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The problem of prediction in invasion biology

https://doi.org/10.1007/s10539-015-9504-0

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What this work says

Outgoing claims: the papers this work cites, builds on, or argues with.

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.47openalex-snapshot

Invasion triangle: an organizational framework for species invasion

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4612-4018-1_17openalex-snapshot

Biological Invasions and Ecosystem Processes: Towards an Integration of Population Biology and Ecosystem Studies

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/bf00051574openalex-snapshot

A tale of two snails: is the cure worse than the disease?

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s10530-006-9029-1openalex-snapshot

Phenotypic plasticity rather than locally adapted ecotypes allows the invasive alligator weed to colonize a wide range of habitats

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s10530-006-9069-6openalex-snapshot

Rapid spread of an invasive snail in South America: the giant African snail, Achatina fulica, in Brasil

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s10530-007-9146-5openalex-snapshot

Are there any consistent predictors of invasion success?

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s10530-008-9306-2openalex-snapshot

A hierarchical framework for integrating invasibility experiments incorporating different factors and spatial scales

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s10530-011-9947-4openalex-snapshot

Biological invasions and ecosystem functioning: time to merge

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s10530-013-0610-0openalex-snapshot

Can model species be used to advance the field of invasion ecology?

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s10539-009-9164-zopenalex-snapshot

Is there a general theory of community ecology?

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s10886-009-9735-0openalex-snapshot

Direct and Indirect Effects of Invasive Plants on Soil Chemistry and Ecosystem Function

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s11229-008-9366-yopenalex-snapshot

The structure of tradeoffs in model building

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s11258-009-9573-8openalex-snapshot

Allelopathy as a mechanism for the invasion of Typha angustifolia

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s12080-007-0002-0openalex-snapshot

A general theory of ecology

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/0169-5347(93)90025-kopenalex-snapshot

Biological invasions: Lessons for ecology

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.shpsa.2010.11.040openalex-snapshot

Trade-offs in model-building: A more target-oriented approach

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.shpsc.2011.10.006openalex-snapshot

The roles of integration in molecular systems biology

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tree.2011.03.023openalex-snapshot

A proposed unified framework for biological invasions

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/s0169-5347(01)02101-2openalex-snapshot

Progress in invasion biology: predicting invaders

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1023/a:1006508101996openalex-snapshot

Generalizations in Ecology: A Philosophical Taxonomy

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1023/a:1011953713083openalex-snapshot

Non-Indigenous Species and Ecological Explanation

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1034/j.1600-0706.2003.12349.xopenalex-snapshot

Laws of nature and laws of ecology

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/417067aopenalex-snapshot

Feedback with soil biota contributes to plant rarity and invasiveness in communities

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/nature00776openalex-snapshot

Biodiversity as a barrier to ecological invasion

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/nature02322openalex-snapshot

Soil biota and exotic plant invasion

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1046/j.1365-2745.2000.00473.xopenalex-snapshot

Fluctuating resources in plant communities: a general theory of invasibility

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1046/j.1469-8137.2003.00714.xopenalex-snapshot

Soil community feedback and the coexistence of competitors: conceptual frameworks and empirical tests

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1078/1433-8319-00083openalex-snapshot

Allocation, plasticity and allometry in plants

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1086/286983openalex-snapshot

Studies in the Logic of Explanation

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1086/289019openalex-snapshot

Explanatory Unification

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/0198235070.001.0001openalex-snapshot

Nature's Capacities and Their Measurement

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1098/rstb.2008.0286openalex-snapshot

Predicting invasion success in complex ecological networks

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1108/09504121111184471openalex-snapshot

Encyclopedia of Biological Invasions

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2745.12054openalex-snapshot

Plant–soil feedbacks: the past, the present and future challenges

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/ddi.12150openalex-snapshot

Misleading criticisms of invasion science: a field guide

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2745.2007.01332.xopenalex-snapshot

A new framework for predicting invasive plant species

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2745.2011.01915.xopenalex-snapshot

Invasions: the trail behind, the path ahead, and a test of a disturbing idea

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1366-9516.2004.00096.xopenalex-snapshot

Conifers as invasive aliens: a global survey and predictive framework

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1461-0248.2007.01067.xopenalex-snapshot

