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Incorporating evolutionary adaptation in species distribution modelling reduces projected vulnerability to climate change
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What this work says
Outgoing claims: the papers this work cites, builds on, or argues with.
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Gillespie eco‐evolutionary models ( GEM s) reveal the role of heritable trait variation in eco‐evolutionary dynamics
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Heritability is not Evolvability
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Maximum entropy modeling of species geographic distributions
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Extinction risk from climate change
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Climate change and evolutionary adaptation
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No increase in global temperature variability despite changing regional patterns
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Physiological plasticity increases resilience of ectothermic animals to climate change
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Adaptive potential of a Pacific salmon challenged by climate change
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Ammonia as a case study for the spontaneous ionization of a simple hydrogen-bonded compound
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Loss of frugivore seed dispersal services under climate change
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A collection of Australian Drosophila datasets on climate adaptation and species distributions
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Opposing clines for high and low temperature resistance in Drosophila melanogaster
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Rapid evolution of flowering time by an annual plant in response to a climate fluctuation
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Niches, models, and climate change: Assessing the assumptions and uncertainties
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Upper thermal limits of Drosophila are linked to species distributions and strongly constrained phylogenetically
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Limited tolerance by insects to high temperatures across tropical elevational gradients and the implications of global warming for extinction
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Dispersal of Desert-Adapted Drosophila: The Saguaro-Breeding D. nigrospiracula
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Abundance and the Environmental Niche: Environmental Suitability Estimated from Niche Models Predicts the Upper Limit of Local Abundance
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Variation in Thermal Performance among Insect Populations
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GENETICS OF NATURAL POPULATIONS. X. DISPERSION RATES IN DROSOPHILA PSEUDOOBSCURA
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Complex Life Cycles and the Responses of Insects to Climate Change
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Is adaptation to climate change really constrained in niche specialists?
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Evolutionary responses to environmental change: trophic interactions affect adaptation and persistence
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Predicting organismal vulnerability to climate warming: roles of behaviour, physiology and adaptation
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Tolerance landscapes in thermal ecology
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How to assess Drosophila cold tolerance: chill coma temperature and lower lethal temperature are the best predictors of cold distribution limits
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Microclimate modelling at macro scales: a test of a general microclimate model integrated with gridded continental‐scale soil and weather data
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Range S hifter: a platform for modelling spatial eco‐evolutionary dynamics and species' responses to environmental changes
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Evolving integral projection models: evolutionary demography meets eco‐evolutionary dynamics
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Predicting the spread ofAedes albopictusin Australia under current and future climates: Multiple approaches and datasets to incorporate potential evolutionary divergence
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Accounting for adaptive capacity and uncertainty in assessments of species’ climate‐change vulnerability
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Improved spatial estimates of climate predict patchier species distributions
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ALADYN – a spatially explicit, allelic model for simulating adaptive dynamics
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Changes in species' distributions during and after environmental change: which eco‐evolutionary processes matter more?
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A road map for integrating eco‐evolutionary processes into biodiversity models
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Rates of projected climate change dramatically exceed past rates of climatic niche evolution among vertebrate species
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Rapid evolution of metabolic traits explains thermal adaptation in phytoplankton
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Experimental evolution reveals high insecticide tolerance in Daphnia inhabiting farmland ponds
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Heritability and evolvability of fitness and nonfitness traits: Lessons from livestock
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Population dynamics can be more important than physiological limits for determining range shifts under climate change
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Sensitivity to thermal extremes in Australian Drosophila implies similar impacts of climate change on the distribution of widespread and tropical species
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Thermal adaptation generates a diversity of thermal limits in a rainforest ant community
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The shifting influence of drought and heat stress for crops in northeast Australia
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Eco‐genomic analysis of the poleward range expansion of the wasp spider A rgiope bruennichi shows rapid adaptation and genomic admixture
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Extending spatial modelling of climate change responses beyond the realized niche: estimating, and accommodating, physiological limits and adaptive evolution
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The relationship between density and distance of dispersing insects
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Hardening capacity in the Drosophila melanogaster species group is constrained by basal thermotolerance
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Integrating biophysical models and evolutionary theory to predict climatic impacts on species’ ranges: the dengue mosquito Aedes aegypti in Australia
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Thermal ramping rate influences evolutionary potential and species differences for upper thermal limits in Drosophila
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Upper thermal limits in terrestrial ectotherms: how constrained are they?
