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Asymmetric response of Amazon forest water and energy fluxes to wet and dry hydrological extremes reveals onset of a local drought‐induced tipping point

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What this work says

Outgoing claims: the papers this work cites, builds on, or argues with.

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1002/2014gb005080openalex-snapshot
Recent Amazon climate as background for possible ongoing and future changes of Amazon humid forests
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1002/2016gl070888openalex-snapshot
Ranking the strongest ENSO events while incorporating SST uncertainty
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1002/2016jg003591openalex-snapshot
Ground heat flux: An analytical review of 6 models evaluated at 88 sites and globally
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1002/grl.50377openalex-snapshot
Intensification of the Amazon hydrological cycle over the last two decades
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.2336openalex-snapshot
El Niño/Southern Oscillation behaviour since 1871 as diagnosed in an extended multivariate ENSO index (MEI.ext)
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.49712051806openalex-snapshot
Precipitation recycling in the Amazon basin
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.49712757402openalex-snapshot
Combination theory and equilibrium evaporation
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-007-2351-1_1openalex-snapshot
The Eddy Covariance Method
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-017-1497-6openalex-snapshot
Evaporation into the Atmosphere
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s00442-005-0108-2openalex-snapshot
Hydraulic redistribution in three Amazonian trees
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s00442-013-2766-9openalex-snapshot
The sensitivity of wood production to seasonal and interannual variations in climate in a lowland Amazonian rainforest
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/0168-1923(86)90063-8openalex-snapshot
A simple and fast numerical method for the computation of daily totals of crop photosynthesis
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/0168-1923(88)90029-9openalex-snapshot
Energy balance storage terms in a mixed forest
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2004.07.003openalex-snapshot
Heat storage and energy balance fluxes for a temperate deciduous forest
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2014.02.008openalex-snapshot
Mechanisms of water supply and vegetation demand govern the seasonality and magnitude of evapotranspiration in Amazonia and Cerrado
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2015.09.009openalex-snapshot
An improved isotopic method for partitioning net ecosystem–atmosphere CO2 exchange
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2018.11.017openalex-snapshot
A simple and objective method to partition evapotranspiration into transpiration and evaporation at eddy-covariance sites
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foreco.2021.119441openalex-snapshot
Leaf-litter production in human-modified Amazonian forests following the El Niño-mediated drought and fires of 2015–2016
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geomorph.2013.05.028openalex-snapshot
Was the 2009 flood the most hazardous or the largest ever recorded in the Amazon?
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2015.10.007openalex-snapshot
Global observed long-term changes in temperature and precipitation extremes: A review of progress and limitations in IPCC assessments and beyond
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/s0168-1923(02)00109-0openalex-snapshot
Energy balance closure at FLUXNET sites
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1017/cbo9781107415379openalex-snapshot
Climate Change 2014 Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/2001jd000360openalex-snapshot
The effects of partial throughfall exclusion on canopy processes, aboveground production, and biogeochemistry of an Amazon forest
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/2003gl018600openalex-snapshot
A new climate‐vegetation equilibrium state for Tropical South America
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/2005gl025583openalex-snapshot
Amazon rainforests green‐up with sunlight in dry season
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/2006gl028946openalex-snapshot
Spatial patterns and fire response of recent Amazonian droughts
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/2006jg000365openalex-snapshot
Seasonal controls on the exchange of carbon and water in an Amazonian rain forest
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/2007jg000590openalex-snapshot
Seasonal patterns of tropical forest leaf area index and CO 2 exchange
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/2007jg000592openalex-snapshot
Dynamics of carbon, biomass, and structure in two Amazonian forests
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/2007jg000628openalex-snapshot
Is the data collection period of the Large‐Scale Biosphere‐Atmosphere Experiment in Amazonia representative of long‐term climatology?
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/2010wr009127openalex-snapshot
Origin and fate of atmospheric moisture over continents
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/2010wr009383openalex-snapshot
The 2009 exceptional Amazon flood and interannual terrestrial water storage change observed by GRACE
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/2018ef001026openalex-snapshot
Why Does Amazon Precipitation Decrease When Tropical Forests Respond to Increasing CO2?
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/95wr02920openalex-snapshot
On the Concept of Equilibrium Evaporation and the Value of the Priestley‐Taylor Coefficient
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-020-00508-4openalex-snapshot
When will the Amazon hit a tipping point?
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/nature06960openalex-snapshot
Increasing risk of Amazonian drought due to decreasing aerosol pollution
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/nature08227openalex-snapshot
Early-warning signals for critical transitions
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/nature16457openalex-snapshot
Dry-season greening of Amazon forests
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo1580openalex-snapshot
An update on Earth's energy balance in light of the latest global observations
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo2382openalex-snapshot
Photosynthetic seasonality of global tropical forests constrained by hydroclimate
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-018-04307-4openalex-snapshot
Sensible heat has significantly affected the global hydrological cycle over the historical period
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-15029-xopenalex-snapshot
Regime shifts occur disproportionately faster in larger ecosystems
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-021-03629-6openalex-snapshot
Amazonia as a carbon source linked to deforestation and climate change
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-022-05690-1openalex-snapshot
Tropical deforestation causes large reductions in observed precipitation
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-023-05971-3openalex-snapshot
Basin-wide variation in tree hydraulic safety margins predicts the carbon balance of Amazon forests
