On the public citation graph

War Is in the Error Term

https://doi.org/10.1162/002081899550995
0 signed · 242 inferred · view as graph

Inferred edges come from two machine sources: sweeps of open repository metadata (mostly SSRN and Zenodo), and a bulk OpenAlex citation snapshot. Every row below is labelled with the one it came from. Neither is a complete citation index — absence here is not evidence of absence.

Is this your work? Sign in with ORCID and put your name on the claims that are yours.
Claim with ORCID
Reference health. See whether every reference in this work resolves to a known work and none has been retracted — and get a dated CiteStamped badge you can embed.
See reference health

What this work says

Outgoing claims: the papers this work cites, builds on, or argues with.

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-349-01690-7openalex-snapshot
The Causes of War
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-349-15208-7openalex-snapshot
The Twenty Years' Crisis, 1919-1939
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpubeco.2003.07.013openalex-snapshot
War, peace, and the size of countries
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1017/s0020818300033324openalex-snapshot
Rationalist explanations for war
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1080/03612759.1975.9946797openalex-snapshot
Deterrence in American Foreign Policy: Theory and Practice
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1086/294743openalex-snapshot
The Behavior of Stock-Market Prices
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-2478.00042openalex-snapshot
The Classical Liberals Were Right: Democracy, Interdependence, and Conflict, 1950-1985
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1970.tb00518.xopenalex-snapshot
EFFICIENT CAPITAL MARKETS: A REVIEW OF THEORY AND EMPIRICAL WORK*
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1991.tb04636.xopenalex-snapshot
Efficient Capital Markets: II
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1162/002081897550384openalex-snapshot
The Critical Barrier to Civil War Settlement
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1162/002081898550626openalex-snapshot
The Third Leg of the Kantian Tripod for Peace: International Organizations and Militarized Disputes, 1950–85
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1163/2468-1733_shafr_sim160070012openalex-snapshot
Deterrence in American Foreign Policy: Theory and Practice
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1177/0022002797041001004openalex-snapshot
Signaling Foreign Policy Interests
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1353/book.74118openalex-snapshot
Psychology and Deterrence
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1353/wp.1996.0006openalex-snapshot
Stability and the Distribution of Power
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1515/9781400821211openalex-snapshot
Designing Social Inquiry
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1515/9781400837403openalex-snapshot
On War
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/1317432openalex-snapshot
Research Methods in the Social Sciences
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/1838960openalex-snapshot
The Twenty Years' Crisis, 1919-1939: An Introduction to the Study of International Relations
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/1844945openalex-snapshot
The Struggle for Mastery in Europe, 1848-1918
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/1963812openalex-snapshot
Between Peace and War: The Nature of International Crisis. By Richard Ned Lebow. (Baltimore: John Hopkins University Press, 1981. Pp. xi + 350. $24.50.)
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/1984611openalex-snapshot
Man, the State and War--A Theoretical Analysis.
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/2010406openalex-snapshot
Deterrence and Foreign Policy
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/2010408openalex-snapshot
Rational Deterrence Theory: I Think, Therefore I Deter
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/2010470openalex-snapshot
Counterfactuals and Hypothesis Testing in Political Science
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/2146402openalex-snapshot
Man, the State and War: A Theoretical Analysis, by Kenneth N. Waltz
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/2149594openalex-snapshot
Theory of International Politics, by Kenneth N. Waltz
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/2600934openalex-snapshot
Diversionary Foreign Policy in Democratic Systems
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/2938740openalex-snapshot
Normative and Structural Causes of Democratic Peace, 1946–1986
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/2944796openalex-snapshot
Domestic Political Audiences and the Escalation of International Disputes
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/2945838openalex-snapshot
Explaining Interethnic Cooperation
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/3497577openalex-snapshot
Politics among Nations. The Struggle for Power and Peace
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/40198159openalex-snapshot
The Struggle for Mastery in Europe, 1848-1918
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/792627openalex-snapshot
The Twenty Years' Crisis, 1919-1939: An Introduction to the Study of International Relations
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/j.ctt1bh4dhmopenalex-snapshot
War and Reason
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3998/mpub.10422openalex-snapshot
Parity and War
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3998/mpub.14982openalex-snapshot
A Study of Crisis
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.56021/9780801823114openalex-snapshot
Between Peace and War
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.5860/choice.30-2354openalex-snapshot
War and reason: domestic and international imperatives
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.5860/choice.42-6257openalex-snapshot
Research methods in the social sciences
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.7208/chicago/9780226351841.001.0001openalex-snapshot
The War Ledger

What points at this work

Incoming claims: where this work appears in other papers’ reference lists and arguments.