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Rapidly advancing laying date in a seabird and the changing advantage of early reproduction
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A multivariate test of evolutionary constraints for thermal tolerance in Drosophila melanogaster
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Ecotypic variation in the context of global climate change: revisiting the rules
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Mechanistic niche modelling: combining physiological and spatial data to predict species’ ranges
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Building the niche through time: using 13,000 years of data to predict the effects of climate change on three tree species in Europe
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Evolutionary Responses to Climate Change
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WHEN DOES EVOLUTION BY NATURAL SELECTION PREVENT EXTINCTION?
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Modeling bird species distribution change in fire prone Mediterranean landscapes: incorporating species dispersal and landscape dynamics
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Building evolutionary resilience for conserving biodiversity under climate change
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1063656openalex-snapshot
Constraint to Adaptive Evolution in Response to Global Warming
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1084296openalex-snapshot
Low Potential for Climatic Stress Adaptation in a Rainforest Drosophila Species
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1109523openalex-snapshot
A Rapid Shift in a Classic Clinal Pattern in Drosophila Reflecting Climate Change
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1175443openalex-snapshot
Fundamental Evolutionary Limits in Ecological Traits Drive Drosophila Species Distributions
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1126/science.285.5431.1265openalex-snapshot
Conservatism of Ecological Niches in Evolutionary Time
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-ecolsys-102209-144628openalex-snapshot
Biodiversity and Climate Change: Integrating Evolutionary and Ecological Responses of Species and Communities
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev.ecolsys.37.091305.110145openalex-snapshot
Limits to the Adaptive Potential of Small Populations
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/jhm-d-11-058.1openalex-snapshot
Estimating the Relative Uncertainties Sourced from GCMs and Hydrological Models in Modeling Climate Change Impact on Runoff
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1186/s12898-015-0055-7openalex-snapshot
Correspondence between the habitat of the threatened pudú (Cervidae) and the national protected-area system of Chile
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1186/s12898-016-0070-3openalex-snapshot
Seasonal cues induce phenotypic plasticity of Drosophila suzukii to enhance winter survival
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1186/s40665-014-0009-xopenalex-snapshot
A framework for incorporating evolutionary genomics into biodiversity conservation and management
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1242/jeb.099184openalex-snapshot
Evolutionary capacity of upper thermal limits: beyond single trait assessments
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pbio.0060325openalex-snapshot
Towards an Integrated Framework for Assessing the Vulnerability of Species to Climate Change
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1603/ec11247openalex-snapshot
Developmental Database for Phenology Models: Related Insect and Mite Species Have Similar Thermal Requirements
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.17161/bi.v2i0.4openalex-snapshot
Interpretation of Models of Fundamental Ecological Niches and Species’ Distributional Areas
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.18637/jss.v067.i01openalex-snapshot
Fitting Linear Mixed-Effects Models Using lme4
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1890/03-0788openalex-snapshot
EVOLUTIONARY RESPONSES TO CHANGING CLIMATE
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Uses and misuses of bioclimatic envelope modeling
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.22499/2.5804.003openalex-snapshot
High-quality spatial climate data-sets for Australia
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3382/ps.0420547openalex-snapshot
Introduction to Quantitative Genetics
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Climate-adjusted provenancing: a strategy for climate-resilient ecological restoration
What points at this work
Incoming claims: where this work appears in other papers’ reference lists and arguments.