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/srep33130openalex-snapshot
Record-breaking warming and extreme drought in the Amazon rainforest during the course of El Niño 2015–2016
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1046/j.1365-3040.2002.00891.xopenalex-snapshot
Temperature response of parameters of a biochemically based model of photosynthesis. II. A review of experimental data
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0611338104openalex-snapshot
Large seasonal swings in leaf area of Amazon rainforests
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2101388119openalex-snapshot
Climatic and biotic factors influencing regional declines and recovery of tropical forest biomass from the 2015/16 El Niño
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/acc676openalex-snapshot
Moisture origins of the Amazon carbon source region
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1098/rstb.2017.0408openalex-snapshot
Widespread reduction in sun-induced fluorescence from the Amazon during the 2015/2016 El Niño
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1098/rstb.2018.0084openalex-snapshot
Changes in surface hydrology, soil moisture and gross primary production in the Amazon during the 2015/2016 El Niño
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2745.12931openalex-snapshot
Shock and stabilisation following long‐term drought in tropical forest from 15 years of litterfall dynamics
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.12012openalex-snapshot
Amazon's vulnerability to climate change heightened by deforestation and man‐made dispersal barriers
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.13442openalex-snapshot
Do dynamic global vegetation models capture the seasonality of carbon fluxes in the Amazon basin? A data‐model intercomparison
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.13731openalex-snapshot
Differences in xylem and leaf hydraulic traits explain differences in drought tolerance among mature Amazon rainforest trees
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.14413openalex-snapshot
Compositional response of Amazon forests to climate change
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.15905openalex-snapshot
The CO2 record at the Amazon Tall Tower Observatory: A new opportunity to study processes on seasonal and inter‐annual scales
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.16644openalex-snapshot
The role of ecosystem transpiration in creating alternate moisture regimes by influencing atmospheric moisture convergence
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2008.01610.xopenalex-snapshot
Impact of severe dry season on net ecosystem exchange in the Neotropical rainforest of French Guiana
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2012.02790.xopenalex-snapshot
Reconciling the optimal and empirical approaches to modelling stomatal conductance
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-3040.1995.tb00370.xopenalex-snapshot
A critical appraisal of a combined stomatal‐photosynthesis model for C3 plants
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/nph.15726openalex-snapshot
Seasonal and drought‐related changes in leaf area profiles depend on height and light environment in an Amazon forest
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/nph.15909openalex-snapshot
Hydraulic traits explain differential responses of Amazonian forests to the 2015 El Niño‐induced drought
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/nph.17914openalex-snapshot
The other side of tropical forest drought: do shallow water table regions of Amazonia act as large‐scale hydrological refugia from drought?
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.aat8785openalex-snapshot
Recent intensification of Amazon flooding extremes driven by strengthened Walker circulation
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.aay1632openalex-snapshot
The gathering firestorm in southern Amazonia
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.aba2949openalex-snapshot
Amazon tipping point: Last chance for action
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1091165openalex-snapshot
Carbon in Amazon Forests: Unexpected Seasonal Fluxes and Disturbance-Induced Losses
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1164033openalex-snapshot
Drought Sensitivity of the Amazon Rainforest
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1126/science.260.5112.1314openalex-snapshot
Net Exchange of CO 2 in a Mid-Latitude Forest
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aad5068openalex-snapshot
Leaf development and demography explain photosynthetic seasonality in Amazon evergreen forests
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0442(1999)012<1368:amrroa>2.0.co;2openalex-snapshot
Atmospheric Moisture Recycling: Role of Advection and Local Evaporation
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0450(1983)022<0517:assfde>2.0.co;2openalex-snapshot
A Simple Scheme for Daytime Estimates of the Surface Fluxes from Routine Weather Data
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0493(1972)100<0081:otaosh>2.3.co;2openalex-snapshot
On the Assessment of Surface Heat Flux and Evaporation Using Large-Scale Parameters
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-12-00436.1openalex-snapshot
Surface Irradiances Consistent with CERES-Derived Top-of-Atmosphere Shortwave and Longwave Irradiances
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/jhm560.1openalex-snapshot
The TRMM Multisatellite Precipitation Analysis (TMPA): Quasi-Global, Multiyear, Combined-Sensor Precipitation Estimates at Fine Scales
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/jhm587.1openalex-snapshot
What Controls Evapotranspiration in the Amazon Basin?
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1579/0044-7447-30.7.388openalex-snapshot
Spatial and Temporal Patterns of Amazon Rainfall
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1890/02-6006openalex-snapshot
CARBON BALANCE AND VEGETATION DYNAMICS IN AN OLD‐GROWTH AMAZONIAN FOREST
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.20937/atm.2014.27.04.01openalex-snapshot
Limitations and improvements of the energy balance closure with reference to experimental data measured over a maize field
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.4324/9780203428238-12openalex-snapshot
Boundary layer climates
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-6735-2021openalex-snapshot
What drives daily precipitation over the central Amazon? Differences observed between wet and dry seasons
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-10-8385-2013openalex-snapshot
Tree height and tropical forest biomass estimation
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-16-3747-2019openalex-snapshot
Reviews and syntheses: Turning the challenges of partitioning ecosystem evaporation and transpiration into opportunities
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-4445-2021openalex-snapshot
Drought effects on leaf fall, leaf flushing and stem growth in the Amazon forest: reconciling remote sensing data and field observations
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.5194/gi-11-223-2022openalex-snapshot
The soil heat flux sensor functioning checks, imbalances' origins, and forgotten energies
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.55161/qpys9758openalex-snapshot
Chapter 24: Resilience of the Amazon forest to global changes: Assessing the risk of tipping points

