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Global thermal niche models of two European grasses show high invasion risks in Antarctica

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What this work says

Outgoing claims: the papers this work cites, builds on, or argues with.

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Very high resolution interpolated climate surfaces for global land areas
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An Arctic and antarctic perspective on recent climate change
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Flowering Responses of Contrasting Ecotypes of Poa annua and their Putative Ancestors Poa infirma andPoa supina
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Antarctic Climate Change and its Influences on Terrestrial Ecosystems
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New Developments in the Study of Species Distribution
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Poa annua L. in Antarctic: searching for the source of introduction
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s00300-011-1058-2openalex-snapshot
Functional and spatial pressures on terrestrial vegetation in Antarctica forced by global warming
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s00300-011-1099-6openalex-snapshot
Antarctic hairgrass expansion in the South Shetland archipelago and Antarctic Peninsula revisited
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s00300-012-1229-9openalex-snapshot
Antarctic moss carpets facilitate growth of Deschampsia antarctica but not its survival
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s00300-013-1367-8openalex-snapshot
Poa pratensis L., current status of the longest-established non-native vascular plant in the Antarctic
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s00300-014-1513-yopenalex-snapshot
Terrestrial biodiversity along the Ross Sea coastline, Antarctica: lack of a latitudinal gradient and potential limits of bioclimatic modeling
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s00300-015-1731-yopenalex-snapshot
Response of Poa annua to extreme conditions: comparison of morphological traits between populations from cold and temperate climate conditions
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s10530-011-9963-4openalex-snapshot
Use of niche models in invasive species risk assessments
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s10531-015-0896-6openalex-snapshot
Biological invasions in terrestrial Antarctica: what is the current status and can we respond?
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Aliens in Antarctica: Assessing transfer of plant propagules by human visitors to reduce invasion risk
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Evaluation of non-native species policy development and implementation within the Antarctic Treaty area
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Maximum entropy modeling of species geographic distributions
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Unifying niche shift studies: insights from biological invasions
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Assessment of alternative approaches for bioclimatic modeling with special emphasis on the Mahalanobis distance
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Short Note: The first appearance and establishment of an alien vascular plant in natural habitats on the forefield of a retreating glacier in Antarctica
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1017/s0954102012001204openalex-snapshot
Management of Antarctic Specially Protected Areas: permitting, visitation and information exchange practices
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1017/s1464793104006542openalex-snapshot
Biological invasions in the Antarctic: extent, impacts and implications
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Absence of 21st century warming on Antarctic Peninsula consistent with natural variability
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Rapid evolution of life history traits in populations of Poa annua L.
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Predicting the impacts of climate change on the distribution of species: are bioclimate envelope models useful?
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Hutchinson's duality: The once and future niche
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1119787109openalex-snapshot
Continent-wide risk assessment for the establishment of nonindigenous species in Antarctica
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.97.13.7043openalex-snapshot
Hybridization as a stimulus for the evolution of invasiveness in plants?
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The Cost of Reproduction in Annual Meadow Grass
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1098/rsbl.2008.0254openalex-snapshot
Predicting current and future biological invasions: both native and invaded ranges matter
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Increase in Quantity and Quality of Suitable Areas for Invasive Species as Climate Changes
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Climatic niche shifts between species' native and naturalized ranges raise concern for ecological forecasts during invasions and climate change
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Global estimation of invasion risk zones for the western corn rootworm Diabrotica virgifera virgifera: integrating distribution models and physiological thresholds to assess climatic favourability
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ORIGINAL ARTICLE: Diversity and biogeography of the Antarctic flora
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Taxonomic homogenization and differentiation across Southern Ocean Islands differ among insects and vascular plants
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1366-9516.2004.00079.xopenalex-snapshot
Predicting and explaining plant invasions through analysis of source area floras: some critical considerations
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1461-0248.2005.00792.xopenalex-snapshot
Predicting species distribution: offering more than simple habitat models
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1461-0248.2007.01107.xopenalex-snapshot
Grinnellian and Eltonian niches and geographic distributions of species
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Mechanistic niche modelling: combining physiological and spatial data to predict species’ ranges
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1472-4642.2010.00725.xopenalex-snapshot
A statistical explanation of MaxEnt for ecologists
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1523-1739.2012.01865.xopenalex-snapshot
Occurrence of the Non‐Native Annual Bluegrass on the Antarctic Mainland and Its Negative Effects on Native Plants
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1215933openalex-snapshot
Climatic Niche Shifts Are Rare Among Terrestrial Plant Invaders
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1222821openalex-snapshot
Challenges to the Future Conservation of the Antarctic
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pbio.1001888openalex-snapshot
Antarctica’s Protected Areas Are Inadequate, Unrepresentative, and at Risk
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0048163openalex-snapshot
Assessing the Congruence of Thermal Niche Estimations Derived from Distribution and Physiological Data. A Test Using Diving Beetles
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0151075openalex-snapshot
Macro-Climatic Distribution Limits Show Both Niche Expansion and Niche Specialization among C4 Panicoids
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1666/0094-8373(2000)26[194:roppac]2.0.co;2openalex-snapshot
Responses of plant populations and communities to environmental changes of the late Quaternary
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1890/0012-9658(2002)083[2027:enfaht]2.0.co;2openalex-snapshot
ECOLOGICAL-NICHE FACTOR ANALYSIS: HOW TO COMPUTE HABITAT-SUITABILITY MAPS WITHOUT ABSENCE DATA?
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1890/070037openalex-snapshot
Novel climates, no-analog communities, and ecological surprises
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/2390155openalex-snapshot
Mechanisms Underlying the Suppression of Forb Seedling Emergence by Grass (Poa pratensis) Litter
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/3237225openalex-snapshot
Primary succession on glacier forelands in the subantarctic Kerguelen Islands
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/3546968openalex-snapshot
Is There a Taxonomic Pattern to Plant Invasions?
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3402/polar.v31i0.11091openalex-snapshot
Correlative and dynamic species distribution modelling for ecological predictions in the Antarctic: a cross-disciplinary concept
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3402/polar.v33.21425openalex-snapshot
Assessing the importance of human activities for the establishment of the invasivePoa annuain Antarctica

