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Good, great, or lucky? Screening for firms with sustained superior performance using heavy-tailed priors

https://doi.org/10.1214/11-aoas512
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What this work says

Outgoing claims: the papers this work cites, builds on, or argues with.

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1002/smj.492openalex-snapshot
Schumpeter's ghost: Is hypercompetition making the best of times shorter?
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/bf02888369openalex-snapshot
Posterior odds ratios for selected regression hypotheses
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s13171-010-0017-2openalex-snapshot
Guided random walk through some high dimensional problems
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-4076(94)01612-4openalex-snapshot
A generalization of the beta distribution with applications
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jspi.2005.08.031openalex-snapshot
An exploration of aspects of Bayesian multiple testing
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/biomet/78.2.426openalex-snapshot
A Representation of the Posterior Mean for a Location Model
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/biomet/asq017openalex-snapshot
The horseshoe estimator for sparse signals
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780199214655.003.0014openalex-snapshot
FDR and Bayesian Multiple Comparisons Rules
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1109/tac.1975.1100882openalex-snapshot
Approximate non-Gaussian filtering with linear state and observation relations
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9876.2005.05593.xopenalex-snapshot
A Bayesian Mixture Model for Differential Gene Expression
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.2517-6161.1992.tb01452.xopenalex-snapshot
Exact and Approximate Posterior Moments for a Normal Location Parameter
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.2517-6161.1995.tb02031.xopenalex-snapshot
Controlling the False Discovery Rate: A Practical and Powerful Approach to Multiple Testing
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1115/1.3625776openalex-snapshot
Handbook of Mathematical Functions With Formulas, Graphs and Mathematical Tables (National Bureau of Standards Applied Mathematics Series No. 55)
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1162/003465399767923890openalex-snapshot
The Persistence of Shocks to Profitability
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1198/016214507000000211openalex-snapshot
Multiple Hypothesis Testing by Clustering Treatment Effects
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1198/016214507000001337openalex-snapshot
Mixtures of g Priors for Bayesian Variable Selection
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1198/016214508000000689openalex-snapshot
Bayesian Treed Gaussian Process Models With an Application to Computer Modeling
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1214/009053604000000030openalex-snapshot
Needles and straw in haystacks: Empirical Bayes estimates of possibly sparse sequences
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1214/009053606000000074openalex-snapshot
Adapting to unknown sparsity by controlling the false discovery rate
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1214/06-ba117aopenalex-snapshot
Prior distributions for variance parameters in hierarchical models (comment on article by Browne and Draper)
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1214/07-sts236openalex-snapshot
Microarrays, Empirical Bayes and the Two-Groups Model
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1214/193940307000000158openalex-snapshot
A comparison of the Benjamini-Hochberg procedure with some Bayesian rules for multiple testing
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1214/aoms/1177693528openalex-snapshot
Proper Bayes Minimax Estimators of the Multivariate Normal Mean
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1214/aos/1028144853openalex-snapshot
On the construction of Bayes minimax estimators
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1214/aos/1176345068openalex-snapshot
A Robust Generalized Bayes Estimator and Confidence Region for a Multivariate Normal Mean
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1214/aos/1176345632openalex-snapshot
Estimation of the Mean of a Multivariate Normal Distribution
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1524/strm.1999.17.2.137openalex-snapshot
IMPROVING ON THE JAMES-STEIN ESTIMATOR
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.17016/feds.1998.18openalex-snapshot
A Generalization of Generalized Beta Distributions
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/2348939openalex-snapshot
Prior Assessments for Prediction in Queues
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.5465/ambpp.2009.44243226openalex-snapshot
HOW LONG MUST A FIRM BE GREAT TO RULE OUT LUCK? BENCHMARKING SUSTAINED SUPERIOR PERFORMANCE WITHOUT BEING FOOLED BY RANDOMNESS.
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.82444/warw.33599167openalex-snapshot
Alternative prior distributions for variable selection with very many more variables than observations

What points at this work

Incoming claims: where this work appears in other papers’ reference lists and arguments.

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3427860openalex-extracted
Is the Cost of Equity Greater than the Risk-Free Rate?
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3432064openalex-extracted
Hedge Fund Activism and Financial Performance
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbusres.2017.10.051openalex-snapshot
Sustainable competitive advantage and profitability persistence: Sources versus outcomes for assessing advantage
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-66466-zopenalex-snapshot
Bayesian Hyper-LASSO Classification for Feature Selection with Application to Endometrial Cancer RNA-seq Data
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1080/00949655.2018.1490418openalex-snapshot
Fully Bayesian logistic regression with hyper-LASSO priors for high-dimensional feature selection
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1080/01621459.2014.990973openalex-snapshot
False Discovery Rate Regression: An Application to Neural Synchrony Detection in Primary Visual Cortex
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1080/01621459.2018.1451335openalex-snapshot
Spatially Dependent Multiple Testing Under Model Misspecification, With Application to Detection of Anthropogenic Influence on Extreme Climate Events
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1080/02664763.2017.1363161openalex-snapshot
A weakly informative prior for Bayesian dynamic model selection with applications in fMRI
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/biomet/ass081openalex-snapshot
Data augmentation for non-Gaussian regression models using variance-mean mixtures
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/oxfordhb/9780198840954.013.16openalex-snapshot
Hedge Fund Activism and Financial Performance
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1214/14-ejs962openalex-snapshot
The horseshoe estimator: Posterior concentration around nearly black vectors
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1214/16-ejs1130openalex-snapshot
Conditions for posterior contraction in the sparse normal means problem
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1214/17-ba1065openalex-snapshot
Uncertainty Quantification for the Horseshoe (with Discussion)
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1214/17-ejs1316openalex-snapshot
Adaptive posterior contraction rates for the horseshoe
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3390/math13101615openalex-snapshot
Bayesian Tapered Narrowband Least Squares for Fractional Cointegration Testing in Panel Data
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