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Beyond the model: expert knowledge improves predictions of species’ fates under climate change
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Genetic variation for tolerance to high temperatures in a population ofDrosophila melanogaster
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Phenotypic plasticity closely linked to climate at origin and resulting in increased mortality under warming and frost stress in a common grass
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Experimental migration upward in elevation is associated with strong selection on life history traits
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Toward reliable habitat suitability and accessibility models in an era of multiple environmental stressors
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Pathogen exposure reduces sexual dimorphism in a host’s upper thermal limits
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Contrasting patterns in the occurrence and biomass centers of gravity among fish and macroinvertebrates in a continental shelf ecosystem
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Impact of Climate Change on the Potential Distribution of Belamcanda chinensis Under Multiple Climatic Scenarios
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Finding common ground: Toward comparable indicators of adaptive capacity of tree species to a changing climate
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Climate change expected to improve digestive rate and trigger range expansion in outbreaking locusts
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1002/ecm.1593openalex-snapshot
Novel genomic offset metrics integrate local adaptation into habitat suitability forecasts and inform assisted migration
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A trait‐based framework for assessing the vulnerability of marine species to human impacts
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Thermal evolution of life history and heat tolerance during range expansions toward warmer and cooler regions
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Evolutionary genomics can improve prediction of species’ responses to climate change
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Linking evolutionary potential to extinction risk: applications and future directions
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Climate change, host plant availability, and irrigation shape future region‐specific distributions of the Sitobion grain aphid complex
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Climate change vulnerability assessment of species
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When will a changing climate outpace adaptive evolution?
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Parasite Diversity, Dynamics, and Climate Change
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The Macroecological Understanding of Ecological Niches
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Individual-based modeling of eco-evolutionary dynamics: state of the art and future directions
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Using traits to assess threatened plant species response to climate change
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Climate change may reduce suitable habitat for freshwater fish in a tropical watershed
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Forecasting effects of climate changes on the population genetic structure of Anacardium occidentale in the Cerrado biome, Brazil
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Nativeness as Gradient: Towards a More Complete Value Assessment of Species in a Rapidly Changing World
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Potential impacts of climate change on Welwitschia mirabilis populations in the Namib Desert, southern Africa
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Changing Thermal Landscapes: Merging Climate Science and Landscape Ecology through Thermal Biology
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Climate Change: Anticipating and Adapting to the Impacts on Terrestrial Species
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Comparing Extinction Rates: Past, Present, and Future
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Latitudinal and Elevational Range Shifts Under Contemporary Climate Change
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Plasticity of cold hardiness in the eastern spruce budworm, Choristoneura fumiferana
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The role of tolerance variation in vulnerability forecasting of insects
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Evolutionary impacts of winter climate change on insects
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Reproductive meltdowns underlie arthropod extinctions in the face of climate change
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Plasticity drives extreme cold tolerance of emerald ash borer (Agrilus planipennis) during a polar vortex
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The effect of captive breeding upon adult thermal preference in the Queensland fruit fly (Bactrocera tryoni)
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Rapid and reversible plasticity of upper thermal limit, but no effects of multigenerational warming in medaka
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Using infrared thermography to understand the thermal ecology of wild bumblebees
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The embryonic thermal environment has positive but weak effects on thermal tolerance later in life in the aquatic invertebrate Gammarus chevreuxi
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A trait-based framework to identify North Sea fauna vulnerable to underwater noise
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Will life find a way out? Evolutionary rescue and Darwinian adaptation to climate change
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Decoding the genomic basis of adaptive capacity and vulnerability in the high-altitude Saussurea obvallata complex
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Projecting climate change impacts from physics to fisheries: A view from three California Current fisheries
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A global synthesis of research on plant local adaptation to climate change: plant diversity, methodological approaches and future roadmap
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Major range loss predicted from lack of heat adaptability in an alpine Drosophila species
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Convergence of life history and physiology during range expansion toward the phenotype of the native sister species
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Predicted range shifts of invasive giant hogweed (Heracleum mantegazzianum) in Europe
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Climate change will cause climatic niche contraction of Vaccinium myrtillus L. and V. vitis-idaea L. in Europe
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Incorporating eco-evolutionary information into species distribution models provides comprehensive predictions of species range shifts under climate change
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Genomic Quantitative Genetics to Study Evolution in the Wild
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Cracking the Code of Biodiversity Responses to Past Climate Change
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The Impact of Climate Change on Fertility
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Does Plasticity Trade Off With Basal Heat Tolerance?
