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Fiscal Stimulus in Times of High Debt: Reconsidering Multipliers and Twin Deficits

https://doi.org/10.1111/jmcb.12148
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Outgoing claims: the papers this work cites, builds on, or argues with.

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Some Unpleasant Monetarist Arithmetic
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New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis
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Bayesian skepticism on unit root econometrics
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Government deficits and aggregate demand
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Estimating long-run relationships from dynamic heterogeneous panels
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Estimating the effects of coordinated fiscal actions in the euro area
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Understanding the dynamic effects of government spending on foreign trade
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Twin deficit or twin divergence? Fiscal policy, current account, and real exchange rate in the U.S.
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How do fiscal and technology shocks affect real exchange rates?
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How Big (Small?) are Fiscal Multipliers?
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Searching for Non-Linear Effects of Fiscal Policy: Evidence from Industrial and Developing Countries
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Fiscal crises and aggregate demand: can high public debt reverse the effects of fiscal policy?
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Forecasting and turning point predictions in a Bayesian panel VAR model
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Bayes estimation of short-run coefficients in dynamic panel data models
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Fiscal Policy and the Current Account
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Can Severe Fiscal Contractions Be Expansionary? Tales of Two Small European Countries
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[Can Severe Fiscal Contractions Be Expansionary? Tales of Two Small European Countries]: Comment
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[Can Severe Fiscal Contractions Be Expansionary? Tales of Two Small European Countries]: Comment
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Time Varying Structural Vector Autoregressions and Monetary Policy
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Fiscal Policy, the Real Exchange Rate and Traded Goods
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Twin deficits: squaring theory, evidence and common sense
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Trade spill-overs of fiscal policy in the European Union: a panel analysis
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ESTIMATING MULTICOUNTRY VAR MODELS*
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Government Spending Shocks in Quarterly and Annual Time Series
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1162/003355302320935043openalex-snapshot
An Empirical Characterization of the Dynamic Effects of Changes in Government Spending and Taxes on Output
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1162/003355399556304openalex-snapshot
Fiscal Policy in Good Times and Bad
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1162/jeea.2008.6.2-3.414openalex-snapshot
The Effects of Public Spending Shocks on Trade Balances and Budget Deficits in the European Union
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1162/rest_a_00233openalex-snapshot
Fiscal Stimulus with Spending Reversals
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1201/9780429258411openalex-snapshot
Bayesian Data Analysis
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.100.2.573openalex-snapshot
Growth in a Time of Debt
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1561/0800000013openalex-snapshot
Bayesian Multivariate Time Series Methods for Empirical Macroeconomics
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1291172openalex-snapshot
Public and Private Sector Wages: Co-Movement and Causality
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1551801openalex-snapshot
Transmission of Government Spending Shocks in the Euro Area: Time Variation and Driving Forces
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1659559openalex-snapshot
The Impact of High and Growing Government Debt on Economic Growth: An Empirical Investigation for the Euro Area
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1765853openalex-snapshot
Low Interest Rates and Housing Booms: The Role of Capital Inflows, Monetary Policy and Financial Innovation
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.358082openalex-snapshot
Estimating the Effects of Fiscal Policy in OECD Countries
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.781087openalex-snapshot
Non-Keynesian Effects of Fiscal Contraction in New Member States
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.879148openalex-snapshot
On the Heterogeneity Bias of Pooled Estimators in Stationary VAR Specifications
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2202/1935-1690.1417openalex-snapshot
Fiscal Discipline and the Cost of Public Debt Service: Some Estimates for OECD Countries
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/1913103openalex-snapshot
Estimating Vector Autoregressions with Panel Data
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/2938280openalex-snapshot
Understanding Unit Rooters: A Helicopter Tour
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3386/w12822openalex-snapshot
Debt and the Effects of Fiscal Policy
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3386/w13328openalex-snapshot
Explaining the Effects of Government Spending Shocks on Consumption and the Real Exchange Rate
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3386/w13425openalex-snapshot
What Has Financed Government Debt?
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3386/w16510openalex-snapshot
Monetary Science, Fiscal Alchemy
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3386/w17272openalex-snapshot
Country Heterogeneity and the International Evidence on the Effects of Fiscal Policy
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3386/w3844openalex-snapshot
Trigger Points and Budget Cuts: Explaining the Effects of Fiscal Austerity
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3386/w5332openalex-snapshot
Non-Keynesian Effects of Fiscal Policy Changes: International Evidence and the Swedish Experience
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.5089/9781451851038.001openalex-snapshot
Fiscal Policy and Economic Activity During Recessions in Advanced Economies
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.5089/9781455219001.001openalex-snapshot
Limits of Floating Exchange Rates

What points at this work

Incoming claims: where this work appears in other papers’ reference lists and arguments.

