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Using Causal Effect Networks to Analyze Different Arctic Drivers of Midlatitude Winter Circulation

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What this work says

Outgoing claims: the papers this work cites, builds on, or argues with.

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Comparing and contrasting extreme stratospheric events, including their coupling to the tropospheric circulation
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Impacts of Arctic sea ice and continental snow cover changes on atmospheric winter teleconnections
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The impact of Arctic warming on the midlatitude jet‐stream: Can it? Has it? Will it?
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Causation, Prediction, and Search
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Eurasian snow cover variability and links to winter climate in the CMIP5 models
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Propagation of the Arctic Oscillation from the stratosphere to the troposphere
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The Arctic climate paradox: The recent decrease of the Arctic Oscillation
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A link between reduced Barents‐Kara sea ice and cold winter extremes over northern continents
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Evidence linking Arctic amplification to extreme weather in mid‐latitudes
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The recent shift in early summer Arctic atmospheric circulation
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Progress during TOGA in understanding and modeling global teleconnections associated with tropical sea surface temperatures
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Response of two atmospheric general circulation models to sea-surface temperature anomalies in the tropical East and West Pacific
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Amplified mid-latitude planetary waves favour particular regional weather extremes
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Seasonal aspects of the recent pause in surface warming
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Weakening of the stratospheric polar vortex by Arctic sea-ice loss
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Identifying causal gateways and mediators in complex spatio-temporal systems
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo2234openalex-snapshot
Recent Arctic amplification and extreme mid-latitude weather
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1412797111openalex-snapshot
Quasi-resonant circulation regimes and hemispheric synchronization of extreme weather in boreal summer
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Separating the stratospheric and tropospheric pathways of El Niño–Southern Oscillation teleconnections
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Quantifying causal coupling strength: A lag-specific measure for multivariate time series related to transfer entropy
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Escaping the Curse of Dimensionality in Estimating Multivariate Transfer Entropy
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An Ice-Free Arctic? Opportunities for Computational Science
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Regional Climate Impacts of the Northern Hemisphere Annular Mode
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1255147openalex-snapshot
Record-breaking winters and global climate change
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1261768openalex-snapshot
The weakening summer circulation in the Northern Hemisphere mid-latitudes
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1126/science.353.6303.1000-kopenalex-snapshot
Warm Arctic—cold continents?
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Global Snow Cover Monitoring: An Update
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A Possible Relationship between Some “Severe” Winters in North America and Enhanced Convective Activity over the Tropical West Pacific
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Stratosphere–Troposphere Coupling and Links with Eurasian Land Surface Variability
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/2009jcli3053.1openalex-snapshot
The Seasonal Atmospheric Response to Projected Arctic Sea Ice Loss in the Late Twenty-First Century
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-11-00387.1openalex-snapshot
Causal Discovery for Climate Research Using Graphical Models
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Quantifying the Strength and Delay of Climatic Interactions: The Ambiguities of Cross Correlation and a Novel Measure Based on Graphical Models
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Linking Siberian Snow Cover to Precursors of Stratospheric Variability
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Linear Models: A Useful “Microscope” for Causal Analysis
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Impact of sea ice cover changes on the Northern Hemisphere atmospheric winter circulation
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The role of the North Atlantic overturning and deep ocean for multi-decadal global-mean-temperature variability
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.5670/oceanog.2013.70openalex-snapshot
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inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.5670/oceanog.2013.supplement.01openalex-snapshot
New Frontiers in Ocean Exploration: The E/V Nautilus 2010 Field Season and Summary of Mediterranean Exploration
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Causation, Prediction, and Search

What points at this work

Incoming claims: where this work appears in other papers’ reference lists and arguments.

