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Bayesian Decision Making in Human Collectives with Binary Choices

https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0121332

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What this work says

Outgoing claims: the papers this work cites, builds on, or argues with.

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Sociophysics: A Physicist's Modeling of Psycho-political Phenomena

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Self-organized shortcuts in the Argentine ant

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The self-organizing exploratory pattern of the argentine ant

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s10071-011-0387-4openalex-snapshot

Decision-making under uncertainty: biases and Bayesians

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s13235-010-0004-1openalex-snapshot

Opinion Dynamics and Learning in Social Networks

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Subjective probability: A judgment of representativeness

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/0022-5193(80)90265-9openalex-snapshot

The application of statistical decision theory to animal behaviour

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Bayesian interactions and collective dynamics of opinion: Herd behavior and mimetic contagion

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/b978-0-12-214850-7.50008-5openalex-snapshot

Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases

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The subtleties of error management

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An opinion dynamics model for the diffusion of innovations

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The Bayesian brain: the role of uncertainty in neural coding and computation

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tree.2013.05.013openalex-snapshot

On evolutionary explanations of cognitive biases

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tree.2013.05.014openalex-snapshot

The evolution of error: error management, cognitive constraints, and adaptive decision-making biases

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1017/cbo9780511809477.002openalex-snapshot

Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1037/h0028070openalex-snapshot

Note on the drawing power of crowds of different size.

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/075450a0openalex-snapshot

Vox Populi

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/npre.2011.5939.1openalex-snapshot

Collective Animal Behavior from Bayesian Estimation and Probability Matching

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/srep00576openalex-snapshot

Wisdom of groups promotes cooperation in evolutionary social dilemmas

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0912515107openalex-snapshot

Human strategy updating in evolutionary games

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1000140107openalex-snapshot

The future of social experimenting

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1007102108openalex-snapshot

Fast and accurate decisions through collective vigilance in fish shoals

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1008636108openalex-snapshot

How social influence can undermine the wisdom of crowd effect

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1116141109openalex-snapshot

Visual attention and the acquisition of information in human crowds

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1210664109openalex-snapshot

A common rule for decision making in animal collectives across species

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1309867110openalex-snapshot

Estimation models describe well collective decisions among three options

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1086/261849openalex-snapshot

A Theory of Fads, Fashion, Custom, and Cultural Change as Informational Cascades

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1098/rsbl.2011.0795openalex-snapshot

Is the true ‘wisdom of the crowd’ to copy successful individuals?

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1103/physreve.86.026109openalex-snapshot

Phase transition to a two-peak phase in an information-cascade voting experiment

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1103/physreve.87.062123openalex-snapshot

Collective opinion formation model under Bayesian updating and confirmation bias

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1103/revmodphys.81.591openalex-snapshot

Statistical physics of social dynamics

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2656.12089openalex-snapshot

How do foragers decide when to leave a patch? A test of alternative models under natural and experimental conditions

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.0030-1299.2006.14228.xopenalex-snapshot

Bayes’ theorem and its applications in animal behaviour

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1192788openalex-snapshot

How to Grow a Mind: Statistics, Structure, and Abstraction

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1142/s0129183108012339openalex-snapshot

CONTINUOUS OPINIONS AND DISCRETE ACTIONS IN OPINION DYNAMICS PROBLEMS

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1163/156853906779366982openalex-snapshot

Group movement decisions in capuchin monkeys: the utility of an experimental study and a mathematical model to explore the relationship between individual and collective behaviours

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1257/mic.4.1.209openalex-snapshot

Diverging Opinions

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1002282openalex-snapshot

Collective Animal Behavior from Bayesian Estimation and Probability Matching

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1002592openalex-snapshot

Individual Rules for Trail Pattern Formation in Argentine Ants (Linepithema humile)

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0078433openalex-snapshot

Social Influence and the Collective Dynamics of Opinion Formation

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1515/9781400833092openalex-snapshot

Rational Decisions

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/2118364openalex-snapshot

A Simple Model of Herd Behavior

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/2288362openalex-snapshot

Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases.

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.7566/jpsj.82.084004openalex-snapshot

Collective Adoption of Max–Min Strategy in an Information Cascade Voting Experiment

What points at this work

Incoming claims: where this work appears in other papers’ reference lists and arguments.

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2763446openalex-extracted

Collective Intelligence: Aggregation of Information from Neighbors in a Guessing Game

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-38965-9_14openalex-snapshot

How to Collect Private Signals in Information Cascade: An Empirical Study

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.cognition.2020.104469openalex-snapshot

Bayesian collective learning emerges from heuristic social learning

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1088/1478-3975/acd297openalex-snapshot

Evolutionary stability of social interaction rules in collective decision-making

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2020.2690openalex-snapshot

Follow the straggler: zebrafish use a simple heuristic for collective decision-making

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2017.0370openalex-snapshot

Inverse Bayesian inference in swarming behaviour of soldier crabs

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1103/j1zg-ddqvopenalex-snapshot

Opinion dynamics: Statistical physics and beyond

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1177/26339137221121347openalex-snapshot

Collective decision-making under changing social environments among agents adapted to sparse connectivity

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1011979openalex-snapshot

Indirect reciprocity with Bayesian reasoning and biases

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0153586openalex-snapshot

Collective Intelligence: Aggregation of Information from Neighbors in a Guessing Game

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0160152openalex-snapshot

Collective Behavior of Market Participants during Abrupt Stock Price Changes

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0282062openalex-snapshot

Casting votes of antecedents play a key role in successful sequential decision-making

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3389/fphy.2016.00007openalex-snapshot

Thou Shalt Not Take Sides: Cognition, Logic and the Need for Changing How We Believe

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3389/fphy.2020.00010openalex-snapshot

A Bayesian Approach to the Naming Game Model

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3390/physics6030062openalex-snapshot

Agent Mental Models and Bayesian Rules as a Tool to Create Opinion Dynamics Models

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.1512.00770openalex-snapshot

Bayesian Social Influence in the Online Realm

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.7566/jpsj.85.034002openalex-snapshot

Detection of Phase Transition in Generalized Pólya Urn in Information Cascade Experiment

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