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Climate and agronomy, not genetics, underpin recent maize yield gains in favorable environments

https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2113629119
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Outgoing claims: the papers this work cites, builds on, or argues with.

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High-yield maize–soybean cropping systems in the US Corn Belt
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Hybrid-maize—a maize simulation model that combines two crop modeling approaches
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Progress over 20 years of sunflower breeding in central Argentina
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Yield potential and yield stability of Argentine maize hybrids over 45 years of breeding
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inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/erae/jbv034openalex-snapshot
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inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1100/tsw.2010.25openalex-snapshot
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inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1104/pp.108.130195openalex-snapshot
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inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.13604openalex-snapshot
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inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-3040.2005.01493.xopenalex-snapshot
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inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1251423openalex-snapshot
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inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev.energy.28.040202.122858openalex-snapshot
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inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0066428openalex-snapshot
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inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2134/agronj2005.0162openalex-snapshot
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inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2134/agronj2010.0189openalex-snapshot
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inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2134/jeq2014.02.0085openalex-snapshot
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inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2135/cropsci1999.3961552xopenalex-snapshot
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inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2135/cropsci1999.3961622xopenalex-snapshot
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Mathematical Methods of Statistics.

What points at this work

Incoming claims: where this work appears in other papers’ reference lists and arguments.