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Decrease of the spatial variability and local dimension of the Euro-Atlantic eddy-driven jet stream with global warming
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Causal Discovery Analysis Reveals Global Sources of Predictability for Regional Flash Droughts
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate3121openalex-snapshot
Nonlinear response of mid-latitude weather to the changing Arctic
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-018-02992-9openalex-snapshot
Warm Arctic episodes linked with increased frequency of extreme winter weather in the United States
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-018-04138-3openalex-snapshot
Recent strengthening of the stratospheric Arctic vortex response to warming in the central North Pacific
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-018-05256-8openalex-snapshot
The influence of Arctic amplification on mid-latitude summer circulation
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-10105-3openalex-snapshot
Inferring causation from time series in Earth system sciences
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-15195-yopenalex-snapshot
Causal networks for climate model evaluation and constrained projections
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-25257-4openalex-snapshot
Seasonal Arctic sea ice forecasting with probabilistic deep learning
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-28836-1openalex-snapshot
Limited surface impacts of the January 2021 sudden stratospheric warming
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-28911-7openalex-snapshot
Enhanced jet stream waviness induced by suppressed tropical Pacific convection during boreal summer
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-44609-wopenalex-snapshot
Remotely sensing potential climate change tipping points across scales
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-020-00966-8openalex-snapshot
Decoupling of the Arctic Oscillation and North Atlantic Oscillation in a warmer climate
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-020-0694-3openalex-snapshot
Little influence of Arctic amplification on mid-latitude climate
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-018-0059-yopenalex-snapshot
Consistency and discrepancy in the atmospheric response to Arctic sea-ice loss across climate models
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-019-43823-1openalex-snapshot
The role of stratospheric ozone for Arctic-midlatitude linkages
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-90854-8openalex-snapshot
Global climate shift in 1970s causes a significant worldwide increase in precipitation extremes
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-12523-8openalex-snapshot
Rising surface pressure over Tibetan Plateau strengthens indian summer monsoon rainfall over northwestern India
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-16633-1openalex-snapshot
Towards seasonal forecasting of flood probabilities in Europe using climate and catchment information
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-018-0054-4openalex-snapshot
The different stratospheric influence on cold-extremes in Eurasia and North America
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-022-00228-8openalex-snapshot
Arctic amplification, and its seasonal migration, over a wide range of abrupt CO2 forcing
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-022-00281-3openalex-snapshot
Predictability of South-Asian monsoon rainfall beyond the legacy of Tropical Ocean Global Atmosphere program (TOGA)
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-023-00480-6openalex-snapshot
Decoupling of Arctic variability from the North Pacific in a warmer climate
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-025-00922-3openalex-snapshot
Decreasing aerosols increase the European summer diurnal temperature range
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-025-01012-0openalex-snapshot
Attributing climate and weather extremes to Northern Hemisphere sea ice and terrestrial snow: progress, challenges and ways forward
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s43017-023-00409-wopenalex-snapshot
Big Data in Earth system science and progress towards a digital twin
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s43017-023-00431-yopenalex-snapshot
Causal inference for time series
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1039/c8pp90063aopenalex-snapshot
Solar UV radiation in a changing world: roles of cryosphere—land—water—atmosphere interfaces in global biogeochemical cycles
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1039/d1em00383fopenalex-snapshot
Causal discovery of drivers of surface ozone variability in Antarctica using a deep learning algorithm
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1039/d5dd00216hopenalex-snapshot
Coupling causality and interpretable machine learning to reveal the reaction coordinate of C–N coupling with a supramolecular Cu-calix[8]arene catalyst
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1063/1.4978549openalex-snapshot
A perturbation-theoretic approach to Lagrangian flow networks
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1063/1.5046848openalex-snapshot
Introduction to Focus Issue: Causation inference and information flow in dynamical systems: Theory and applications
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1063/5.0020538openalex-snapshot
Reconstructing regime-dependent causal relationships from observational time series
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1063/5.0091628openalex-snapshot
Analyzing international events through the lens of statistical physics: The case of Ukraine
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1922872118openalex-snapshot
Network-based forecasting of climate phenomena
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2204405119openalex-snapshot
Decomposing predictability to identify dominant causal drivers in complex ecosystems
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2317256121openalex-snapshot
Robust inference of causality in high-dimensional dynamical processes from the Information Imbalance of distance ranks
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/11/9/094028openalex-snapshot
Changes in meandering of the Northern Hemisphere circulation
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aade56openalex-snapshot
Changing state of Arctic sea ice across all seasons
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abdb5dopenalex-snapshot
How do intermittency and simultaneous processes obfuscate the Arctic influence on midlatitude winter extreme weather events?
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac4a31openalex-snapshot
Stronger Arctic amplification from ozone-depleting substances than from carbon dioxide
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/acbdb1openalex-snapshot
Enhanced Asian warming increases Arctic amplification
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ad1c1aopenalex-snapshot
Observed winter Barents Kara Sea ice variations induce prominent sub-decadal variability and a multi-decadal trend in the Warm Arctic Cold Eurasia pattern
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ad8171openalex-snapshot
Attribution analysis of the persistent and extreme drought in southwest China during 2022–2023
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/adae22openalex-snapshot
Estimating the contribution of Arctic sea-ice loss to central Asia temperature anomalies: the case of winter 2020/2021
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/adeb9fopenalex-snapshot
Causal inference and mediation for summer precipitation over middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1088/2752-5295/ad1f40openalex-snapshot