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.tree.2021.07.001openalex-snapshot
How useful are thermal vulnerability indices?
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.tree.2022.09.006openalex-snapshot
Molecular ecology meets systematic conservation planning
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.tree.2025.04.009openalex-snapshot
Can plants keep up with fire regime changes through evolution?
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/s2095-3119(18)62042-8openalex-snapshot
Adaptation of Drosophila species to climate change — A literature review since 2003
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms15399openalex-snapshot
A dynamic eco-evolutionary model predicts slow response of alpine plants to climate warming
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41437-025-00774-wopenalex-snapshot
Genetic diversity and structure lag the effects of contemporary environmental changes in a platypus meta-population
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-28742-6openalex-snapshot
Loss of transcriptional plasticity but sustained adaptive capacity after adaptation to global change conditions in a marine copepod
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-32546-zopenalex-snapshot
The combination of genomic offset and niche modelling provides insights into climate change-driven vulnerability
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-47872-7openalex-snapshot
Biodiversity loss reduces global terrestrial carbon storage
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-52895-1openalex-snapshot
Selective breeding enhances coral heat tolerance to marine heatwaves
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-026-73689-7openalex-snapshot
Nesting behaviour predicts heat tolerance evolution and climate vulnerability in bees
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-021-01045-2openalex-snapshot
Light and energetics at seasonal extremes limit poleward range shifts
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-021-01131-5openalex-snapshot
Rapid, but limited, zooplankton adaptation to simultaneous warming and acidification
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-021-01255-8openalex-snapshot
Climate warming may increase the frequency of cold-adapted haplotypes in alpine plants
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-018-28259-3openalex-snapshot
Geographic variation and plasticity in climate stress resistance among southern African populations of Ceratitis capitata (Wiedemann) (Diptera: Tephritidae)
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s42003-020-0962-9openalex-snapshot
Crop and forest pest metawebs shift towards increased linkage and suitability overlap under climate change
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s42003-022-03088-3openalex-snapshot
Local adaptation to climate anomalies relates to species phylogeny
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s42003-025-08032-9openalex-snapshot
Species responses to weather anomalies depend on local adaptation and range position
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s43017-024-00527-zopenalex-snapshot
Mechanisms, detection and impacts of species redistributions under climate change
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/srep46399openalex-snapshot
The relationship between climate change and the endangered rainforest shrub Triunia robusta (Proteaceae) endemic to southeast Queensland, Australia
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1071/9781486314935.bk08025_part3openalex-snapshot
Adaptation and change
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1820663116openalex-snapshot
Considering adaptive genetic variation in climate change vulnerability assessment reduces species range loss projections
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1913007117openalex-snapshot
Recent responses to climate change reveal the drivers of species extinction and survival
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2415291123openalex-snapshot
Conservation should assume realistic adaptive capacities
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2418199122openalex-snapshot
Evolutionary adaptation under climate change: Aedes sp. demonstrates potential to adapt to warming
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2425582122openalex-snapshot
A theoretical framework for scaling ecological niches from individuals to species
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2515903123openalex-snapshot
Species range shifts often speed ahead of their modeled climatic niches
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2530363123openalex-snapshot
Increasing risk of vapor pressure deficit exceeding critical thresholds for tree growth
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1086/710006openalex-snapshot
Phenotypic Plasticity for Desiccation Resistance, Climate Change, and Future Species Distributions: Will Plasticity Have Much Impact?
