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Evolution and connectivity influence the persistence and recovery of coral reefs under climate change in the Caribbean, Southwest Pacific, and Coral Triangle

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What this work says

Outgoing claims: the papers this work cites, builds on, or argues with.

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Evolution reverses the effect of network structure on metapopulation persistence

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Pole-ward range expansion of Acropora spp. along the east coast of Australia

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Pathways and Hydrography in the Mesoamerican Barrier Reef System Part 1: Circulation

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The Roles of Introgression and Climate Change in the Rise to Dominance of Acropora Corals

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Seasonal and spatial heterogeneity of recent sea surface temperature trends in the Caribbean Sea and southeast Gulf of Mexico

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Global analyses of sea surface temperature, sea ice, and night marine air temperature since the late nineteenth century

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Temperature patterns and mechanisms influencing coral bleaching during the 2016 El Niño

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Variation in growth rates of branching corals along Australia’s Great Barrier Reef

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Enhanced larval supply and recruitment can replenish reef corals on degraded reefs

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Response Diversity Can Increase Ecological Resilience to Disturbance in Coral Reefs

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A cascade of evolutionary change alters consumer-resource dynamics and ecosystem function

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Incorporating adaptive responses into future projections of coral bleaching

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Extreme temperature events will drive coral decline in the Coral Triangle

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Estimating the potential for coral adaptation to global warming across the Indo‐West Pacific

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Century‐scale records of coral growth rates indicate that local stressors reduce coral thermal tolerance threshold

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Conservation Objectives and Sea‐Surface Temperature Anomalies in the Great Barrier Reef

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NATURAL SELECTION AND RANDOM GENETIC DRIFT IN PHENOTYPIC EVOLUTION

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Ecologists should not use statistical significance tests to interpret simulation model results

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Marine population connectivity identifies ecological neighbors for conservation planning in the Coral Triangle

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inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/mec.14934openalex-snapshot

Genomic and transcriptomic signals of thermal tolerance in heat‐tolerant corals ( Platygyra daedalea ) of the Arabian/Persian Gulf

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Heritable variation in bleaching responses and its functional genomic basis in reef‐building corals ( Orbicella faveolata )

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Genomic models predict successful coral adaptation if future ocean warming rates are reduced

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.aax9395openalex-snapshot

Widespread loss of Caribbean acroporid corals was underway before coral bleaching and disease outbreaks

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Constraint to Adaptive Evolution in Response to Global Warming

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Genomic determinants of coral heat tolerance across latitudes

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Catastrophes, Phase Shifts, and Large-Scale Degradation of a Caribbean Coral Reef

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Spatial and temporal patterns of mass bleaching of corals in the Anthropocene

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-marine-122414-033857openalex-snapshot

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inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0005712openalex-snapshot

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inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0033353openalex-snapshot

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inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0146855openalex-snapshot

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Polyamine transporter potABCD is required for virulence of encapsulated but not nonencapsulated Streptococcus pneumoniae

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inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1890/13-0710.1openalex-snapshot

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Climate Flickers and Range Shifts of Reef Corals

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Turnover Rates in Insular Biogeography: Effect of Immigration on Extinction

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Climate Change 2014 - Synthesis Report

What points at this work

Incoming claims: where this work appears in other papers’ reference lists and arguments.

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Changing dynamics of Great Barrier Reef hard coral cover in the Anthropocene

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Coral reef thermal microclimates mapped from the International Space Station

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Fine resolution satellite sea surface temperatures capture the conditions experienced by corals at monthly but not daily timescales

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inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.16323openalex-snapshot

Climate refugia on the Great Barrier Reef fail when global warming exceeds 3°C

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.16647openalex-snapshot

Coral adaptive capacity insufficient to halt global transition of coral reefs into net erosion under climate change

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.16719openalex-snapshot

Moving beyond heritability in the search for coral adaptive potential

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.16741openalex-snapshot

Demographic resilience may sustain significant coral populations in a 2°C‐warmer world

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.17592openalex-snapshot

The Loss of Beneficial Thermal Priming on Global Coral Reefs

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/geb.70105openalex-snapshot

Moving Beyond Temperature Metrics in Coral Bleaching Prediction Using Interpretable Machine Learning

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/mec.16498openalex-snapshot

Population connectivity and genetic offset in the spawning coral Acropora digitifera in Western Australia

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/mec.17468openalex-snapshot

Chromosomal inversions harbour excess mutational load in the coral, Acropora kenti , on the Great Barrier Reef

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/rec.70001openalex-snapshot

A comparison of in situ and on‐vessel larval rearing for coral seeding

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/rec.70252openalex-snapshot

Context‐dependent benefits of coral reef restoration

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.adr2545openalex-snapshot

Anthropogenic climate change will likely outpace coral range expansion

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1126/science.adl6480openalex-snapshot

Natural selection could determine whether Acropora corals persist under expected climate change

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1139/cjfas-2021-0342openalex-snapshot

Implications of dispersal in Atlantic salmon: lessons from a demo-genetic agent-based model

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-genet-022123-102748openalex-snapshot

Coral Reef Population Genomics in an Age of Global Change

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1175/jamc-d-24-0054.1openalex-snapshot

Probabilistic and Threshold-Based Marine Heat Indicators Show Different Signatures of Near-Perpetual Heat Emergence around Mesoamerican Reef under Climate Change

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1186/s40168-026-02338-4openalex-snapshot

Reconstruction of coral holobionts and elucidation of the causal relationships among symbiodiniaceae, bacteria, and coral through single-cell raman spectroscopy metabolomics

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000090openalex-snapshot

Cloudiness delays projected impact of climate change on coral reefs

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0355728openalex-snapshot

Coral restoration is only practical when local human pressure levels are low

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-10195380/v1openalex-snapshot

Delaying conservation at heatwave hotspots can undermine long-term eco-evolutionary benefits

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.26607/ijsl.v24i1.121openalex-snapshot

Biological Effects of Light Pollution on Terrestrial and Marine Organisms

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3354/meps14712openalex-snapshot

Coral performance is comparable when transplanted to disparate reef sites despite divergent histories of reef decline and recovery

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2021.778121openalex-snapshot

Environmental Variability and Threshold Model’s Predictions for Coral Reefs

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2022.899398openalex-snapshot

54 years of microboring community history explored by machine learning in a massive coral from Mayotte (Indian Ocean)

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3389/fmicb.2025.1715855openalex-snapshot

Caribbean fish feces are an environmental hotspot of viable Symbiodiniaceae

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3389/frevc.2024.1229094openalex-snapshot

The transnational frontier of resort master plans: a gateway to borderless legacies for the environment and humanity

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3390/rs17162881openalex-snapshot

Marine Heatwaves and Cold Spells in Global Coral Reef Regions (1982–2070): Characteristics, Drivers, and Impacts

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5343/bms.2023.0058openalex-snapshot

Recovery of a tropical coral reef in the aftermath of a cyclone: insights into postdisturbance dynamics and conservation strategies

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5772/intechopen.1015406openalex-snapshot

A Review of Volcanic Activity and the Evolution of Coral Reefs

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.59387/bdhf9180openalex-snapshot

Status and Trends of Caribbean Coral Reefs: 1970 – 2024

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.7554/elife.64790openalex-snapshot

Widespread variation in heat tolerance and symbiont load are associated with growth tradeoffs in the coral Acropora hyacinthus in Palau

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.7930/nca5.2023.ch30openalex-snapshot

Chapter 30 : Hawaiʻi and US-Affiliated Pacific Islands. Fifth National Climate Assessment

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