Warm Arctic–Cold Eurasia pattern driven by atmospheric blocking in models and observations
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1088/2752-5295/ad519dopenalex-snapshot
Increasing fluctuations in the Arctic summer sea ice cover are expected with future global warming
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/jee/toaa048openalex-snapshot
Effects of Extreme Low Winter Temperatures on the Overwintering Survival of the Introduced Larval Parasitoids Spathius galinae and Tetrastichus planipennisi : Implications for Biological Control of Emerald Ash Borer in North America
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1098/rspa.2019.0013openalex-snapshot
Storyline approach to the construction of regional climate change information
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1103/physreve.103.022311openalex-snapshot
Measuring topological descriptors of complex networks under uncertainty
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1103/physreve.96.042304openalex-snapshot
Mapping and discrimination of networks in the complexity-entropy plane
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1103/q7f4-fcf8openalex-snapshot
Robust causality and false attribution in data-driven earth science discoveries
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1109/bigdata62323.2024.10825273openalex-snapshot
Comparative Evaluation of Causal Discovery and Inference Approaches on Arctic Sea Ice Time Series Data
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1109/cdc.2018.8619472openalex-snapshot
Inferring Directed Graphs for Networks from Corrupt Data-Streams
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1109/tac.2021.3093301openalex-snapshot
Effects of Data Corruption on Network Identification Using Directed Information
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1109/tgrs.2018.2867002openalex-snapshot
Causal Inference in Geoscience and Remote Sensing From Observational Data
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1109/tgrs.2023.3291927openalex-snapshot
Data Augmentation for SAR Sea Ice and Water Classification Based on Per-Class Backscatter Variation With Incidence Angle
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1109/tpami.2026.3658839openalex-snapshot
Dynamical Causality Under Latent Confounders for Biological Network Reconstruction
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/1758-5899.13269openalex-snapshot
Equalising the evidence base for adaptation and loss and damages
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.aau4996openalex-snapshot
Detecting and quantifying causal associations in large nonlinear time series datasets
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.abg4893openalex-snapshot
North Atlantic Oscillation in winter is largely insensitive to autumn Barents-Kara sea ice variability
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.adq9461openalex-snapshot
Teleconnection from Arctic warming suppresses long-term warming in central Eurasia
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.adt2041openalex-snapshot
Anthropogenic warming drives earlier wildfire season onset in California
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1126/science.aag2349openalex-snapshot
Effects of a warming Arctic
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1145/3154524openalex-snapshot
Network Structure Inference, A Survey
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-marine-121916-063102openalex-snapshot
The Recent Atlantic Cold Anomaly: Causes, Consequences, and Related Phenomena
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1175/bams-d-16-0259.1openalex-snapshot
More-Persistent Weak Stratospheric Polar Vortex States Linked to Cold Extremes
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1175/bams-d-17-0006.1openalex-snapshot
Why Are Arctic Linkages to Extreme Weather Still up in the Air?
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1175/bams-d-20-0117.1openalex-snapshot
Quantifying Causal Pathways of Teleconnections
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1175/jas-d-18-0163.1openalex-snapshot
A Causality-Based View of the Interaction between Synoptic- and Planetary-Scale Atmospheric Disturbances
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-16-0662.1openalex-snapshot
Emergent Constraints in Climate Projections: A Case Study of Changes in High-Latitude Temperature Variability
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-17-0280.1openalex-snapshot
Causal Pathways for Temperature Predictability from Snow Depth
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-17-0299.1openalex-snapshot
Seasonal Sensitivity of the Northern Hemisphere Jet Streams to Arctic Temperatures on Subseasonal Time Scales
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-17-0334.1openalex-snapshot
Memory Matters: A Case for Granger Causality in Climate Variability Studies
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-18-0405.1openalex-snapshot
A Mechanism for the Recently Increased Interdecadal Variability of the Silk Road Pattern
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-18-0892.1openalex-snapshot
Variability of the Cold Season Climate in Central Asia. Part II: Hydroclimatic Predictability
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-19-0142.1openalex-snapshot
New Insights on Subseasonal Arctic–Midlatitude Causal Connections from a Regularized Regression Model
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-19-0157.1openalex-snapshot
A Role for Barotropic Eddy–Mean Flow Feedbacks in the Zonal Wind Response to Sea Ice Loss and Arctic Amplification
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-19-0525.1openalex-snapshot
Causal Interactions between Southern Ocean Polynyas and High-Latitude Atmosphere–Ocean Variability
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-19-0687.1openalex-snapshot
An Observational Estimate of the Direct Response of the Cold-Season Atmospheric Circulation to the Arctic Sea Ice Loss
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-19-0966.1openalex-snapshot
Siberian Snow Forcing in a Dynamically Bias-Corrected Model
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-20-0172.1openalex-snapshot
Autumn Arctic Pacific Sea Ice Dipole as a Source of Predictability for Subsequent Spring Barents Sea Ice Condition
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-20-0293.1openalex-snapshot
Observed Statistical Connections Overestimate the Causal Effects of Arctic Sea Ice Changes on Midlatitude Winter Climate
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-20-0369.1openalex-snapshot
Using Bayesian Networks to Investigate the Influence of Subseasonal Arctic Variability on Midlatitude North Atlantic Circulation
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-20-0578.1openalex-snapshot
Impacts of Arctic Sea Ice on Cold Season Atmospheric Variability and Trends Estimated from Observations and a Multi-model Large Ensemble
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-21-0298.1openalex-snapshot
Causes of the Arctic’s Lower-Tropospheric Warming Structure
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-21-0523.1openalex-snapshot
Influence of the Ural High on Air Temperatures over Eastern Europe and Northern China during Extended Winter
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-22-0033.1openalex-snapshot
Accurate Attribution and Seasonal Prediction of Climatic Anomalies Using Causal Inference Theory
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-23-0128.1openalex-snapshot
The Weakening of the Stratospheric Polar Vortex and the Subsequent Surface Impacts as Consequences to Arctic Sea Ice Loss
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-24-0524.1openalex-snapshot
Sea Ice Initialization and Its Impact on Winter Seasonal Prediction Skill over the Northern Hemisphere in Coupled Forecast System
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