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Canada's Forests Are Shifting From a Recovery‐Driven Carbon Sink to a Disturbance‐Driven Carbon Source

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What this work says

Outgoing claims: the papers this work cites, builds on, or argues with.

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1002/2013jg002388openalex-snapshot
Improved assessment of gross and net primary productivity of Canada's landmass
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1002/ecy.4444openalex-snapshot
Gains in soil carbon storage under anthropogenic nitrogen deposition are rapidly lost following its cessation
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1002/jgrg.20042openalex-snapshot
Analysis of daily, monthly, and annual burned area using the fourth‐generation global fire emissions database (GFED4)
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-017-3580-6openalex-snapshot
Multivariate quantile mapping bias correction: an N-dimensional probability density function transform for climate model simulations of multiple variables
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s40641-023-00190-4openalex-snapshot
Recent Advances and Challenges in Monitoring and Modeling Non-Growing Season Carbon Dioxide Fluxes from the Arctic Boreal Zone
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2006.03.018openalex-snapshot
Carbon dioxide fluxes in coastal Douglas-fir stands at different stages of development after clearcut harvesting
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2006.08.004openalex-snapshot
Above- and belowground ecosystem biomass and carbon pools in an age-sequence of temperate pine plantation forests
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2008.10.025openalex-snapshot
Comparison of carbon dynamics and water use efficiency following fire and harvesting in Canadian boreal forests
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2014.06.013openalex-snapshot
Data-driven diagnostics of terrestrial carbon dynamics over North America
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2012.02.004openalex-snapshot
North American Carbon Program (NACP) regional interim synthesis: Terrestrial biospheric model intercomparison
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envint.2004.02.003openalex-snapshot
The effect of fire on soil organic matter—a review
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quaint.2015.09.053openalex-snapshot
The imprint of time on Canadian soil landscapes
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2018.06.010openalex-snapshot
Guidelines for the use and interpretation of palaeofire reconstructions based on various archives and proxies
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2015.09.004openalex-snapshot
Regional detection, characterization, and attribution of annual forest change from 1984 to 2012 using Landsat-derived time-series metrics
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2017.03.035openalex-snapshot
A nationwide annual characterization of 25 years of forest disturbance and recovery for Canada using Landsat time series
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2023.113529openalex-snapshot
Estimating and mapping forest age across Canada's forested ecosystems
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.srs.2024.100145openalex-snapshot
Revisiting the 2023 wildfire season in Canada
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tree.2019.01.013openalex-snapshot
A Critique of the Space-for-Time Substitution Practice in Community Ecology
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/1999gb001206openalex-snapshot
Approaches for reducing uncertainties in regional forest carbon balance
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/1999gb001207openalex-snapshot
Annual carbon balance of Canada's forests during 1895–1996
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/2001jd000484openalex-snapshot
Large forest fires in Canada, 1959–1997
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/2009gb003699openalex-snapshot
Tree ring evidence for limited direct CO2 fertilization of forests over the 20th century
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/2010jg001390openalex-snapshot
Ecosystem carbon dioxide fluxes after disturbance in forests of North America
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/2010jg001566openalex-snapshot
Global patterns of land-atmosphere fluxes of carbon dioxide, latent heat, and sensible heat derived from eddy covariance, satellite, and meteorological observations
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/2018ms001453openalex-snapshot
Perspectives on the Future of Land Surface Models and the Challenges of Representing Complex Terrestrial Systems
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/2021gb007213openalex-snapshot
Large Soil Carbon Storage in Terrestrial Ecosystems of Canada
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/2021ms002946openalex-snapshot
Are Terrestrial Biosphere Models Fit for Simulating the Global Land Carbon Sink?
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/2022ms003480openalex-snapshot
Evaluating the Performance of the Canadian Land Surface Scheme Including Biogeochemical Cycles (CLASSIC) Tailored to the Pan‐Canadian Domain
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/2023ms003749openalex-snapshot
The Impact of Climate Forcing Biases and the Nitrogen Cycle on Land Carbon Balance Projections
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/2024gb008102openalex-snapshot
Trends and Drivers of Terrestrial Sources and Sinks of Carbon Dioxide: An Overview of the TRENDY Project
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/2024gb008310openalex-snapshot
The North American Greenhouse Gas Budget: Emissions, Removals, and Integration for CO2, CH4, and N2O (2010–2019): Results From the Second REgional Carbon Cycle Assessment and Processes Study (RECCAP2)
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/2024gl114492openalex-snapshot
Increased Atmospheric Aridity and Reduced Precipitation Drive the 2023 Extreme Wildfire Season in Canada
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1034/j.1600-0889.47.issue1.14.xopenalex-snapshot
20th century carbon budget of Canadian forests
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo1027openalex-snapshot
Recent acceleration of biomass burning and carbon losses in Alaskan forests and peatlands
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-56333-8openalex-snapshot
A fire deficit persists across diverse North American forests despite recent increases in area burned
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-019-0592-8openalex-snapshot
