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Seamless climate change projections and seasonal predictions for bushfires in Australia

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What this work says

Outgoing claims: the papers this work cites, builds on, or argues with.

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1002/2017gl076654openalex-snapshot
Pyroconvection Risk in Australia: Climatological Changes in Atmospheric Stability and Surface Fire Weather Conditions
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1002/9781118474785.ch7openalex-snapshot
The making of national seasonal wildfire outlooks
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1002/asl.978openalex-snapshot
Testing bias adjustment methods for regional climate change applications under observational uncertainty and resolution mismatch
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1002/asl2.v21.7openalex-snapshot
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.3588openalex-snapshot
The efficacy of using gridded data to examine extreme rainfall characteristics: a case study for Australia
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.5469openalex-snapshot
Comparison of statistical downscaling methods with respect to extreme events over Europe: Validation results from the perfect predictor experiment of the COST Action VALUE
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05167-9openalex-snapshot
Climatology of thunderstorms, convective rainfall and dry lightning environments in Australia
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-016-1808-9openalex-snapshot
An investigation of future fuel load and fire weather in Australia
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cliser.2017.04.001openalex-snapshot
Seasonal predictions of Fire Weather Index: Paving the way for their operational applicability in Mediterranean Europe
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2013.09.013openalex-snapshot
Environmental circumstances surrounding bushfire fatalities in Australia 1901–2011
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1023/a:1010706116176openalex-snapshot
The Sensitivity of Australian Fire Danger to Climate Change
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/2019gl083699openalex-snapshot
Climate Change Increases the Potential for Extreme Wildfires
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-018-05250-0openalex-snapshot
Skilful forecasting of global fire activity using seasonal climate predictions
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-020-0716-1openalex-snapshot
Unprecedented burn area of Australian mega forest fires
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/s41559-020-1251-1openalex-snapshot
Impact of 2019–2020 mega-fires on Australian fauna habitat
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-019-0456-xopenalex-snapshot
Australian hot and dry extremes induced by weakenings of the stratospheric polar vortex
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-017-06869-7openalex-snapshot
Multi-year predictability of climate, drought, and wildfire in southwestern North America
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-019-46362-xopenalex-snapshot
Future changes in extreme weather and pyroconvection risk factors for Australian wildfires
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-020-00610-5openalex-snapshot
Unprecedented health costs of smoke-related PM2.5 from the 2019–20 Australian megafires
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1071/es15004openalex-snapshot
Evaluation of CMIP3 and CMIP5 Models over the Australian Region to Inform Confidence in Projections
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1071/es17009openalex-snapshot
ACCESS-S1 The new Bureau of Meteorology multi-week to seasonal prediction system
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1071/es19008openalex-snapshot
The sensitivity of fire activity to interannual climate variability in Victoria, Australia
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1071/wf06125openalex-snapshot
Interannual variations of area burnt in Tasmanian bushfires: relationships with climate and predictability
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1071/wf08133openalex-snapshot
Prediction of the probability of large fires in the Sydney region of south-eastern Australia using fire weather
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1071/wf08175openalex-snapshot
Meteorological conditions and wildfire-related houseloss in Australia
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/11/4/045001openalex-snapshot
How much global burned area can be forecast on seasonal time scales using sea surface temperatures?
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1442-9993.1980.tb01243.xopenalex-snapshot
McArthur's fire‐danger meters expressed as equations
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/bams-d-11-00094.1openalex-snapshot
An Overview of CMIP5 and the Experiment Design
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/jamc-d-17-0167.1openalex-snapshot
Climatological Variability of Fire Weather in Australia
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0222328openalex-snapshot
Understanding the variability of Australian fire weather between 1973 and 2017
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.22499/2.5804.003openalex-snapshot
High-quality spatial climate data-sets for Australia
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.22499/3.6703.001openalex-snapshot
ACCESS-S1 The new Bureau of Meteorology multi-week to seasonal prediction system
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3354/cr01075openalex-snapshot
Re-evaluating the margin of the South Australian grain belt in a changing climate
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3354/cr01218openalex-snapshot
Temporal and spatial variability of the cropping limit in South Australia

What points at this work

Incoming claims: where this work appears in other papers’ reference lists and arguments.

