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Climate warming interacts with other global change drivers to influence plant phenology: A meta‐analysis of experimental studies

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What this work says

Outgoing claims: the papers this work cites, builds on, or argues with.

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International Journal of Climatology
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.4177openalex-snapshot
Warming delays the phenological sequences of an autumn‐flowering invader
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1002/ecs2.2543openalex-snapshot
Plant phenological sensitivity to climate change on the Tibetan Plateau and relative to other areas of the world
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.821openalex-snapshot
Observed changes in seasons: an overview
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-51863-8_1openalex-snapshot
Purposes of a Phenology Book
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-007-6925-0openalex-snapshot
Phenology: An Integrative Environmental Science
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s00425-004-1279-5openalex-snapshot
Interactions of abscisic acid and sugar signalling in the regulation of leaf senescence
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s00468-015-1152-0openalex-snapshot
Effects of soil warming and nitrogen foliar applications on bud burst of black spruce
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s10021-017-0220-2openalex-snapshot
Phenological Sensitivity of Early and Late Flowering Species Under Seasonal Warming and Altered Precipitation in a Seminatural Temperate Grassland Ecosystem
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s10265-013-0565-3openalex-snapshot
Experimental warming studies on tree species and forest ecosystems: a literature review
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s10669-007-9153-1openalex-snapshot
The effects of climate change on plant phenology
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s12374-021-09300-xopenalex-snapshot
Influence of Climate Change on Flowering Time
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/0169-5347(94)90324-7openalex-snapshot
Design and analysis of ecological experiments
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/c2009-0-03396-0openalex-snapshot
Statistical Methods for Meta-Analysis
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agee.2020.107115openalex-snapshot
Responses of biomass allocation to multi-factor global change: A global synthesis
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2012.09.012openalex-snapshot
Climate change, phenology, and phenological control of vegetation feedbacks to the climate system
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2017.08.034openalex-snapshot
Responses of phenology and seed production of annual Koenigia islandica to warming in a desertified alpine meadow
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2020.107931openalex-snapshot
Process-based models outcompete correlative models in projecting spring phenology of trees in a future warmer climate
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envpol.2021.117174openalex-snapshot
Effects of microplastics on the functional traits of aquatic benthic organisms: A global-scale meta-analysis
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foreco.2020.118368openalex-snapshot
Spring phenophases of larch are more sensitive to spring warming than to year-round warming: Results of a seasonally asymmetric warming experiment
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.marenvres.2006.10.008openalex-snapshot
A meta-analysis on the ecological effects of aquaculture on the water column: Dissolved nutrients
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/17709openalex-snapshot
Growing season extended in Europe
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/nature01843openalex-snapshot
The role of stomata in sensing and driving environmental change
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/nature13207openalex-snapshot
Elevated CO2 further lengthens growing season under warming conditions
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/nature15402openalex-snapshot
Declining global warming effects on the phenology of spring leaf unfolding
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1573openalex-snapshot
Soil-mediated effects of subambient to increased carbon dioxide on grassland productivity
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate3277openalex-snapshot
Weakening temperature control on the interannual variations of spring carbon uptake across northern lands
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms13807openalex-snapshot
The origin of ultrahigh piezoelectricity in relaxor-ferroelectric solid solution crystals
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/nrm3088openalex-snapshot
Signal integration in the control of shoot branching
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-23841-2openalex-snapshot
Experimental warming differentially affects vegetative and reproductive phenology of tundra plants
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-021-01244-xopenalex-snapshot
Phenological mismatches between above- and belowground plant responses to climate warming
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-020-00657-1openalex-snapshot
Synergistic effects of four climate change drivers on terrestrial carbon cycling
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1046/j.1365-2486.1997.00092.xopenalex-snapshot
The influence of elevated CO2 on species phenology, growth and reproduction in a Mediterranean old‐field community
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1046/j.1365-3040.2002.00796.xopenalex-snapshot
Plant water relations at elevated CO2– implications for water‐limited environments
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1051/forest:19960214openalex-snapshot
Effect of the root temperature on growth parameters of various European tree species
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1071/pp9940741openalex-snapshot
Influence of Rising Atmospheric CO2 Concentrations and Temperature on Growth, Yield and Grain Quality of Cereal Crops
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0600815103openalex-snapshot
Diverse responses of phenology to global changes in a grassland ecosystem
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0605642104openalex-snapshot
Divergence of reproductive phenology under climate warming
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1321727111openalex-snapshot
Variation in leaf flushing date influences autumnal senescence and next year’s flushing date in two temperate tree species
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1323073111openalex-snapshot
Shifts in flowering phenology reshape a subalpine plant community
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1911117117openalex-snapshot
Urban warming advances spring phenology but reduces the response of phenology to temperature in the conterminous United States
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1080/02757540701379493openalex-snapshot
Aquaculture effects on some physical and chemical properties of the water column: A meta-analysis
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1086/303337openalex-snapshot
The Interaction between Competition and Predation: A Meta‐analysis of Field Experiments
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/aob/mcaa156openalex-snapshot
Species-specific flowering phenology responses to experimental warming and drought alter herbaceous plant species overlap in a temperate–boreal forest community
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/jexbot/50.330.63openalex-snapshot
Aldehyde oxidase in roots, leaves and seeds of barley (Hordeum vulgare L.)