What points at this work

Incoming claims: where this work appears in other papers’ reference lists and arguments.

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4835444openalex-extracted
Contrasting Leaf Phenologies at Two Highly Seasonal Tropical Forests
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1002/joc.70219openalex-snapshot
Characterisation of the Exceptional Heatwave Conditions Observed in Brazil During the Record‐Hot Years of 2024 and 2025
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2024.110037openalex-snapshot
Contrasting Carbon Cycle Responses to Dry (2015 El Niño) and Wet (2008 La Niña) Extreme Events at an Amazon Tropical Forest
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.gecco.2024.e03106openalex-snapshot
Prioritizing Amazon Forest conservation: Assessing potential biomass under climate change
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.170913openalex-snapshot
Spatiotemporal characteristics of meteorological drought events in 34 major global river basins during 1901–2021
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1029/2025av001670openalex-snapshot
Recent Forest Loss in the Brazilian Amazon Causes Substantial Reductions in Dry Season Precipitation
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1029/2025av001684openalex-snapshot
Dynamics and Couplings of Terrestrial Water Storage Extremes From GRACE and GRACE‐FO Missions During 2002–2024
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1029/2025wr040039openalex-snapshot
Critical Slowing Down Reveals Hydrologic Resilience Loss Across Amazon Sub‐Basins
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-66987-zopenalex-snapshot
ENSO amplifies global vegetation resilience variability in a changing climate
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-026-01981-8openalex-snapshot
Evapotranspiration declines prolonged by deforestation and fire in South American biomes
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-026-03337-xopenalex-snapshot
Ecological boundaries must be incorporated in the post-COP30 climate regime
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-026-04047-0openalex-snapshot
Fire-derived ozone intensifies carbon loss in Amazon forests under extreme droughts
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/treephys/tpae088openalex-snapshot
Preserving isohydricity: vertical environmental variability explains Amazon forest water-use strategies
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1108/ijccsm-11-2023-0144openalex-snapshot
Phasic and periodic change of drought under greenhouse effect
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2435.70213openalex-snapshot
Trait coordination reveals the fast–slow plant economics spectrum along the vertical canopy profile in central Amazonian forests
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/ele.70321openalex-snapshot
Post‐Drought Vegetation Shifts Lead to Divergent Carbon, Water and Energy Responses in a Savanna Ecosystem of Southwest China
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1590/1809-4392202500502openalex-snapshot
The role of local hydrology and leaf habit in leaf phenology patterns over 52 years of monitoring of canopy trees in central Amazonia, Brazil
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3390/f14112208openalex-snapshot
A Comparison of Water Uptake by Transpiration from Different Soil Depths among Three Land Cover Types in the Arid Northwest of China
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3390/su17062616openalex-snapshot
Response of the Evolution of Basin Hydrometeorological Drought to ENSO: A Case Study of the Jiaojiang River Basin in Southeast China
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5194/acp-26-10679-2026openalex-snapshot
Estimation of nocturnal boundary layer height in the central Amazon, supported by gas concentration profiles
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5194/acp-26-12887-2026openalex-snapshot
Ice core insights into the morphology and composition of mineral dust deposited in the tropical Peruvian Andes
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5194/bg-23-5313-2026openalex-snapshot
Reviews and syntheses: Eddy covariance-based evapotranspiration partitioning
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.54386/jam.v26i4.2687openalex-snapshot
Trend analysis and change-point detection of temperature and rainfall in southern Peruvian Amazon and its relation to deforestation
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