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A Likelihood Ratio and Markov Chain Based Method to Evaluate Density Forecasting

https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2416269
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What this work says

Outgoing claims: the papers this work cites, builds on, or argues with.

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1002/1099-131x(200007)19:4<235::aid-for772>3.0.co;2-lopenalex-extracted
Density forecasting: a survey
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1002/for.1023openalex-extracted
Comparing density forecast models
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1002/for.1260openalex-extracted
Testing Interval Forecasts: A GMM‐Based Approach
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1002/jae.703openalex-extracted
Evaluating interval forecasts of high‐frequency financial data
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-4076(89)90031-6openalex-extracted
Interval forecasting
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/s0169-7161(96)14010-4openalex-extracted
8 Forecast evaluation and combination
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1080/02664768600000002openalex-extracted
Alternative forms and properties of the score test
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1080/07350015.1993.10509938openalex-extracted
Calculating Interval Forecasts
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1162/003465399558526openalex-extracted
Multivariate Density Forecast Evaluation and Calibration In Financial Risk Management: High-Frequency Returns on Foreign Exchange
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1198/07350010152596718openalex-extracted
Testing Density Forecasts, With Applications to Risk Management
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1198/073500104000000370openalex-extracted
CAViaR
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1198/jasa.2011.r10138openalex-extracted
Making and Evaluating Point Forecasts
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/2527341openalex-extracted
Evaluating Interval Forecasts
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/2527342openalex-extracted
Evaluating Density Forecasts with Applications to Financial Risk Management
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/s0169-2070(02)00009-2openalex-snapshot
Chi-squared tests of interval and density forecasts, and the Bank of England’s fan charts
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.1080.0964openalex-snapshot
Evaluating Value-at-Risk Models with Desk-Level Data

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inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1080/03610926.2019.1650185openalex-snapshot
On multinomial hidden Markov model for hierarchical manpower systems
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