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Adaptation of cotton production to climate change by sowing date optimization and precision resource management
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.jafr.2024.101373openalex-snapshot
Contrasting corn acreage trends in the Midwest and Southeast: The role of yield, climate, economics, and irrigation
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2026.147491openalex-snapshot
Long-term scenarios for climate adaptation of cotton crops in China, considering multidimensional biophysical and socio-economic scenario analysis
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.molp.2025.09.005openalex-snapshot
Redefining agroecological zones in China to mitigate climate change impacts on maize production
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.ncrops.2024.100029openalex-snapshot
Regulatory mechanisms and breeding strategies for crop drought resistance
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.oneear.2024.07.008openalex-snapshot
Rotational complexity increases cropping system output under poorer growing conditions
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.resconrec.2022.106656openalex-snapshot
A global analysis of dry matter accumulation and allocation for maize yield breakthrough from 1.0 to 25.0 Mg ha−1
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.rhisph.2026.101311openalex-snapshot
Ecological filtering of root microbiomes in oil palm reveals trait-guided targets for bioinoculant design
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2024.114471openalex-snapshot
Enhancing sustainability in the new variety-based low emergy system for maize production by nitrogen optimization
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.scienta.2024.113688openalex-snapshot
Navigating the landscape of precision horticulture: Sustainable agriculture in the digital Age
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.159456openalex-snapshot
Optimizing cultivars and agricultural management practices can enhance soybean yield in Northeast China
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.160738openalex-snapshot
Negative effects of soil warming, and adaptive cultivation strategies of maize: A review
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.163531openalex-snapshot
Achieving high yield and nitrogen agronomic efficiency by coupling wheat varieties with soil fertility
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.163945openalex-snapshot
How shifts in societal priorities link to reform in agricultural water management: Analytical framework and evidence from Germany, India and Tanzania
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.173143openalex-snapshot
Moderately reducing N input to mitigate heat stress in maize
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.173180openalex-snapshot
Environmental changes impact on vegetables physiology and nutrition – Gaps between vegetable and cereal crops
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2025.180115openalex-snapshot
Variation in patterns of production and water-use efficiency among agroecosystems
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.still.2026.107493openalex-snapshot
Spatiotemporal dynamics of rhizosphere soil water, temperature and salinity under various drip irrigation regimes and their effects on cotton biomass formation
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.stress.2022.100106openalex-snapshot
Effects of post-flowering heat and drought stresses on physiology, yield, and quality in maize (Zea mays L.)
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.tibtech.2025.04.002openalex-snapshot
The next Green Revolution: integrating crop architectype and physiotype
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.tplants.2023.08.007openalex-snapshot
Strategies for breeding crops for future environments
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.watres.2023.120489openalex-snapshot
Improving model capability in simulating spatiotemporal variations and flow contributions of nitrate export in tile-drained catchments
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1021/acs.jafc.3c01076openalex-snapshot
Climate–Nutrient–Crop Model: Novel Insights into Grain-Based Food Quality
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-30872-wopenalex-snapshot
Physiological adaptive traits are a potential allele reservoir for maize genetic progress under challenging conditions
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-38355-2openalex-snapshot
China can be self-sufficient in maize production by 2030 with optimal crop management
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-55314-7openalex-snapshot
The optimum nitrogen fertilizer rate for maize in the US Midwest is increasing
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-026-69936-6openalex-snapshot
Maintenance breeding and breeding for yield potential both contribute to genetic improvement in wheat yield
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-026-02737-3openalex-snapshot
Genetically engineered crop adoption support yields and cultivation under climate change
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-24536-4openalex-snapshot
Genetic trends in CIMMYT’s tropical maize breeding pipelines
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-43528-6openalex-snapshot
Climate trends and maize production nexus in Mississippi: empirical evidence from ARDL modelling
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s43016-025-01157-4openalex-snapshot
Statistical approaches are inadequate for accurate estimation of yield potential and gaps at regional level
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s43016-025-01203-1openalex-snapshot
Crop productivity in southern Africa is stagnant despite moderate climate trends
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s43016-025-01286-wopenalex-snapshot
Agronomic management drives the wheat yield plateau in high-yielding environments of northwest Europe
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s43016-025-01292-yopenalex-snapshot
High-yielding wheat in northwest Europe constrained by agronomic management
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-023-00746-0openalex-snapshot
Increasing crop rotational diversity can enhance cereal yields
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-024-01612-3openalex-snapshot
Dissecting the vital role of dietary changes in food security assessment under climate change
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-025-02280-7openalex-snapshot
Efficient agronomic practices narrow yield gaps and alleviate climate change impacts on winter wheat production in China
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s44458-025-00016-4openalex-snapshot
Hot dry spells and extreme rain increased corn and soybean prices in the United States Midwest
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2309969121openalex-snapshot
Positive effects of public breeding on US rice yields under future climate scenarios
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1079/9781800620025.0022openalex-snapshot
Famine, Hunger, Food Prices and Climate Change
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1080/12298093.2025.2567708openalex-snapshot
Cladophialophora novalis sp. nov.: A Dark Septate Endophytic Fungus Derived from Fallow Land Soil
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/acb27fopenalex-snapshot
Synergistic contributions of climate and management intensifications to maize yield trends from 1961 to 2017
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/aob/mcad003openalex-snapshot
Variations in phenological, physiological, plant architectural and yield-related traits, their associations with grain yield and genetic basis
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/g3journal/jkaf024openalex-snapshot
Genome-wide association studies dissect the genetic architecture of seed and yield component traits in cowpea ( Vigna unguiculata L. Walp)
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/jas/skac297openalex-snapshot
How advances in animal efficiency and management have affected beef cattle’s water intensity in the United States: 1991 compared to 2019
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/plphys/kiac493openalex-snapshot
Respiratory energy demands and scope for demand expansion and destruction
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1101/2023.08.21.554202openalex-snapshot
Near Infrared Reflectance Spectroscopy Phenomic and Genomic Prediction of Maize Agronomic and Composition Traits Across Environments
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1101/2023.09.19.558447openalex-snapshot
Crop improvement can accelerate agriculture adaptation to societal demands and climate change
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2435.14278openalex-snapshot
Phenotypic evolution of agricultural crops
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/ajae.12555openalex-snapshot
Productivity growth from genetic improvement: Evidence from Illinois soybean trial data
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.17539openalex-snapshot
Phenological Adaptation Is Insufficient to Offset Climate Change‐Induced Yield Losses in US Hybrid Maize
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.70469openalex-snapshot
Climate, Rotation, and Tillage Impacts on Soybean Yield Gains in a 50‐Year Experiment
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/gcbb.70142openalex-snapshot
Incorporating County‐Level Spatial Resolution in Maize Life Cycle Emissions Analysis in Illinois, USA