Disturbance, invasion and re‐invasion: managing the weed‐shaped hole in disturbed ecosystems

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1461-0248.2010.01503.xopenalex-snapshot

Are invaders different? A conceptual framework of comparative approaches for assessing determinants of invasiveness

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1461-0248.2011.01594.xopenalex-snapshot

Emergent insights from the synthesis of conceptual frameworks for biological invasions

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1461-0248.2011.01596.xopenalex-snapshot

Do invasive species show higher phenotypic plasticity than native species and, if so, is it adaptive? A meta-analysis

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1472-4642.2008.00521.xopenalex-snapshot

Reducing redundancy in invasion ecology by integrating hypotheses into a single theoretical framework

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1600-0587.1999.tb00449.xopenalex-snapshot

Invasions

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1600-0706.2012.00254.xopenalex-snapshot

The elephant in the room: the role of failed invasions in understanding invasion biology

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1600-0706.2013.00445.xopenalex-snapshot

Another call for the end of invasion biology

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1600-0706.2013.01228.xopenalex-snapshot

A call for an end to calls for the end of invasion biology

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1654-1103.2003.tb02168.xopenalex-snapshot

The importance of biological inertia in plant community resistance to invasion

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev.ecolsys.34.011802.132403openalex-snapshot

Performance Comparisons of Co-Occurring Native and Alien Invasive Plants: Implications for Conservation and Restoration

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1191/0309133306pp490propenalex-snapshot

Plant invasions: merging the concepts of species invasiveness and community invasibility

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1515/bot.2007.041openalex-snapshot

Mechanisms of invasions: can the recipient community influence invasion rates?

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1614/ws-08-046.1openalex-snapshot

Invasion Biologists and the Biofuels Boom: Cassandras or Colleagues

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/2265768openalex-snapshot

What Attributes Make Some Plant Species More Invasive?

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/3546712openalex-snapshot

Are There General Laws in Ecology?

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/3546992openalex-snapshot

Elton Revisited: A Review of Evidence Linking Diversity and Invasibility

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3897/neobiota.14.3435openalex-snapshot

Support for major hypotheses in invasion biology is uneven and declining

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.5860/choice.40-2792openalex-snapshot

Predicting invasions of nonindigenous plants and plant pests

What points at this work

Incoming claims: where this work appears in other papers’ reference lists and arguments.

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3015127openalex-extracted

Hypothetical Pattern Explanations in Economic Science: Hayek's Explanation of the Principle and Pattern Predictions Meets Contemporary Philosophy of Science

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1002/bes2.1607openalex-snapshot

Toward “Rules” for Studying Biological Invasions

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.72220openalex-snapshot

Evidence of Rapid Evolution in Herbivory Defense Responses With Conserved Trade‐Offs in Populations of Medicago polymorpha

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1002/ecs2.2746openalex-snapshot

Understanding the limits to species‐wide demographic generalizations: the ecology and management of Parkinsonia aculeata

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s10530-023-03132-1openalex-snapshot

Combining remote sensing, habitat suitability models and cellular automata to model the spread of the invasive shrub Ulex europaeus

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s10530-025-03609-1openalex-snapshot

Seasonal synchrony between vessel arrivals and larval production may influence the likelihood of biofouling introductions

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s10531-026-03394-wopenalex-snapshot

Invasions of alien plants pose unprecedented challenges to China’s nature reserves under climate change

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s10539-022-09838-1openalex-snapshot

What are ecological mechanisms? Suggestions for a fine-grained description of causal mechanisms in invasion ecology

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s10980-017-0519-6openalex-snapshot

Modeling the long-term effects of introduced herbivores on the spread of an invasive tree

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s12374-024-09449-1openalex-snapshot

Evaluating Ecological Strategies of non-native Plants Inhabiting in a Riparian semi-natural Ecosystem Using Grime’s CSR Scheme

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s13194-022-00474-wopenalex-snapshot

Reflexivity and fragility

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s13194-022-00493-7openalex-snapshot

What should scientists do about (harmful) interactive effects?

