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Recruitment regime shifts and nonstationarity are widespread phenomena in harvestable stocks experiencing pronounced climate fluctuations

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What this work says

Outgoing claims: the papers this work cites, builds on, or argues with.

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1002/2014gl059233openalex-snapshot
On forced temperature changes, internal variability, and the AMO
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1002/9781118752739.ch3openalex-snapshot
Recruitment Variability
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1002/ecy.2760openalex-snapshot
Nonstationary environmental and community relationships in the North Pacific Ocean
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/978-0-387-87458-6openalex-snapshot
Mixed effects models and extensions in ecology with R
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Biodiversity and exploitation of the main fish stocks in the Norwegian - Barents Sea ecosystem
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Ecological significance of 0-group fish in the Barents Sea ecosystem
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Ecological effects of the North Atlantic Oscillation
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Using large‐scale climate indices in climate change ecology studies
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Life history and ecology of the gadoid resources of the Barents Sea
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An overview of the ecosystems of the Barents and Norwegian Seas and their response to climate variability
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Synchronization of Mediterranean pelagic fish populations with the North Atlantic climate variability
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What happened in the mid-1990s? The coupled ocean-atmosphere processes behind climate-induced ecosystem changes in the Northeast Atlantic and the Mediterranean
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Assessing stock reproductive potential in species with indeterminate fecundity: Effects of age truncation and size-dependent reproductive timing
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.fishres.2016.12.002openalex-snapshot
Future harvest of living resources in the Arctic Ocean north of the Nordic and Barents Seas: A review of possibilities and constraints
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.fishres.2022.106489openalex-snapshot
A review of estimation methods for natural mortality and their performance in the context of fishery stock assessment
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Changes in the structure and function of the North Sea fish foodweb, 1973–2000, and the impacts of fishing and climate
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The response of Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua) to future climate change
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Exploring currents and heat within the North Sea using a numerical model
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North Atlantic climate variability: The role of the North Atlantic Oscillation
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The North Sea regime shift: Evidence, causes, mechanisms and consequences
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Large bio-geographical shifts in the north-eastern Atlantic Ocean: From the subpolar gyre, via plankton, to blue whiting and pilot whales
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pocean.2009.04.011openalex-snapshot
Rapid warming of Large Marine Ecosystems
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Climate variability drives anchovies and sardines into the North and Baltic Seas
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pocean.2014.04.030openalex-snapshot
Comparative ecology of widely distributed pelagic fish species in the North Atlantic: Implications for modelling climate and fisheries impacts
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pocean.2021.102567openalex-snapshot
Overwintering distribution, inflow patterns and sustainability of Calanus finmarchicus in the North Sea
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pocean.2022.102845openalex-snapshot
Recruitment variability of fish stocks in the Barents Sea: Spatial and temporal variation in 0-group fish length of six commercial species during recent decades of warming (1980–2017)
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tree.2005.10.012openalex-snapshot
A general eco-evolutionary framework for understanding bioinvasions
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/s0065-2881(08)60187-xopenalex-snapshot
Predation on Eggs and Larvae of Marine Fishes and the Recruitment Problem
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/s0065-2881(08)60202-3openalex-snapshot
Plankton Production and Year-class Strength in Fish Populations: an Update of the Match/Mismatch Hypothesis
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/s0079-6611(01)00021-0openalex-snapshot
Climate variability and marine ecosystem impacts: a North Atlantic perspective
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/s0165-7836(00)00249-6openalex-snapshot
A regime shift in the North Sea circa 1988 linked to changes in the North Sea horse mackerel fishery
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/s0167-9473(03)00030-6openalex-snapshot
Testing and dating of structural changes in practice
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/s0967-0653(97)85809-7openalex-snapshot
10.1016/s0967-0653(97)85809-7
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/s1385-1101(98)00029-xopenalex-snapshot
Temporal variations in the fecundity of Arcto-Norwegian cod (Gadus morhua) in response to natural changes in food and temperature
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1023/a:1008828730759openalex-snapshot
When Do Environment–recruitment Correlations Work?
