On the public citation graph

Banking on a Bad Bet

https://doi.org/10.1177/0956797611407933
0 signed · 40 inferred · view as graph

Inferred edges come from two machine sources: sweeps of open repository metadata (mostly SSRN and Zenodo), and a bulk OpenAlex citation snapshot. Every row below is labelled with the one it came from. Neither is a complete citation index — absence here is not evidence of absence.

Is this your work? Sign in with ORCID and put your name on the claims that are yours.
Claim with ORCID
Reference health. See whether every reference in this work resolves to a known work and none has been retracted — and get a dated CiteStamped badge you can embed.
See reference health

What this work says

Outgoing claims: the papers this work cites, builds on, or argues with.

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s11166-007-9008-7openalex-snapshot
Dual process theories: A key for understanding the diversification bias?
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cognition.2009.07.003openalex-snapshot
Probability matching in choice under uncertainty: Intuition versus deliberation
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tics.2007.05.005openalex-snapshot
The proactive brain: using analogies and associations to generate predictions
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tics.2010.07.004openalex-snapshot
Associative processes in intuitive judgment
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1017/cbo9780511609220.014openalex-snapshot
Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1017/cbo9780511808098.004openalex-snapshot
Representativeness Revisited: Attribute Substitution in Intuitive Judgment
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1037/h0024137openalex-snapshot
Simple strategies in binary prediction by children and adults.
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1037/h0040097openalex-snapshot
Correction vs. noncorrection with changing reinforcement schedules.
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1037/h0043061openalex-snapshot
Two-choice behavior of rhesus monkeys in a noncontingent situation.
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1037/h0087446openalex-snapshot
Searching for Patterns in Random Sequences.
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/1914185openalex-snapshot
Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/20159081openalex-snapshot
Heuristics and Biases: The Psychology of Intuitive Judgment
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3758/bf03194383openalex-snapshot
Is probability matching smart? Associations between probabilistic choices and cognitive ability
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3758/mc.38.6.667openalex-snapshot
Probability matching and strategy availability

What points at this work

Incoming claims: where this work appears in other papers’ reference lists and arguments.

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4134386openalex-extracted
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1002/bdm.2161openalex-snapshot
Are choices based on conditional or conjunctive probabilities in a sequential risk‐taking task?
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-015-0880-4openalex-snapshot
Learning about climate-related risks: decisions of Northern Thailand fish farmers in a role-playing simulation game
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s10899-015-9539-9openalex-snapshot
Betting on Illusory Patterns: Probability Matching in Habitual Gamblers
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/b978-0-12-800283-4.00003-4openalex-snapshot
Probability Matching, Fast and Slow
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/bs.plm.2021.02.005openalex-snapshot
Limited evidence for probability matching as a strategy in probability learning tasks
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.cognition.2020.104318openalex-snapshot
Asymmetrical learning and memory for acquired gain versus loss associations
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.cognition.2020.104413openalex-snapshot
Perceiving structure in unstructured stimuli: Implicitly acquired prior knowledge impacts the processing of unpredictable transitional probabilities
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.cognition.2022.105254openalex-snapshot
The desirability bias in predictions under aleatory and epistemic uncertainty
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.cogsys.2016.04.002openalex-snapshot
Neural implementation of probabilistic models of cognition
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.jecp.2024.106126openalex-snapshot
Do children match described probabilities? The sampling hypothesis applied to repeated risky choice
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1017/jdm.2025.10014openalex-snapshot
Probability matching and statistical naïveté
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1037/xlm0000407openalex-snapshot
Hold it! The influence of lingering rewards on choice diversification and persistence.
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-16983-wopenalex-snapshot
Probability matching is not the default decision making strategy in human and non-human primates
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-59657-5openalex-snapshot
Eye and head movements in visual search in the extended field of view
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1080/17470218.2012.656664openalex-snapshot
The effect of explanation in simple binary decision tasks
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2022.01175openalex-snapshot
The Prediction Order Effect: People Are More Likely to Choose Improbable Outcomes in Later Predictions
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3389/fpsyg.2016.01743openalex-snapshot
Global Cue Inconsistency Diminishes Learning of Cue Validity
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3758/s13421-012-0268-3openalex-snapshot
Probability matching in risky choice: The interplay of feedback and strategy availability
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3758/s13421-014-0500-4openalex-snapshot
Striving for perfection and falling short: The influence of goals on probability matching
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3758/s13421-016-0595-xopenalex-snapshot
Taking the easy way out? Increasing implementation effort reduces probability maximizing under cognitive load
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3758/s13423-015-0949-6openalex-snapshot
More heads choose better than one: Group decision making can eliminate probability matching
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5709/acp-0260-3openalex-snapshot
Metacognitive Illusion in Category Learning: Contributions of Processing Fluency and Beliefs
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5709/acp-0264-xopenalex-snapshot
Predicting an Outcome Less Probable yet More Desirable than the Other
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.7554/elife.48810openalex-snapshot
Balancing model-based and memory-free action selection under competitive pressure
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.7916/d8sf33j6openalex-snapshot
Factors Affecting Probability Matching Behavior
Editorial review for independent work. ICSAC — the Institute for Complexity Science and Advanced Computing — runs a structured editorial panel for researchers publishing outside journals, and publishes on CiteStamp rails. Submission is free and goes through ORCID: icsacinstitute.org/submit.