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Coup risk, coup-proofing and leader survival

https://doi.org/10.1177/0022343316676885
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What this work says

Outgoing claims: the papers this work cites, builds on, or argues with.

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Democracy and dictatorship revisited
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Ethnicity, Insurgency, and Civil War
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1017/s0003055412000111openalex-snapshot
Strongmen and Straw Men: Authoritarian Regimes and the Initiation of International Conflict
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1017/s0020818308080028openalex-snapshot
Autocratic Audience Costs: Regime Type and Signaling Resolve
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1017/s0022278x00016098openalex-snapshot
Soldier and State in Africa
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1017/s0022278x00052332openalex-snapshot
The 1974 Coup d'État in Niger: Towards an Explanation
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1017/s0022381613000029openalex-snapshot
The Foundations of Limited Authoritarian Government: Institutions, Commitment, and Power-Sharing in Dictatorships
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1017/s0022381613001485openalex-snapshot
Popular Protest and Elite Coordination in a Coup d’état
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1017/s0043887111000049openalex-snapshot
The Enemy Within: Personal Rule, Coups, and Civil War in Africa
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1017/s0043887115000118openalex-snapshot
Terrorism and the Fate of Dictators
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1080/01402399608437634openalex-snapshot
Technology, civil‐military relations, and warfare in the developing world
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1080/09636410591002527openalex-snapshot
Coup Risk, Counterbalancing, and International Conflict
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1080/13510340701768182openalex-snapshot
Does Democratization Reduce the Risk of Military Interventions in Politics in Africa?
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/acrefore/9780190228637.013.27openalex-snapshot
Coup-Proofing and Civil War
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-0343.00074openalex-snapshot
Citizens, Autocrats, and Plotters: A Model and New Evidence on Coups D'État
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-5907.2007.00308.xopenalex-snapshot
Democracy as a Latent Variable
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-5907.2009.00382.xopenalex-snapshot
Power Sharing and Leadership Dynamics in Authoritarian Regimes
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1542-4774.2010.tb00536.xopenalex-snapshot
PERSISTENCE OF CIVIL WARS
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1743-8594.2011.00160.xopenalex-snapshot
Do Democracies Engage Less in Coup-Proofing? On the Relationship between Regime Type and Civil-Military Relations1
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev.polisci.2.1.115openalex-snapshot
What Do We Know About Democratization After Twenty Years?
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev.polisci.2.1.211openalex-snapshot
CIVIL-MILITARY RELATIONS
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1162/016228899560202openalex-snapshot
Coup-proofing: Its Practice and Consequences in the Middle East
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1177/000276426901200311openalex-snapshot
Comparative Political Studies
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1177/0022002702046005006openalex-snapshot
Expanded Trade and GDP Data
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1177/0022002703258197openalex-snapshot
Toward a Structural Understanding of Coup Risk
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1177/0022002708323316openalex-snapshot
Which Way Out?
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1177/0022002712445732openalex-snapshot
Determinants of the Attempting and Outcome of Coups d’état
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1177/0022002712449327openalex-snapshot
Contracting on Violence
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1177/0022002712467938openalex-snapshot
Regime Vulnerability and the Diversionary Threat of Force
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1177/0022343310368350openalex-snapshot
Supporter of stability or agent of agitation? The effect of US foreign policy on coups in Latin America, 1960—99
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1177/0022343310397436openalex-snapshot
Global instances of coups from 1950 to 2010: A new dataset
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1177/0022343398035006001openalex-snapshot
Arms Transfers and Coups d'État: A Study on Sub-Saharan Africa
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1177/0738894211413062openalex-snapshot
Coup-Proofing and Military Effectiveness in Interstate Wars, 1967–99
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1515/9781400824458openalex-snapshot
Democracies at War
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/1844996openalex-snapshot
The Man on Horseback: The Role of the Military in Politics
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/20046956openalex-snapshot
The Coup: Tactics in the Seizure of Power
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/2010462openalex-snapshot
Poverty, the Coup Trap, and the Seizure of Executive Power
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/2110237openalex-snapshot
Political Order in Changing Societies.