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1023/a:1014217317898openalex-snapshot
North Atlantic Oscillation – Concepts And Studies
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/2006gl026242openalex-snapshot
Climate impacts of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/2020gl087972openalex-snapshot
Quantifying a Novel Climate Through Changes in PDO‐Climate and PDO‐Salmon Relationships
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/2021gl096596openalex-snapshot
On the Estimation of Internal Climate Variability During the Preindustrial Past Millennium
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/2021jc017270openalex-snapshot
Changes in Arctic Stratification and Mixed Layer Depth Cycle: A Modeling Analysis
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/35004654openalex-snapshot
Climate variability and North Sea cod
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/nature02164openalex-snapshot
Plankton effect on cod recruitment in the North Sea
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/nature02708openalex-snapshot
Why large-scale climate indices seem to predict ecological processes better than local weather
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/nature08227openalex-snapshot
Early-warning signals for critical transitions
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/nature12156openalex-snapshot
Signature of ocean warming in global fisheries catch
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1958openalex-snapshot
Global imprint of climate change on marine life
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2471openalex-snapshot
Connecting the Seas of Norden
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2647openalex-snapshot
Recent warming leads to a rapid borealization of fish communities in the Arctic
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/s41559-019-1052-6openalex-snapshot
Nonlinear population dynamics are ubiquitous in animals
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-84545-7openalex-snapshot
Quantitative molecular detection of larval Atlantic herring (Clupea harengus) in stomach contents of Atlantic mackerel (Scomber scombrus) marks regions of predation pressure
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/s43017-021-00228-xopenalex-snapshot
Physical manifestations and ecological implications of Arctic Atlantification
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0806649105openalex-snapshot
Trophic cascades promote threshold-like shifts in pelagic marine ecosystems
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1316342111openalex-snapshot
Synergies between climate and management for Atlantic cod fisheries at high latitudes
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1700349114openalex-snapshot
Oogenesis and reproductive investment of Atlantic herring are functions of not only present but long-ago environmental influences as well
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1921266117openalex-snapshot
The changing physical and ecological meanings of North Pacific Ocean climate indices
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2018086118openalex-snapshot
Climate risk to European fisheries and coastal communities
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1080/00364827.2000.10414580openalex-snapshot
Recruitment of Atlantic cod stocks in relation to temperature and advectlon of copepod populations
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1080/17451000.2013.775451openalex-snapshot
Changes in the relationship between sea temperature and recruitment of cod, haddock and herring in the Barents Sea
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1080/17451000802512739openalex-snapshot
Variability in cannibalism in Northeast Arctic cod (Gadus morhua) during the period 1947–2006
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/icesjms/41.2.159openalex-snapshot
The gadoid outburst in the North Sea
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/icesjms/fsaa072openalex-snapshot
Environmental influences on Norwegian spring-spawning herring (Clupea harengusL.) larvae reveal recent constraints in recruitment success
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/icesjms/fsac057openalex-snapshot
Predicting density-dependent somatic growth in Norwegian spring-spawning herring
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/icesjms/fsad034openalex-snapshot
The effects of spatial and temporal variations in spawning on offspring survival in Northeast Arctic cod
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/icesjms/fsad073openalex-snapshot
Half a century of high-latitude fisheries oceanography research on the “recruitment problem” in Northeast Arctic cod (Gadus morhua)
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/icesjms/fsad098openalex-snapshot
Poleward spawning of Atlantic mackerel (Scomber scombrus) is facilitated by ocean warming but triggered by energetic constraints
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/icesjms/fss046openalex-snapshot
Changes in Barents Sea ecosystem state, 1970–2009: climate fluctuations, human impact, and trophic interactions
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/icesjms/fss075openalex-snapshot
Atlantic water temperature and climate in the Barents Sea, 2000–2009
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/icesjms/fsx088openalex-snapshot
Ontogenetic development of otolith shape during settlement of juvenile Barents Sea cod (Gadus morhua)
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/icesjms/fsy088openalex-snapshot
Future ecosystem changes in the Northeast Atlantic: a comparison between a global and a regional model system
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/plankt/16.3.291openalex-snapshot
The growth and death of fish larvae
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1098/rsbl.2021.0439openalex-snapshot
Allee effects and the Allee-effect zone in northwest Atlantic cod
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2010.1465openalex-snapshot
Spawning stock and recruitment in North Sea cod shaped by food and climate
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2012.1862openalex-snapshot
Fluctuations in food supply drive recruitment variation in a marine fish
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2018.1855openalex-snapshot
Non-stationary climate–salmon relationships in the Gulf of Alaska
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1098/rstb.2013.0264openalex-snapshot
Theoretical basis for predicting climate-induced abrupt shifts in the oceans
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1098/rstb.2013.0275openalex-snapshot
Marine ecosystem regime shifts: challenges and opportunities for ecosystem-based management
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1098/rstb.2013.0279openalex-snapshot
A holistic view of marine regime shifts
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-9868.00374openalex-snapshot
Thin Plate Regression Splines
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/faf.12043openalex-snapshot
Energy acquisition and allocation to egg production in relation to fish reproductive strategies
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/faf.12063openalex-snapshot
The food limitation hypothesis for juvenile marine fish
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/faf.12083openalex-snapshot
Examining common assumptions about recruitment: a meta‐analysis of recruitment dynamics for worldwide marine fisheries
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/faf.12131openalex-snapshot
Is spawning stock biomass a robust proxy for reproductive potential?