What points at this work

Incoming claims: where this work appears in other papers’ reference lists and arguments.

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The potential area of occupancy of non-native plants across a warming high-Arctic archipelago: Implications for strategic biosecurity management
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Future Range Shifts and Diversity Patterns of Antarctic Lecideoid Lichens Under Climate Change Scenarios
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Antarctic: Climate Change, Fisheries, and Governance
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Antarctic: Climate Change, Fisheries, and Governance
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Range-wide pattern of genetic variation in Colobanthus quitensis
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Genome size constancy in Antarctic populations of Colobanthus quitensis and Deschampsia antarctica
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Selecting environmental descriptors is critical for modelling the distribution of Antarctic benthic species
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Ensemble forecasting of invasion risk for four alien springtail (Collembola) species in Antarctica
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Do non-native plants affect terrestrial arthropods in the sub-Antarctic Kerguelen Islands?
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Effects of climate change conditions on the individual response and biotic interactions of the native and non-native plants of Antarctica
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The potential effects of climate change on the climatic suitability patterns of the Western Asian vectors and parasites of cutaneous leishmaniasis in the mid- and late twenty-first century
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Competition between native Antarctic vascular plants and invasive Poa annua changes with temperature and soil nitrogen availability
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A decade of invertebrate colonization pressure on Scott Base in the Ross Sea region
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Positive interactions among native and invasive vascular plants in Antarctica: assessing the “nurse effect” at different spatial scales
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Rapid range expansion of an invasive flatworm, Kontikia andersoni, on sub-Antarctic Macquarie Island
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Establishment and eradication of an alien plant species in Antarctica: Poa annua at Signy Island
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Antarctic Ecosystems
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Ice-free area expansion compounds the non-native species threat to Antarctic terrestrial biodiversity
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Developing resilience to climate change impacts in Antarctica: An evaluation of Antarctic Treaty System protected area policy
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Modelling invasive alien plant distribution: A literature review of concepts and bibliometric analysis
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An object-oriented model of the invasion and eradication of Poa annua L. on King George Island, Antarctica
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Mars Terraforming: A Geographic Information Systems Framework
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Refining Robel Pole Applications for Grazed Idaho Fescue Grasslands in the Big Horn Mountains, Wyoming
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Ecological consequences of a single introduced species to the Antarctic: terrestrial impacts of the invasive midge Eretmoptera murphyi on Signy Island
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Contrasting impacts of non-native isopods and springtails on ecosystem processes under simulated Antarctic climate conditions
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Forecasting the future of life in Antarctica
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Can classic biological invasion hypotheses be applied to reported cases of non-native terrestrial species in the Maritime Antarctic?
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Warming impacts potential germination of non-native plants on the Antarctic Peninsula
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Contrasting patterns in phylogenetic and biogeographic factories of invasive grasses (Poaceae) across the globe
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Ecological processes shaping Antarctic terrestrial biodiversity change
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MERRAclim, a high-resolution global dataset of remotely sensed bioclimatic variables for ecological modelling
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Antarctica
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Once upon a time in the far south: Influence of local drivers and functional traits on plant invasion in the harsh sub-Antarctic islands
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Barriers to globally invasive species are weakening across the Antarctic
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The “Trojan horse” strategy: Seed fungal endophyte symbiosis helps to explain the invasion success of the grass, Poa annua, in Maritime Antarctica
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Research Bias in Long‐Term Monitoring of Antarctic Nearshore Marine and Terrestrial Biota
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Human activity strongly influences genetic dynamics of the most widespread invasive plant in the sub‐Antarctic
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Singularidad ecofisiológica de los rasgos fotosintéticos e hidráulicos de las plantas vasculares antárticas.
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An expert-driven framework for applying eDNA tools to improve biosecurity in the Antarctic
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Increasing impacts by Antarctica’s most widespread invasive plant species as result of direct competition with native vascular plants
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A classification system for predicting invasiveness using climatic niche traits and global distribution models: application to alien plant species in Chile
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Reply on RC1
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Reply on RC2
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Comment on bg-2022-75
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Comment on bg-2022-75
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Modelling the response of Antarctic marine species to environmental changes. Methods, applications and limitations.
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