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1086/717938openalex-snapshot
Repeatability of Voluntary Thermal Maximum and Covariance with Water Loss Reveal Potential for Adaptation to Changing Climates
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1086/733105openalex-snapshot
Shifting Precipitation Regimes Influence Optimal Germination Strategies and Population Dynamics in Bet-Hedging Desert Annuals
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab3313openalex-snapshot
Impacts of climate change on tomato, a notorious pest and its natural enemy: small scale agriculture at higher risk
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/biolinnean/blaa010openalex-snapshot
Placing the hybrid origin of the asexual Amazon molly (Poecilia formosa) based on historical climate data
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/conphys/coad038openalex-snapshot
How can physiology best contribute to wildlife conservation in a warming world?
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/conphys/coaf038openalex-snapshot
A user’s guide for understanding reptile and amphibian hydroregulation and climate change impacts
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/conphys/coz098openalex-snapshot
Local cold adaption increases the thermal window of temperate mussels in the Arctic
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/evlett/qrad038openalex-snapshot
When and how can we predict adaptive responses to climate change?
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/evolut/qpaf216openalex-snapshot
Genetic offset and vulnerability modeling under climate change scenarios: common misinterpretations and violations of evolutionary principles
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/icesjms/fsag078openalex-snapshot
Genomic evidence of regional environment-associated genetic divergence in an Arctic copepod
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/jcbiol/ruab088openalex-snapshot
A global overview of climate change impacts on freshwater decapods: substantial research gaps across taxa and biogeographic regions
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/molbev/msaf122openalex-snapshot
Conservation Evolutionary Biology: A Unified Framework Connecting the Past, Present, and Future of Biodiversity Conservation
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2017.0447openalex-snapshot
How important is thermal history? Evidence for lasting effects of developmental temperature on upper thermal limits inDrosophila melanogaster
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2021.2006openalex-snapshot
Individual-based eco-evolutionary models for understanding adaptation in changing seas
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1098/rstb.2022.0018openalex-snapshot
Infection burdens and virulence under heat stress: ecological and evolutionary considerations
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1098/rstb.2022.0494openalex-snapshot
Individual variation in thermally induced plasticity of metabolic rates: ecological and evolutionary implications for a warming world
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1101/147181openalex-snapshot
Species-specific adaptations determine how aridity and biotic interactions drive the assembly of dryland plant communities
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1101/2020.01.29.925396openalex-snapshot
Loss and recovery of transcriptional plasticity after long-term adaptation to global change conditions in a marine copepod
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1101/2021.08.17.456665openalex-snapshot
Effects of climate warming on the pine processionary moth at the southern edge of its range: a retrospective analysis on egg survival in Tunisia
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1101/2022.02.02.478887openalex-snapshot
Extinction Risk of Sonoran Desert Annuals Following Potential Changes in Precipitation Regimes
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1101/2024.12.06.627157openalex-snapshot
Scaling ecological niches from individuals to populations and beyond
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1101/2025.09.02.673611openalex-snapshot
Nesting behaviour predicts heat tolerance evolution and climate vulnerability in bees
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1101/529735openalex-snapshot
Effects of variations in adaptation potential on invasion speeds and species ranges
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1101/567321openalex-snapshot
Impacts of climate change on high priority fruit fly species in Australia
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2435.13095openalex-snapshot
Contemporary climate‐driven range shifts: Putting evolution back on the table
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2435.13414openalex-snapshot
Interacting with change: Diet mediates how larvae respond to their thermal environment
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2435.70031openalex-snapshot
Limited plasticity but increased variance in physiological rates across ectotherm populations under climate change
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2656.12976openalex-snapshot
Long‐term exposure to higher temperature increases the thermal sensitivity of grazer metabolism and movement
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2656.13482openalex-snapshot
Evolution of cold tolerance and thermal plasticity in life history, behaviour and physiology during a poleward range expansion
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2656.14054openalex-snapshot
Temperature‐dependent dispersal and ectotherm species' distributions in a warming world
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2656.70332openalex-snapshot
Limited capacity for rapid acclimation to marine heatwaves in coastal invertebrates
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2745.13006openalex-snapshot
Aridity preferences alter the relative importance of abiotic and biotic drivers on plant species abundance in global drylands
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2745.70035openalex-snapshot
Modelling the distribution of plant‐associated microbes with species distribution models
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/1749-4877.12297openalex-snapshot
Comparative studies of critical physiological limits and vulnerability to environmental extremes in small ectotherms: How much environmental control is needed?
