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Distinguishing the Effect of Overconfidence from Rational Best-Response on Information Aggregation

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What this work says

Outgoing claims: the papers this work cites, builds on, or argues with.

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1006/game.1995.1022openalex-snapshot

Introduction [to a special issue of Games and Economic Behavior devoted to what we call experimental game theory]...

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1006/game.1995.1023openalex-snapshot

Quantal Response Equilibria for Normal Form Games

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-009-2665-3_1openalex-snapshot

Differences of Opinion in Financial Markets

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-010-1834-0_8openalex-snapshot

Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/0001-6918(81)90005-6openalex-snapshot

Are we all less risky and more skillful than our fellow drivers?

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-405x(81)90026-xopenalex-snapshot

Information aggregation in a noisy rational expectations economy

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/0883-9026(88)90020-1openalex-snapshot

Entrepreneurs' perceived chances for success

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1017/cbo9780511809477openalex-snapshot

Judgment under Uncertainty

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1017/cbo9780511809477.022openalex-snapshot

A progress report on the training of probability assessors

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1017/cbo9780511809477.023openalex-snapshot

Calibration of probabilities: The state of the art to 1980

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1017/cbo9781139174176openalex-snapshot

Experimental Methods

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1023/a:1009905800005openalex-snapshot

Quantal Response Equilibria for Extensive Form Games

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1023/a:1016319430881openalex-snapshot

Simultaneous Over- and Underconfidence: Evidence from Experimental Asset Markets

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1037/0021-9010.62.2.194openalex-snapshot

Managerial myopia: Self-serving biases in organizational planning.

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1037/0096-1523.3.4.552openalex-snapshot

Knowing with certainty: The appropriateness of extreme confidence.

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.96.19.10564openalex-snapshot

Stochastic game theory: For playing games, not just for doing theory

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1086/262005openalex-snapshot

Differential Interpretation of Public Signals and Trade in Speculative Markets

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/5.3.473openalex-snapshot

Differences of Opinion Make a Horse Race

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/rof/rfn023openalex-snapshot

An Experimental Test of the Impact of Overconfidence and Gender on Trading Activity

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/0022-1082.00077openalex-snapshot

Investor Psychology and Security Market Under‐ and Overreactions

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/0022-1082.00078openalex-snapshot

Volume, Volatility, Price, and Profit When All Traders Are Above Average

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1985.tb05004.xopenalex-snapshot

Does the Stock Market Overreact?

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1993.tb04702.xopenalex-snapshot

Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1559-1816.1978.tb00783.xopenalex-snapshot

Swine Flu: A Field Study of Self‐Serving Biases

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.89.1.306openalex-snapshot

Overconfidence and Excess Entry: An Experimental Approach

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1257/jep.12.3.151openalex-snapshot

Learning from the Behavior of Others: Conformity, Fads, and Informational Cascades

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.497284openalex-snapshot

An Experimental Test of the Impact of Overconfidence and Gender on Trading Activity

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/1911360openalex-snapshot

Rational Expectations and the Aggregation of Diverse Information in Laboratory Security Markets

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/2288362openalex-snapshot

Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases.

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/2554770openalex-snapshot

Experimental Methods: A Primer for Economists.

What points at this work

Incoming claims: where this work appears in other papers’ reference lists and arguments.

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1710683openalex-extracted

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1773663openalex-extracted

Ambiguity and Overconfidence

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2021350openalex-extracted

Asymmetric Learning from Financial Information

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2083173openalex-extracted

Asymmetric Learning from Financial Information

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2968647openalex-extracted

The Effect of Prior Choices on Expectations and Subsequent Portfolio Decisions

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.euroecorev.2021.103667openalex-snapshot

Information aggregation and the cognitive make-up of market participants

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.jebo.2014.04.016openalex-snapshot

Judgmental overconfidence and trading activity

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2013.02.005openalex-snapshot

Frustrated Freedom: The Effects of Agency and Wealth on Wellbeing in Rural Mozambique

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1080/09603107.2012.720012openalex-snapshot

Private information, overconfidence and intraday trading behaviour: empirical study of the Taiwan stock market

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1108/qrfm-04-2014-0011openalex-snapshot

On the role of loan officers’ psychological traits in predicting microcredit default accuracy

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/jofi.12223openalex-snapshot

Asymmetric Learning from Financial Information

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.12816/0035516openalex-snapshot

The Causes That Influence the Delay of Payment at Due Date among ENDAI-A in Tunisia

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.1110.1323openalex-snapshot

Overconfidence by Bayesian-Rational Agents

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.6966660openalex-snapshot

Confidence, Overconfidence, and Exposure in Financial Market Decisions – Experimental Evidence from the U.S. Stock Market

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.26634/jmgt.8.3.2660openalex-snapshot

Corporate Governance, Profile of the Executive Directors and the Rate of Refunding of Microcredits in the case of the Tunisian Associations of Microfinance

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3386/w23438openalex-snapshot

The Effect of Prior Choices on Expectations and Subsequent Portfolio Decisions

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.46850/sofia.9783941627574openalex-snapshot

Zur Messung von Overconfidence - Eine experimentelle Studie

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.46850/sofia.9783947850198openalex-snapshot

Confidence, Overconfidence und Exponierung bei Finanzmarktentscheidungen – Experimentelle Evidenz vom US-Aktienmarkt

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