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.biocon.2022.109860openalex-snapshot

The escalating global problem of accidental human-mediated transport of alien species: A case study using alien herpetofauna interceptions in New Zealand

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2018.01.005openalex-snapshot

Prediction of future risk of invasion by Limnoperna fortunei (Dunker, 1857) (Mollusca, Bivalvia, Mytilidae) in Brazil with cellular automata

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2018.02.002openalex-snapshot

Geoengineering tensions

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.gecco.2018.e00448openalex-snapshot

General laws of biological invasion based on the sampling of invasive plants in China and the United States

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2023.118696openalex-snapshot

Identification of potential invasive alien species in Spain through horizon scanning

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.133704openalex-snapshot

Nutrients influence the multi-trophic impacts of an invasive species unaffected by native competitors or predators

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.shpsa.2018.06.001openalex-snapshot

Detail and generality in mechanistic explanation

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1017/9781108778374.006openalex-snapshot

Network Transitions

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1017/9781108900010openalex-snapshot

Ecological Complexity

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1017/can.2024.44openalex-snapshot

The Value of Openness in Open Science

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1057/s41599-026-08458-4openalex-snapshot

Reflective interdisciplinarity in practice: integrating biology and philosophy in studies of individualization

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1086/692972openalex-snapshot

Current Bibliography of the History of Science and Its Cultural Influences, 2016

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1086/697746openalex-snapshot

Indexically Structured Ecological Communities

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1086/699698openalex-snapshot

Generality and Causal Interdependence in Ecology

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/9780191944352.001.0001openalex-snapshot

Science for a Fragile World

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/9780191944352.003.0001openalex-snapshot

Introduction

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/9780191944352.003.0002openalex-snapshot

Definition of fragility

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/9780191944352.003.0003openalex-snapshot

Going local: narrow-scope explanations

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/9780191944352.003.0004openalex-snapshot

The core divide: Stability-Theorist versus Case-Worker

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/9780191944352.003.0005openalex-snapshot

Ubiquity of fragility

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/9780191944352.003.0006openalex-snapshot

Fragility and philosophy of science

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/9780191944352.003.0007openalex-snapshot

Fragility and reflexivity

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/9780191944352.003.0008openalex-snapshot

Fragility and economics

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/9780191944352.003.0009openalex-snapshot

Fragility and big data

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/9780191944352.003.0010openalex-snapshot

Fragility and the COVID-19 pandemic

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/9780191944352.003.0011openalex-snapshot

Conclusion: expertise in a fragile world

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/bjps/axy047openalex-snapshot

Bottled Understanding: The Role of Lab Work in Ecology

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1108/s0743-41542018000036a004openalex-snapshot

Hypothetical Pattern Explanations in Economic Science: Hayek’s Explanation of the Principle and Pattern Prediction Meets Contemporary Philosophy of Science

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2664.13945openalex-snapshot

Applying the stress‐gradient hypothesis to curb the spread of invasive bamboo

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/ele.13104openalex-snapshot

The role of adaptive strategies in plant naturalization

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/ele.13649openalex-snapshot

Residence time determines invasiveness and performance of garlic mustard ( Alliaria petiolata ) in North America

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/eva.70027openalex-snapshot

Landscape Heterogeneity and Environmental Dynamics Improve Predictions of Establishment Success of Colonising Small Founding Populations

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/oik.10994openalex-snapshot

Looking beyond Popper: how philosophy can be relevant to ecology

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1162/posc_a_00270openalex-snapshot

Newton on Islandworld: Ontic-Driven Explanations of Scientific Method

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1162/posc_a_00362openalex-snapshot

Stepping Forwards by Looking Back: Underdetermination, Epistemic Scarcity and Legacy Data

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.22541/au.172451632.25510914/v1openalex-snapshot

Looking beyond Popper: How philosophy can be relevant to ecology

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.25911/5d7a261999c91openalex-snapshot

Ecological Kinds and the Units of Conservation

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3390/biology11091293openalex-snapshot

Dynamic Species Distribution Modeling Reveals the Pivotal Role of Human-Mediated Long-Distance Dispersal in Plant Invasion

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3819/ccbr.2018.130008openalex-snapshot

Beyond brain size: Uncovering the neural correlates of behavioral and cognitive specialization

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3897/neobiota.68.68997openalex-snapshot

Some reflections on current invasion science and perspectives for an exciting future

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3998/ptpbio.5259openalex-snapshot

Data Synthesis for Big Questions: From Animal Tracks to Ecological Models

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