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A protocol for an intercomparison of biodiversity and ecosystem services models using harmonized land-use and climate scenarios

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What this work says

Outgoing claims: the papers this work cites, builds on, or argues with.

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The PREDICTS database: a global database of how local terrestrial biodiversity responds to human impacts
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WorldClim 2: new 1‐km spatial resolution climate surfaces for global land areas
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SSP3: AIM implementation of Shared Socioeconomic Pathways
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Land-use futures in the shared socio-economic pathways
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Farming the planet: 2. Geographic distribution of crop areas, yields, physiological types, and net primary production in the year 2000
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Global monthly water stress: 1. Water balance and water availability
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The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment
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Consequences of climate change on the tree of life in Europe
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Biodiversity loss and its impact on humanity
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Coastal habitats shield people and property from sea-level rise and storms
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Demographic controls of future global fire risk
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Influencing policymakers
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Historical carbon dioxide emissions caused by land-use changes are possibly larger than assumed
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Multiscale scenarios for nature futures
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Improving extinction projections across scales and habitats using the countryside species-area relationship
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Evaluation of ecosystem dynamics, plant geography and terrestrial carbon cycling in the LPJ dynamic global vegetation model
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The Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISI–MIP): Project framework
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Global agriculture and carbon trade-offs
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Mapping ecosystem functions and services in Eastern Europe using global-scale data sets
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Assessing inter-sectoral climate change risks: the role of ISIMIP
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Global malnutrition overlaps with pollinator-dependent micronutrient production
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Global habitat suitability models of terrestrial mammals
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Spatial predictions at the community level: from current approaches to future frameworks
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Future habitat loss and extinctions driven by land‐use change in biodiversity hotspots under four scenarios of climate‐change mitigation
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Projecting Global Biodiversity Indicators under Future Development Scenarios
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/ddi.12624openalex-snapshot
Global scenarios for biodiversity need to better integrate climate and land use change
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A road map for integrating eco‐evolutionary processes into biodiversity models
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Biodiversity scenarios neglect future land‐use changes
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Integrated assessment models for ecologists: the present and the future
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Disentangling the effects of land‐use change, climate and CO2 on projected future E uropean habitat types
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Patterns and uncertainties of species' range shifts under climate change
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Predicting species distribution: offering more than simple habitat models
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Impacts of climate change on the future of biodiversity
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Using generalized dissimilarity modelling to analyse and predict patterns of beta diversity in regional biodiversity assessment
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BIOMOD – a platform for ensemble forecasting of species distributions
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A practical guide to MaxEnt for modeling species' distributions: what it does, and why inputs and settings matter
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Scenarios for Global Biodiversity in the 21st Century
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1126/science.287.5459.1770openalex-snapshot
Global Biodiversity Scenarios for the Year 2100
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Has land use pushed terrestrial biodiversity beyond the planetary boundary? A global assessment
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Biodiversity redistribution under climate change: Impacts on ecosystems and human well-being
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Assessing nature's contributions to people
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev.ecolsys.110308.120159openalex-snapshot
Species Distribution Models: Ecological Explanation and Prediction Across Space and Time
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Projected Impacts of Climate and Land-Use Change on the Global Diversity of Birds
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Emergent Global Patterns of Ecosystem Structure and Function from a Mechanistic General Ecosystem Model
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0063708openalex-snapshot
Fit-for-Purpose: Species Distribution Model Performance Depends on Evaluation Criteria – Dutch Hoverflies as a Case Study
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The Power of Three: Coral Reefs, Seagrasses and Mangroves Protect Coastal Regions and Increase Their Resilience
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A global view of shifting cultivation: Recent, current, and future extent
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Mapping More of Terrestrial Biodiversity for Global Conservation Assessment
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Global Food Demand and Carbon-Preserving Cropland Expansion under Varying Levels of Intensification
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Emulating coupled atmosphere-ocean and carbon cycle models with a simpler model, MAGICC6 – Part 1: Model description and calibration
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Emulating atmosphere-ocean and carbon cycle models with a simpler model, MAGICC6 – Part 2: Applications
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Implications of incorporating N cycling and N limitations on primary production in an individual-based dynamic vegetation model
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Modelling the response of yields and tissue C : N to changes in atmospheric CO 2 and N management in the main wheat regions of western Europe
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-8-2027-2011openalex-snapshot
Impacts of land cover and climate data selection on understanding terrestrial carbon dynamics and the CO 2 airborne fraction
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A trend-preserving bias correction – the ISI-MIP approach
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-4-385-2013openalex-snapshot
Implications of accounting for land use in simulations of ecosystem carbon cycling in Africa
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A framework for the cross-sectoral integration of multi-model impact projections: land use decisions under climate impacts uncertainties
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The Fire Modeling Intercomparison Project (FireMIP), phase 1: experimental and analytical protocols with detailed model descriptions
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The PMIP4 contribution to CMIP6 – Part 3: The last millennium, scientific objective, and experimental design for the PMIP4 past1000 simulations
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-10-4321-2017openalex-snapshot
Assessing the impacts of 1.5 °C global warming – simulation protocol of the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP2b)
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-11-2995-2018openalex-snapshot
A new version of the CABLE land surface model (Subversion revision r4601) incorporating land use and land cover change, woody vegetation demography, and a novel optimisation-based approach to plant coordination of photosynthesis
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-8-4045-2015openalex-snapshot
Coupling global models for hydrology and nutrient loading to simulate nitrogen and phosphorus retention in surface water – description of IMAGE–GNM and analysis of performance
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-9-2973-2016openalex-snapshot
The Land Use Model Intercomparison Project (LUMIP) contribution to CMIP6: rationale and experimental design
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-9-3461-2016openalex-snapshot
The Scenario Model Intercomparison Project (ScenarioMIP) for CMIP6
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18180329openalex-snapshot
Progress towards the Aichi biodiversity targets: An assessment of biodiversity trends, policy scenarios and key actions

What points at this work

Incoming claims: where this work appears in other papers’ reference lists and arguments.

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecoinf.2019.101033openalex-snapshot
Monitoring global changes in biodiversity and climate essential as ecological crisis intensifies
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.09.371openalex-snapshot
Towards globally customizable ecosystem service models
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-09945-wopenalex-snapshot
Key determinants of global land-use projections
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-019-1567-7openalex-snapshot
Wilderness areas halve the extinction risk of terrestrial biodiversity
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-022-05292-xopenalex-snapshot
Global hotspots for soil nature conservation
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.16616openalex-snapshot
Current and future distribution of a parasite with complex life cycle under global change scenarios: Echinococcus multilocularis in Europe
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1126/science.aaw3372openalex-snapshot
Global modeling of nature’s contributions to people
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1126/science.aea9058openalex-snapshot
Landscape efficiency frontiers for biodiversity, climate mitigation, and net economic value
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Blind spots of modelling biodiversity loss in food systems
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.31223/x56m1vopenalex-snapshot
Towards robust interdisciplinary modeling of global human-environmental dynamics
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