194/os-19-1375-2023openalex-snapshot
Bivariate sea-ice assimilation for global-ocean analysis–reanalysis
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5194/tc-12-3419-2018openalex-snapshot
Improving Met Office seasonal predictions of Arctic sea ice using assimilation of CryoSat-2 thickness
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5194/tc-15-325-2021openalex-snapshot
Year-round impact of winter sea ice thickness observations on seasonal forecasts
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5194/tc-19-3279-2025openalex-snapshot
Correcting errors in seasonal Arctic sea ice prediction of Earth system models with machine learning
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.70675/d8074e51ze243z4c37zaa77z1bd4c9f7042fopenalex-snapshot
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