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/2041-210x.13236openalex-snapshot
Adjustable temperature array for characterizing ecological and evolutionary effects on thermal physiology
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/2041-210x.13460openalex-snapshot
Nemo‐age : Spatially explicit simulations of eco‐evolutionary dynamics in stage‐structured populations under changing environments
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/2041-210x.14462openalex-snapshot
Predicting adaptation and evolution of plasticity from temporal environmental change
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/aec.12674openalex-snapshot
Impacts of recent climate change on terrestrial flora and fauna: Some emerging Australian examples
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/brv.12588openalex-snapshot
Insect responses to heat: physiological mechanisms, evolution and ecological implications in a warming world
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/brv.13004openalex-snapshot
Space‐for‐time substitutions in climate change ecology and evolution
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/cobi.13965openalex-snapshot
A roadmap for ladybird conservation and recovery
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/ddi.12634openalex-snapshot
The need for large‐scale distribution data to estimate regional changes in species richness under future climate change
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/ddi.12917openalex-snapshot
What's hot in conservation biogeography in a changing climate? Going beyond species range dynamics
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/ddi.13117openalex-snapshot
Assessing future distribution, suitability of corridors and efficiency of protected areas to conserve vulnerable ungulates under climate change
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/ddi.13434openalex-snapshot
Challenges and opportunities of species distribution modelling of terrestrial arthropod predators
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/ddi.13533openalex-snapshot
Predicting the distribution of Australian frogs and their overlap with Batrachochytrium dendrobatidis under climate change
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/ddi.13744openalex-snapshot
Conservation of Chinese Theaceae species under future climate and land use changes
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/ddi.13811openalex-snapshot
Ecological niche modelling and population genomics provide insights into the geographic and demographic ‘explosion’ of a non‐indigenous salmonid
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/ddi.13849openalex-snapshot
Climate change is predicted to impact the global distribution and richness of pines (genus Pinus) by 2070
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/ecog.03234openalex-snapshot
Spatial and temporal heterogeneity in climate change limits species' dispersal capabilities and adaptive potential
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/ecog.03994openalex-snapshot
Community assembly processes restrict the capacity for genetic adaptation under climate change
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/ecog.04264openalex-snapshot
A macroecological approach to evolutionary rescue and adaptation to climate change
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/ecog.04327openalex-snapshot
Inference of biogeographic history by formally integrating distinct lines of evidence: genetic, environmental niche and fossil
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/ecog.04627openalex-snapshot
Physiology in ecological niche modeling: using zebra mussel's upper thermal tolerance to refine model predictions through Bayesian analysis
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/ecog.04996openalex-snapshot
A cross‐scale framework to support a mechanistic understanding and modelling of marine climate‐driven species redistribution, from individuals to communities
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/ecog.05787openalex-snapshot
Spatially explicit models for decision‐making in animal conservation and restoration
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/ecog.06048openalex-snapshot
The predictive performance of process‐explicit range change models remains largely untested
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/ele.14083openalex-snapshot
Developmental plasticity in thermal tolerance: Ontogenetic variation, persistence, and future directions
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/eva.12734openalex-snapshot
A roadmap for urban evolutionary ecology
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/eva.12840openalex-snapshot
Implications of existing local (mal)adaptations for ecological forecasting under environmental change
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/eva.12909openalex-snapshot
Local thermal adaptation and limited gene flow constrain future climate responses of a marine ecosystem engineer
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/eva.13086openalex-snapshot
Population genomic data in spider mites point to a role for local adaptation in shaping range shifts
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/eva.13154openalex-snapshot
Genetic mixing for population management: From genetic rescue to provenancing
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/eva.13457openalex-snapshot
Biological control needs evolutionary perspectives of ecological interactions