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/faf.12304openalex-snapshot
Nonlinear dynamics and noise in fisheries recruitment: A global meta‐analysis
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/faf.12360openalex-snapshot
Common trends in recruitment dynamics of north‐east Atlantic fish stocks and their links to environment, ecology and management
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/faf.12485openalex-snapshot
Management of transboundary and straddling fish stocks in the Northeast Atlantic in view of climate‐induced shifts in spatial distribution
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/faf.12502openalex-snapshot
Climate‐induced nonlinearity in pelagic communities and non‐stationary relationships with physical drivers in the Kuroshio ecosystem
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/faf.12635openalex-snapshot
Highly mixed impacts of near‐future climate change on stock productivity proxies in the North East Atlantic
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/faf.12650openalex-snapshot
Strength and consistency of density dependence in marine fish productivity
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/faf.12708openalex-snapshot
Non‐stationary effects of multiple drivers on the dynamics of Japanese sardine (Sardinops melanostictus, Clupeidae)
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/faf.12728openalex-snapshot
Latitudinally distinct stocks of Atlantic cod face fundamentally different biophysical challenges under on‐going climate change
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/fog.12605openalex-snapshot
Long‐term variability in spawning stock age structure influences climate–recruitment link for Barents Sea cod
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.12514openalex-snapshot
Warming temperatures and smaller body sizes: synchronous changes in growth of North Sea fishes
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-2979.2005.00191.xopenalex-snapshot
Fisheries Ecology and Management
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9868.2010.00749.xopenalex-snapshot
Fast Stable Restricted Maximum Likelihood and Marginal Likelihood Estimation of Semiparametric Generalized Linear Models
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1600-0587.2012.07348.xopenalex-snapshot
Collinearity: a review of methods to deal with it and a simulation study evaluating their performance
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.abn9755openalex-snapshot
Arctic Ocean Amplification in a warming climate in CMIP6 models
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1071329openalex-snapshot
Reorganization of North Atlantic Marine Copepod Biodiversity and Climate
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1189930openalex-snapshot
The Impact of Climate Change on the World’s Marine Ecosystems
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1225244openalex-snapshot
Anticipating Critical Transitions
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1139/cjfas-2014-0231openalex-snapshot
When “data” are not data: the pitfalls of post hoc analyses that use stock assessment model output
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1139/cjfas-2015-0086openalex-snapshot
Recent advances in statistical methodology applied to the Hjort liver index time series (1859–2012) and associated influential factors
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1139/cjfas-2016-0177openalex-snapshot
Examining nonstationarity in the recruitment dynamics of fishes using Bayesian change point analysis
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1139/cjfas-55-9-2127openalex-snapshot
Comparison of methods to account for autocorrelation in correlation analyses of fish data
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1139/f05-105openalex-snapshot
Exploratory assessment of historical recruitment patterns using relative abundance and catch data
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1139/f54-039openalex-snapshot
Stock and Recruitment
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1139/f91-065openalex-snapshot
Effect of Temperature and Size on Development, Mortality, and Survival Rates of the Pelagic Early Life History Stages of Marine Fish
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-marine-041911-111611openalex-snapshot
Climate Change Impacts on Marine Ecosystems
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0442(2002)015<2648:rositt>2.0.co;2openalex-snapshot
Response of Sea Ice to the Arctic Oscillation
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli3898.1openalex-snapshot
Climate Variability, Fish, and Fisheries
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0144117openalex-snapshot
Characteristics of the Norwegian Coastal Current during Years with High Recruitment of Norwegian Spring Spawning Herring (Clupea harengus L.)
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0146756openalex-snapshot
A Vulnerability Assessment of Fish and Invertebrates to Climate Change on the Northeast U.S. Continental Shelf
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0206319openalex-snapshot
Climate based multi-year predictions of the Barents Sea cod stock
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.17895/ices.pub.25350346openalex-snapshot
Including climate into the assessment of future fish recruitment, using multiple regression models
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.17895/ices.pub.8898openalex-snapshot
Fluctuations in abundance of Northeast Arctic cod during the 20th century
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.18637/jss.v007.i02openalex-snapshot
strucchange : An R Package for Testing for Structural Change in Linear Regression Models
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1890/05-1782openalex-snapshot
DENSITY DEPENDENCE AND DENSITY INDEPENDENCE DURING THE EARLY LIFE STAGES OF FOUR MARINE FISH STOCKS
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1890/070037openalex-snapshot
Novel climates, no-analog communities, and ecological surprises
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/1445688openalex-snapshot
Dynamics of Marine Fish Populations
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On the Dynamics of Exploited Fish Populations.