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/2950715openalex-snapshot
Neopatrimonial Regimes and Political Transitions in Africa
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/3465751openalex-snapshot
The Man on Horseback. The Role of the Military in Politics
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.4135/9781608718276openalex-snapshot
Resort to War, 1816-2007
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.5771/0506-7286-1970-2-257openalex-snapshot
Political Order in Changing Societies
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.5860/choice.32-1788openalex-snapshot
The coup: tactics in the seizure of power
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.5860/choice.44-5865openalex-snapshot
The Oxford handbook of political economy
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.7551/mitpress/4292.001.0001openalex-snapshot
The Logic of Political Survival

What points at this work

Incoming claims: where this work appears in other papers’ reference lists and arguments.

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The Morning After: Cabinet Instability and the Purging of Ministers after Failed Coup Attempts in Autocracies
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When Security Forces Cause Insecurity?:Coup-Proofing, Regime Types, and Coup D'État
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The Double-Edged Sword of Knowledge: An Exploration of Policymaking in Regime Change Games
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Covert regime change and ideology
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Illiberal regimes and international organizations
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Domestic Financial Intermediaries, Dictatorship, and Social Spending
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The welfare effects of policy signalling in a regime change game
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2021.102027openalex-snapshot
Differences matter: The effect of coup types on physical integrity rights
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Sending peace home! The effect of political favoritism on conflict
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On the move: Autocratic leaders, security, and capital relocations
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1017/psrm.2023.63openalex-snapshot
Coup-proofing: latent concept and measurement
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1017/s0003055419000030openalex-snapshot
Elite Defection under Autocracy: Evidence from Russia
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1017/s0003055420000489openalex-snapshot
Autocratic Stability in the Shadow of Foreign Threats
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1017/s000712341900022xopenalex-snapshot
Military Aid, Regime Vulnerability and the Escalation of Political Violence
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La surveillance : un instrument d’évitement de l'intrusion militaire dans le champ politique camerounais
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Genocidal Consolidation: Final Solutions to Elite Rivalry
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1017/s0020818325101276openalex-snapshot
International Financial Institutions and the Promotion of Autocratic Resilience
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1017/s0022278x21000240openalex-snapshot
Regime cycles and political change in African autocracies
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1017/s0043887120000039openalex-snapshot
The Durability of Client Regimes
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1017/s0212610920000270openalex-snapshot
MILITARY WAGES AND COUPS D’ÉTAT IN SPAIN (1850–1915): THE USE OF PUBLIC SPENDING AS A COUP-PROOFING STRATEGY
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1057/s41311-019-00199-3openalex-snapshot
How Mosul fell: the role of coup-proofing in the 2014 partial collapse of the Iraqi security forces
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1080/03050629.2021.1898958openalex-snapshot
The colonial roots of structural coup-proofing
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1080/03050629.2022.2061968openalex-snapshot
Oil discovery, oil production, and coups d’état
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1080/03623319.2020.1827686openalex-snapshot
Failed coups, political survival, and civil liberties restrictions in nondemocratic regimes
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1080/13533312.2020.1768073openalex-snapshot
Diversionary Peace: International Peacekeeping and Domestic Civil-Military Relations
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1080/14683849.2021.1977631openalex-snapshot
Post-2016 military restructuring in Turkey from the perspective of coup-proofing
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1080/14725843.2025.2580579openalex-snapshot
Strongmen politics and unconstitutional changes of government in West Africa
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1086/716952openalex-snapshot
The Morning After: Cabinet Instability and the Purging of Ministers after Failed Coup Attempts in Autocracies
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/9780197820209.001.0001openalex-snapshot
The Road to Repression
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/9780197820209.002.0004openalex-snapshot
Dedication
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/9780197820209.002.0005openalex-snapshot
List of Tables
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/9780197820209.002.0006openalex-snapshot
List of Figures
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/9780197820209.003.0001openalex-snapshot
Introduction
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/9780197820209.003.0002openalex-snapshot
Dictators and Elite Coordination