Large loss of CO2 in winter observed across the northern permafrost region
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-024-02140-wopenalex-snapshot
Global burned area increasingly explained by climate change
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-025-01875-1openalex-snapshot
Canadian net forest CO2 uptake enhanced by heat drought via reduced respiration
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-024-07878-zopenalex-snapshot
Carbon emissions from the 2023 Canadian wildfires
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-87343-3openalex-snapshot
North American boreal forests are a large carbon source due to wildfires from 1986 to 2016
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-024-00781-4openalex-snapshot
Global climate change below 2 °C avoids large end century increases in burned area in Canada
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-024-00841-9openalex-snapshot
Human driven climate change increased the likelihood of the 2023 record area burned in Canada
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-024-01827-4openalex-snapshot
The key role of forest disturbance in reconciling estimates of the northern carbon sink
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1046/j.1365-2486.1999.00266.xopenalex-snapshot
Productivity of forests in the Eurosiberian boreal region and their potential to act as a carbon sink –‐ a synthesis
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0705414105openalex-snapshot
Tipping elements in the Earth's climate system
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0708133105openalex-snapshot
Risk of natural disturbances makes future contribution of Canada's forests to the global carbon cycle highly uncertain
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1810512116openalex-snapshot
Role of forest regrowth in global carbon sink dynamics
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1080/07038992.2018.1437719openalex-snapshot
Disturbance-Informed Annual Land Cover Classification Maps of Canada's Forested Ecosystems for a 29-Year Landsat Time Series
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1080/07055900.2022.2096558openalex-snapshot
On the Discretization of Richards Equation in Canadian Land Surface Models
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1080/17538947.2016.1187673openalex-snapshot
Mass data processing of time series Landsat imagery: pixels to data products for forest monitoring
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aad505openalex-snapshot
Forests dominate the interannual variability of the North American carbon sink
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abfb2copenalex-snapshot
Area burned adjustments to historical wildland fires in Canada
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac6005openalex-snapshot
Range shifts in a foundation sedge potentially induce large Arctic ecosystem carbon losses and gains
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/biosci/bix014openalex-snapshot
An Ecoregion-Based Approach to Protecting Half the Terrestrial Realm
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/nsr/nwaa145openalex-snapshot
Empirical estimates of regional carbon budgets imply reduced global soil heterotrophic respiration
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/treephys/16.3.367openalex-snapshot
Growth, shoot phenology and physiology of diverse seed sources of black spruce: I. Seedling responses to varied atmospheric CO2 concentrations and photoperiods
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/treephys/26.7.875openalex-snapshot
Responses of Picea mariana to elevated CO2 concentration during growth, cold hardening and dehardening: phenology, cold tolerance, photosynthesis and growth
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/brv.13004openalex-snapshot
Space‐for‐time substitutions in climate change ecology and evolution
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.13988openalex-snapshot
Models meet data: Challenges and opportunities in implementing land management in Earth system models
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2006.01251.xopenalex-snapshot
An eddy covariance mesonet to measure the effect of forest age on land–atmosphere exchange
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2008.01598.xopenalex-snapshot
CO2 fertilization in temperate FACE experiments not representative of boreal and tropical forests
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2010.02274.xopenalex-snapshot
Patterns of NPP, GPP, respiration, and NEP during boreal forest succession
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2011.02627.xopenalex-snapshot
Reconciling estimates of the contemporary North American carbon balance among terrestrial biosphere models, atmospheric inversions, and a new approach for estimating net ecosystem exchange from inventory‐based data
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/nph.15790openalex-snapshot
Differential responses of ecotypes to climate in a ubiquitous Arctic sedge: implications for future ecosystem C cycling
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/pce.15068openalex-snapshot
Photosynthetic capacity in middle‐aged larch and spruce acclimates independently to experimental warming and elevated CO2
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.aaw0076openalex-snapshot
Enhanced North American carbon uptake associated with El Niño
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.adr5489openalex-snapshot
The weak land carbon sink hypothesis
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1126/science.258.5090.1921openalex-snapshot
Dynamics of Soil Carbon During Deglaciation of the Laurentide Ice Sheet
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1127/phyto/2017/0160openalex-snapshot
The Biogeoclimatic Ecosystem Classification Approach: an ecological framework for vegetation classification
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1139/cjfr-2017-0184openalex-snapshot
Tracking forest attributes across Canada between 2001 and 2011 using a k nearest neighbors mapping approach applied to MODIS imagery
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1139/cjfr-2018-0293openalex-snapshot
Fire-regime changes in Canada over the last half century
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1139/er-2013-0042openalex-snapshot
Anticipating the consequences of climate change for Canada’s boreal forest ecosystems
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1139/er-2023-0075openalex-snapshot
Future impacts of climate change on black spruce growth and mortality: review and challenges