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2960/j.v41.m634openalex-snapshot
Emerging from Hjort's Shadow
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3354/meps10249openalex-snapshot
Temporal shifts in recruitment dynamics of North Atlantic fish stocks: effects of spawning stock and temperature
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3354/meps12183openalex-snapshot
Regime shifts in fish recruitment on the Northeast US Continental Shelf
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3354/meps134111openalex-snapshot
Calanus and environment in the eastern North Atlantic. II. Influence of the North Atlantic Oscillation on C. finmarchicus and C. helgolandicus
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3354/meps13963openalex-snapshot
Marine research and management topics addressed by process-based ecosystem models
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3354/meps216213openalex-snapshot
Breaking down the climate effects on cod recruitment by principal component analysis and canonical correlation
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3354/meps298021openalex-snapshot
Regime shifts in marine ecosystems of the North Sea and Wadden Sea
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2023.1167354openalex-snapshot
Can regime shifts in reproduction be explained by changing climate and food availability?
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-6-687-2013openalex-snapshot
The Norwegian Earth System Model, NorESM1-M – Part 1: Description and basic evaluation of the physical climate
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Resolving Hjort's Dilemma: How Is Recruitment Related to Spawning Stock Biomass in Marine Fish?

What points at this work

Incoming claims: where this work appears in other papers’ reference lists and arguments.

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4780387openalex-extracted
Seasonality and Growth in the Generalized Fishery Model
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.marenvres.2025.107585openalex-snapshot
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inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.pocean.2024.103302openalex-snapshot
Zooplankton link climate to capelin and polar cod in the Barents Sea
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.pocean.2025.103528openalex-snapshot
Observation error appears to explain the perception of earlier maturation in Atlantic cod following the industrialised fishing
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-026-70986-zopenalex-snapshot
Human-induced intensification of sea surface temperature regime shifts threatens global Large Marine Ecosystems
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/icesjms/fsae101openalex-snapshot
Repeated large declines in the Barents Sea capelin population are associated with different ecosystem conditions
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/icesjms/fsae200openalex-snapshot
Making ocean climate effects studies matter to society
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/icesjms/fsaf102openalex-snapshot
Ocean-climate conditions one year prior to spawning drive recruitment success of blue whiting
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/icesjms/fsaf128openalex-snapshot
Key drivers and spatio-temporal variation in the reproductive potential of Icelandic cod
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/icesjms/fsaf197openalex-snapshot
Recruitment mechanisms of Atlantic cod ( Gadus morhua ) living in an extreme low-salinity environment
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/ajae.70023openalex-snapshot
Seasonality and growth in the generalized bioeconomic model
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/eva.70250openalex-snapshot
Coexisting Atlantic Cod Ecotypes in the Barents Sea: An Issue for Managing Fisheries
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/faf.12833openalex-snapshot
Northeast Atlantic fish stock productivity hindcasts and forecasts from a Bayesian framework reveal pronounced climate‐induced dynamics
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/faf.12908openalex-snapshot
Spatial Distribution of Numerical Density of Pelagic Juveniles (0‐Group) of Broadcast Spawning Fish Stocks Follows a Common Statistical Pattern
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/faf.70074openalex-snapshot
The Abrupt and Persistent Decline in Recruitment Success in Northeast Arctic Cod: A Review of Probable Causes
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/faf.70087openalex-snapshot
Environment‐Recruitment Relationships May Be Shadows of Other Life‐History Processes
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/faf.70098openalex-snapshot
Leveraging the Highly Data‐Rich Northeast Arctic Cod ( Gadus morhua , Gadidae) to Identify Key Biophysical Factors Behind Recruitment Success
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/fog.12694openalex-snapshot
Northeast Arctic haddock ( Melanogrammus aeglefinus ) spawning grounds and drift to nursery areas in the Barents Sea
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/fog.12728openalex-snapshot
The Roles of Environmental Change and Fishing in Norwegian Coastal Cod Stock Dynamics
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/fog.70075openalex-snapshot
Identifying the Drivers of Newfoundland Capelin Recruitment After a Breakdown in the Environment–Recruitment Relationship
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.70784openalex-snapshot
Global Marine Fishery Stock Productivity Under Climate Change
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.aed7911openalex-snapshot
Abrupt declines in fish productivity often precede stock collapses in marine fisheries
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1139/cjfas-2025-0299openalex-snapshot
Incorporating image-based survey data within stock assessment models
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1139/cjfas-2026-0166openalex-snapshot
Altered Yellow Perch stock–recruit relationships in Saginaw Bay, Lake Huron
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3354/meps15152openalex-snapshot
Revealing climate impacts on recruitment drivers of small pelagic fish through dynamic factor analysis
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2026.1746235openalex-snapshot
The collapse of Atlantic cod in the Oslofjord
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3390/fishes9120497openalex-snapshot
Spawning Potential Ratio Can Provide Reference Points for Fishery Management That Are Robust to Environmental Variability
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