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Do long-tailed macaques engage in intuitive statistics?

https://doi.org/10.1101/247635
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Outgoing claims: the papers this work cites, builds on, or argues with.

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Towards an Understanding of Statistical Thinking
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Intuitive probabilistic inference in capuchin monkeys
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Children’s concept of probability as inferred from their binary choices—revisited
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The origins of probabilistic inference in human infants
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Apes are intuitive statisticians
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Young children do not succeed in choice tasks that imply evaluating chances
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Theory-based Bayesian models of inductive learning and reasoning
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DESCRIPTIVE, NORMATIVE, AND PRESCRIPTIVE INTERACTIONS IN DECISION MAKING
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Responses to quantity: Perceptual versus cognitive mechanisms in chimpanzees (Pan troglodytes).
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The emergence of probabilistic reasoning in very young infants: Evidence from 4.5- and 6-month-olds.
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Probability versus representativeness in infancy: Can infants use naïve physics to adjust population base rates in probabilistic inference?
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Representational format determines numerical competence in monkeys
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The Threshold Approach to Clinical Decision Making
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0700271104openalex-snapshot
Intuitions of probabilities shape expectations about the future at 12 months and beyond
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1003095107openalex-snapshot
Infants consider both the sample and the sampling process in inductive generalization
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1410583111openalex-snapshot
Probabilistic cognition in two indigenous Mayan groups
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When maths trumps logic: probabilistic judgements in chimpanzees
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Thin Plate Regression Splines
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Core knowledge
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Twelve‐ to 14‐month‐old infants can predict single‐event probability with large set sizes
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DEVELOPMENT OF THE PROBABILITY CONCEPT IN CHILDREN
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Less Is More
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Fast Stable Restricted Maximum Likelihood and Marginal Likelihood Estimation of Semiparametric Generalized Linear Models
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Pure Reasoning in 12-Month-Old Infants as Probabilistic Inference
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Infants Are Rational Constructivist Learners
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A Simple Sequentially Rejective Multiple Test Procedure
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