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/9780197820209.003.0003openalex-snapshot
The International Demand for Economic Liberalization and Human Rights
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/9780197820209.003.0004openalex-snapshot
Repression as a Tool for Compensation
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/9780197820209.003.0005openalex-snapshot
Elite Compensation under Economic Liberalization
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/9780197820209.003.0006openalex-snapshot
The Compensation Dynamic in Mexico, 1970–1990
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/9780197820209.003.0007openalex-snapshot
Elite Compensation under Democratic Diffusion
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/9780197820209.003.0008openalex-snapshot
Elite Compensation under the Human Rights Regime
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/9780197820209.003.0009openalex-snapshot
Conclusions
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/9780197820209.005.0001openalex-snapshot
Appendices
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/9780197831229.001.0001openalex-snapshot
Making a Career in Dictatorship
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/9780197831229.002.0002openalex-snapshot
Endorsement
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/9780197831229.002.0005openalex-snapshot
List of Figures
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/9780197831229.002.0006openalex-snapshot
List of Tables
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/9780197831229.002.0007openalex-snapshot
Preface
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/9780197831229.003.0001openalex-snapshot
Introduction
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/9780197831229.003.0002openalex-snapshot
The Logic of Career Pressure
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/9780197831229.003.0003openalex-snapshot
Dissecting the Authoritarian Security Apparatus
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/9780197831229.003.0004openalex-snapshot
Career Pressure and Excessive Loyalty
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/9780197831229.003.0005openalex-snapshot
Career Pressure and Excessive Disloyalty
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/9780197831229.003.0006openalex-snapshot
Extending the Logic of Career Pressure
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/9780197831229.003.0007openalex-snapshot
The Relationship between Repression and Coups
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/9780197831229.003.0008openalex-snapshot
Conclusion and Outlook
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/fpa/oraf044openalex-snapshot
Crisis at Home, Exit Abroad: Coups, Civil Wars, and Coalition Defection
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Putting the Civilian Back in Civil–Military Relations: How Civilian Leaders Condition the Effects of Security Assistance
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From Bullets to Balance Sheets: How Military Involvement in the Economy Shapes Leader Survival
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The Rise Predicts the Fall: How the Method of Leader Entry Affects the Method of Leader Removal in Dictatorships
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/isq/sqx085openalex-snapshot
How to Keep Officers in the Barracks: Causes, Agents, and Types of Military Coups
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/isq/sqy056openalex-snapshot
Coup-Proofing in the Shadow of Intervention: Alliances, Moral Hazard, and Violence in Authoritarian Regimes
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/isq/sqz092openalex-snapshot
Self-Reinforcing Civilian Control: A Measurement-Based Analysis of Civil-Military Relations
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/isr/viab062openalex-snapshot
Forum: A Coup At the Capitol? Conceptualizing Coups and Other Antidemocratic Actions
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/jogss/ogab033openalex-snapshot
Strategies of Dictatorship and Military Disloyalty during Anti-Authoritarian Protests: Explaining Defections and Coups
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/jogss/ogad008openalex-snapshot
Coups and the End of Mass-Killing Episodes
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/jogss/ogz015openalex-snapshot
The Efficacy of Ethnic Stacking: Military Defection during Uprisings in Africa
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/jopres/xjag069openalex-snapshot
Purging the police in nascent democracies
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780197760789.003.0012openalex-snapshot
Venezuela’s Autocratization, 1999–2021
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780198803362.001.0001openalex-snapshot
Routes to Reform
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780198803362.002.0004openalex-snapshot
Copyright Page
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780198803362.002.0007openalex-snapshot
List of figures
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780198803362.002.0008openalex-snapshot
List of Tables
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780198803362.003.0001openalex-snapshot
Civilian control of the military in new democracies
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780198803362.003.0002openalex-snapshot
Conceptualizing and theorizing civilian control
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780198803362.003.0003openalex-snapshot
Mapping and explaining civilian control in third wave democracies
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780198803362.003.0004openalex-snapshot
Reforming civil–military relations
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780198803362.003.0005openalex-snapshot
The effect of civilian control on democracy
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780198803362.003.0006openalex-snapshot
