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How many lives can be saved? A global view on the impact of testing, herd immunity and demographics on COVID-19 fatality rates

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What this work says

Outgoing claims: the papers this work cites, builds on, or argues with.

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1001/jama.2020.1585openalex-snapshot
Clinical Characteristics of 138 Hospitalized Patients With 2019 Novel Coronavirus–Infected Pneumonia in Wuhan, China
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1001/jama.2020.4169openalex-snapshot
Managing COVID-19 in Low- and Middle-Income Countries
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s11538-017-0301-6openalex-snapshot
Mathematical Analysis of an SIQR Influenza Model with Imperfect Quarantine
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jemermed.2020.04.006openalex-snapshot
Epidemiological characteristics of 2143 pediatric patients with 2019 coronavirus disease in China
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jinf.2020.03.040openalex-snapshot
Household transmission of SARS-CoV-2
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.micinf.2020.02.006openalex-snapshot
Is COVID-19 receiving ADE from other coronaviruses?
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/s0140-6736(20)30183-5openalex-snapshot
Clinical features of patients infected with 2019 novel coronavirus in Wuhan, China
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/s0140-6736(20)30551-1openalex-snapshot
Are high-performing health systems resilient against the COVID-19 epidemic?
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/s0140-6736(20)30566-3openalex-snapshot
Clinical course and risk factors for mortality of adult inpatients with COVID-19 in Wuhan, China: a retrospective cohort study
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/s1473-3099(20)30129-8openalex-snapshot
Can we contain the COVID-19 outbreak with the same measures as for SARS?
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/s1473-3099(20)30243-7openalex-snapshot
Estimates of the severity of coronavirus disease 2019: a model-based analysis
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/s2215-0366(20)30090-0openalex-snapshot
Patients with mental health disorders in the COVID-19 epidemic
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/s2468-2667(20)30061-xopenalex-snapshot
COVID-19 and the consequences of isolating the elderly
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1056/nejmoa2001316openalex-snapshot
Early Transmission Dynamics in Wuhan, China, of Novel Coronavirus–Infected Pneumonia
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0610941104openalex-snapshot
Public health interventions and epidemic intensity during the 1918 influenza pandemic
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2004911117openalex-snapshot
Demographic science aids in understanding the spread and fatality rates of COVID-19
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1080/01621459.2000.10474324openalex-snapshot
Inference for Deterministic Simulation Models: The Bayesian Melding Approach
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1080/08898481003689528openalex-snapshot
Bayesian Melding Estimation of a Stochastic SEIR Model
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/aje/kwv020openalex-snapshot
Efficient Estimation of Smooth Distributions From Coarsely Grouped Data
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/cid/cir007openalex-snapshot
"Herd Immunity": A Rough Guide
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.01.25.919787openalex-snapshot
Time-varying transmission dynamics of Novel Coronavirus Pneumonia in China
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.14.20036178openalex-snapshot
Correcting under-reported COVID-19 case numbers: estimating the true scale of the pandemic
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.15.20036293openalex-snapshot
Demographic science aids in understanding the spread and fatality rates of COVID-19
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.25.20043679openalex-snapshot
Epidemiological Tools that Predict Partial Herd Immunity to SARS Coronavirus 2
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/jebm.12376openalex-snapshot
Preliminary prediction of the basic reproduction number of the Wuhan novel coronavirus 2019‐nCoV
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1126/science.abb3221openalex-snapshot
Substantial undocumented infection facilitates the rapid dissemination of novel coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2)
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.m1165openalex-snapshot
Covid-19: identifying and isolating asymptomatic people helped eliminate virus in Italian village
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0019616openalex-snapshot
A Bayesian Framework for Parameter Estimation in Dynamical Models
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1542/peds.2020-0702openalex-snapshot
Epidemiology of COVID-19 Among Children in China
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.17713/ajs.v49i4.1142openalex-snapshot
Investigating the Dark Figure of COVID-19 Cases in Austria: Borrowing From the Decode Genetics Study in Iceland
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.18356/08b807d4-enopenalex-snapshot
World Population Prospects
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.21105/joss.00937openalex-snapshot
ungroup: An R package for efficient estimation of smooth distributions from coarsely binned data
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3386/w26947openalex-snapshot
The Impact of COVID-19 on Gender Equality
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3386/w26965openalex-snapshot
How Deadly Is COVID-19? Understanding The Difficulties With Estimation Of Its Fatality Rate
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3386/w26983openalex-snapshot
COVID-Induced Economic Uncertainty
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3390/biology9030050openalex-snapshot
Understanding Unreported Cases in the COVID-19 Epidemic Outbreak in Wuhan, China, and the Importance of Major Public Health Interventions
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3760/cma.j.issn.0254-6450.2020.02.003openalex-snapshot
[The epidemiological characteristics of an outbreak of 2019 novel coronavirus diseases (COVID-19) in China].
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.4414/smw.2020.20225openalex-snapshot
COVID-19 epidemic in Switzerland: on the importance of testing, contact tracing and isolation
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.46234/ccdcw2020.032openalex-snapshot
The Epidemiological Characteristics of an Outbreak of 2019 Novel Coronavirus Diseases (COVID-19) — China, 2020
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2003.13547openalex-snapshot
Sex Differences in Severity and Mortality Among Patients With COVID-19: Evidence from Pooled Literature Analysis and Insights from Integrated Bioinformatic Analysis
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2003.14098openalex-snapshot
Asymptomatic infectives and $R_0$ for COVID
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.7326/m20-1565openalex-snapshot
Caution Warranted: Using the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation Model for Predicting the Course of the COVID-19 Pandemic

What points at this work

Incoming claims: where this work appears in other papers’ reference lists and arguments.

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0245845openalex-snapshot
An indirect method to monitor the fraction of people ever infected with COVID-19: An application to the United States
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.21138/bage.3158openalex-snapshot
La edad de la población en la COVID-19: controversias socio-demográficas sobre un hecho común
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5048691openalex-snapshot
Mortality of Brazilian Indigenous Women of Reproductive Age: A Time Series Analysis
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.32388/uo6rt1.3openalex-snapshot
Good news from Alsace: the Covid-19 pandemic is (almost) over. NOW WHAT?
Editorial review for independent work. ICSAC — the Institute for Complexity Science and Advanced Computing — runs a structured editorial panel for researchers publishing outside journals, and publishes on CiteStamp rails. Submission is free and goes through ORCID: icsacinstitute.org/submit.