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1030657openalex-extracted
Conditional Deterrence: Parity, Terrorism and Tenuous Deterrence
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1081775openalex-extracted
Strategic Militarization, Deterrence and Wars
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1662434openalex-extracted
Natural Resource Distribution and Multiple Forms of Civil War
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1684000openalex-extracted
To Conquer or Compel: War, Peace, and Economic Development
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1736722openalex-extracted
The political economy of war and peace
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1799949openalex-extracted
War Signals: A Theory of Trade, Trust and Conflict
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1961454openalex-extracted
Going the Distance: The Price of Projecting Power
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2322874openalex-extracted
Coercive Threats and Reputation-Building in International Crises
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2409005openalex-extracted
The Triggers of War: Disentangling the Spark from the Powder Keg
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2420950openalex-extracted
Getting There is Half the Battle: Military Mobilization and the Escalation of Demands
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2543525openalex-extracted
Enhancing Validity in Observational Settings When Replication Is Not Possible
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2667544openalex-extracted
Predictably Unpredictable: The Limits of Conflict Forecasting
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2669555openalex-extracted
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2763219openalex-extracted
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2765421openalex-extracted
Explaining and Predicting Interstate War Deaths
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2836208openalex-extracted
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2920514openalex-extracted
Conflict Forecasting and Its Limits
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.293780openalex-extracted
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3127761openalex-extracted
Stalling, Connict, and Settlement
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3258725openalex-extracted
Conflict and Natural Experiments
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-76666-5_14openalex-snapshot
Bargaining and War
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-79763-8_12openalex-snapshot
Optimal Strategy in International Relations
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-81993-4_6openalex-snapshot
Foreign Aid and Civil Conflict
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-38688-6_2openalex-snapshot
Deterrence
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-61003-0_7openalex-snapshot
How Does Rationality Apply to FPA and What Are Its Limitations?
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-90978-3_10openalex-snapshot
Future Uncertainty, Strategic Defense, and North American Defense Cooperation: Rational Institutionalist Arguments Pragmatically Suggest NORAD’s Adaptation Over Replacement
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-531-92812-8_5openalex-snapshot
The Effectiveness of Tracks of Diplomacy Strategies in Third-Party Mediation
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s00702-025-03034-7openalex-snapshot
Cumulative hardship: the role of perceived injustice in linking war-related trauma and discrimination with mental health
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s10101-024-00320-0openalex-snapshot
The buffer role of emotions in international conflict: theoretical evidence supporting for patriotic education
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s11127-025-01259-4openalex-snapshot
The Minsk Game
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/b978-0-12-804271-7.00006-3openalex-snapshot
The Future of Socioeconomic Development
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2021.102423openalex-snapshot
Projecting long-term armed conflict risk: An underappreciated field of inquiry?
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2023.01.001openalex-snapshot
A review and comparison of conflict early warning systems
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpubeco.2003.07.013openalex-snapshot
War, peace, and the size of countries
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1017/9781108915151openalex-snapshot
Incredible Commitments
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1017/9781108915151.001openalex-snapshot
Introduction
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1017/9781108915151.002openalex-snapshot
The Social Context of International Peacekeeping and the Alternative Benefits of Bargaining
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1017/9781108915151.003openalex-snapshot
Methods and Case Selection
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1017/9781108915151.004openalex-snapshot
The Arusha Negotiations, 1990–1994
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1017/9781108915151.005openalex-snapshot
Guatemala, 1989–1996
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1017/9781108915151.006openalex-snapshot
Conclusion
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1017/9781108915151.007openalex-snapshot
Bibliography
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1017/9781108915151.008openalex-snapshot
Index
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1017/9781316711620openalex-snapshot
American Grand Strategy and East Asian Security in the Twenty-First Century
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1017/9781316711620.002openalex-snapshot
The Size of the Fight in the Dog: Costly Signals in International Bargaining
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1017/cbo9780511510588openalex-snapshot
Computational and Mathematical Modeling in the Social Sciences
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1017/cbo9780511510588.001openalex-snapshot
Prelude
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1017/cbo9780511510588.002openalex-snapshot
Not All Fun and Games: Challenges in Mathematical Modeling
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1017/cbo9780511510588.003openalex-snapshot
Looking for Car Keys Without Any Street Lights
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1017/cbo9780511510588.004openalex-snapshot
From Curses to Complexity: The Justification for Computational Modeling
