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A Collaborative Multi-Model Ensemble for Real-Time Influenza Season Forecasting in the U.S

https://doi.org/10.1101/566604
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What this work says

Outgoing claims: the papers this work cites, builds on, or argues with.

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1002/sim.7488openalex-snapshot
Infectious disease prediction with kernel conditional density estimation
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/978-0-387-84858-7openalex-snapshot
The Elements of Statistical Learning: Data Mining, Inference, and Prediction
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epidem.2017.02.006openalex-snapshot
Predicting lymphatic filariasis transmission and elimination dynamics using a multi-model ensemble framework
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epidem.2017.08.002openalex-snapshot
The RAPIDD ebola forecasting challenge: Synthesis and lessons learnt
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jcp.2007.02.014openalex-snapshot
Ensemble forecasting
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/s0074-6142(02)80152-8openalex-snapshot
Predicting uncertainty in numerical weather forecasts
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/s0893-6080(05)80023-1openalex-snapshot
Stacked generalization
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms3837openalex-snapshot
Real-time influenza forecasts during the 2012–2013 season
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-017-01033-1openalex-snapshot
Counteracting structural errors in ensemble forecast of influenza outbreaks
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-018-36361-9openalex-snapshot
Collaborative efforts to forecast seasonal influenza in the United States, 2015–2016
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1057/jors.1969.103openalex-snapshot
The Combination of Forecasts
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1515373112openalex-snapshot
Accurate estimation of influenza epidemics using Google search data via ARGO
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1708856115openalex-snapshot
Forecasting the spatial transmission of influenza in the United States
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1812594116openalex-snapshot
A collaborative multiyear, multimodel assessment of seasonal influenza forecasting in the United States
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/aje/kwx334openalex-snapshot
Systematic Assessment of Multiple Routine and Near Real-Time Indicators to Classify the Severity of Influenza Seasons and Pandemics in the United States, 2003–2004 Through 2015–2016
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2016.0410openalex-snapshot
Superensemble forecasts of dengue outbreaks
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1109/mcas.2006.1688199openalex-snapshot
Ensemble based systems in decision making
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1126/science.285.5433.1548openalex-snapshot
Improved Weather and Seasonal Climate Forecasts from Multimodel Superensemble
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1137/1036146openalex-snapshot
The Probability Integral Transform and Related Results
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/mwr2906.1openalex-snapshot
Using Bayesian Model Averaging to Calibrate Forecast Ensembles
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1201/9781315382487openalex-snapshot
Dynamic Documents with R and knitr, Second Edition
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1201/b15166openalex-snapshot
Dynamic Documents with R and knitr
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1214/18-ba1117openalex-snapshot
Dynamic Bayesian Influenza Forecasting in the United States with Hierarchical Discrepancy (with Discussion)
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1003583openalex-snapshot
Comparison of Filtering Methods for the Modeling and Retrospective Forecasting of Influenza Epidemics
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1004382openalex-snapshot
Flexible Modeling of Epidemics with an Empirical Bayes Framework
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1005248openalex-snapshot
A human judgment approach to epidemiological forecasting
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1005801openalex-snapshot
Individual versus superensemble forecasts of seasonal influenza outbreaks in the United States
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1005910openalex-snapshot
Prediction of infectious disease epidemics via weighted density ensembles
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1006134openalex-snapshot
Nonmechanistic forecasts of seasonal influenza with iterative one-week-ahead distributions
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0089680openalex-snapshot
A Selected Core Microbiome Drives the Early Stages of Three Popular Italian Cheese Manufactures
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0094130openalex-snapshot
Influenza Forecasting in Human Populations: A Scoping Review
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2196/jmir.7486openalex-snapshot
Subregional Nowcasts of Seasonal Influenza Using Search Trends
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/2527342openalex-snapshot
Evaluating Density Forecasts with Applications to Financial Risk Management
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/j.ctvcm4gk0openalex-snapshot
Modeling Infectious Diseases in Humans and Animals
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.1708.09481openalex-snapshot
Dynamic Bayesian Influenza Forecasting in the United States with Hierarchical Discrepancy
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.1255022openalex-snapshot
FluSightNetwork/cdc-flusight-ensemble: End of 2017/2018 US influenza season

What points at this work

Incoming claims: where this work appears in other papers’ reference lists and arguments.

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1002/sim.9219openalex-snapshot
Adaptively stacking ensembles for influenza forecasting
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.epidem.2025.100832openalex-snapshot
A Cluster-Aggregate-Pool (CAP) ensemble algorithm for improved forecast performance of influenza-like illness
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.gene.2024.148586openalex-snapshot
Dual-strain dynamics of COVID-19 variants in India: Modeling, analysis, and implications for pandemic control
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2021.02.010openalex-snapshot
Forecasting for social good
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-11901-7openalex-snapshot
Technology to advance infectious disease forecasting for outbreak management
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-23234-5openalex-snapshot
Multiscale influenza forecasting
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780198853244.003.0004openalex-snapshot
Infectious Disease Forecasting for Public Health
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1007941openalex-snapshot
Socioeconomic bias in influenza surveillance
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.1908.01675openalex-snapshot
Adaptively stacking ensembles for influenza forecasting with incomplete data
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.52403/ijrr.20230749openalex-snapshot
Forecasting Models: An Economic and Environmental Applications
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