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Private sector debt overhang and government spending multipliers: Not all debts are alike
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The fiscal multiplier when debt is denominated in foreign currency
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The impact of r-g on Euro-Area government spending multipliers
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Time-varying government spending multipliers in the UK
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The shape of recovery: Implications of past experience for the duration of the COVID-19 recession
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Pre- and Post-Global Financial Crisis Policy Multipliers
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Downward nominal wage rigidity and state-dependent government spending multipliers
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Why do fiscal multipliers depend on fiscal Positions?
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Low-frequency fiscal uncertainty
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Catching two European birds with one renewable stone: Mitigating climate change and Eurozone crisis by an energy transition
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BUSINESS UNCERTAINTY AND THE EFFECTIVENESS OF FISCAL POLICY IN GERMANY
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Government debt and fiscal multipliers in the era of population aging
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On public debt and twin imbalances in the South Asian region
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Nonlinearities and expenditure multipliers in the Eurozone
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In Defense of Public Debt
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ADVANCE PRAISE FORIn Defense of Public Debt
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Copyright Page
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Notes
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Introduction
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Debt in Service of the State
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States and the Limits of Borrowing
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Democratization and Globalization
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Caveat Emptor
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Managing Problem Debts
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Successful Consolidation
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Warfare to Welfare
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Cycles of Debt
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Oil and Water
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Missed Opportunities
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Debt to the Rescue
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COVID-19
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Conclusion
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Peaks and Troughs
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Enhancing Economic Stability: Fiscal Choices and Their Implications on External Balance in OIC and OPEC Nations
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Cross‐Country Spillovers from Fiscal Consolidations
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The business cycle state‐dependent effects of tax news: A joint‐state analysis
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The Effects of Fiscal Measures during COVID‐19
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Fiscal Policy, Government Ideology, and Economic Activity: Evidence from OECD Countries
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Empirical Literature on Fiscal Multipliers: A Bibliometric Approach, 2002–2023
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Debt Intolerance: Threshold Level and Composition*
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The Nexus between Public Debt and the Government Spending Multiplier: Fiscal Adjustments Matter*
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Measuring the time‐varying effects of fiscal policy on private saving in the process of financial integration
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Public spending, credit market conditions and economic activity in South Africa
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Behavioral Monetary Policymaking: Economics, Political Economy and Psychology
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Fiscal Stimulus with Spending Reversals
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Fiscal Multipliers for India
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COVID-19 economic stimulus packages, tourism industry and external debt: The influence of extreme poverty
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Fiscal Decentralization and Fiscal Multiplier in China
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Fragilidade fiscal e os ciclos econômicos no Brasil pós-Plano Real: evidências de um modelo de fator dinâmico associado à análise VAR
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Do Fiscal Multipliers Depend on Fiscal Positions?
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Why Do Fiscal Multipliers Depend on Fiscal Positions?
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What have we Learned about the Effectiveness of Infrastructure Investment as a Fiscal Stimulus? A Literature Review
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Global Waves of Debt: Causes and Consequences
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Benefits and Costs of Debt: The Dose Makes the Poison
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A fiskális politika az európai növekedési kilátások és makrogazdasági egyensúlytalanságok perspektívájából
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Prudent debt targets and fiscal frameworks
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Macroeconomic uncertainties, prudent debt targets and fiscal rules
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Réexamen de l'hypothèse des dèficits jumeaux dans les pays en développement : cas du Congo
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Efekty polityki fiskalnej w Polsce
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Asia’s Public Debt: Will a Stabilization Period Come?
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Fiscal Multipliers in Emerging European Economies
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User Discretion Advised: Fiscal Consolidation and the Recovery
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Fiscal Multipliers in Ukraine
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Estimating the Effects of Global Uncertainty in Open Economies
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Fiscal Multipliers Across the Credit Cycle
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Analysis by VAR of the Relationship between Exchange Rate, Budget Deficit, and Current Account Deficit: Case of Morocco
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Foreign Currency Denominated Debt and the Fiscal Multiplier
