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Duration and variability of spring green‐up mediate population consequences of climate change

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What this work says

Outgoing claims: the papers this work cites, builds on, or argues with.

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.1862openalex-snapshot
Longer wings for faster springs – wing length relates to spring phenology in a long‐distance migrant across its range
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s00114-020-01698-7openalex-snapshot
Arthropod biomass increase in spring correlates with NDVI in grassland habitat
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s10539-020-09748-0openalex-snapshot
The use and limitations of null-model-based hypothesis testing
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cub.2019.08.072openalex-snapshot
Evolutionary Response to Climate Change in Migratory Pied Flycatchers
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecochg.2022.100050openalex-snapshot
Resident bird species track inter-annual variation in spring phenology better than long-distance migrants in a subalpine habitat
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tree.2005.05.011openalex-snapshot
Using the satellite-derived NDVI to assess ecological responses to environmental change
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009325844openalex-snapshot
Climate Change 2022 – Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/35077063openalex-snapshot
Adjustment to climate change is constrained by arrival date in a long-distance migrant bird
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/nature04539openalex-snapshot
Climate change and population declines in a long-distance migratory bird
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/nature09670openalex-snapshot
Climate change and evolutionary adaptation
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/nature11335openalex-snapshot
Delayed phenology and reduced fitness associated with climate change in a wild hibernator
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2223openalex-snapshot
Evolution of land surface air temperature trend
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-10924-4openalex-snapshot
Adaptive responses of animals to climate change are most likely insufficient
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0067-3openalex-snapshot
A global synthesis of animal phenological responses to climate change
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-019-0648-9openalex-snapshot
Phenology of nocturnal avian migration has shifted at the continental scale
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/s41559-019-0880-8openalex-snapshot
Evolutionary and demographic consequences of phenological mismatches
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/s41559-020-01357-0openalex-snapshot
Strengthening the evidence base for temperature-mediated phenological asynchrony and its impacts
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/s41559-021-01442-yopenalex-snapshot
Migratory strategy drives species-level variation in bird sensitivity to vegetation green-up
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-021-00804-2openalex-snapshot
Long-term and large-scale multispecies dataset tracking population changes of common European breeding birds
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0803825105openalex-snapshot
Populations of migratory bird species that did not show a phenological response to climate change are declining
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2221961120openalex-snapshot
Demographic consequences of phenological asynchrony for North American songbirds
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/icb/icx040openalex-snapshot
Defining the Degree of Seasonality and its Significance for Future Research
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/ornithology/ukad017openalex-snapshot
The biotic and abiotic drivers of timing of breeding and the consequences of breeding early in a changing world
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2000.1363openalex-snapshot
Warmer springs disrupt the synchrony of oak and winter moth phenology
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2009.1525openalex-snapshot
Avian population consequences of climate change are most severe for long-distance migrants in seasonal habitats
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2020.0622openalex-snapshot
Environmental variability, reliability of information and the timing of migration
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2023.0414openalex-snapshot
Phenological mismatch affects individual fitness and population growth in the winter moth
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1098/rstbopenalex-snapshot
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: biological sciences
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1098/rstb.2007.2207openalex-snapshot
Climate change reduces reproductive success of an Arctic herbivore through trophic mismatch
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1098/rstb.2016.0252openalex-snapshot
Timing avian long-distance migration: from internal clock mechanisms to global flights
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2656.12253openalex-snapshot
Unravelling the annual cycle in a migratory animal: breeding‐season habitat loss drives population declines of monarch butterflies
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2656.12364openalex-snapshot
Drivers of climate change impacts on bird communities
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/avsc.12306openalex-snapshot
Revising Ellenberg's indicator values for continentality based on global vascular plant species distribution
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/ddi.12945openalex-snapshot
Spatial gradients in country‐level population trends of European birds
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/ele.14185openalex-snapshot
Lack of evidence for the match‐mismatch hypothesis across terrestrial trophic interactions
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/eva.12126openalex-snapshot
Climate change and timing of avian breeding and migration: evolutionary versus plastic changes
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/evo.14408openalex-snapshot
Properties of phenotypic plasticity in discrete threshold traits
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.13144openalex-snapshot
The relevance of food peak architecture in trophic interactions
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.13960openalex-snapshot
The sensitivity of breeding songbirds to changes in seasonal timing is linked to population change but cannot be directly attributed to the effects of trophic asynchrony on productivity
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.14160openalex-snapshot
Phenological sensitivity to climate change is higher in resident than in migrant bird populations among European cavity breeders
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/geb.12709openalex-snapshot
Life‐history characteristics of European birds
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/geb.13063openalex-snapshot
Broad‐scale patterns of the Afro‐Palaearctic landbird migration
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2009.01876.xopenalex-snapshot
Life history predicts advancement of avian spring migration in response to climate change
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2656.2008.01458.xopenalex-snapshot
Climate change and unequal phenological changes across four trophic levels: constraints or adaptations?
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1461-0248.2005.00798.xopenalex-snapshot
Timing and abundance as key mechanisms affecting trophic interactions in variable environments
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1461-0248.2011.01686.xopenalex-snapshot
Cues and the optimal timing of activities under environmental changes
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1469-7998.2008.00415.xopenalex-snapshot
Climate‐ and resource‐driven long‐term changes in dormice populations negatively affect hole‐nesting songbirds
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1474-919x.1996.tb04312.xopenalex-snapshot
Circannual clocks in avian reproduction and migration
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.1500052openalex-snapshot
Habitat fragmentation and its lasting impact on Earth’s ecosystems
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1157174openalex-snapshot
Adaptive Phenotypic Plasticity in Response to Climate Change in a Wild Bird Population
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1126/science.42.1074.161openalex-snapshot
The Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aad6351openalex-snapshot
Body shrinkage due to Arctic warming reduces red knot fitness in tropical wintering range
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aaw1313openalex-snapshot
Decline of the North American avifauna
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pbio.1000357openalex-snapshot
Adaptation, Plasticity, and Extinction in a Changing Environment: Towards a Predictive Theory
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0032596openalex-snapshot
Invasive Lionfish Drive Atlantic Coral Reef Fish Declines
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0080033openalex-snapshot
Effects of Extreme Weather on Reproductive Success in a Temperate-Breeding Songbird
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.18637/jss.v076.i01openalex-snapshot
Stan : A Probabilistic Programming Language
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.18637/jss.v080.i01openalex-snapshot
brms : An R Package for Bayesian Multilevel Models Using Stan
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1890/08-0596.1openalex-snapshot
Individual quality, early‐life conditions, and reproductive success in contrasted populations of large herbivores
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/4089027openalex-snapshot
Influence of Body Condition on Reproductive Decision and Reproductive Success in the Blue Petrel
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.32614/r.manualsopenalex-snapshot
R: A Language and Environment for Statistical Computing
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.32614/rj-2018-017openalex-snapshot
Advanced Bayesian Multilevel Modeling with the R Package brms
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3354/cr00936openalex-snapshot
The Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI): unforeseen successes in animal ecology
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3354/cr033271openalex-snapshot
Climate and the match or mismatch between predator requirements and resource availability