Democratic survival and quality
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780198803362.003.0007openalex-snapshot
Conclusion
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12383openalex-snapshot
Leaving the Barracks: Military Coups in Developing Democracies
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/polp.70045openalex-snapshot
National Leadership and State Capacity
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1177/00104140221074273openalex-snapshot
Strategic Uncertainty and Elite Defections in Electoral Autocracies: A Cross-National Analysis
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1177/00104140241302708openalex-snapshot
Synthesizing Theories of Authoritarian Elections: A Game-Free Analysis
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1177/0022002720904763openalex-snapshot
Jumping on the Bandwagon: Differentiation and Security Defection during Conflict
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1177/00220027211070574openalex-snapshot
State Security or Exploitation: A Theory of Military Involvement in the Economy
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1177/00220027221079399openalex-snapshot
Climbing the Ladder: Explaining the Vertical Proliferation of Cruise Missiles
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1177/00220027221126073openalex-snapshot
Institutional Change as a Response to Unrealized Threats: An Empirical Analysis
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Preventing Coups and Seeking Allies: The Demand and Supply of Alliances for Coup-Proofing Regimes
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Boys and Their Toys: Status Inconsistency in Non-democratic Regimes and the Import of Major Weapon Systems
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1177/00220027231224022openalex-snapshot
Civil-Military Relations and Domestic Terrorism
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1177/00220027251395066openalex-snapshot
Civil-Military Relations in the Aftermath of Coups: How Does Coup Failure Affect Counterbalancing in Autocratic Regimes?
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1177/0022343318763713openalex-snapshot
Leader survival and purges after a failed coup d’état
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1177/0022343319899155openalex-snapshot
Determinants of political purges in autocracies: Evidence from ancient Chinese dynasties
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1177/0022343320913089openalex-snapshot
Mapping coercive institutions: The State Security Forces dataset, 1960–2010
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1177/0095327x17728493openalex-snapshot
Leader Survival Strategies and the Onset of Civil Conflict: A Coup-Proofing Paradox
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1177/0095327x231155667openalex-snapshot
The Varieties of Civilian Praetorianism: Evidence From Sudan’s Coup Politics
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1177/02633957261469988openalex-snapshot
Extrication versus self-entrenchment: Intra-military relations and post-military coup transition outcomes
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1177/0738894219836285openalex-snapshot
Authoritarian regimes and civil–military relations: Explaining counterbalancing in autocracies
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1177/07388942231210295openalex-snapshot
The harsh face of the empire by invitation: Coups in the US world order
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1177/07388942261447909openalex-snapshot
Capital gains: Revising the impact of coup proofing on tactical military effectiveness
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1177/10434631211001576openalex-snapshot
Heterogeneous coalitions and social revolutions
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1177/10659129261495915openalex-snapshot
Wait for It: Why Authoritarians Reshuffle Ruling Coalitions After Elections
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1177/20531680231154838openalex-snapshot
Getting a Seat at the Table: Changes in Military Participation in Government and Coups
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1177/20578911231184137openalex-snapshot
Southeast Asian leaders’ political orientation towards the environmental policy outcome
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.12794/metadc1538711openalex-snapshot
Identity Claims and Leader Survival
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.21550/sosbilder.591754openalex-snapshot
DEMOKRASİLERDE DARBE GEÇİRMEZLİĞE YAKINDAN BAKMAK: SİVİL-ASKER İLİŞKİLERİNDE İSPANYA ÖRNEĞİ
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.33774/apsa-2023-qjh7ropenalex-snapshot
Coup-proofing strategies in counter-revolutionary regimes: Egypt since 2013
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3849/1802-7199.20.2020.01.025-038openalex-snapshot
Early Warning Signals of Military Coups
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3849/1802-7199.23.2023.002.039-061openalex-snapshot
When Coups Occur
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Introduction to the Research Handbook on Civil–Military Relations
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Leadership in risk management – a scoping literature review
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Perspectives of implementation of artificial intelligence tools in researching coups d'état
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Improving Conflict-Phase Access: Identifying U.S. Policy Levers
Editorial review for independent work. ICSAC — the Institute for Complexity Science and Advanced Computing — runs a structured editorial panel for researchers publishing outside journals, and publishes on CiteStamp rails. Submission is free and goes through ORCID: icsacinstitute.org/submit.