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Fiscal Federalism and Dynamic Credence Capital in the U.S.
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Why Do Fiscal Multipliers Depend on Fiscal Positions?
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Declining Fiscal Multipliers and Inflationary Risks in the Shadow of Public Debt
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Flexible Majority Rules and Public Deficit Spending *
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Fiscal Multipliers, Tax Structures, and Public Debt in a HANK Model
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The Government Spending Multiplier A Survey Of Empirical Literature
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Buy Guns or Buy Roses?: EU Defence Spending Fiscal Multipliers
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Measuring the Effects of Fiscal Policy Shocks on U.S. Output in a Markov-Switching Bayesian VAR
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FISCAL RESPONSE IN COVID-19 CRISIS – CASE OF THE EUROZONE
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The impact of public debt on the twin imbalances in Europe: A threshold model
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EU fiscal governance and budget consolidation in Visegrád countries
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Financial and Real Economy Interactions in South Africa : A Stock and Flow Analysis
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İKİZ AÇIK HİPOTEZİNİN GEÇERLİLİĞİ: TÜRKİYE ÖRNEĞİ
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Why ‘Fiscal Austerity’? A Review of Recent Evidence on the Economic Effects of Sovereign Debt
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Üçüz Açık Hipotezinin Gelişmiş Ülkeler için Analizi
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Effects of the fiscal policy on macroeconomic outcomes
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3390/economies9040191openalex-snapshot
Empirical Evidence on Factors Conditioning the Turning Point of the Public Debt–Growth Relationship
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3390/ijfs5040026openalex-snapshot
Size Effects of Fiscal Policy and Business Confidence in the Euro Area
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3390/su12093703openalex-snapshot
The Effect of Market-Oriented Government Fiscal Expenditure on the Evolution of Industrial Structure: Evidence from Shenzhen, China
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3390/su13094602openalex-snapshot
The Heterogeneous Public Debt–Growth Relationship: The Role of the Expenditure Multiplier
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.34626/q1vm-s983openalex-snapshot
Multiplicadores e regras orçamentais - Uma aplicação para a União Europeia
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.35188/unu-wider/2018/448-3openalex-snapshot
Fiscal multipliers in South Africa: The importance of financial sector dynamics
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.35188/unu-wider/2021/015-3openalex-snapshot
State-dependent fiscal multipliers and financial dynamics: An impulse response analysis by local projections for South Africa
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3846/jbem.2025.24703openalex-snapshot
The impact of public debt on economic growth: determining of factors and their interactions
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.4236/tel.2020.104050openalex-snapshot
Short and Long-Run Effects of Public Investment: Theoretical Premises and Empirical Evidence
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Les déterminants à court et à long terme de l'évolution du solde courant algérien : étude économétrique via le modèle ardl
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.46671/2521-2486.1017openalex-snapshot
Increasing Taxes or Spending Cuts: What Is More Effective for Fiscal Consolidation?
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5018/economics-ejournal.ja.2019-42openalex-snapshot
Does fiscal consolidation hurt economic growth? Empirical evidence from Spanish regions
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5089/9781484335390.001openalex-snapshot
Oil Price Shocks and Economic Growth in Oil-Exporting Countries
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5089/9781484364000.001openalex-snapshot
Twin Deficits in Developing Economies
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5089/9781498314947.001openalex-snapshot
The Euro-Area Government Spending Multiplier at the Effective Lower Bound
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5089/9781513546797.001openalex-snapshot
Government Spending Effects in a Policy Constrained Environment
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5089/9781513551395.002openalex-snapshot
Former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5089/9781513560939.001openalex-snapshot
Non-Linearities in Fiscal Policy:The Role of Debt
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5089/9781557754264.001openalex-snapshot
The Effects of Fiscal Measures During COVID-19
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5089/9781616356200.001openalex-snapshot
Uncertainty and Public Investment Multipliers: The Role of Economic Confidence
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5089/9798400215698.001openalex-snapshot
Fiscal Multipliers During Pandemics
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5296/ber.v13i3.21070openalex-snapshot
Public Debt, Current Account Balance, and Fiscal Balance: The Threshold Effects in Selected ASEAN Countries
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.54784/1990-6587.1581openalex-snapshot
The Impact of Fiscal Policy on Macroeconomic Conditions in Pakistan: Insights from a Structural Vector Autoregression Analysis
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.56497/etj1863504openalex-snapshot
Global aspects of the twin deficit hypothesis
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.59670/ml.v21is1.6180openalex-snapshot
Effect of Public Debt on the twin deficits using a Threshold time series model: Case Study of Jordan 1980-2020
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.6007/ijarbss/v9-i7/6147openalex-snapshot
Twin Deficits and Debts in 6 ASEAN Countries: A Panel Approach
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.70675/2a99f6ffz0362z4827za297zf7775a900988openalex-snapshot
Three essays on oil market and oil-exporting countries
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.70675/37636dd9zdcb9z4131z864bzf8f77e216211openalex-snapshot
Public debt and economic growth : a new assessment
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.70675/52a67f5fz8079z40e6zb3a2z07f7411bf261openalex-snapshot
Budgetary and distributional implications of fiscal policy rules
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.70675/a01ae1e0z1998z4f24z904bzc2dc7ef4a735openalex-snapshot
Essais sur la politique budgétaire : Multiplicateurs et interactions budgétaires
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.7249/rr-a739-2openalex-snapshot
How Does Defense Spending Affect Economic Growth?
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