inferred← uses_datahttps://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.14299141zenodo-depositor-declared
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1002/met.2204openalex-snapshot
Assessing the impact of bias correction approaches on climate extremes and the climate change signal
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-98989-7openalex-snapshot
Towards the “Perfect” Weather Warning
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-98989-7_6openalex-snapshot
Connecting Weather and Hazard: A Partnership of Physical Scientists in Connected Disciplines
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s44274-025-00215-9openalex-snapshot
Australian fire weather variability using calibrated long-term reanalysis data
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2026.111088openalex-snapshot
Characteristics of the landscape and atmosphere prior to two black summer Australian fires of 2019–20
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.agwat.2025.109573openalex-snapshot
Evolving patterns of compound heat and water stress conditions: Implications for agriculture futures in Australia
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.cliser.2022.100331openalex-snapshot
A national hydrological projections service for Australia
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecoinf.2022.101899openalex-snapshot
Bayesian prediction of wildfire event probability using normalized difference vegetation index data from an Australian forest
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2023.118301openalex-snapshot
Mechanical treatments and prescribed burning can reintroduce low-severity fire in southern Australian temperate sclerophyll forests
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvp.2023.102071openalex-snapshot
Solastalgia mediates between bushfire impact and mental health outcomes: A study of Australia's 2019–2020 bushfire season
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2023.129693openalex-snapshot
An evaluation framework for downscaling and bias correction in climate change impact studies
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.marpolbul.2025.117874openalex-snapshot
Persistent elevated levels of dissolved lead in the Indian Ocean post-leaded gasoline ban: The impact of anthropogenic activities, sediment desorption, and dust storms
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1029/2023wr035376openalex-snapshot
Assessing Climate Change Impacts on Yield of “Dual‐Priority” Water Rights in Carryover Systems at Catchment Scale
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1029/2026jd046902openalex-snapshot
Evaluation of High‐Resolution CORDEX‐CMIP6 Ocean Temperature Simulations for the Great Barrier Reef
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-27225-4openalex-snapshot
Multi-decadal increase of forest burned area in Australia is linked to climate change
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s44304-026-00193-9openalex-snapshot
Substantial increases in the likelihood of extreme fire weather events for fire-prone ecosystems in Australia
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1071/es25014openalex-snapshot
Added value analysis of a CMIP6-based downscaling ensemble for Australian climate projections
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1071/esv70n1_fo2openalex-snapshot
Bureau of Meteorology Annual R&D Workshop 2019
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1071/wf23060openalex-snapshot
Associations between Australian climate drivers and extreme weekly fire danger
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1071/wf23138openalex-snapshot
Future fire events are likely to be worse than climate projections indicate – these are some of the reasons why
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/adfd73openalex-snapshot
Constraining decadal climate predictions with seasonal forecasts: a step toward seamless multi-year climate information
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1109/mpe.2021.3122732openalex-snapshot
Wildfires Down Under: Impacts and Mitigation Strategies for Australian Electricity Grids
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1145/3811242.3819109openalex-snapshot
Emotional Power and Communicating about Climate Change: Engaging Urban People with Bushfire
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1175/jamc-d-23-0181.1openalex-snapshot
Observed Associations between Fire Danger and Climate Modes and Their Representation in ACCESS-S2
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-22-0312.1openalex-snapshot
Australia’s Future Extratropical Cyclones
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1177/16094069251360314openalex-snapshot
Design Thinking as a Participatory Research Method to Protect Endangered Species: A Citizen Science Application
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.26480/ees.01.2021.64.72openalex-snapshot
CONTRIBUTION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY TO THE CHARACTERIZATION OF THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN CLIMATE AND PYROLOGICAL VARIABLES OF BUSH FIRES IN THE SAVANNAH ZONE (case of the BOUNKANI REGION)
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3389/fclim.2024.1492228openalex-snapshot
Novel climate analysis methods applied to the Australian ESCI projections data
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3390/atmos15020203openalex-snapshot
Climate Driver Influences on Prediction of the Australian Fire Behaviour Index
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3390/atmos15040470openalex-snapshot
A Statistical Forecasting Model for Extremes of the Fire Behaviour Index in Australia
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3390/cli10060086openalex-snapshot
Remarkable Resilience of Forest Structure and Biodiversity Following Fire in the Peri-Urban Bushland of Sydney, Australia
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3390/fire4030061openalex-snapshot
Catastrophic Bushfires, Indigenous Fire Knowledge and Reframing Science in Southeast Australia
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3390/fire4040097openalex-snapshot
What Do the Australian Black Summer Fires Signify for the Global Fire Crisis?
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3390/fire7040113openalex-snapshot
Comparing Observed and Projected Changes in Australian Fire Climates
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph191610388openalex-snapshot
Heat Wave and Bushfire Meteorology in New South Wales, Australia: Air Quality and Health Impacts
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.36334/modsim.2021.g3.dowdyopenalex-snapshot
Extreme bushfire projections using a standardised method
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.47389/41.2.55openalex-snapshot
An institutional framework for flood risk mitigation: a systemic redevelopment approach
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5194/acp-24-10209-2024openalex-snapshot
Multi-scale variability of southeastern Australian wind resources
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-10949-2025openalex-snapshot
Dry and warm conditions in Australia exacerbated by aerosol reduction in China
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-228-ac1openalex-snapshot
Comment on egusphere-2024-228
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-228-rc1openalex-snapshot
Comment on egusphere-2024-228
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-228-rc2openalex-snapshot
Comment on egusphere-2024-228
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3399-rc1openalex-snapshot
Comment on egusphere-2024-3399
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5194/essd-16-3601-2024openalex-snapshot
State of Wildfires 2023–2024
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2024-218openalex-snapshot
State of Wildfires 2023–24
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2024-218-cc1openalex-snapshot
Review period
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2024-218-rc1openalex-snapshot
Comment on essd-2024-218
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2024-218-rc2openalex-snapshot
Comment on essd-2024-218
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-2755-2024openalex-snapshot
Continental-scale bias-corrected climate and hydrological projections for Australia
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2023-7-ac1openalex-snapshot
Reply on CEC1
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2023-7-ac3openalex-snapshot
Reply on RC1
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2023-7-ac4openalex-snapshot
Reply on RC2
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2023-7-ac5openalex-snapshot
Reply on RC3
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2023-7-ac6openalex-snapshot
Reply on CC1
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2023-7-ac7openalex-snapshot
Reply on CEC2
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2023-7-cc1openalex-snapshot
Comment on gmd-2023-7
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2023-7-cec1openalex-snapshot
Comment on gmd-2023-7
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2023-7-cec2openalex-snapshot
Reply on AC1
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2023-7-rc1openalex-snapshot
Comment on gmd-2023-7
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2023-7-rc2openalex-snapshot
Comment on gmd-2023-7
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2023-7-rc3openalex-snapshot
Comment on gmd-2023-7
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.64628/aa.3rgsmyhkyopenalex-snapshot
Australia’s Black Summer of fire was not normal – and we can prove it
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