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1017/cbo9780511510588.005openalex-snapshot
Why EverythingShouldLook Like a Nail: Deriving Parsimonious Encodings for Complex Games
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1017/cbo9780511510588.006openalex-snapshot
KKV Redux: Deriving and Testing Logical Implications
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1017/cbo9780511510588.007openalex-snapshot
A Short Conclusion
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1017/cbo9780511510588.008openalex-snapshot
References
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1017/cbo9780511842276openalex-snapshot
Ruling by Statute
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1017/cbo9780511993374openalex-snapshot
Barriers to Peace in Civil War
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1017/cbo9781139084161openalex-snapshot
Inequality, Grievances, and Civil War
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1017/cbo9781316424292openalex-snapshot
China's Troubled Waters: Maritime Disputes in Theoretical Perspective
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1017/psrm.2014.42openalex-snapshot
Challenges to Inference in the Study of Crisis Bargaining
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1017/psrm.2015.7openalex-snapshot
Unequal We Fight: Between- and Within-Group Inequality and Ethnic Civil War
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1017/psrm.2017.5openalex-snapshot
Enhancing Validity in Observational Settings When Replication is Not Possible
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1017/s0003055404001200openalex-snapshot
Untangling Neural Nets
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1017/s0007123412000099openalex-snapshot
Combatant Fragmentation and the Dynamics of Civil Wars
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1017/s0007123417000746openalex-snapshot
Getting a Hand By Cutting Them Off: How Uncertainty over Political Corruption Affects Violence
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1017/s0007123418000261openalex-snapshot
What the Enemy Knows: Common Knowledge and the Rationality of War
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1017/s0020818303572083openalex-snapshot
Testing War In the Error Term
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1017/s0020818310000214openalex-snapshot
Goliath's Curse: Coercive Threats and Asymmetric Power
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1017/s0020818312000069openalex-snapshot
Does Issue Linkage Work? Evidence from European Alliance Negotiations, 1860 to 1945
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1017/s0020818313000192openalex-snapshot
Known Unknowns: Power Shifts, Uncertainty, and War
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1017/s0020818316000059openalex-snapshot
Learning from the Battlefield: Information, Domestic Politics, and Interstate War Duration
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1017/s0020818318000061openalex-snapshot
Dynamics of Political Protests
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1017/s0022381608081152openalex-snapshot
War, Power, and Bargaining
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1017/s0043887114000318openalex-snapshot
The Economic Sins of Modern IR Theory and the Classical Realist Alternative
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1017/s1537592703000033openalex-snapshot
Exploring the Bargaining Model of War
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1017/s777777770200002xopenalex-snapshot
Rational Extremism: Understanding Terrorism in the Twenty-first Century
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1017/ssh.2020.3openalex-snapshot
Money Talks: Finance, War, and Great Power Politics in the Nineteenth Century
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1023/b:inea.0000019026.02330.daopenalex-snapshot
Enforcing the Climate Regime: Game Theory and the Marrakesh Accords
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1023/b:puch.0000013868.19651.66openalex-snapshot
A Road Map to Middle Eastern peace? – A Public Choice Perspective
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1046/j.0020-8833.2003.00279.xopenalex-snapshot
War, Peace, and the Invisible Hand: Positive Political Externalities of Economic Globalization
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1057/978-1-137-57382-7_10openalex-snapshot
The Zone of Violent Peace
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1057/9780230607507_7openalex-snapshot
Theory, Evidence, and Politics in the Evolution of International Relations Research Programs
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1057/s41294-021-00155-2openalex-snapshot
Does Peace Promote Bilateral Trade Flows? An Economic Analysis of Panel Data in Asian Perspective
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1080/00905992.2017.1348346openalex-snapshot
Nested security lessons in conflict management from the League of Nations and the European Union
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1080/01402390.2020.1768372openalex-snapshot
Politics by many other means: The comparative strategic advantages of operational domains
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1080/01402390.2020.1867541openalex-snapshot
‘Catalytic nuclear war’ in the age of artificial intelligence & autonomy: Emerging military technology and escalation risk between nuclear-armed states
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1080/03050629.2013.768458openalex-snapshot
Going the Distance: The Price of Projecting Power
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1080/03050629.2015.1023434openalex-snapshot
A Quality of Government Peace? Explaining the Onset of Militarized Interstate Disputes, 1985–2001
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1080/03050629.2021.1983566openalex-snapshot
Risk preferences, uncertainty, and war
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1080/03050629.2022.2016736openalex-snapshot
Recurrent neural networks for conflict forecasting
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1080/03050629.2022.2070745openalex-snapshot
Lessons from an escalation prediction competition
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1080/03932729.2018.1519961openalex-snapshot
Trump’s Mixed Signals toward North Korea and US-led Alliances in East Asia
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1080/08913810903441419openalex-snapshot
BLACK SWANS IN POLITICS
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1080/08913811.2017.1315920openalex-snapshot
One World or Many?
