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Time-dependent fitness effects can drive bet-hedging populations extinct

https://doi.org/10.1101/054007
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Outgoing claims: the papers this work cites, builds on, or argues with.

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The evolution of bet-hedging adaptations to rare scenarios
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Adaptive evolution of highly mutable loci in pathogenic bacteria
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Somatic generation of antibody diversity
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Experimental evolution of bet hedging
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Stochastic switching as a survival strategy in fluctuating environments
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Stochasticity in gene expression: from theories to phenotypes
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Phenotypic variation in bacteria: the role of feedback regulation
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Bacteriophage resistance mechanisms
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The continuity of microevolution and macroevolution
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Protozoan predation, diversifying selection, and the evolution of antigenic diversity in Salmonella
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Theory of Fitness in a Heterogeneous Environment. I. The Fitness Set and Adaptive Function
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Natural Selection and Mutability
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Variation in Propagule Size as a Function of Environmental Uncertainty for Tree Frogs
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The Timing of Copepod Diapause as an Evolutionarily Stable Strategy
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The Evolutionary Maintenance of Alternative Phenotypes
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Ready and Waiting: Delayed Hatching and Extended Incubation of Anamniotic Vertebrate Terrestrial Eggs
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Emergence dynamics and bet hedging in a desert bee, Perdita portalis
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Exclusion rules, bottlenecks and the evolution of stochastic phenotype switching
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Phase variation of lic1A, lic2A and lic3A in colonization of the nasopharynx, bloodstream and cerebrospinal fluid by Haemophilus influenzae type b
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The role of Dam methylation in phase variation of Haemophilus influenzae genes involved in defence against phage infection
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/evo.12568openalex-snapshot
Courting disaster: How diversification rate affects fitness under risk
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EVOLUTION OF PHENOTYPIC VARIANCE
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Bacterial Persistence as a Phenotypic Switch
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1114383openalex-snapshot
Phenotypic Diversity, Population Growth, and Information in Fluctuating Environments
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Noise in Gene Expression Determines Cell Fate in Bacillus subtilis
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Evolutionary Ecology and Developmental Instability
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The simple sequence contingency loci of Haemophilus influenzae and Neisseria meningitidis
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The evolutionary emergence of stochastic phenotype switching in bacteria
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Bistability in a Metabolic Network Underpins the De Novo Evolution of Colony Switching in Pseudomonas fluorescens
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Eco-Evolutionary Feedback and the Tuning of Proto-Developmental Life Cycles
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Bacterial Persistence
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Evolution of Stochastic Switching Rates in Asymmetric Fitness Landscapes
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1534/genetics.109.113431openalex-snapshot
Exact Results for the Evolution of Stochastic Switching in Variable Asymmetric Environments
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Stochastic Gene Expression in Fluctuating Environments
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1890/06-1495openalex-snapshot
BET HEDGING IN A GUILD OF DESERT ANNUALS
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Deep Diapause and the Influence of Low Temperature on the Hatching of the Gemmules of Spongilla lacustris (L.) and Eunapius fragilis (Leidy)
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