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1139/er-2024-0001openalex-snapshot
10-year progress on forest carbon research in Canada
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-ecolsys-102209-144647openalex-snapshot
Ecological Lessons from Free-Air CO 2 Enrichment (FACE) Experiments
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/2009jcli3037.1openalex-snapshot
The Effect of Terrestrial Photosynthesis Down Regulation on the Twentieth-Century Carbon Budget Simulated with the CCCma Earth System Model
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/2009jcli3361.1openalex-snapshot
Challenges in Combining Projections from Multiple Climate Models
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-12-00494.1openalex-snapshot
Carbon–Concentration and Carbon–Climate Feedbacks in CMIP5 Earth System Models
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0014691openalex-snapshot
The Influence of Recent Climate Change on Tree Height Growth Differs with Species and Spatial Environment
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0169748openalex-snapshot
SoilGrids250m: Global gridded soil information based on machine learning
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0197218openalex-snapshot
A thirty year, fine-scale, characterization of area burned in Canadian forests shows evidence of regionally increasing trends in the last decade
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1515/9780773571693openalex-snapshot
Canada's Forests
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1890/07-0747.1openalex-snapshot
PAST AND FUTURE CHANGES IN CANADIAN BOREAL WILDFIRE ACTIVITY
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1890/1051-0761(1999)009[0526:ayraoc]2.0.co;2openalex-snapshot
A 70-YEAR RETROSPECTIVE ANALYSIS OF CARBON FLUXES IN THE CANADIAN FOREST SECTOR
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.22541/essoar.167169640.09413994/v1openalex-snapshot
Compensatory Effects between CO2, Nitrogen Deposition, and Temperature in Terrestrial Biosphere Models without Nitrogen Compromise Projections of the Future Terrestrial Carbon Sink
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.22541/essoar.170914412.27504349/v1openalex-snapshot
Canada Under Fire – Drivers and Impacts of the Record-Breaking 2023 Wildfire Season
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3390/rs14133050openalex-snapshot
Extending the National Burned Area Composite Time Series of Wildfires in Canada
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3390/rs9111098openalex-snapshot
Circa 2010 Land Cover of Canada: Local Optimization Methodology and Product Development
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-14-3703-2014openalex-snapshot
Inferring regional sources and sinks of atmospheric CO 2 from GOSAT XCO 2 data
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-3-1919-2003openalex-snapshot
CO 2 flux history 1982–2001 inferred from atmospheric data using a global inversion of atmospheric transport
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-10-6699-2013openalex-snapshot
Global atmospheric carbon budget: results from an ensemble of atmospheric CO 2 inversions
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-17-1343-2020openalex-snapshot
Scaling carbon fluxes from eddy covariance sites to globe: synthesis and evaluation of the FLUXCOM approach
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-3263-2021openalex-snapshot
Simulating shrubs and their energy and carbon dioxide fluxes in Canada's Low Arctic with the Canadian Land Surface Scheme Including Biogeochemical Cycles (CLASSIC)
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-20-2265-2023openalex-snapshot
Mapping of ESA's Climate Change Initiative land cover data to plant functional types for use in the CLASSIC land model
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-1017-2024openalex-snapshot
Using Free Air CO 2 Enrichment data to constrain land surface model projections of the terrestrial carbon cycle
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-11-1783-2019openalex-snapshot
Global Carbon Budget 2019
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-14-1639-2022openalex-snapshot
Comparing national greenhouse gas budgets reported in UNFCCC inventories against atmospheric inversions
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-14-4811-2022openalex-snapshot
Global Carbon Budget 2022
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-11-409-2018openalex-snapshot
Representing anthropogenic gross land use change, wood harvest, and forest age dynamics in a global vegetation model ORCHIDEE-MICT v8.4.2
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-12-4823-2019openalex-snapshot
The Canadian Earth System Model version 5 (CanESM5.0.3)
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-13-2825-2020openalex-snapshot
CLASSIC v1.0: the open-source community successor to the Canadian Land Surface Scheme (CLASS) and the Canadian Terrestrial Ecosystem Model (CTEM) – Part 1: Model framework and site-level performance
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-13-3571-2020openalex-snapshot
The shared socio-economic pathway (SSP) greenhouse gas concentrations and their extensions to 2500
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-14-2371-2021openalex-snapshot
CLASSIC v1.0: the open-source community successor to the Canadian Land Surface Scheme (CLASS) and the Canadian Terrestrial Ecosystem Model (CTEM) – Part 2: Global benchmarking
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-2683-2024openalex-snapshot
Implementing a dynamic representation of fire and harvest including subgrid-scale heterogeneity in the tile-based land surface model CLASSIC v1.45
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-9-2853-2016openalex-snapshot
C4MIP – The Coupled Climate–Carbon Cycle Model Intercomparison Project: experimental protocol for CMIP6
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-9-323-2016openalex-snapshot
Competition between plant functional types in the Canadian Terrestrial Ecosystem Model (CTEM) v. 2.0
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.5558/tfc64182-3openalex-snapshot
The Historical Pattern of Annual Burned Area in Canada

What points at this work

Incoming claims: where this work appears in other papers’ reference lists and arguments.

inferred← backgroundhttps://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.17556342zenodo-depositor-declared
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ae9f73openalex-snapshot
Carbon storage and mitigation potential of structural wood and biochar-based concrete in global urban building scenarios
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