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Survival of the unfittest: why the worst infrastructure gets built--and what we can do about it

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Outgoing claims: the papers this work cites, builds on, or argues with.

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1017/cbo9781107050891openalex-snapshot
Megaprojects and Risk
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1037//0022-3514.67.3.366openalex-snapshot
Exploring the "planning fallacy": Why people underestimate their task completion times.
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1037/0022-3514.82.2.157openalex-snapshot
Thinking and caring about cognitive inconsistency: When and for whom does attitudinal ambivalence feel uncomfortable?
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1080/01944360208976273openalex-snapshot
Underestimating Costs in Public Works Projects: Error or Lie?
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1080/01944360508976688openalex-snapshot
How (In)accurate Are Demand Forecasts in Public Works Projects?: The Case of Transportation
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1177/0146167297233003openalex-snapshot
The Role of Motivated Reasoning in Optimistic Time Predictions
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.39.1.17openalex-snapshot
Timid Choices and Bold Forecasts: A Cognitive Perspective on Risk Taking
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/41166485openalex-snapshot
Delusion and Deception in Large Infrastructure Projects: Two Models for Explaining and Preventing Executive Disaster
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.5840/bpej199091/215openalex-snapshot
Ethics and Advocacy in Forecasting for Public Policy
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.5860/choice.46-6301openalex-snapshot
Animal spirits: how human psychology drives the economy, and why it matters for global capitalism

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Incoming claims: where this work appears in other papers’ reference lists and arguments.

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Overcoming left-behindedness. Moving beyond the efficiency versus equity debate in territorial development
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Chokepoints in corridors: Perspectives on bottlenecks in the European transport network
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The EVA-TREN Project Approach and Results
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CBA § Darwin: The Case of Transport Infrastructure in France
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Multi-sectoral interdependencies of regional public infrastructure investments
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Public investment allocation across Ecuadorian Provinces
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Risk and irreversibility of transport interventions
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Does uncertainty make cost-benefit analyses pointless?
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Validation of aggregate reference forecasts for passenger transport
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The Fehmarn Belt Duopoly - Can the Ferry Compete with a Tunnel?
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Debunking fake news in a post-truth era: The plausible untruths of cost underestimation in transport infrastructure projects
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Five things you should know about cost overrun
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The value of slow travel: Economic appraisal of cycling projects using the logsum measure of consumer surplus
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Forecasting transportation demand for the U.S. market
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On de-bunking ‘fake news’ in a post truth era: Why does the Planning Fallacy explanation for cost overruns fall short?
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Cost overruns of infrastructure projects – distributions, causes and remedies
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On the theoretical distribution of cost overruns: A lognormal baseline
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Cost overruns in Sweden’s transport infrastructure investments: evidence against the Planning Fallacy and the Hiding Hand
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The four knowledges of transport planning: Enacting a more communicative, trans-disciplinary policy and decision-making
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Socioeconomic impacts of transportation public-private partnerships: A dynamic CGE assessment
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Knowledge that matters for the ‘survival of unfittest’: The case of the new Brussels' rail junction
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Perception of inconvenience costs: Evidence from seven ferry services in Norway
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Sustainable urban rail funding: Insights from a century-long global dataset
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Re-appraising ‘in-process’ benefits of strategic infrastructure improvements: Capturing the unexpected socio-economic impacts for lagging regions
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Trends and policy analysis: A case for sustainable transport systems in India
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Accounting for uncertainties in cost-benefit analyses of road projects: A procedure illustrated by real-world projects
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Development impact of airport capacity expansion with city-airport expressway connection in Asia's emerging economies: Evidence on nighttime light intensity from Ha Noi
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Cost overruns and demand shortfalls – Deception or selection?
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Conservation and the Global Infrastructure Tsunami: Disclose, Debate, Delay!
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Caught in a crossfire: Front-end decision-making in airport expansion programmes
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The overlooked transport project planning process — What happens before selecting the Locally Preferred Alternative?
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Resilience by design: A deep uncertainty approach for water systems in a changing world
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Enhancing sustainable infrastructure development: A boon to poverty reduction in Nigeria
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Why the impasse? The large dams debate and divergent perspectives
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The Pitfalls of Water Privatization: Failure and Reform in Malaysia
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The Fallacy of Beneficial Ignorance: A Test of Hirschman’s Hiding Hand
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Beneficial or Detrimental Ignorance: The Straw Man Fallacy of Flyvbjerg’s Test of Hirschman’s Hiding Hand
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On the capacity to absorb public investment: How much is too much?☆
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Modeling dynamics and adaptation at operational and structural scales for the ex-ante economic evaluation of large dams in an African context
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Agriculture, Forestry and Other Land Uses (AFOLU)
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Preparing, Procuring, and Implementing Transactions
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Apes, Protected Areas and Infrastructure in Africa
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A Test of Hirschman’s Hiding Hand Principle in World Bank-Financed Hydropower Projects
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Forecast Errors and Welfare Conclusions Based on the Flyvbjerg Database
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Why mass media matter and how to work with them: phronesis and megaprojects
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Phronesis and critical policy analysis: Heathrow's ‘third runway’ and the politics of sustainable aviation in the United Kingdom
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Policy, Politics and Political Science
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Building Urban Infrastructure: The Case of Prince’s Dock, Bombay
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Performance of large-scale irrigation projects in sub-Saharan Africa
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Spatial patterns of access-density mismatch reveal infrastructure gaps and strategic opportunities for new housing
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Socially Equitable Energy Transitions: Analytical Challenges and Policy Implications
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Squandering the territorial capital in the Balkans? Urban megaprojects between global trends and local incentives
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Optimizing Markov Probabilities for Generation of a Weibull Model to Characterize Building Component Failure Processes
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Assessment of Stakeholder-Related Risks in Construction Projects: Integrated Analyses of Risk Attributes and Stakeholder Influences
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