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Government Spending Multipliers in Good Times and in Bad: Evidence from US Historical Data
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What this work says
Outgoing claims: the papers this work cites, builds on, or argues with.
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What are the effects of fiscal policy shocks?
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Impulse response analysis in nonlinear multivariate models
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Monetary–fiscal policy interactions and fiscal stimulus
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The expected inflation channel of government spending in the postwar U.S.
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jebo.2012.02.005openalex-snapshot
Regime dependence of the fiscal multiplier
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jedc.2010.01.010openalex-snapshot
New Keynesian versus old Keynesian government spending multipliers
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jimonfin.2014.11.011openalex-snapshot
Procyclical and countercyclical fiscal multipliers: Evidence from OECD countries
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmoneco.2012.02.005openalex-snapshot
Confidence and the transmission of government spending shocks
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.red.2015.09.003openalex-snapshot
Fiscal Stimulus and Distortionary Taxation
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1017/s0022050713000880openalex-snapshot
Rearmament to the Rescue? New Estimates of the Impact of “Keynesian” Policies in 1930s' Britain
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1080/00401706.2013.806694openalex-snapshot
A Robust Test for Weak Instruments
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1086/657529openalex-snapshot
What Fiscal Policy Is Effective at Zero Interest Rates?
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1086/659312openalex-snapshot
When Is the Government Spending Multiplier Large?
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/ereh/heu024openalex-snapshot
Self-defeating austerity? Evidence from 1930s' Britain
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/qje/qjq002openalex-snapshot
Macroeconomic Effects From Government Purchases and Taxes *
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/qje/qjq008openalex-snapshot
Identifying Government Spending Shocks: It's all in the Timing*
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/restud/rdu016openalex-snapshot
Fiscal Policy in an Expectations-Driven Liquidity Trap
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1108/s0363-3268(2014)30openalex-snapshot
Research in Economic History
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/ecoj.12076openalex-snapshot
Local Government Spending Multipliers and Financial Distress: Evidence from Japanese Prefectures
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/ecoj.12263openalex-snapshot
Estimating Fiscal Multipliers: News from a Non‐linear World
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/iere.12045openalex-snapshot
ON FISCAL MULTIPLIERS: ESTIMATES FROM A MEDIUM SCALE DSGE MODEL
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/iere.12308openalex-snapshot
THE OUTPUT AND WELFARE EFFECTS OF GOVERNMENT SPENDING SHOCKS OVER THE BUSINESS CYCLE
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-0297.2010.02355.xopenalex-snapshot
Using Stock Returns to Identify Government Spending Shocks
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-0327.2012.00295.xopenalex-snapshot
What Determines Government Spending Multipliers?
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-2354.2010.00591.xopenalex-snapshot
DOES NEOCLASSICAL THEORY ACCOUNT FOR THE EFFECTS OF BIG FISCAL SHOCKS? EVIDENCE FROM WORLD WAR II*
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1538-4616.2007.00014.xopenalex-snapshot
Why Has U.S. Inflation Become Harder to Forecast?
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1538-4616.2009.00247.xopenalex-snapshot
Measures of per Capita Hours and Their Implications for the Technology‐Hours Debate
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An Empirical Characterization of the Dynamic Effects of Changes in Government Spending and Taxes on Output
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Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimation with Spatially Dependent Panel Data
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Understanding the Effects of Government Spending on Consumption
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Robust Standard Errors for Panel Regressions with Cross-Sectional Dependence
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A Robust Test for Weak Instruments in Stata
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Estimation and Inference of Impulse Responses by Local Projections
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The Macroeconomic Effects of Tax Changes: Estimates Based on a New Measure of Fiscal Shocks
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.103.3.117openalex-snapshot
Growth Forecast Errors and Fiscal Multipliers
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.103.4.1212openalex-snapshot
The Dynamic Effects of Personal and Corporate Income Tax Changes in the United States
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.104.3.753openalex-snapshot
Fiscal Stimulus in a Monetary Union: Evidence from US Regions
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1257/jep.13.2.23openalex-snapshot
Changes in Business Cycles: Evidence and Explanations
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1257/mac.4.1.22openalex-snapshot
Effects of Fiscal Stimulus in Structural Models
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1257/mac.6.1.190openalex-snapshot
A Theory of Countercyclical Government Multiplier
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1257/pol.4.2.1openalex-snapshot
Measuring the Output Responses to Fiscal Policy
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1353/eca.0.0069openalex-snapshot
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inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1353/eca.2012.0000openalex-snapshot
Fiscal Policy in a Depressed Economy
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Government Spending Multipliers Under the Zero Lower Bound: Evidence from Japan
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Productivity Trends in the United States
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inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/2601557openalex-snapshot
Productivity Trends in the United States.
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3386/t0055openalex-snapshot
A Simple, Positive Semi-Definite, Heteroskedasticity and AutocorrelationConsistent Covariance Matrix
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3386/t0151openalex-snapshot
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inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3386/w15496openalex-snapshot
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inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3386/w17787openalex-snapshot
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inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3386/w18381openalex-snapshot
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inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.4324/9781315133607-8openalex-snapshot
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inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.5089/9781475565829.001openalex-snapshot
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inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.5860/choice.51-3353openalex-snapshot
Fiscal policy after the financial crisis
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Fiscal Multipliers in Recession and Expansion
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.7208/chicago/9780226268873.001.0001openalex-snapshot
NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2014
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The Zero Bound on Interest Rates and Optimal Monetary Policy
What points at this work
Incoming claims: where this work appears in other papers’ reference lists and arguments.