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/eva.13511openalex-snapshot
Using landscape genomics to delineate future adaptive potential for climate change in the Yosemite toad (Anaxyrus canorus)
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/eva.13750openalex-snapshot
Geographic variation in evolutionary rescue under climate change in a crop pest–predator system
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/evo.14029openalex-snapshot
Rapid adaptive evolution of the diapause program during range expansion of an invasive mosquito
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/fwb.13996openalex-snapshot
Thermal sensitivity modulates temporal patterns of ecosystem functioning by freshwater mussels
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.13947openalex-snapshot
Rapid evolution of phenology during range expansion with recent climate change
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.14562openalex-snapshot
Incorporating local adaptation into forecasts of species’ distribution and abundance under climate change
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.14713openalex-snapshot
Pathogen exposure disrupts an organism's ability to cope with thermal stress
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.14740openalex-snapshot
Genes on the edge: A framework to detect genetic diversity imperiled by climate change
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.15578openalex-snapshot
Physiological determinants of biogeography: The importance of metabolic depression to heat tolerance
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.15651openalex-snapshot
Distinct interspecific and intraspecific vulnerability of coastal species to global change
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.15751openalex-snapshot
Bumblebee resilience to climate change, through plastic and adaptive responses
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.15761openalex-snapshot
Thermal limits in the face of infectious disease: How important are pathogens?
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.16181openalex-snapshot
Linking ecological niche models and common garden experiments to predict phenotypic differentiation in stressful environments: Assessing the adaptive value of marginal populations in an alpine plant
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.17262openalex-snapshot
Hybridization mediated range expansion and climate change resilience in two keystone tree species of boreal forests
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.17341openalex-snapshot
Acclimation to warmer temperatures can protect host populations from both further heat stress and the potential invasion of pathogens
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.17571openalex-snapshot
Genomics‐Informed Range Predictions Under Global Warming Reveal Reduced Adaptive Diversity Whilst Buffering Range Shifts for a Marine Snail
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/geb.12637openalex-snapshot
Truncation of thermal tolerance niches among Australian plants
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/geb.12898openalex-snapshot
Incorporating existing thermal tolerance into projections of compositional turnover under climate change
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/geb.12953openalex-snapshot
Environmental variability shapes evolution, plasticity and biogeographic responses to climate change
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/geb.13501openalex-snapshot
Assessing the vulnerability of plant functional trait strategies to climate change
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/geb.13794openalex-snapshot
High phenotypic variation found within the offspring of each mother tree in Fagus sylvatica regardless of the environment or source population
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/icad.12626openalex-snapshot
The tragedy of the common? A comparative population genomic study of two bumblebee species
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/jbi.13705openalex-snapshot
Evaluating presence‐only species distribution models with discrimination accuracy is uninformative for many applications
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/jbi.14258openalex-snapshot
Reduced host‐plant specialization is associated with the rapid range expansion of a Mediterranean butterfly
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/jbi.14395openalex-snapshot
Beyond tracking climate: Niche shifts during native range expansion and their implications for novel invasions
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/jeb.13303openalex-snapshot
Evidence for lower plasticity in CTMAX at warmer developmental temperatures
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/jeb.13663openalex-snapshot
The influence of immune activation on thermal tolerance along a latitudinal cline
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/jpy.12759openalex-snapshot
Thermal niche evolution of functional traits in a tropical marine phototroph
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/mec.14475openalex-snapshot
Mechanisms of thermal adaptation and evolutionary potential of conspecific populations to changing environments
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/mec.15513openalex-snapshot
Hurricanes overcome migration lag and shape intraspecific genetic variation beyond a poleward mangrove range limit
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