What points at this work

Incoming claims: where this work appears in other papers’ reference lists and arguments.

inferred← backgroundhttps://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.10473507zenodo-depositor-declared
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.71821openalex-snapshot
Quantifying Phenology in the Deciduous Tree and Phytophagous Insect System: A Methodological Comparison
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1002/jav.03512openalex-snapshot
Species‐specific trends in migratory passage time in Nigeria based on long‐term ringing data
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s10336-024-02204-wopenalex-snapshot
Seasonal variation in migration routes of Common Whitethroat Curruca communis
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s10336-026-02365-wopenalex-snapshot
Replacing a long-running common bird monitoring scheme by a new one: what predicts the correspondence of population changes between the schemes?
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2026.114994openalex-snapshot
Dryland ecosystem resistance and resilience to multi-source drought in China: A vine copula-based drought-vegetation approach
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1029/2024ef005379openalex-snapshot
Contrasting Trends in Onset of Spring Green‐Up Between Grasslands and Forests in China
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s44358-026-00177-7openalex-snapshot
Status, threats and conservation of Earth’s migratory birds
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/pnasnexus/pgaf188openalex-snapshot
A framework for reproductive outcomes of phenological match–mismatch in migratory breeders tested on a declining species, caribou
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2435.14590openalex-snapshot
Assessing the evidence for treating developmental plasticity and phenotypic flexibility as different phenomena
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.17294openalex-snapshot
Buffering and phenological mismatch: A change of perspective
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.70600openalex-snapshot
Phenological Plasticity and Its Temperature‐Related Drivers in Common Songbirds Across Europe
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/geb.13901openalex-snapshot
Climatic Predictors of Long‐Distance Migratory Birds Breeding Productivity Across Europe
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/ibi.70043openalex-snapshot
Combining δ 2 H and δ 34 S stable isotopes identifies diverse moult strategies in a short‐distance migratory bird
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2478/plua-2025-0015openalex-snapshot
The actualities of apple breeding in Latvia
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.64898/2026.05.07.723401openalex-snapshot
Climate warming reduces the energetic advantage of long-distance migration in a migratory bird
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