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/jac.12738openalex-snapshot
Identifying High‐Yielding and Drought‐Tolerant Wheat Cultivars Based on Ideotypic Traits and Yield Responses to Stress
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1155/2024/2135433openalex-snapshot
The Formal Seed System of Maize in Ethiopia: Implications for Reducing the Yield Gap
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1186/s12870-026-08163-zopenalex-snapshot
Optimal combination of canopy management and planting density for yield enhancement in late-sown cotton
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1186/s13765-023-00838-7openalex-snapshot
Pleiotropic properties of GOLDEN2-LIKE transcription factors for crop improvement
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pstr.0000122openalex-snapshot
An ecological framework to index crop yields using productivity and Ecosystem Fit: A case study from India
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1590/s1678-3921.pab2022.v57.02963openalex-snapshot
Agronomic optimal plant density for corn in subtropical environments
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.18174/639856openalex-snapshot
How do maize plants respond to nitrogen availability? : The spatial and temporal distribution of nitrogen within the canopy
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.20961/stjssa.v22i2.93612openalex-snapshot
Evaluating the impact of planting dates on seed cotton production across diverse cultivars under variable temperature conditions
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-4312847/v1openalex-snapshot
Assessment of extreme climate stress across China’s maize harvest region in CMIP6 simulations
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-5486097/v1openalex-snapshot
The cost of soil degradation in one of the major breadbaskets in the world
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-6221922/v1openalex-snapshot
Evaluation and optimization of wheat and maize national evaluation systems in Europe
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-7179033/v1openalex-snapshot
Impact of cropland-urbanization dynamics on crop production in the United States
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.21273/hortsci17109-23openalex-snapshot
An Outlook on Processing Sweet Corn Production from the Last Three Decades (1990s–2010s)
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5155537openalex-snapshot
Sustainable Pathways for Maize Yield Improvement Based on Changes in Planting Practices in a Typical High-Yielding Maize Region in China
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5588956openalex-snapshot
Quantifying maize water use efficiency and its drivers in heterogeneous planting designs with a 3D dual crop coefficient model
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5625277openalex-snapshot
Unraveling Synergies and Trade-offs in Maize Production: An Integrated Analysis for Sustainable Intensification in the North China Plain
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5768641openalex-snapshot
Deep Learning Models for Corn Kernel Counting and Yield Estimation
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.6666025openalex-snapshot
Temporal development of plant-available micronutrients in Austrian arable soils
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.7175433openalex-snapshot
Temporal trends of plant-available micronutrients in Austrian arable soils
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3168/jds.2026-28972openalex-snapshot
Challenges and future perspectives in forage production and silage making for climate-resilient systems in a global context
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.33462/jotaf.1425930openalex-snapshot
Reciprocal Effect and Inbreeding Depression in Advanced Generations of Cotton (Gossypium hirsutum L.) Bulk Population
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3389/fenvs.2024.1503141openalex-snapshot
Assessment of extreme climate stress across China’s maize harvest region in CMIP6 simulations
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3389/fpls.2022.1030521openalex-snapshot
Multi-trait selection for mean performance and stability of maize hybrids in mega-environments delineated using envirotyping techniques
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3389/fpls.2022.906060openalex-snapshot
Quantitative Relationship Between Solar Radiation and Grain Filling Parameters of Maize
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3389/fpls.2024.1411009openalex-snapshot
Influence of climatic variables on maize grain yield and its components by adjusting the sowing date
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3389/fpls.2026.1939000openalex-snapshot
Shade avoidance responses in seedlings of maize hybrids representing 100 years of breeding history
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3389/fsufs.2023.1246347openalex-snapshot
Trends and climate response in the yield of staple crops across Northeast China
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3390/agriculture13071370openalex-snapshot
The Role of Recent Climate Change in Explaining the Statistical Yield Increase of Maize in Northern Bavaria—A Model Study
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3390/agriculture15131387openalex-snapshot
Nitrogen Responsiveness of Maize Hybrids Under Dryland Conditions
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3390/agriengineering8040146openalex-snapshot
Deep Learning–Based Corn Yield Component Estimation Under Different Nitrogen and Irrigation Rates
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3390/agronomy12091983openalex-snapshot
Improving Yield and Water Productivity of Rainfed Summer Maize in Smallholder Farming: A Case Study in Hebei Province, China
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3390/agronomy13051333openalex-snapshot
Response of Grain Yield to Planting Density and Maize Hybrid Selection in High Latitude China—A Multisource Data Analysis
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3390/agronomy13051428openalex-snapshot
County Scale Corn Yield Estimation Based on Multi-source Data in Liaoning Province
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3390/agronomy14010091openalex-snapshot
The Potential Role of Zinc and Silicon in Improving Grain Yield and Lodging Resistance of Rice (Oryza sativa L.)
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3390/agronomy14061154openalex-snapshot
Improvement of Climate Resource Utilization in the Southwestern Hilly Region through the Construction of a New Multi-Maturing Cropping System
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3390/agronomy15010170openalex-snapshot
Adaptation of Diverse Maize Germplasm to Spring Season Conditions in Northeast China
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3390/agronomy15020374openalex-snapshot
Maize Row Spacing and Seeding Rate Informed by Space-per-Plant Geometry
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3390/agronomy15040861openalex-snapshot
Tap Maize Yield Productivity in China: A Meta-Analysis of Agronomic Measures and Planting Density Optimization
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3390/agronomy15061440openalex-snapshot
Effects of Extreme Combined Abiotic Stress on Yield and Quality of Maize Hybrids
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3390/agronomy15112505openalex-snapshot
Effects of Intercropping Long- and Short-Season Varieties on the Photosynthetic Characteristics and Yield Formation of Maize in High-Latitude Cold Regions
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3390/agronomy16181766openalex-snapshot
From Growth Dynamics to Agronomic Decisions: A Conceptual Framework for Diagnosing Limiting Processes in Crop Productivity
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3390/ijms23148026openalex-snapshot
Overexpression of AcEXPA23 Promotes Lateral Root Development in Kiwifruit
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3390/ijms26157543openalex-snapshot
Estimating Genetic Variability and Heritability of Morpho-Agronomic Traits of M5 Cowpea (Vigna unguiculata (L.) Walp) Mutant Lines
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3390/plants13131799openalex-snapshot
Optimal Plant Density Is Key for Maximizing Maize Yield in Calcareous Soil of the South Pannonian Basin
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3390/su18063025openalex-snapshot
Precision Density Management as a Pathway to Sustainable Rice Intensification: A Climate–Soil Synergy Perspective from Northeast China
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3390/su18094418openalex-snapshot
A Systematic Framework for Improving the Performance of Sustainable Winter Wheat Production Technologies: Case Studies from Two Villages
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.34133/plantphenomics.0046openalex-snapshot
Analyzing Changes in Maize Leaves Orientation due to GxExM Using an Automatic Method from RGB Images
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.4236/as.2022.1311077openalex-snapshot
Profitability and Farmer Acceptability of Selected Climate Smart Technologies and Practices for Maize-Beans Production in Drought-Prone Areas, Uganda
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.55248/gengpi.5.0124.0318openalex-snapshot
Effect of Moringa Oleifera tree clusters and sparsity on health of trees and development of a precision farming method for farm growth
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