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/jxb/45.3.305openalex-snapshot
Effects of elevated carbon dioxide on three montane grass species
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780195131871.003.0018openalex-snapshot
Meta-analysis: Combining the Results of Independent Experiments
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/treephys/28.10.1583openalex-snapshot
Delayed soil thawing affects root and shoot functioning and growth in Scots pine
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1098/rstbopenalex-snapshot
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: biological sciences
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1098/rstb.2010.0120openalex-snapshot
Forecasting phenology under global warming
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1104/pp.88.3.581openalex-snapshot
Mechanism of Water Stress-Induced Xylem Embolism
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2745.13531openalex-snapshot
Phenological changes offset the warming effects on biomass production in an alpine meadow on the Qinghai–Tibetan Plateau
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.12804openalex-snapshot
Alteration of the phenology of leaf senescence and fall in winter deciduous species by climate change: effects on nutrient proficiency
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.12890openalex-snapshot
The timing of autumn senescence is affected by the timing of spring phenology: implications for predictive models
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.13253openalex-snapshot
Interactive effects of global change factors on soil respiration and its components: a meta‐analysis
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.13311openalex-snapshot
Delayed autumn phenology in the Northern Hemisphere is related to change in both climate and spring phenology
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.14619openalex-snapshot
Plant phenology and global climate change: Current progresses and challenges
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.15586openalex-snapshot
Divergent responses of phenology and growth to summer and autumnal warming
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.15685openalex-snapshot
Plant phenological responses to experimental warming—A synthesis
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/geb.12210openalex-snapshot
Recent spring phenology shifts in western C entral E urope based on multiscale observations
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/geb.13269openalex-snapshot
Climate warming extends growing season but not reproductive phase of terrestrial plants
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2435.2007.01231.xopenalex-snapshot
Low temperature limits of root growth in deciduous and evergreen temperate tree species
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2006.01193.xopenalex-snapshot
European phenological response to climate change matches the warming pattern
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2009.02084.xopenalex-snapshot
Impact of climate change on plant phenology in Mediterranean ecosystems
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-3040.2012.02552.xopenalex-snapshot
The dynamic nature of bud dormancy in trees: environmental control and molecular mechanisms
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1461-0248.2008.01253.xopenalex-snapshot
Interactive and cumulative effects of multiple human stressors in marine systems
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1469-8137.2004.01003.xopenalex-snapshot
Complex spatiotemporal phenological shifts as a response to rainfall changes
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/nph.15029openalex-snapshot
Phenological responses to multiple environmental drivers under climate change: insights from a long‐term observational study and a manipulative field experiment
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/oik.06099openalex-snapshot
Responses of plant phenology to nitrogen addition: a meta‐analysis
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/oik.09829openalex-snapshot
Contrasting responses of early‐ and late‐season plant phenophases to altered precipitation
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.aav1131openalex-snapshot
Water scaling of ecosystem carbon cycle feedback to climate warming
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1082750openalex-snapshot
Climate-Driven Increases in Global Terrestrial Net Primary Production from 1982 to 1999
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1173004openalex-snapshot
Phenology Feedbacks on Climate Change
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1126/science.abd8911openalex-snapshot
Increased growing-season productivity drives earlier autumn leaf senescence in temperate trees
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1139/x2012-055openalex-snapshot
Increasing nitrogen availability and soil temperature: effects on xylem phenology and anatomy of mature black spruce 1 This article is one of a selection of papers from the 7th International Conference on Disturbance Dynamics in Boreal Forests.