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Government Guarantees and Banks' Income Smoothing
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Macroeconomic Effects of Bank Capital Regulation
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Market Expectations and the Credibility of Monetary Policy
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Cognitive Constraints and Economic Incentives
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The Effects of Monetary Policy Surprises and Fiscal Sustainability Regimes in the Euro Area
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4515001openalex-extracted
Empirical Evidence on the Euler Equation for Investment in the US
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4523513openalex-extracted
Random Subspace Local Projections
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4527541openalex-extracted
Energy Supply Shocks’ Nonlinearities on Output and Prices
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4564504openalex-extracted
Looking Under the Hood of Commodity Currency Predictability
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4589783openalex-extracted
From Climate Chat to Climate Shock: Non-linear Impacts of Transition Risk in Energy CDs Markets
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4594060openalex-extracted
Identification of Systematic Monetary Policy
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4603802openalex-extracted
From Climate Chat to Climate Shock: Non-Linear Impacts of Transition Risk in Energy CDS Markets
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4614142openalex-extracted
Are Fiscal Multipliers State Dependent? Insights from an Agent-Based Model
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4633861openalex-extracted
The Role of Inflation Targeting in Anchoring Long-Run Inflation Expectations: Evidence from India
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4661814openalex-extracted
Big shocks and A Variation of the Plaza Accord in an Era of CBDCs
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4668254openalex-extracted
Fiscal Multipliers in Recession and Expansion. An Analysis for the Italian Regions
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4704050openalex-extracted
Disentangling sign and size non-linearities
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4707555openalex-extracted
Nonlinearities with de-anchored inflation expectations
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4740360openalex-extracted
Linear and State-Dependent Impulse Responses in Agent-Based Models: A New Methodology and an Economic Application
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4751410openalex-extracted
Tackling Large Outliers in Macroeconomic Data with Vector Artificial Neural Network Autoregression
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4758651openalex-extracted
Breaking the Divide: Can Public Spending on Social Infrastructure Boost Female Employment in Italy?
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4766074openalex-extracted
State dependent fiscal multipliers in a Small Open Economy
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4768758openalex-extracted
US Monetary Policy is More Powerful in Low Economic Growth Regimes
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4803237openalex-extracted
The Shining Path of the Violence
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4816246openalex-extracted
Persistent Fiscal Expansions in Sudden-Stop Crises: Expectation Channel
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4823199openalex-extracted
Expansionary and Contractionary Fiscal Multipliers in the U.S
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4823468openalex-extracted
The Macroeconomics Consequences of the Political Instability
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4828703openalex-extracted
The Reverse Bank Lending Channel of QE and Qt and its Heterogeneous Effects Across the Euro Area
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4833266openalex-extracted
Estimating Fiscal Multipliers by Combining Statistical Identification with Potentially Endogenous Proxies
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4838903openalex-extracted
Monetary Policy, Firm Heterogeneity, and the Distribution of Investment Rates
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4841870openalex-extracted
Fiscal Stimulus and Firms: Profitability During the Global Financial Crisis
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4844096openalex-extracted
The Effects of Expectation: Evidence from Text-Based Infectious Disease Data
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4849408openalex-extracted
Drivers of Large Recessions and Monetary Policy Responses
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4849427openalex-extracted
Natural Gas and the Macroeconomy: Not all Energy Shocks are Alike
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4878585openalex-extracted
Efficient Two-Sample Instrumental Variable Estimators with Change Points and Near-Weak Identification
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4906971openalex-extracted
Impact of Supply Chain Disruptions on Financial Leverage
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4971637openalex-extracted
Nonlinear dynamics of large oil supply news shocks *
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5021920openalex-extracted
An Estimation and Decomposition of the Government Investment Multiplier *
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5049342openalex-extracted
Measuring the Effects of Fiscal Policy Shocks on U.S. Output in a Markov-Switching Bayesian VAR
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5053511openalex-extracted
Measuring Local Consumption with Payment Cards and Cell Phone Pings
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5053892openalex-extracted
Fiscal Multipliers in the Covid-19 Recession
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5055247openalex-extracted
Measuring Local Consumption with Payment Cards and Cell Phone Pings
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5084219openalex-extracted
Disagreement about Fiscal Policy *
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5175644openalex-extracted
What Shapes Spillovers from Monetary Policy Shocks in the United States to Emerging Market Economies?
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5176946openalex-extracted
The Government Spending Multiplier A Survey Of Empirical Literature
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5338966openalex-extracted
Buy Guns or Buy Roses?: EU Defence Spending Fiscal Multipliers
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5365426openalex-extracted
Understanding Fiscal Multipliers Through Agent Heterogeneity and Policy Regimes: Evidence from a Markov-Switching Tank Model with Sticky Wage
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5404556openalex-extracted
Unveiling Natural Gas Consumption Sectoral Price Elasticities
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5412929openalex-extracted
Opening the Black Box of Local Projections
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5439275openalex-extracted
Precautionary Savings and Financial Frictions
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5557364openalex-extracted
Gas Price Shocks, Uncertainty and Price Setting: Evidences from Italian Firms
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5968455openalex-extracted
The Economics of Public Procurement
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1002/env.70012openalex-snapshot
From Climate Chat to Climate Shock: Non‐Linear Impacts of Transition Risk in Energy CDS Markets
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