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1080/08913811.2024.2460872openalex-snapshot
Introduction: Rationality and the State in International Relations
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1080/09512748.2014.995124openalex-snapshot
The Pivot to Asia, Air-Sea Battle and contested commons in the Asia Pacific region
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1080/09557571.2019.1677555openalex-snapshot
Why the English school needs conflict studies: Retheorising the place of war in international society
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1080/09692290.2026.2629478openalex-snapshot
Complex global value chains and economic interdependence: a new look at the opportunity costs argument
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1080/10242690903568801openalex-snapshot
ECONOMIC GROWTH AND VIOLENT INTERNATIONAL CONFLICT: 1875–1999
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1080/10357718.2014.899308openalex-snapshot
Prediction and its discontents: guidance for Australia from the debate over social science forecasting
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1080/1060586x.2022.2158685openalex-snapshot
Commitment problems and the failure of the Minsk process: the second-order commitment challenge
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1080/21665095.2023.2220563openalex-snapshot
Assessing the potential and challenges for trilateral trade integration among Egypt, Sudan, and Ethiopia
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1080/714950650openalex-snapshot
Investigating the Preventive Motive for War
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1086/704221openalex-snapshot
Mutual Optimism and Costly Conflict: The Case of Naval Battles in the Age of Sail
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/acrefore/9780190846626.013.395openalex-snapshot
Foreign Policy Analysis and Rational Choice Models
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/cybsec/tyab001openalex-snapshot
Risk and uncertainty can be analyzed in cyberspace
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/cybsec/tyv003openalex-snapshot
Tipping the scales: the attribution problem and the feasibility of deterrence against cyberattack
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/cybsec/tyw017openalex-snapshot
Thermonuclear cyberwar
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/fpa/orw058openalex-snapshot
Does the Presence of Foreign Troops Affect Stability in the Host Country?
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/irap/lcp001openalex-snapshot
Commerce between rivals: realism, liberalism, and credible communication across the Taiwan Strait
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/isq/sqab004openalex-snapshot
The Determinants of Uncertainty in International Relations
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/isq/sqac036openalex-snapshot
One without the Other? Prediction and Policy in International Studies
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/isq/sqac056openalex-snapshot
Public and Private Information in International Crises: Diplomatic Correspondence and Conflict Anticipation
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/isq/sqac065openalex-snapshot
One if by Land, and Two if by Sea: Cross-Domain Contests and the Escalation of International Crises
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/isq/sqv017openalex-snapshot
Where Is International Relations Going? Evidence from Graduate Training
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/isq/sqx092openalex-snapshot
Protean Power and Uncertainty: Exploring the Unexpected in World Politics
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/isr/viac024openalex-snapshot
Tipping Points: Challenges in Analyzing International Crisis Escalation
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/isr/viv005openalex-snapshot
Uncertainty and War Duration
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/isr/viw046openalex-snapshot
Symbols before Reason: Explaining Ethnic Politics
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/oxfordhb/9780190469771.013.18openalex-snapshot
Policy Differences Among Parliamentary and Presidential Systems
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/pan/mps026openalex-snapshot
Assessing Fit Quality and Testing for Misspecification in Binary-Dependent Variable Models
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/restud/rdt003openalex-snapshot
War Signals: A Theory of Trade, Trust, and Conflict
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1108/dprg-05-2017-0023openalex-snapshot
Restrained by design: the political economy of cybersecurity
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1108/ijcma-09-2013-0072openalex-snapshot
Third party conflict management of transboundary river disputes
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1108/s1572-832320160000025015openalex-snapshot
References
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1108/s1572-8323201725openalex-snapshot
Emotions, Decision-Making, Conflict and Cooperation
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/infi.70003openalex-snapshot
Energy Real Options as a Predictor of War: 1920s–2020s
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/isqu.12045openalex-snapshot
Audience Costs among the British Public: The Impact of Escalation, Crisis Type, and Prime Ministerial Rhetoric
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/isqu.12113openalex-snapshot
Under Construction: Development, Democracy, and Difference as Determinants of Systemic Liberal Peace
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/j.1079-1760.2003.00504008.xopenalex-snapshot
International Relations Theory and Internal Conflict: Insights from the Interstices
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/j.1399-6576.2011.01111.xopenalex-snapshot
‘Greed’ versus ‘Grievance’: A Useful Conceptual Distinction in the Study of Civil War?