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-ecolsys-110316-022706openalex-snapshot
Process-Based Models of Phenology for Plants and Animals
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1146/ecolsys.693openalex-snapshot
Annual Review of Ecology, Evolution, and Systematics
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0107874openalex-snapshot
Effects of Warming on Chlorophyll Degradation and Carbohydrate Accumulation of Alpine Herbaceous Species during Plant Senescence on the Tibetan Plateau
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1890/06-2057.1openalex-snapshot
NITROGEN LIMITATION OF NET PRIMARY PRODUCTIVITY IN TERRESTRIAL ECOSYSTEMS IS GLOBALLY DISTRIBUTED
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.21273/hortsci.22.5.817openalex-snapshot
Dormancy: A New Universal Terminology
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.32614/r.manualsopenalex-snapshot
R: A Language and Environment for Statistical Computing
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3390/rs14051248openalex-snapshot
Response of Vegetation Phenology to the Interaction of Temperature and Precipitation Changes in Qilian Mountains
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3402/polar.v35.25405openalex-snapshot
Arctic plants are capable of sustained responses to long-term warming
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3758/bf03206394openalex-snapshot
Parametric and nonparametric bootstrap methods for meta-analysis
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.4319/lo.1999.44.3_part_2.0864openalex-snapshot
Synergism and antagonism among multiple stressors

What points at this work

Incoming claims: where this work appears in other papers’ reference lists and arguments.

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4688994openalex-extracted
Phenology Response of Subtropical Chinese Fir (Cunninghamia Lanceolata) to Soil Warming, Precipitation Exclusion and Their Interaction
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1002/ajb2.70064openalex-snapshot
Climatic determinants of plant phenology in vernal pool habitats
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1002/eco.70066openalex-snapshot
The Role of Spring Ecosystems as Climate Refugia in a Semi‐Arid Environment
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1002/ecy.70139openalex-snapshot
Contrasting responses of flowering phenology in C 3 and C 4 plants shape grassland community structure under global change
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1002/oik.11218openalex-snapshot
Unapparent trees: escaping enemies in time by being discreet, unpredictable and inaccessible
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-75027-4_11openalex-snapshot
Mesic Temperate Deciduous Forest Phenology
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s11676-025-01875-2openalex-snapshot
Hot temperature extremes and vapor pressure deficits co-explain changes in the timing of peak photosynthetic activity in the forest belt of northeast China
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.agee.2024.109304openalex-snapshot
Warming, elevated CO2 and drought in combination amplify shifts in canopy greenness dynamics in managed grassland
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.110938openalex-snapshot
Delayed senescence end prolongs leaf senescence duration in temperate China
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.envexpbot.2024.105995openalex-snapshot
Impact of rising CO2 and temperature on grass phenology, physiology, and pollen release patterns in northern latitudes
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.fecs.2026.100470openalex-snapshot
Integrating solar-induced chlorophyll fluorescence and nighttime temperature to enhance the detection of the start of growing season in evergreen broadleaf forests under monsoon climates
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.indcrop.2025.121401openalex-snapshot
Habitat suitability evaluation of high-quality Panax notoginseng based on FT-NIR and HPLC
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.jare.2026.06.029openalex-snapshot
Interactive canopy nitrogen and water additions delay phenology in a warm-temperate forest
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.plantsci.2025.112386openalex-snapshot
3,4-dimethylpyrazole phosphate (DMPP) may negate the expected stimulation of elevated atmospheric CO2 and warming on fertilizer-N loss
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.plaphe.2026.100171openalex-snapshot
Species-specific tree structural parameters extraction via UAV RGB-LiDAR data and multimodal instance segmentation
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.176182openalex-snapshot
Drought and warming interaction cause substantial economic losses in the carbon market potential of China's northern grasslands
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1029/2024ef005379openalex-snapshot
Contrasting Trends in Onset of Spring Green‐Up Between Grasslands and Forests in China
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1029/2025gl117589openalex-snapshot
Divergent Impacts of Precipitation Regimes on Autumn Phenology in the Northern Hemisphere Mid‐ to High‐Latitudes
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1029/2026gb009164openalex-snapshot
Additive Dominance and Context‐Dependent Nonlinearities in Soil Greenhouse Gas Responses to Concurrent Global Change
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s40494-025-02283-9openalex-snapshot
Grassland phenology dynamics and tourism dependence in Narat Shan of the Tianshan World Natural Heritage Site, China
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-56159-4openalex-snapshot
Declining precipitation frequency may drive earlier leaf senescence by intensifying drought stress and enhancing drought acclimation
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-68242-xopenalex-snapshot
Functional group and aridity regulate impacts of climate change on plant phenology: a meta-analysis
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-026-73761-2openalex-snapshot
Meta-analysis reveals asymmetric root and microbial phenology shifts under global change
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1080/15481603.2026.2740866openalex-snapshot
Seasonal asymmetric changes between photosynthesis and canopy structure phenology across the northern hemisphere
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/aob/mcaf008openalex-snapshot
Toward a comprehensive understanding of the phenological responses of non-native plants to climate warming: a review
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/jpe/rtae080openalex-snapshot
Climate warming advances plant reproductive phenology in China’s northern grasslands
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/jpe/rtaf048openalex-snapshot
Shifts in plant reproductive phenology induced by multiple global change factors depend on phenological niche and pollination mode
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/jpe/rtaf128openalex-snapshot
Growing and non-growing seasons warming interactively affect plant phenology in semi-arid steppe
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/plphys/kiag284openalex-snapshot
Leaf phenology affects wood anatomy in an ecosystem warming experiment
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2024.1110openalex-snapshot
Warming reduces mid-summer flowering plant reproductive success through advancing fruiting phenology in an alpine meadow
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1101/2025.10.29.685396openalex-snapshot
Meta-analyses reveal no clear demographic consequences of phenological change across taxa
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2435.14626openalex-snapshot
Soil nitrogen regulates root carbon secretion in the context of global change: A global meta‐analysis
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2435.70112openalex-snapshot
Differential impacts of asymmetric winter warming and symmetric year‐round warming on leaf nutrients and resorption in an alpine meadow
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2435.70402openalex-snapshot
Elevated CO 2 advances vegetation phenology
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2435.70403openalex-snapshot
Twenty‐one questions shaping the future of plant phenology research in the 21st century
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2664.70023openalex-snapshot
Reconsidering warming effects on seedling recruitment in Tibetan Plateau's alpine meadows via open‐top chamber experiments
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2745.14222openalex-snapshot
Plant biodiversity responds more strongly to climate warming and anthropogenic activities than microbial biodiversity in the Qinghai–Tibetan alpine grasslands
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2745.14449openalex-snapshot
Indirect effects of warming via phenology on reproductive success of alpine plants
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2745.70126openalex-snapshot
Variable germination phenology leads to divergence in environmental tracking for Phacelia fimbriata and P. purshii populations of the American southeast
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2745.70190openalex-snapshot
Intra‐annual growth dynamics of forest understorey herbaceous plant species in response to global change
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2745.70242openalex-snapshot
Warming, elevated CO 2 and drought in combination accelerates plant phenological shifts in managed montane grassland
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.16959openalex-snapshot
C:N:P stoichiometry of plants, soils, and microorganisms: Response to altered precipitation
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.70081openalex-snapshot
Untangling the Complexity of Climate Change Effects on Plant Reproductive Traits and Pollinators: A Systematic Global Synthesis
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.70176openalex-snapshot
Additive Effects of Multiple Global Change Drivers on Terrestrial Nitrogen Cycling Worldwide
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/geb.13954openalex-snapshot
Rising Atmospheric CO2 Alleviates Drought Impact on Autumn Leaf Senescence Over Northern Mid‐High Latitudes
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/jipb.13863openalex-snapshot
Plant–microbiome interactions and their impacts on plant adaptation to climate change
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/nph.70008openalex-snapshot
Trade‐off between spring phenological sensitivities to temperature and precipitation across species and space in alpine grasslands over the Qinghai–Tibetan Plateau
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/nph.70132openalex-snapshot
Plant phenology response to nitrogen addition decreases community biomass stability in an alpine meadow
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/nph.70275openalex-snapshot
Concurrent anthropogenic stressors affect plant–soil systems with different plant diversity levels
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/nph.70338openalex-snapshot
Specimen‐tailored ‘lived’ climate reveals precipitation onset and amount best predict specimen phenology, but only weakly predict estimated reproduction across a clade
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-ecolsys-102722-011653openalex-snapshot
Effects of Phenology on Plant Community Assembly and Structure
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1186/s12870-024-05830-xopenalex-snapshot
Molecular mechanisms of flowering time differentiation revealed by transcriptomic sequencing and de novo analysis in Chinese invasive populations of Ambrosia artemisiifolia
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3389/fpls.2025.1632357openalex-snapshot
Nitrogen addition substantially affects plant phenology in terrestrial ecosystems: a meta-analysis
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3390/agriculture16030314openalex-snapshot
Effects of Climate Change and Crop Management on Wheat Phenology in Arid Oasis Areas
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3390/f16010175openalex-snapshot
More than Just Chilling and Forcing: Deconstructing the Climate Windows and Drivers of Leaf Emergence and Fall in Woody Plant Species
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.64898/2026.01.28.702306openalex-snapshot
Urban Environments Reshape Reproductive Phenology in Plants Across the Tropics
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.64898/2026.08.05.743098openalex-snapshot
Warming and precipitation change alter flowering phenology and coflowering networks in California serpentine grasslands
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