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9221.2008.00650.xopenalex-snapshot
Bridges, Barriers, and Gaps: Research and Policy
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-2478.2007.00463.xopenalex-snapshot
Uncertain about Uncertainty: Understanding the Multiple Meanings of a Crucial Concept in International Relations Theory
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-2478.2007.00492.xopenalex-snapshot
Bilateral Trade in the Shadow of Armed Conflict
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-2478.2011.00654.xopenalex-snapshot
The Dark Side of the Future: An Experimental Test of Commitment Problems in Bargaining1
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-2508.2007.00571.xopenalex-snapshot
Domestic Audiences and Strategic Interests
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-5907.2007.00279.xopenalex-snapshot
The Armed Peace: A Punctuated Equilibrium Theory of War
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-5907.2009.00388.xopenalex-snapshot
Bargaining in the Shadow of War: When Is a Peaceful Resolution Most Likely?
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-5907.2010.00444.xopenalex-snapshot
Information, Agreement Design, and the Durability of Civil War Settlements
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-polisci-032624-013736openalex-snapshot
Causal Inference, Agency, and the Problem of Inherent Endogeneity
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1162/00208180151140612openalex-snapshot
Investing in the Peace: Economic Interdependence and International Conflict
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1162/002081802760199917openalex-snapshot
Ethnic Bargaining in the Shadow of Third-Party Intervention
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1162/152039701300373880openalex-snapshot
The Nagorno-Karabakh Conflict Revisited: Was the War Inevitable?
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1162/isec.2008.32.4.78openalex-snapshot
What Terrorists Really Want: Terrorist Motives and Counterterrorism Strategy
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1162/isec.2009.33.4.87openalex-snapshot
Bridge over Troubled Water? Envisioning a China-Taiwan Peace Agreement
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1162/isec_a_00029openalex-snapshot
Two Cheers for Bargaining Theory: Assessing Rationalist Explanations of the Iraq War
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1162/rest_a_01016openalex-snapshot
The Promise and Pitfalls of Conflict Prediction: Evidence from Colombia and Indonesia
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1163/24688800-00101009openalex-snapshot
International Relations Theory and the Relationship across the Taiwan Strait
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1177/0002716205276732openalex-snapshot
International Relations as a Social Science: Rigor and Relevance
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1177/000312240206700606openalex-snapshot
The Hinges of History: State-Making and Revolt in Early Modern France
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1177/0022002700044005005openalex-snapshot
Research Design and Estimator Choices in the Analysis of Interstate Dyads
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1177/0022002702046003003openalex-snapshot
Economic Geography, Trade, and War
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1177/0022002703252975openalex-snapshot
Peace through Insecurity
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1177/0022002706293675openalex-snapshot
Cheap Signals with Costly Consequences
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1177/0022002714545222openalex-snapshot
Audience Costs, Information, and Credible Commitment Problems
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1177/0022002714553110openalex-snapshot
How Uncertainty about War Outcomes Affects War Onset
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1177/0022002717707239openalex-snapshot
War and Default
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1177/0022002721995894openalex-snapshot
Spying from Space: Reconnaissance Satellites and Interstate Disputes
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1177/00220027241300045openalex-snapshot
Is China-Taiwan Rapprochement Possible? Experimental Evidence From Taiwan
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1177/0022343304043768openalex-snapshot
The Duration and Termination of Civil War
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1177/0022343304044475openalex-snapshot
Avoiding Diversionary Targets
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1177/0022343306063930openalex-snapshot
Interdependence and the Duration of Militarized Conflict
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1177/0022343307087185openalex-snapshot
Polarization and Ethnic Conflict in a Widened Strategic Setting
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1177/0022343309356488openalex-snapshot
The effectiveness of tracks of diplomacy strategies in third-party interventions
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1177/0022343310385995openalex-snapshot
Trade does promote peace: New simultaneous estimates of the reciprocal effects of trade and conflict
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1177/0022343316667999openalex-snapshot
Twisting arms and sending messages
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1177/0022343316680858openalex-snapshot
Lessons from near real-time forecasting of irregular leadership changes
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1177/0022343316687615openalex-snapshot
Market Anticipations of Conflict Onsets
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1177/0022343317691330openalex-snapshot
Introduction
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1177/0022343317750214openalex-snapshot
Domestic uncertainty, third-party resolve, and international conflict
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1177/0738894210379475openalex-snapshot
Opportunities and Presidential Uses of Force
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1177/0738894215593703openalex-snapshot
Unfair fights: Power asymmetry, nascent nuclear capability, and preventive conflict
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1177/0738894218771077openalex-snapshot
Simplified complexity: Analytical strategies for conflict event research
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1177/1354066115581059openalex-snapshot
Emotions and the communication of intentions in face-to-face diplomacy
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1177/1354066120952876openalex-snapshot
“The persistent myth of lost hegemony,” revisited: structural power as a complex network phenomenon
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1177/13540661221137037openalex-snapshot
Better than a bet: good reasons for behavioral and rational choice assumptions in IR theory
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1177/13540661251327116openalex-snapshot
Cui bono? business elites and interstate conflict
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1214/12-aoas614openalex-snapshot
Estimating the historical and future probabilities of large terrorist events
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1257/aer.97.4.1353openalex-snapshot
Political Bias and War
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.12794/metadc28406openalex-snapshot
Discovery of Resources and Conflict in the Interstate System, 1816-2001
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.13140/rg.2.2.22799.59049openalex-snapshot
Trade between Egypt, Sudan and Ethiopia: Prospects and Challenges for Trilateral Trade Integration
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1353/wp.2001.0018openalex-snapshot
Improving Forecasts of State Failure
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1353/wp.2005.0008openalex-snapshot
Do Intergovernmental Organizations Promote Peace?
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0250784openalex-snapshot
How social networks affect the repression-dissent puzzle
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1515/peps-2023-0004openalex-snapshot
Population, Institutions, and Violent Conflicts – How Important is Population Pressure in Violent Resource-Based Conflicts?
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1515/peps-2024-0033openalex-snapshot
Simultaneous Battles and Sequential Battles in Bargaining Models of War
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1515/peps-2025-0039openalex-snapshot
The Alliance Dilemma and the Onset of War. A Game-Theoretic Analysis of the Russia-Ukraine Conflict
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1561/100.00009047openalex-snapshot
Strategic Militarization, Deterrence and Wars
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.17077/etd.lkn7kkevopenalex-snapshot
Cheap Signals, Costly Consequences
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.17760/d20623239openalex-snapshot
Organizing peace: an algorithmic analysis of four centuries of international law and the decline of war
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.18261/issn1891-1757-2015-04-02openalex-snapshot
Prediksjon i Internasjonal politikk
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.25335/emww-xm65openalex-snapshot
Parsing the Relationship between Coup Attempts and Civil Conflict Onsets
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.28956/gbd.830025openalex-snapshot
IS IT ALL ABOUT A RATIONAL DUEL? A CRITIQUE OF BARGAINING MODEL OF WAR
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.31235/osf.io/bkrn8openalex-snapshot
The Promise and Pitfalls of Conflict Prediction: Evidence from Colombia and Indonesia
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3200/aafs.31.3.166openalex-snapshot
Extended Deterrence in the Taiwan Strait: Learning from Rationalist Explanations in International Relations
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3200/wafs.168.1.13-25openalex-snapshot
Prognosticating about Extended Deterrence in the Taiwan Strait
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3386/w16163openalex-snapshot
A Review of War Costs in Iraq and Afghanistan
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3386/w25980openalex-snapshot
The Promise and Pitfalls of Conflict Prediction: Evidence from Colombia and Indonesia
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.4337/9781849808323.00009openalex-snapshot
The Reasons for Wars: An Updated Survey
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.54014/cvab-5nm3openalex-snapshot
Patrons of violence : drivers and dimensions of state support for rebel groups
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5463/thesis.695openalex-snapshot
Futures of conflict risk, migration and equity implications
showing the first 200 of 201
Editorial review for independent work. ICSAC — the Institute for Complexity Science and Advanced Computing — runs a structured editorial panel for researchers publishing outside journals, and publishes on CiteStamp rails. Submission is free and goes through ORCID: icsacinstitute.org/submit.